November 6, 2018

Watching the midterm election results.

1. How are you watching? The news channels have been nattering for hours about how to watch. They’re laying down the first phase of a narrative that we’ll look back on. In 2016, I didn’t fully appreciate the narrative at the time, and I don’t want to miss it this time. But I always assume things will be boring!

2. Seems fair to say it’s not a “blue wave.” 7:51 CT.

3. Fox News says the Democrats will take the House.

4. CNN says Cruz wins and GOP keeps the Senate.

546 comments:

1 – 200 of 546   Newer›   Newest»
cubanbob said...

Watch what? At poll closing time its over. There shouldn't be any results published until the last poll closes. We can get the results tomorrow.

Kevin said...

Our media at work: they not only tell us we must watch the news, but HOW we must watch it.

You're watching the news that way? Oh no, you're doing it wrong!!!!

You don't want to be a wrong-watcher, do you?

You know who watches the news wrong? Racists.

mockturtle said...

Cubanbob: Exit polls, Bob. We know just how accurate they are. ;-)

Jersey Fled said...

They will start calling some east coast races pretty early. I remember they called some in 2016 with only a few percent of the vote counted.

Kevin said...

In the future, our media overlords will tell us how to wake up, make toast and tie our shoes to not run afoul of those who might make our lives miserable.

You wouldn't like that, would you?

Jersey Fled said...

BTW I went out and got my popcorn this afternoon.

tcrosse said...

It's early to bed, assuming we are not awakened by rioting in the street or the sound of our American Institutions collapsing.

Kevin said...

They will start calling some east coast races pretty early. I remember they called some in 2016 with only a few percent of the vote counted.

They can call Elizabeth Warren's reelection now, so she can get a few hours jump on her 2020 bid over everyone else.

Trump will still be looking at House races in California while Liz is putting some distance between them.

James K said...

Indiana closes first, I think. Probably the Senate race is too close to call.

Bay Area Guy said...

Larry Schweikart says to ignore all exit polling, even the ones that favor your side. He says all exit polling is bullshit.

So there's that.

President John Kerry would likely concur with this.

Bill Crawford said...

Here in Costa Rica I'll use the Axios Live Map

rehajm said...

I'm watching via the two scariest words, in any language, for a Democrat:

Election Needle

Jersey Fled said...

I still believe we won't know who won the House until January. The Dems need that long to go through their usual infantile b.s.

steve uhr said...

The real time forecast on 538 for dems to win the house just increased from 84% to 84.3%

Dickin'Bimbos@Home said...

total ignore from me.
I'm tired of feeling anxious.

The democrats and their media are corrupt.

FIDO said...

Well, the GOP is forcing open every car trunk and closet door, so we might get results a little earlier and more accurately...assuming we don't find boxes of ballots pre-filled in.

FIDO said...

Fox keeps running these crawls of approval polls. I just add 10% to every poll for Republicans because Democrats got to put their thumbs on the scale. It is what they do.

Which explains why they are always surprised when they lose.

wildswan said...

So Real Clear Politics has already called a House seat in Kentucky for the Repubs. I guess polls must have closed there at 6 EST. Or else the district has three people.

Qwinn said...

Check out this just released Project Veritas video.

https://www.facebook.com/ProjectVeritas/posts/1943002162451959


"DACA voters? We've got tons of 'em."

And this is in Texas.

FIDO said...

At our polling district, we are running 75% of all eligible voters actually voting...in a MIDTERM!

The polling person said they have never seen numbers like this.

Granted, this is a small polling location, but 75% is 75%.

Republican or Democrat, there are a lot of angry voters out there.

320Busdriver said...

Could WI really put T Evers in as Governor over Walker? Wife says she thinks Evers will win. I’m not so sure. God, I hope not.

Known Unknown said...

Proudly not watching.

Bruce Hayden said...

Apparently, Drudge is linking to exit polls that appear to be showing a red wave. We shall see.

CWJ said...

"Watching the midterm election results"

I'm not.

Jersey Fled said...

FIDO: 75% is nothing. Philly gets 100% routinely. Sometimes they even get more than 100%

Chest Rockwell said...

I'm watching MSU - Kansas tonight.

I'll check in on the results occasionally, but I like waking up in the morning and digesting it all over my elliptical.

iowan2 said...

