1. How are you watching? The news channels have been nattering for hours about how to watch. They’re laying down the first phase of a narrative that we’ll look back on. In 2016, I didn’t fully appreciate the narrative at the time, and I don’t want to miss it this time. But I always assume things will be boring!
2. Seems fair to say it’s not a “blue wave.” 7:51 CT.
3. Fox News says the Democrats will take the House.
4. CNN says Cruz wins and GOP keeps the Senate.
November 6, 2018
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PPPT believes economics and jobs do not track .
PPPT is stupid.
Travis Bickle Birkel believes slave wages and corporatism do not track.
Travis Bickle Birkel is stupid.
That "tax cut" was written of, by and for the hedge fund owners. Republicons have never decreased a deficit or debt and are fiscally irresponsible. They are owned by their lobbyists.
Shorter PPPT:
Wahhhhh!
It looks like the D's will get the House. I look forward to seeing their efforts in identity politics, repealing tax cuts, and impeaching Trump. See you again in 2020.
OK, I just now saw the first AZ results. So far McSally by a hair.
I did not even know Donna Shalala was running.
I think House results will portend more long-term trends.
The ideology of the House from Gingrich's 1990s nonsense has framed everything in politics up until now, but that could not last.
More women will be voted in than ever before.
The white male suicide state will still continue, and their fatalistic style of leadership will continue to be more nationalistic, but not deterministic.
The demographic trends that lead the House changes will dominate the long-term trends that begin tonight.
I hope James wins in Mich. There's a West Point superstar for you.
IF the Dems take the House I would genuinely like to see Trump work with both houses of Congress to construct a new health care system. IMO, it should be delegated to the states but our system does need improving. Only the poor and the rich can get coverage now.
I think I said a good bit more than that, Travis Bickle Birkel. But I understand if it was too much for your tiny brain to comprehend.
Keep crying.
Mock,
My rule of thumb is that you can't determine anything until 50% of the precincts report totals. Then you can go county by county at RCP and see who has what left and what their margins are to that point. Then you can do some rough calculations. Right now, AZ is just started to count votes. Look again around 11 p.m. EST.
mockturtle said...
Haven't seen any results yet from AZ.
Fox News has McSally up by 6,000 with 38% reporting.
Florida
Indiana
North Dakota
Montana?
Missouri?
I can understand why PPPT is angry.
I think Fox News calling the House race when polls are still open is unfair..They should respect those who are still voting..There are only two seats been confirmed..This is not right...
It looks like the next Kavanaugh will be approved by an even greater margin. I blame whoever engineered that cloisterfuck for Dems's lost potential in the midterms. That and Hillary's continued shadow candidacy.
This is politics the way it should be. Finally. Fine-tuning the issues district-by-district. Trump's been a catalyst for rearranging lots of stuff, but not just the stuff that Trump wants as his agenda. It will be interesting to see how this realigns things. The country will continue becoming more progressive and moving away from 1990s Gingrich ideological global corporatism.
If the Dems take the house we will see who runs the party, sober individuals with America’s best interest at heart, or...
According to MSNBC the Republicans hold the Senate.
Somehow that must be good news for Democrats.
Rock Chalk Jayhawk!!!!
KU beats MSU and Isso!
Oh, are there elections on. Might watch.... after the Duke/KY game.
I can only hope RBG does soon.
We could have afforded a Romney loss. Oh well.
I can understand...
Bickle understands nothing. No one ever predicted there was a chance of flipping the Senate.
I could say what races I am interested in looking at but not for Bickle's sake, because he's still stuck in partisan shill-land and counting widgets for the RNC, which cannot have any solid majoritarian governing philosophy once Trump is gone - and not really even while he is still leading (if you call it that) it. Republicans will be split between fascist nationalists and machiavellian opportunists, but the people won't trust them. This election is mostly about how the DNC will continue to transform. It has not much to do with the RNC. Trump's already set about transforming the RNC about as much as he can take it. They have a power base that will continue statewide, but it is narrow.
Hey Bickle -
Reince Priebus called. He said you'd be perfect for his job.
Any updates on the Governor's Race? Can Scott Walker pull it off?
More Republicans in the Senate means Republicans have won something.
Right, PPPT?
CNN calls the Heitkamp loss. Mitch McConnell's federal judgeship train steams on....
Whichever job that is/was.
GOP keeps control of Senate (CBS)
How many judicial vacancies are there?
How many will there be in 24 months?
PPPT?
Michigan has been a near-total disaster for Trump Republicans.
Trump's favored candidate in the Michigan gubernatorial primary is losing.
The Trumpist Senatorial candidate John James is getting predictably slaughtered.