Indiana with 3% in has Braun at 59.4%

Mark said...

1. Nope. Not gonna. Can't make me.

I'll watch some movie or some recorded show or maybe the usual Tuesday fare of Doctor Blake Mysteries and then Doc Martin, and then I'll check the news about 11-11:30.

Chest Rockwell said...

The WSJ has some interesting election coverage statistics in real time.

Figures, considering this is a lot like watching the stock market.

FIDO said...

One of the voting issues in my state was to make punishments for drugs to be much lower.

I am sure open to doing that for Pot.

For heroin and meth? Making that a misdemeanor? AYFKM?

Yancey Ward said...

Will be watching Kentucky vs Duke tonight. I generally don't watch the election returns on television- I follow online with no talking heads- just results. And I will comment here as I did in 2016.

Yancey Ward said...

The last election I actually followed in television was 2004- been doing it online ever since.

Jersey Fled said...

Wow! Bernie won in VT

Bruce Hayden said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
narciso said...

shocker:

https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2018/11/jamal-khashoggi-and-the-washington-post-part-four.php

FIDO said...

I was about 10 time zones ahead of America in 2016 and was able to watch 2 am television online and the despair and wailing was a sight to behold.

Bruce Hayden said...

Sorry, I meant to say that Drudge is reporting a BLUE wave, based on exit polls

Mark said...

I remember watching the returns in 1980. Tuned in at 8 p.m. and the race was called at 8:15. Good times.

Francisco D said...

Fox News has a good crew. Brett Hume is still the best.

That said, I will wait until my (Democrat) fiancee goes to bed before I tune back in. It is more important to keep peace in the family.

rhhardin said...

In the event of ties everywhere the speaker of the house becomes president.

chuck said...

I don't have a TV and don't visit the "news" sites, so I'll just wait for reports at the usual places I visit online.

Kay said...

They make presidential elections into spectacles, where there is coverage at practically every moment. I don’t remember if that’s ever been done for a midterm. If that’s what’s happening now, I don’t want to see it. I’ll be curious to see what the results are tomorrow, though.

chuck said...

> Sorry, I meant to say that Drudge is reporting a BLUE wave, based on exit polls

I think Drudge very much wishes for a blue wave. We will see if wishes are horses.

Bay Area Guy said...

Regarding exit polls, here's that little weasel Robby Mook, Hillary's 2016 campaign manager:


Warning: exit polls are like online dating profiles. Things may not be as they appear. And they may break your heart.

2:06 PM - Nov 6, 2018

mockturtle said...

Jersey Field notes: FIDO: 75% is nothing. Philly gets 100% routinely. Sometimes they even get more than 100%

I'll bet!

Unknown said...

They will call all democrat wins as early as possible, they will delay all republican wins as long as possible. They will attempt ( as they do every election ) to pull another Florida early call.

Seeing Red said...

Blue governor wave. I know Illinois is a lost cause.

Browndog said...

Not watching yet-

Thinking about it, obviously. Thinking everyone will find a reason to be happy, everyone will find a reason to be angry.

In the end, the only 'victory' will be which ever party gets 218 Members elected to the House. A Pyrrhic victory.

Seeing Red said...

Blue governor wave. I know Illinois is a lost cause.

Seeing Red said...

kasich going down wouldn’t be a surprise. He deserves to. Why vote for dem-lite?

Seeing Red said...

I’m happy no more ads.

narciso said...

Kasich isn't on the ballot, dewine is up against the adopted head of red squaw's contraptions,

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

It all basically depends on how many Republican-owned voting machines were programmed by the GOP to switch Democratic votes to Republicon.

They've also tried the usual voter suppression tricks, like limiting poll hours and requiring residential street addresses from Native Americans who live on reservations without streets, but those backfired.

Republicans are uptight people, and their mobs usually consist of lunatics clutching guns and threatening civil war. But hopefully the Trump rallies offered them enough opportunity to dress up in red, white and blue and pretend that they actually cared about the country. I can never tell if their repression and hatred of others leaves them with enough energy to actually care about the country itself, or its people.

Darrell said...

The real question is whether Democrats can get away with vote fraud at levels never seen. Since they control most of the election apparatus, I think the answer is "yes." Or sí, if you prefer.

Browndog said...

I'm going to watch Steve Bannon live at 8 bells.