Even more interesting; Trump's 2016 Michigan campaign manager, Lena Epstein is losing in a district that has never not been Republican since our last redistricting, and which Trump won handily in 2016. And Epstein lost to a weak Democratic newcomer, too. That one portends a fucking Republican disaster in the House. Before tonight, I would not have predicted that loss.
Florida 99% in
50.3% Scott
49.6% Nelson
49.8% DeSantis
48.8% Gillum
"If the Dems take the house we will see who runs the party, sober individuals with America’s best interest at heart, or..."
OK, that made me laugh out loud. With Democrats pandering to their hysterical base ( and accomplishing nothing legislatively) from the House, Trump's re-election is a certainty. Good stuff. In the meantime, Trump has a pen and a phone and will be pumping out conservative judges like there's no tomorrow.
The Trumpist Senatorial candidate John James is getting predictably slaughtered.
John James doesn't strike me as Trumpist.
@Saint Croix, but most of the precincts that have not yet reported are in blue areas.
Larry Schweikart says House call for Dems is unfounded. Not looking good though.
Bye-Ku for Beto*
Robert? Rafael!
Bye bye, beautiful boyfriend.
You couldn’t cross Cruz.
*apologies to James Taranto
I think Fox News calling the House race when polls are still open is unfair..They should respect those who are still voting..There are only two seats been confirmed..This is not right...
I agree! Why do they have to project? They can show the results as they are reported and we can choose to draw our own conclusions. We can even--gasp!--wait until all the votes are counted before declaring a winner! Damn, I hate the media!!!
NPChuck, fopdoodle extraordinaire,
That's ok.
I have it on good advice that Trump cannot win Michigan in 2016.
Bye bye Walker. Hello Democratic House.
The Trumpist Senatorial candidate John James is getting predictably slaughtered. Chuck announces gleefully.
Chuck, you can’t even tell the truth about Michigan. BTW, I live here too.
The district Epstein is running in wasn’t won “handily” by Trump in 2016. It was 4 points. And as for Stabenow - come on. No one should be surprised by that.
And Epstein lost to a weak Democratic newcomer, too. That one portends a fucking Republican disaster in the House. Before tonight, I would not have predicted that loss.
Haley Stevens waaaaay out advertised Lena Epstein in the general. And Stevens attached herself to the auto bailout-- which is a pretty big success story in the area.
John James is a total stud. Minor setback. He’s goin’ places - you can book it.
Florida is apologizing for voting for Obama both times.
I think Nelson’s own ad did in Nelson in Florida. He looked like he had just escaped from the graveyard and had no idea what was in his own ads. Who told him that he looked good in that pic?
@Chuck - You sound pleased.
Did Walker lose What is it with people in Wisconsin and Michigan? The states turned around by Republican governors, then the voters want Democrats back in??? I'm just hoping Whitmer isn't the return of Granholm.
My painter today was a “life long Republican” who said we should vote straight Democrat and knew every detail of Gillum’s talking points and thought that we needed to elect a socialist to keep Florida like it always has been.
PPPT, who never misses a chance to play the fool, claimed:
"No one ever predicted there was a chance of flipping the Senate."
************************************
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/democrats-chances-of-winning-the-senate-are-looking-stronger/
If John James would have gotten half the attention Beto O'Rourke did, it would be a different story. For some reason, a West Point Grad Black man becoming a senator in Michigan wasn't all that interesting to the political press.
re: The Dems losing the Senate: "If I am chairman, next year, I’m going to remember this. There’s the process before Kavanaugh and the process after Kavanaugh. If you want to vet the nominee, you can. If you want to delay things until after the election, you cannot. If you try to destroy somebody, you will not get away with it.” Lindsey Graham
How about a Niki Haley/John James ticket?
A Dem house was expected. It’s the midterms.
The wave tho......
John James is a total stud. Minor setback. He’s goin’ places - you can book it.
Yes. He was actually leading, initially.
Bye bye Walker. Hello Democratic House.
Shhh. Don't tell Travis Bickle Birkel. He thinks that states either don't vote or are run by Trump directly and that the only thing that matters is one-party conservative judicial activism rule.
OH wait, I said that wrong. I shouldn't have said "he thinks."
He cheerleads.
Chuck is hyperventilating. James is not getting slaughtered, he's getting 47% to 51% for Stabenow. This race was never in doubt and he did okay.
The house seats are splitting 7-7. Again pretty predictable.
A black Republican is like a Jewish Nazi. It's a sign of a severe football injury to the brain..
Golly, I sorta wish the Repubs in Congress had tried harder back when they controlled both houses.
PPPT, who never misses a chance to play the fool
I don't think he's playing.