Why not?

I haven't seen but 5 minutes of him speak, but I hear he's kind of a Sarah Palin kinda rogue. Tired of the same old screeching same olds--why not?

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

It's early to bed, assuming we are not awakened by rioting in the street or the sound of our American Institutions collapsing.

Hatred, fear and ethnic nationalism were never American institutions. You're thinking of Europe.

Call Bannon. He'll help you out. Bannon to the rescue!

He's saving "Western Civilization," you see. And that's a tall order. Constantine's conversion is a hell of a way to reach back for.

We're just going for the whole post-1776 part.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

The real question is whether Democrats can get away with vote fraud at levels never seen.

Don't worry. Texas's (and other red states') Repubicon-owned voting machines come programmed to switch to red votes from blue.

Between that and gerrymandering you've suppressed enough of the vote to more than make up for any of the actual cases of that rare and very infrequently ever documented chimera you call "voter fraud."

Chimera? Or is it a unicorn?

A fear of fake votes for a party with alternative facts. It's splendid, isn't it?

Darrell said...

Pee pee mouth takes things that Democrats do and says that Republicans are doing it. About 6 years ago, Democrats started using vote counting software that gives them the results they program upfront. If they want the Democrat to get 68.375% of the vote, that's the result they get at the end of the night. Republicans got a judge to issue a search warrant for the machine, but the Democratic judge ordered that the warrant was to be served the next day during business hours. Republicans filmed a crew showing up in a van at night taking away the machine and replacing it with another, but the judge refused to look at the tape.

RK said...

I'm watching a replay of Fox News' coverage of the 2016 election night to pass the time waiting for tonight's results. Hillary Clinton still sucks, and whatever happens tonight, she's still not the President.

Francisco D said...

Ritmo must have just got out of bed.

That late night McDonalds shift can be really hard.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

I like how Repubicons can't tell you what policies of theirs have done any good. It's kind of like they're resigning themselves to being a party of just fake marketing.

Leland said...

Ok, this gives me hope for the GOP. At NBCNews rights now, they show the Indiana Senate race with Mike Braun (R) at 57 and Joe Donnelly (D) at 39 with a notation "Too close to call". Now, it is only 7:42pm in Indiana, so I could accept "Too early to call", and they used that elsewhere. But here, it is "too close to call" with a 18 point lead...

It's 2016 election night all over again.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

Not harder than recycling an even older than you, less original, and more crotchety demented person's fake insults, Fran D.

But go ahead with that hatred and personal attack - as boring and unoriginal as it is. I heard it's really doing wonders for your political program this year.

Yawn.

When hatred and fear become boring. It's Republiconism full circle.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

Because it depends on which precincts have reported, Leland. Some results are predictable, some aren't.

I know, very hard stuff. Too sophisticated for a Republicon to understand.

mockturtle said...

I follow online with no talking heads- just results.

Me, too, Yancey. RealClearPolitics is the best site, IMO. Meanwhile, I can watch hockey.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

I think wasn't that like when Karl Rove went into the FOX Noise poll reporters room to argue with them about how their call for Obama in '08 had to be wrong?

LOL!

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

If Repubicons lose it will be because America just doesn't hate harshly enough.

Americans must learn to hate. It gives them focus!

They need more anger!

Use the dark side of the force, Americans. Just like Palpatine told you to do.

Trump's entire reign is basically a theft of the Star Wars Episode 3 script.

BudBrown said...

I didn't understand what the f was going on there, too.

RK said...

Approx two years ago:

"Yes, on November 8, you Joe Blow, Steve Blow, Bob Blow, Billy Blow, Billy Bob Blow, all the Blows get to go and blow up the whole goddamn system because it’s your right. Trump’s election is going to be the biggest ‘fuck you’ ever recorded in human history and it will feel good."

It still feels good.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

I honestly don't know if Americans are hateful enough to vote Repubicon this year.

What a shame that would be. I mean, Trump is a great president (or so he says); and we're just not good enough to deserve him.

And by not good enough I mean, we're not hateful enough.

Bummer.

MadisonMan said...

In 2016 I went to bed early. Will do the same this year. It's an early rise for me tomorrow.

Drago said...

PPPT: "I know, very hard stuff. Too sophisticated for a Republicon to understand."

Hillary is a republican?

steve uhr said...