OK, that made me laugh out loud. With Democrats pandering to their hysterical base ( and accomplishing nothing legislatively) from the House, Trump's re-election is a certainty. Good stuff. In the meantime, Trump has a pen and a phone and will be pumping out conservative judges like there's no tomorrow.
Yeah, Long-term Trump being able to reshape the judiciary will probably have the most effect on the country. The Republicans picking up a few extra seats in the Senate makes it easier in that regard as well. Plus if the Dems only wind up with a 13, 11, or 9 seat majority in the house it will be easier to poach some off to get certain pieces of legislation through. The half-life of the time a newly elected representative has before they have to start campaigning again and raising money again is about 2 months.
John James ran on being a Vet--that's it.
His campaign was sabotaged by the RNC--Mitt's niece.
What's with Fox calling the House with CA polls still open? We have several highly contested red county races. The Dems have been after CA10 hammer and tongs...this is really irresponsible.
Oso Negro said...
@Chuck - You sound pleased.
I am depressed. Bad times for Michigan, with a Democrat as governor through 2020 and beyond.
We've had a great, amazing run with Rick Snyder. He took Detroit through its municipal bankruptcy with skill and expertise and fantastic talent. Balanced state finances, long term. His Lt. Governor, Brian Calley, would've continued that run, competently.
Trumpists got control of our primaries and we got stuck with loser candidates for the general election.
Whoever was worried about Whitmer being the return of Granholm; she will be the return of Granholm.
MayBee
He'd have to be Irish, marry an heiress, and pretend to be Mexican.
I'm surprised they haven't called Florida yet. Scott seems to have about a 150,000 vote lead with nearly all districts reporting. And it has been that way for quite a bit.
MayBee said..."Did Walker lose What is it with people in Wisconsin and Michigan?"
They've become a buncha beavers* and she-wolves instead of Badgers and Wolverines.
________________
*Not what you think I meant. It's a nod to Meade's unused campaign slogan.
We all get what we vote for.
Illinois is dead.
Trumpit - that was an evil thing to say, with full contempt in your heart for people who are better than you,
Browndog said...
John James ran on being a Vet--that's it.
His campaign was sabotaged by the RNC--Mitt's niece.
Sabotaged? How, exactly?
lol at all the major news outlets refusing to say the obvious: Scott defeats Nelson. Hawley over McCaskill.
Great night for the GOP in the Senate.
Since Jay Elink doesn't read, it's important to check out that link he cited and interpreted as a Democratic chance at senate takeover based on a one-time high of 45% likelihood. So not even as high as 50/50 odds at best.
He's doing Republicon math. You know, where tax cuts explode the deficit and debt as a way of being "fiscally responsible."
You could definitely Jay Elink to do your accounting and bookkeeping, if you were a prison inmate.
Non-felons wouldn't trust him with their finances though. That's for sure.
50.4% Scott
49.6% Nelson
still 99%
leading by 58,00 votes
58,000
Hey mock turtle.
How's your creationist science research coming along?
Didn't you say atmosphere and climate aren't linked?
Or that women like you are inferior to men? (Well, maybe in your case...)
Yes, I can see why you never challenge me directly. Better to just snipe from behind the corners, given how idiotically you've beclowned yourself on my behalf over the years.
NPChuck wishes with all his tiny heart that it was Senator-elect Kid Rock.
Fuck NPChuck.
The "referendum on Trump" narrative seems to have curled up it's toes rather quickly.
eat majority in the house it will be easier to poach some off to get certain pieces of legislation through.
Ummm, no. Pelosi gets to decide what is voted on, full stop. She isn’t going to allow a Bill the Republicans want to get within a sniff of a vote. But impeachment is probably out.
Hello Democratic House.
Hello endless and utterly fruitless Congressional impeachment investigations as House Dems attempt to mimic Newt Gringich.
The last precincts to report in Florida are the black districts which are 99% Dem. That’s why they haven’t called Florida yet.
New Jersey would rather elect a pedophile money grubber who uses tax payer money for perks than a normal. Disgusting.
McSally appears in good shape.
come on, John James!
Has Walker been declared the loser? Is RCP that far behind the totals- by my inspection, it is still an open race.
The Kavanaugh election: The Democratic Joe who voted for him won. The Democratic Joe who voted against him lost
"Ummm, no. Pelosi gets to decide what is voted on, full stop. She isn’t going to allow a Bill the Republicans want to get within a sniff of a vote. But impeachment is probably out."
So, two years that please no one? Sounds like a winner.
Ohio might stay as an R gov.
I’m really glad of the turnout in the country, it’s about time.
The Cracker Emcee Rampant said...
The "referendum on Trump" narrative seems to have curled up it's toes rather quickly.
It can't help the narrative that many in exit polls said Trump played no role in their voting decision.
Come on, Josh Hawley!
It’s probably a best case. We have a divided government but probably no impeachment, and two years of circuses to gab about.
Yes, Florida should have been called by this point- Scott's lead is enough to make it 99.9% certain at this point.
BJM said, "What's with Fox calling the House with CA polls still open?"
You can't stop the media reporting the news. One solution might be to have all the states agree to synchronize releasing results to coincide with west coast time (sorry, Hawaii and Alaska). It would be like an election-related Uniform Commercial Code. Then the media would have to report unreliable exit polling.
I'm sure it wouldn't work, given that a lot of eastern states (and non-panhandle Florida) are perfectly happy to think their outcomes will influence folks further west. But it wouldn't run afoul of the first amendment.
Personally I thought that the tax cut was over the top.
"Trumpit - that was an evil thing to say, with full contempt in your heart for people who are better than you,"
I want to be evil.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SS02GeKuWQ4
Personally I thought that the tax cut was over the top.
New Jersey would rather elect a pedophile money grubber who uses tax payer money for perks than a normal.
I know. I was never a fan of Chris Christie, either.
Saint Croix
In Canada we have bushels and pecks, but I believe in Florida you have chads. How many chads are 58,000?
Van Jones is heartbroken!
CNN just called DeSantis the winner in FL - Yay!
I Callahan said...
Chuck, you can’t even tell the truth about Michigan. BTW, I live here too.
The district Epstein is running in wasn’t won “handily” by Trump in 2016. It was 4 points. And as for Stabenow - come on. No one should be surprised by that.
I am not surprised by John James losing. You aren't either, it seems. And that is precisely why I wrote "predictably."
I just wanted to rub that particular loss into all of the Trump fans. Because I think that outside of Michigan, John James captured the imagination of lots of Trump fans. They love stuff like "helicopter pilot;" "black conservative;" "business-owning outsider." When in fact the guy has zero political record.
As for Haley Stevens attracting money; she did. And it was because Democrats smelled blood in that district, and they particularly hated the Trumpist Epstein. Respectfully, I think I saw more Epstein ads (and she comes from a millionaire family) than Stevens ads on television. But I defer to the numbers on that.
The Michigan 11th may be the perfect exemplar of what went wrong in the House. That district had Republican Dave Trott holding the seat. A smart, rich lawyer and a smooth campaigner who didn't need a Congressional job. And when things got shitty surrounding the Trump presidency, he quit. So it was an open seat. Lena Epstein was running for the Senate; she immediately quit that and declared for the House seat. She was full of herself, coming off Trump's unlikely Michigan win. She was the Trump-iest congressional candidate in the state. And now she's a loser.
Birkel said...
McSally appears in good shape.
Quite the accomplishment--running against an America hating commie know-nothing millennial airhead.
Christ. Republicans should just adopt the slogan "Hey, we're not communists...Yet. But when we are, we're willing to reach across the isle to the 'really bad commies'...bipartisanship and stuff...
In Canada we have bushels and pecks, but I believe in Florida you have chads. How many chads are 58,000?
All I know is I am never naming a son Chad.
Real Clear Politics is projecting no flips in Ohio Congressional seats. It's amazing to me that the Dems can take Congress without flipping any seats in Ohio.
Saddest loss to me of the night; Kris Kobach in Kansas.
He was a young star; I thought he'd be President someday. But he has gotten wrapped up in all of the Trump shit.
ppt defends the Garden State Roy Moore. Do we need any more evidence that he is just one more partisan troll?
Strumpit’s link was great, BTW.
Where are the California votes? Wouldn't it be funny if Feinstein gets beaten [both are Dems, of course].
re: The Dems losing even more of the Senate: "If I am chairman, next year, I’m going to remember this. There’s the process before Kavanaugh and the process after Kavanaugh. If you want to vet the nominee, you can. If you want to delay things until after the election, you cannot. If you try to destroy somebody, you will not get away with it.”
~Lindsey Graham
It's true that no one predicted the Dems would win the Senate. On the other hand, no one was predicting that they'd lose more of it. How come they didn't edge a bit closer to control like the House?
So, I'm seeing Dems take House, Republicans expand lead in Senate.
That's weird, but plausible given the Senate distribution up for re-election.
Mockturtle: “ Where are the California votes?”
In the hands of Californians. That's the problem right there.
"On the other hand, no one was predicting that they'd lose more of it. How come they didn't edge a bit closer to control like the House?"
-- Distribution of seats in play. The whole House was up for grabs, while only certain Senate seats. The Senate seats that were in play, in general, favored Republicans.
So NPChuck is sad?
Are we sure it's programming allows sad?
That's weird, but plausible given the Senate distribution up for re-election.