538 now gives the dems a 91.6% chance of regaining the house.

Scott said...

I hope and pray that the people of New Jersey can vote out Sen. Bob Menendez so that he can have some more quality time with underage Dominican hookers. I voted for his opponent, Bob Hugin.

Darrell said...

538 now gives the dems a 91.6% chance of regaining the house.

Wow. That is less than thew 93% chance he gave for Hillary winning. Or the 97% chance he had up on the NYT election meter at around 7PM on election night.

CWJ said...

MadisonMan,

I did the same. I woke up about 3am and gotup for awhile. While surfing everything but politics, I stumbled across clickbait saying "Who will President Trump nominate for the Supreme Court?" I thought WTF? It was the first indication I saw that he'd won.

Browndog said...

I guess if Pee-Pee face is going to shit all over this blog I'm out.

Matthew Sablan said...

Virginia is now unexpectedly pretty much officially blue at the national level.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

Our polls are rising.

I'm honestly disappointed in Trump. All that power and he couldn't manage to bring the full apparatus of his state to bear on this?

I mean, can't he even bribe a county official or two to declare a favorable result?

I guess he can add one more of many failures to his resume.

Matt said...

Virginia is now unexpectedly pretty much officially blue at the national level.
---------
Northern VA is proof that having lots of degrees doesnt mean you actually know anything.

Arlington/Alexandria/Fairfax - or as I like to call it, the Axis of Evil.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

Mine is the voice of America, Browndog.

Your's is just the voice of the hateful mob. Or maybe its own Browndog.

I'm telling you why Trumpism is going to fail in America. Ignore it if you want.

For two years I had to listen to this scumbag cumstain turn America into a mini-tyranny. All his hate, the hate crimes, the hatred of his predecessor and his legacy - no matter how much of it he mooched off of. And pushing policies and governance less popular than a New York sewer rat.

And lies. About everyone and everything. Big and small. A country forced to live in a sociopath's fantasy world as he commanded the ship of state and hijacked it to that ridiculously nonsensical end.

Now is when we get to gloat. This jackass has been governing against reality for 730 days, with only his own bloated ego steering it, and the country's sick of it.

IF you don't like it, renounce your citizenship. You big baby.

There are worse options than that, though. I fully expect that Trump's blowout tonight will contribute to a nice spike in the white America suicide rate, as high as it already was.

You have been practicing a form of political slow-suicide for many years now. Putting it on steroids over the last two doesn't make it any less suicidal.

Grow up and take some responsibility for your national abomination.

Jack Wayne said...

I’m with you BD.

Char Char Binks said...

A bunch of nattering nabobs!

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

For years Republicons at least had the sense to understand that optimism was the winner - as much as they lied about what they could sell worth being optimistic about.

Tonight is when we find out if Trump's marketing of "American carnage" really is a winner.

Guess not. Better luck with that message next time.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

Jack Wayne and Browndog crybaby are apparently forming their own circle jerk of tears.

I guess it beats contributing to the white America suicide rate.

At least, that's what the humanitarian in me feels obliged to say.

Fuck off, both of you. Your vision died in 1945. This country defeated it.

And it's never coming back, no matter how many 1929s or 2008s you keep trying to push on us.

Assholes.

heyboom said...

I was absolutely stunned to find out that they were checking photo ID at our polling station in SoCal. I wonder if that was the case for all of the tables (here in my area they separate voters by different colored tables). I voted straight R ticket although I did vote for DiFi because I believe her opponent Kevin De Leon is WAY worse if you can believe it and she needs all the help she can get. Heavier turnout than the primaries but even though there were a lot more cars in the parking lot there weren't really that many people inside. Kinda weird.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

What a bunch of sore losers. I guess as much as Trump's lies pumped up your tiny egos over the last two years, the next two hours will show you that reality is a little less kind of a nanny.

Total babies. Don't let the door hit you in the ass.

Come on back when you're grown up enough to join reality - i.e. never.

President-Mom-Jeans said...

Rut roh, where is that blue wave?

I think liberal tears are on the menu tonight.

Yummy.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

I want to create a Republicon tear collection. Browndog and Jack Wayne can provide the first samples.

(This is exactly the kind of thing Republicons were saying two years ago, BTW).

It's not like we didn't warn these jackasses. Fascism's just not going to work in America.