You could see that the Dems were going to have a tough night of it years ago. It was a near impossible map for them. The press kept up a brave face for the Democrats, but that’s their job.
Ohio stayed R. That’s one nutty state.
So, Silver nailed it. No Blue wave = Trump victory.
Lawrence Tribe on Twitter:
Democrats taking over the House is a huge deal. Now @RepJerryNadler will chair House Judiciary and @RepAdamSchiff will chair House Intelligence Cmttee. Real investigations with subpoena power will break open the most corrupt, abusive presidency in U.S. history. Watch this space.
.@RepAdamSchiff is one of the most brilliant of my former students. His mind is a steel trap that never misses a beat. And he is a tower of integrity and decency. Our nation is truly fortunate that he will head up the House Intelligence Committee at so crucial a time.
Sorry all I am at work. Looking at this though.
House Top 50 RCP.
Is this the actual top 50 or are there other close races in the west not on this list?
Looks grim for the good guys though.
I didn't think they could get people out to vote for the pedo in New Jersey. I was wrong.
I didn't vote in Florida but I'm glad Gillum lost. He was Drudge's darling.
If Schiff is one of his most brilliant students, I weep for the intelligentsia.
Van Jones is downright gleeful on CNN.
It’s funny how the Left has lost so much perspective- after losing the Presidency and the Supreme Court, they lose the Senate and the Governorships - but win the House, so it’s a BLUE Wave!
I wouldn’t call it a Trump victory, but it was sure a Feinstein tactics repudiation.
Huh, McCaskill out too? Didn't expect that; I'd trade her to get rid of Menedez though. But, hey, shows how serious Democrats take #MeToo when the child predator and wife beater still won their elections, huh?
@RepAdamSchiff is one of the most brilliant of my former students.
Gotta love the Tribal qualifiers -- he didn't want to upstage Obama, his most brilliant student ever.
Chuck:
Bloomberg put in a $2 million ad buy to help Stevens.
Independence USA PAC has reported spending $2.63 million to support Stevens so far this election cycle.
Stevens has outraised Epstein, bringing in $3.58 million to Epstein's $2.26 million in total receipts.
This week, Stevens reported $469,680 in cash reserves as of Oct. 17, while Epstein had $63,715 in the bank.
Lawrence Tribe revealed himself to be a partisan hack years ago. Was that supposed to be newsworthy? But the circus will be entertaining. What the Democrats think is the most important business of America is to avenge Hillary’s loss.
Hooray! Beto is Texas Toast!
Steve uhr asks us to Watch this space.
You mean the one between your ears?
Hawley is sure to win Missouri by my calculations- lead far too large for the remaining precincts to overcome.
Kavanaugh, whose name still isn’t recognized by spellcheck, BTW, the bitter bastards, and her “Crazy Democrats” lines were a left right punch that was too much for the corruptocrat in Mo.
Adam Schiff looks like a creepy clown.
Trumpit - no you don't. (want that) (trust me, my young friend - it is easy for me to know you do not want that, and I want it to be easy for you too - we are brothers!)
Tonight, I brought some gifts to some friends who work at a restaurant. I am not a very good person, just average, but - trust me - I stopped at a pastry store to buy some wonderful lemon tart treats for the people I knew at that restaurant. They would have been so happy ....
Because they had been nice to me, had poured our a free beer or two for me, because I spoke in a friendly way to them.
Trumpit, my young friend, I know the intensity you feel in your heart.
The friends who worked at the restaurant were - every single one of them - not working tonight. So, I, living in a world where expected good things often do not happen to me, figured I would go somewhere else, so I go to the wine shop next door.
DIsaster, Trumpit, Disaster! The poor employees at the wine store were being heckled by a Resist dude, on his own, and obviously drunk,
When I walked in I heard the conversation - You are being persecuted by our President and our Congress! and so on,the normal routine, but the poor fellow was obviously on some kind of drug.
So I go to the cashier, who is being harangued by the Resistance Hero in His Own Mind, and I start to pay. Resistance Hero tells the cashier that he and the cashier are hermanos and Maybe the Gringo (me) is a Hermano too - just maybe (he was condescending, the poor little guy).
So I decided to teach the fellow a lesson about what people who care about other people really think,,.
I pronounce Spanish perfectly, I have many friends whose native language is Spanish (and I voted for Trump, so I was personally offended) and I said
Somos Todos Hermanos
Resistance Guy said a few things and started to try to hug me
I said ---- No, you do not hug people, you ask them if they want to hug you
and I hugged him
and we spoke a few words of friendship, and he left the wine shop, and started harassing other people out on the neighboring sidewalk - telling them that we are all brothers, and so on, but in an unkind way, in an argumentative way ....
God bless you, Trumpit.
I had hoped that Resistance Guy would, after being hugged by me, by me who does not really like to hug people like him, would have gone out of the wine shop and been kind,
But no, not tonight, maybe tomorrow.
Trumpit, God hears your prayers, pray with me that some day soon people will be kind to each other as much as they can.
Dream that dream, my young friend.
Our guardian angels have known each other a long time, I know that, I want you to know that too.
Tim
Yes, the Kavanaugh effect is pretty clear.
B.A.G. reports: Van Jones is downright gleeful on CNN.
How is it possible that one network could contrive to have both Van Jones and Don Lemon on its staff? Incredible.
I see MO has been called according to RCP.
All that money for Beto -
Sorry Hillary -
YOU LOSE again.
It's true that no one predicted the Dems would win the Senate. On the other hand, no one was predicting that they'd lose more of it. How come they didn't edge a bit closer to control like the House?
1) The Democrat Senators had a boatload of seats facing election in the Senate and the Republicans did not.
2) Also there is a big difference between winning a local election and winning a state-wide election.
3) Not everybody is straight-ticket. I don't know what percentage of voters are mixed ballot, but it's probably a fair chunk. Moderate voters like to spread it around.
4) One possibility is many moderate voters are unhappy about Senate Democrats and how they treated Brett Kavanaugh. So if you're a moderate who feels that way, you vote R for Senate and D for House.
rightguy said...Hooray! Beto is Texas Toast!
Someone should tally up how much money out-of-state Dems wasted on that stupid effort. In the end, Beto was even more oleaginous than Cruz was. Maybe Beto can go back to honing his John Heinz chops.
Greyhound racing is made constitutionally illegal in Florida.
"Lawrence Tribe on Twitter:
Democrats taking over the House is a huge deal. Now @RepJerryNadler will chair House Judiciary and @RepAdamSchiff will chair House Intelligence Cmttee. Real investigations with subpoena power will break open the most corrupt, abusive presidency in U.S. history. Watch this space."
Trump is counting on it! Good Lord, the Democrats just aren't going to be able to help themselves. He's going to play them like a flute.
Adam Schif(D-creepy clown) is the Russian BS go-to for MSDNC and Clinton News Net.
I just wanted to rub that particular loss into all of the Trump fans. Because I think that outside of Michigan, John James captured the imagination of lots of Trump fans. They love stuff like "helicopter pilot;" "black conservative;" "business-owning outsider." When in fact the guy has zero political record.
I don't understand what your complaint or your "trumpy" description has to do with James.
He might not have a political record, but he won the primary. He's not brash. Why do you hate him like you hate Trump? He seems like a guy a Republican should like.
Remember-- the democrats lie with ease - and the Avanetti-CNN network is happy to oblige.
The money on Beto was like people playing the lottery; the odds are long, but the entertainment is the days holding the ticket thinking "what if I win?"
McKaskill must be so pissed off that Manchin managed to get the Schumer pass to vote for Kavanaugh.
@Saint Croix: I'll go for 4). I'm glad that Graham will have even more power in the next SCOTUS cycle.
Stephen Cooper says: Trumpit, God hears your prayers, pray with me that some day soon people will be kind to each other as much as they can.
Someday the lion will lie down with the lamb, yes. But not today.
Dickin'Bimbos@Home said...
Adam Schif(D-creepy clown)
hahahahaha! Thank you for that!
"I just wanted to rub that particular loss into all of the Trump fans. Because I think that outside of Michigan, John James captured the imagination of lots of Trump fans. They love stuff like "helicopter pilot;" "black conservative;" "business-owning outsider." When in fact the guy has zero political record."
-- With the election of Trump and Obama to the presidency, thick political records no longer really are a selling point to people.
By my count, the Republicans would have to hold all the tossups in CA and pick up both remaining pickup chances in MN to have a chance to hold the House, and I just don't see that happening- they are behind in enough of the uncalled House seats to be down to a tie right now, and likely worse. Right now, I don't think the Dem margin is going to be more than 4 seats.
What the hell is wrong with Michigan and that horrible old hag stabenow.
Geeez - shameful.
yay! Josh Hawley for a GOP pick-up in the senate. woot. Bye McClusterf*.
space.
.@RepAdamSchiff is one of the most brilliant of my former students. His mind is a steel trap that never misses a beat. And he is a tower of integrity and decency. Our nation is truly fortunate that he will head up the House Intelligence Committee at so crucial a time.
11/6/18, 10:09 PM
WE CANT FIND A DAMN THING SO WE’re going to spend 10s of millions of taxpayer $ to insure we win 2020.
MayBee - thank you but really I cannot take credit. Someone else said it first.