Take your corporatism as far as you want. But once it crashes and burns, the only populism that's going to save it is the authentic kind - from the left.

Right-wing populism is not a real thing. It's as phony as Trump.

If it were real then you wouldn't have been fighting to shrink the electorate and suppress the vote all this time.

Time's up!

funsize said...

I'm not! There's U-20 world cup qualifiers on, but I may possibly eschew tv for sewing. Gotta do something with my hands/brain....

pacwest said...

The 538 forecast has dropped to just a 39.3% chance that the Democrats take the House tonight.

Darrell said...

Pee Pee Mouth hits the crack pipe early.
Don't stop.

Ken B said...

Some things are like flashing lights saying “ I am an idiot”. Quoting probabilities to three significant figures in an election is one of them. Changing those numbers every few minutes is another. Nate Silver is a charlatan.

MadisonMan said...

Donna Shalala is projected to win!

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

The only pipe I'm seeing is in Darrell's mouth.

You used to sucking on something else, Darrell?

wildswan said...

538 is giving the Republicans a 60% chance they hold the House.

Diogenes of Sinope said...

We're getting our election results on METv.

Jack Wayne said...

I agree with BD that someone is shitting all over this thread. I’m waiting for Henry to show up and give us a lesson on numeracy again. Or should it be INnumeracy? N8 Ag is trying desperately to save his business.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

It won't be a "wave" because the D party is not clear on what it wants. But Trumpism will not win either. The electorate's being realigned. Working class politics are in. Trump and his qaeda (base) will keep fighting for the votes of people who believe his snake oil charlatanism will work for them. Moderate Republicons are out. The race will get more progressive Democrats in. This race is just about transitioning the parties. D will become more progressive, and the hold-outs among the redcoat Republcons will be the fascist-nationalists who see themselves (rightly) as the only real alternative to that, as illegitimate as they are.

RK said...

538 is giving the Republicans a 60% chance they hold the House.

That's not what's on their website.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

Reach down and find your tiny balls, Jack Wayne. This is the era of Trump. You fools rejected civility long ago. As well as mouth moderation or comment quotas. If you want unlimited Trump love go look at his Twitter feed FFS.

Virgil Hilts said...

I keep worrying 538 stuff is Russian trolls.

Browndog said...

Bannon war room--real time-

This guy knows every candidate, every demographic, getting his info real time.

Impressed.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zMSZSBshHmQ

Saint Croix said...

Donde votar?! Donde votar?! Por favor!

Birkel said...

Kentucky 6 is a Republican hold.

MayBee said...

I like Decision Desk HQ. I just like everything about it, including Brandon's story and John Ekdahl's personality. Brandon had a dream and he's fulfilling it and I love it.

Birkel said...

Indiana Senate seat flips.

Over to you, PPPT.

320Busdriver said...

Braun beats Donnely...yuuuuuge

Saint Croix said...

That damn Nate Silver website is cracking me up. Real time predictions! Updated with reality!

RK said...

My only wish is that the GOP keeps the Senate so Attila the Hun can replace Sleepy Racist Ruth on the Supreme Court.

320Busdriver said...

Florida looks real good.. close, but good

Birkel said...

Will Florida deliver for Republicans?
So far, maybe.

MayBee said...

I cannot wait for all of my Facebook friends to stop telling everyone they voted. I mean. Good for you I guess.

holdfast said...

Big concern for GOP has to be the currently GOP House seats in California. They are gonna lose at least some of them - question is how many.

Birkel said...

Tennessee looks like a safe Republican seat.

Birkel said...

holdfast-
Projection is one loss in CA.

Freeman Hunt said...

"I cannot wait for all of my Facebook friends to stop telling everyone they voted."

Seconded!

Saint Croix said...

"Joe Donnelly of Indiana is done for. It might well be that the red state Democrat's fate was sealed by his vote against Brett Kavanaugh in the Senate."

Seeing Red said...

IF FLA delivers for Republicans it would be a miracle.

Birkel said...

Hey, MSNBC projects a Republican Senator pickup.
Sounds good for my projections.

Saint Croix said...

"Gillum and Nelson are both down by about 1 percent, with 90% of the vote in."

Seeing Red said...

I don’t want to hear any more MeToo crap.

NJ let the vile Menendez stay in office.

Birkel said...

Seeing Red,
I give you the F.B.I.
--Hans Gruber

320Busdriver said...

Changing to msdnc...expecting meltdowns to commence any minute. REC is enabled.

Ken B said...

Nate Silver looks like a putz and a charlatan. That's good because he is a putz and a charlatan.

Jersey Fled said...

538 now gives Dems only a 5% chance of winning the Senate.

House is now 60/40 for Dems.

320Busdriver said...

At least Wi gov is to close..yet..

320Busdriver said...

Blackburn gets Corkers Senate seat.....yuuuuge

Birkel said...

MSNBC is #sad

Is that fun or what?

Saint Croix said...

James Carville is not happy!

Rick said...

funsize said...
I'm not! There's U-20 world cup qualifiers on,


Kansas is playing Michigan St - both teams look good. Duke - Kentucky up next. One reason college basketball is better than college football is that the best teams will play each other.

Matthew Sablan said...

... Well. This is familiar looking.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

Trumpism is winning.

Democrats will either learn to be progressive or keep losing.

The corporatists and milquetoasts will be turned out. As will the Republicon "moderates."

It's realigning. The Republicons are getting the message on it at least as fast if not faster than the Democrats.

MayBee said...

Blackburn is my personal hero because she was the first female in Congress to have a cute (white) hairstyle rather than politician lady hair. That was a big breakthrough.

wildswan said...

RK said...
538 is giving the Republicans a 60% chance they hold the House.

That's not what's on their website.
//////
I think he was criticized for that projection and has now started doing it a different way.

here is where he retracts

Nate Silver

@NateSilver538
· 28m
Well, I'm trying to do 6 things at once -- we think our live election day forecast is definitely being too aggressive and are going to put it on a more conservative setting where it waits more for projections/calls instead of making inferences from partial vote counts.


Nate Silver

@NateSilver538
With that said, Democrats have to flip some seats at some point -- the Comstock-type districts won't quite be enough. They aren't losing many tossups yet, but they aren't winning them either.

320Busdriver said...

Joy is "staying positive"..does that mean they are hoping for a D win....lol

Dang, that Trump can Stump, he's the energizer bunny, on steroids

President-Mom-Jeans said...

You seem mad, Bitchmo. You mad, bro?

Leland said...

we think our live election day forecast is definitely being too aggressive and are going to put it on a more conservative setting where it waits more for projections/calls

I read this as "we need to encourage the Pacific Time Zone to get out to the polls and save us"!

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

I live in reality. I leave the emotionality to Don Drumpf and his bitch PMS. Or PMJ. Or whatever it calls itself.

Birkel said...

According to Fox, Texas has 170 million voters.
WT ever loving F?

Get it together jackasses!

320Busdriver said...

Is this the Wave?

Surfers disappointed everywhere.



President Pee-Pee Tape said...

PMS.. (PMJ?) is very bad at reading emotions.

It's too busy experiencing its own emotions.

And it's looking for a Drumpf to suck up to.

Lookout!

Insert image of a foaming-mouth drooling beastly little Tasmanian devil thing scurrying about. And getting face cancer.

Birkel said...

At least three Senate pickups for Republicans.
More?

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

According to Fox, Texas has 170 million voters.
WT ever loving F?

Get it together jackasses!


Being a state propaganda tv channel doesn't leave much to the numerically inclined.

Kristian Holvoet said...

Menendez juror is at his election party.

Ken B said...

Texas is surprising at the moment. Early returns from blue areas? Polls had the Hispanic candidate well ahead.

Saint Croix said...

Donde votar! Donde votar!

BJM said...

Pity the thread has been hijacked making a conversation difficult...but that's the price one pays for free speech. I'm bailing until we have a definitive result.

Browndog said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Birkel said...

No worries, Ken B

Gunner said...

The Pee Pee Man went from sore winner to sore loser in less then half an hour! Momma should have warned him to not put his trust in "blue waves".

Ken B said...

Does Drudge look a bit douchey here? He has the headline NBC PROJECTS ... but the link is not to a call, just yet another 65% chance thing.

robother said...

I'm waiting to turn on the MSNBC coverage until more races have to be called. Shadenfruede deferred.....In the meantime, I'll have to content myself with Presidential Micturation VCR's end-zone celebratus interruptus.