In any case, let us make it official. The man is a freak.
MayBee said...
Chuck:
Bloomberg put in a $2 million ad buy to help Stevens.
Independence USA PAC has reported spending $2.63 million to support Stevens so far this election cycle.
Stevens has outraised Epstein, bringing in $3.58 million to Epstein's $2.26 million in total receipts.
This week, Stevens reported $469,680 in cash reserves as of Oct. 17, while Epstein had $63,715 in the bank.
That's all fine; it is still a district that a Republican should win. We drew it that way. And on Detroit television, there was hardly any space left for any more ads in any event.
I follow Michigan politics pretty closely, and I never heard of Haley Stevens before this year.
"Right now, I don't think the Dem margin is going to be more than 4 seats."
-- Still will be called a Blue Wave, I'm sure. Holding the House was always a long shot, and having Democrats interested more in positioning for 2020 than governing is going to be painful, but if Republicans and the Trump administration didn't plan for this, that's really on them.
The bottom line: not a blue wave, not a red wave, but a split decision.
And life goes on.
Filll up those judicial vacancies!
Congratulations where congratulations are due.
Congrats on the MI Senate race outcome to LLR Chuck and his lefty allies. They held on for the win.
Haley Stevens is a former Obama official, which I learned from a quick Google of her name. Anyone thinking she wasn't going to be a force with deep pockets to help her was delusional. And I know that without following Michigan politics.
Saddest loss to me of the night; Kris Kobach in Kansas.
Chuck, MSNBC was going on and on about how racist he is. I have no idea if that's true. That's what they're saying. You love the guy. Okay.
But then, when it's John James in Michigan, you mock him?
I just wanted to rub that particular loss into all of the Trump fans. Because I think that outside of Michigan, John James captured the imagination of lots of Trump fans. They love stuff like "helicopter pilot;" "black conservative;" "business-owning outsider." When in fact the guy has zero political record.
It's just kind of weird that you love the white Republican liberals are calling a racist. And you hate the black Republican that all the Republicans love. Why is that? Care to explain?
Local TV in Florida says that there are more uncounted votes than the networks are saying.
NPChuck: "...we..."
Me: What a shit stain!
It looks like Mike Bishop (R) may hold his seat, which surprises me because there were way more Elissa Slotkin ads.
"Local TV in Florida says that there are more uncounted votes than the networks are saying."
-- Seeing as mystery uncounted votes no one has heard about has literally never been beneficial to Republicans, this should probably worry folks hoping for Republican gains/holds.
"McKaskill must be so pissed off that Manchin managed to get the Schumer pass to vote for Kavanaugh."
Hopefully, someone writes a nice not-too-partisan insiders account of that whole hoo-ha someday. I'd love to read about the thinking and political calculation that went into the Democrat's machinations.
Yeah I don't know anything about Kobach but the conservatives (who don't like Trump) who I like to check in on on Twitter all hated Kobach.
MayBee said...
I just wanted to rub that particular loss into all of the Trump fans. Because I think that outside of Michigan, John James captured the imagination of lots of Trump fans. They love stuff like "helicopter pilot;" "black conservative;" "business-owning outsider." When in fact the guy has zero political record.
I don't understand what your complaint or your "trumpy" description has to do with James.
He might not have a political record, but he won the primary. He's not brash. Why do you hate him like you hate Trump? He seems like a guy a Republican should like.
I liked him enough to vote for him.
And I do loathe Stabenow.
I don't think either of them possesses much political substance.
I am quite surprised by the apparent split vote tonight- it was the outcome I didn't think likely- I really thought both houses would go one way or the other. The ease with which IN and MO were won is surprising given the polls, but then that just shows the polls are largely shit. I really hope Tester gets handed his walking papers. Still, though, the Dems could win in NV and AZ and hold MT. That would have been a good outcome for them before tonight in the Senate, and would take some air out of Republicans were it to happen. However, I think either McSally or Heller holds on, but we will see.
AZ is such a weird state. They may vote in the woman who has spent years laughing about how terrible her state is.
Democrats are going to go two year Kavanaugh approach against Trump. It will be fun. All I can say is that the Democrats better find some fire behind all of the smoke bombs they have been setting off.
“The business of America is avenging Hillary’s loss!” - Democrats
Though, to be fair, less odd than NJ.
La Paz county still hasn't been counted. Not sure how many people or what their voting history is.
Dems have lost MT.
LLR Chuck viewed John James precisely as he viewed Ben Carson and we all recall LLR Chucks vicious racist attack against Carson.
It should surprise no one that NPChuck has gone out of his way to defend Dick Durbin, who called US troops "gestapo", as well as Stolen Valor hack Duck "Da Nang" Blumenthal. All the while attacking conservative veteran's Tom Cotten and Adm Jackson.