Browndog said...

Is this the Wave?

Surfers disappointed everywhere.


Like reportedly killer swells in La Jolla.

President-Mom-Jeans said...

Yeah, you mad Bitchmo.

Birkel said...

So Republicans gain in the Senate.
I guess that means fuck Trump.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

Hey, Jew-killing "Gunner -" sounds like you're mistaking me for Browndog and Jack Wayne, the circle jerkers of sore loserdom who took their marbles home and left before the night even got started.

There are adult literacy courses available if you have trouble reading. I'm sure they can hook you up!

Ken B said...

Having lived in MI I’d love to see stabenow lose. But I don’t believe it. It’s close now, but I don’t believe it.

eddie willers said...

Does Drudge look a bit douchey here? He has the headline NBC PROJECTS ... but the link is not to a call, just yet another 65% chance thing.

I think he is just posting 538's weird moving odds.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

You don't bother me, PMS Jeans.

You're just another hyperactive pimple on the ass of progress.

There are boot-licking losers like you everywhere. Take heart in that!

Big Mike said...

@Birkel, not so good here in Virginia. We expected Comstock to lose her seat -- the east end of the 10th district is all gated mansions and McMansions and private schools, and the limousine liberals living there were hit hard in the wallet by her vote for the Republican tax reform. She carried the west end of her district, where I live, by a huge margin but it wasn't anything like enough to overcome the east end. But Dave Brat in Virginia 7 is 500 votes behind with just 13 precincts left to report and Scott Taylor in Virginia 2 is 3100 votes behind with just 20 precincts left to report. So that may be 3 seats flipped here in Virginia.

Corey Stewart never had a chance against Smarmy Tim Kaine. His main claim to fame is that he worked on Trump's 2016 campaign, and Trump fired him.

The Cracker Emcee Rampant said...

"Well, I'm trying to do 6 things at once -- we think our live election day forecast is definitely being too aggressive and are going to put it on a more conservative setting where it waits more for projections/calls instead of making inferences from partial vote counts."

What does that even mean? I'm going to wait for someone else to call it before I call it? Help a Cracker out, stat dudes (or chicks). Alternatively, how do I get this guy's job?

RK said...

WI is leaning toward Scott Walker...

Ken B said...

Birkel
Have not gained yet. Cruz is still losing to the Irishman married to the billionaire heiress.

Ken B said...

Eddie Willers
No, I mean Drudge,s label for a link to NBC misrepresents that link.

Saint Croix said...

98% votes are counted in Florida

49.9% DeSantis
48.8% Gillum

50.3% Scott
49.7% Nelson

Bay Area Guy said...

Foxnews says that Dems win the House. Seems to early.

Big Mike said...

I take that back. Scott Taylor is back in the lead by 1000 votes with 16 precincts yet to report. However Dave Brat is still behind, by less than 300 votes, with 112 precincts left to report. Virginia went into the election with one district rated "Leans Democrat," and the Republican incumbent did lose. We also had three rated "Toss Up," all with Republican incumbents, and the GOP has won one, leading in one, and slightly behind in one. If the Republicans pull out all three then kiss the Blue Wave good bye. Even holding two out of the four is good.

Big Mike said...

Make that twelve precincts still to report in VA 7.

Ken B said...

Saint Croix
So, 5% to come then.

Lewis Wetzel said...

You're just another hyperactive pimple on the ass of progress.
Soviet style progress!

robother said...

Also, Ann, "Blue wave" is not the preferred nomenclature: its "Azul Wavo". As in "Donde Votar"

SweatBee said...

Not watching t.v. Too much noise pollution. Keeping up online where I can check what I'm interested in and ignore everything else.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

Soviet style progress!

Interesting you think that's the way Trump's America is going.

Francisco D said...

Take your meds tonight Ritmo.

You need to be fresh for the McDonalds morning shift.

Oso Negro said...

@Bay Area Guy - Maybe Americans really do yearn for open borders, higher taxes, and a lot more homosexuality. We will see.

Bay Area Guy said...

@OsoNegro,

I hope not - but there's a lotta Leftwing voters in CA and elsewhere who certainly do.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

Keep up the hate, condescension, contempt and phoniness, Fran. An 80-year old has-been is your model (and apparent joke-writer) but perhaps one day, you too can hope to be a real boy! With a will and a mind of your own!

Just not today. Or probably in ten years.

Yancey Ward said...

I don't know if Scott will be able to hold Nelson off in Florida. Most of what is left to report in Florida is in Miami-Dade and Broward. There are a few counties where Scott is doing well with votes to count, but my back of the envelope calculation shows it very possible to make up the 85,000 deficit in just those two counties alone. Most of the panhandle shows 100% in, so Scott doesn't have a reservoir of votes there. It will come down to the wire, I think.

DeSantis in a better position, though- a bigger lead by about 20,000 than does Scott.

funsize said...

wave = ola

blue wave= ola azul

Yancey Ward said...

On the Texas race- those vote totals look like early vote numbers, and it is likely that a big pile of them were already reported, but without the precincts being finished- look at the percent reporting-7.3% with over 5 million votes counted makes no sense. It wouldn't surprise me if the big cities turned in the early vote more than did the rural areas.

Birkel said...

Scott called winner in Florida.
Indiana flips.
North Dakota flips.

Sorry, Democrats and worrisome conservatives.

Now what?

HT said...

2 and 3 contradict each other.

It's too early. Watch Giant in the meantime. It's on.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

I think the various ways these are breaking just illustrate how balkanized the country is. Different districts, different issues. Trump went after Republicons he no longer felt were helpful to his one-man show, and those dudes are out. Democrats in some districts are winning on female identity politics, in others probably on progressivism and a rejection of corporatism. The country is not united, it's become more tribal. Why shouldn't it, after 2 years of Trumpism? Things are re-aligning within both parties and pretty much going exactly as you'd predict. Trump may be a charlatan, but his nationalism is and always was the evil twin toxic sibling of progressivism. These forces are are moving together. RINOs and corporate Democrats are both being flushed out.

Saint Croix said...

So, 5% to come then.

don't drive over my bridge!

JML said...

I worked with an Officer when I was at Air Mobility Command as a Test Manager. This was about 6 years ago. When he retired, I asked him what his plans were. He said he was going to move back home and run for Congress. In 2016 he lost to the incumbent by 10 points or so. I think this year the SOB just might pull it off. I hope so - he is uber conservative. Or should I say, mucho?

Big Mike said...

@SweatBee, that's what I'm doing too.

Oso Negro said...

@Bay Area Guy - but even if Berkeley has 700% turnout, they still have 1 seat. We are required to believe as Nate Silver does that 24 districts who went Republican in 2016 are now SO unhappy that they will switch.

RK said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Yancey Ward said...

Ok, a big chunk from Broward has landed, but only reduced Scott's lead by 13,000- still up by 71,000 votes. It might be close to callable in both the Senate and governor's race. These would be big for the Reps- both races.

Bay Area Guy said...

If I were in Texas, I'd vote for the Hispanic fellow: Roberto Rourke.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

We are required to believe as Nate Silver does that 24 districts who went Republican in 2016 are now SO unhappy that they will switch.

Many were no doubt Democrat seats. They'll go with Trump's manufacturing rhetoric, but not to have their health care taken away - let alone for the sake of some non-Trump Republiclone douchebag with no mind of his own. These people vote economics not ideology. Duh.

Bay Area Guy said...

Fuckin' Menendez won in NJ - what a sleazeball. Where's the #metoo folks when you really need them?

Birkel said...

I set the over/under at 55.5 at the end....

So it looks like 55 are a solid bet.
Wonder if I get to 56.
Come on Montana!

Birkel said...

PPPT believes economics and jobs do not track .
PPPT is stupid.

President Pee-Pee Tape said...

Fuckin' Menendez won in NJ - what a sleazeball. Where's the #metoo folks when you really need them?

Standing up to the bigger sleaze ball known as "Trump," which his party NEVER WILL. Duh. Identity politics for women does not favor the party of Trump. Or his VP who's afraid to be alone with a woman and calls his wife "mother." How hard is that to understand?

320Busdriver said...

Heitkamp...........gone in ND....biggly

gspencer said...

I continue my maverick voter status here in Massachusetts, and remain dumbfounded to believe that this state, like NY, CT, DE, MD, were part of the Original 13.

Yancey Ward said...

Florida can be called- Scott will win and so will DeSantis.

mockturtle said...

Haven't seen any results yet from AZ.

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