The pattern is quite clear and irrefutable.
The House didn't get a lot done and they're lucky things aren't worse. The Senate was saved by the Kavanaugh hearings and the judges. But I just don't know why Walker is in trouble. Maybe after two terms of fiscal brilliance you should pivot to social issues since the electorate is going to anyhow. "now we can afford blah, blah." Or more to the point, we are going to raise graduation rates in MPS.
Dick Durbin Cuckholster Chuck: "I liked him enough to vote for him.
And I do loathe Stabenow."
There is zero actual evidence for either of these 2 claims.
NPChuck is upset as he didn't vet John James for his "department of black people."
It's not clear if James has a child that NPChuck could smear with mental illness lies, or a wife or sister that he could threaten to throttle like Greta.
LOL! That would be a surprise to the Florida board of elections. The Florida race is over.
There is a graphic with the $ flows to Beto from outside states. All blue except for Fla.
Flake is on the tube upset that the Democrats didn’t do better in the Senate.
Trump, meanwhile will continue appointing judges and tearing down regulations, and cleaning out Democrat operatives in the FBI and elsewhere.
Sorry, it’s at PJM live but you might want to wait to find it.
MayBee said...
It looks like Mike Bishop (R) may hold his seat, which surprises me because there were way more Elissa Slotkin ads.
My measure for "Republican trouble" was the MI-11th. My measure for "Republican cataclysm was the MI-8th.
Mike Bishop's district was, I think, as tough for him as the 11th was for Epstein. Five Thirty-Eight gave Mike only a 1 in 3 chance to win it. If he does win, it is a mark of how much better a candidate he is, with important name recognition coming out of years in the State House and Senate.
Pelosi gains the right to get his tax returns now, which will be selectively leaked, of course.
Tim, In Florida you never know how many uncounted votes there are until you know how many are needed.
WTF is with AZ? “I despise you losers, you are lower than American combat veterans “ is a winning approach?
Drago said...
LLR Chuck viewed John James precisely as he viewed Ben Carson and we all recall LLR Chucks vicious racist attack against Carson.
Drago, we Republicans are used to losers like you hurling baseless charges of "racist" against us. It has happened to almost every Republican.
The Democrats have made it pretty clear that ignoring Congressional subpoenas is a low stakes gamble, BTW.
Walker might pull it out anyway.
It should be noted that in AZ the lunatic dem Sinema essentially ran on a LLR Chuck platform regarding republicans and conservative military candidates.
Here Come The Crazies! Nancy Pelosi As Speaker, Maxine Waters, Adam Schiff, Elijah Cummings In Leadership Roles
Some here want to be controlled by Cali, you have your wish. $100 billion train to nowhere and
Marxist Maxine holds the checkbook
Yeah, the House Democrats are going to be told to pound sand on most subpoenas that are directly related to government functions- Obama told the Republicans to pound sand on almost all of them. Trump will do the same now.
tim in vermont said...
Pelosi gains the right to get his tax returns now, which will be selectively leaked, of course.
Why "selectively leak" them? Why not just vote straight up to make them public?
Get this: Kobach won the Republican primary against the sitting governor, Jeff Colyer. It was a very close primary election. He won by 191 votes. As the Secretary of State, Kobach was in charge of overseeing any recounting of the votes.
Obviously, he should have recused himself. He announced he would not.
Anyway, if he's wondering now why so many Republicans in Kansas decided to stay home and not vote for him, wow.
This is a guy whose claim to fame is election integrity and doing away with voter fraud! "I'm going to be the final say on whether I won the election. No need to recuse myself because I trust myself."
They’re going to have to hide Pelosi, she’s slipping.
Why "selectively leak" them? Why not just vote straight up to make them public?
We are just going to have to see how she handles it, Chuck, I am betting on selective leaks.
Nelson is making recount noises in Florida.
This idea that the House can subpoena tax records is quite amusing to me.
Nelson is toast.
They are still counting and while there are still a bunch of Democrat winners, there are a lot of leading Republicans in the House.
What it breaks down to is going to be very interesting.
Meanwhile, Pelosi is acting like she won like Reagan over Mondull (sic). Having 3 or 4 seats is not a very strong vote of confidence.
If Nelson were down just 5000 votes at this point, it would be over.
"Why "selectively leak" them? Why not just vote straight up to make them public?"
-- The same reason lots of things that end up not being that bad for Republicans, or even good for them, get selectively leaked. To get ahead, control the narrative, then ignore the exonerating parts as "old news."
Vox calls Florida for Scott.
https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/11/6/18056100/election-results-midterm-results-florida-rick-scott-winner
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