October 31, 2026

"The Senate race in Michigan... will test moderate and independent voters’ appetite for a combative brand of unalloyed progressivism."

"The party’s activist class believes Dr. El-Sayed’s success next week would establish a proof point that left-wing populism is a winning message, even in swing states. He has embraced an economic agenda that sharply attacks the billionaire class and taken a clear stance against Israel. Centrist Democrats fear that a potential El-Sayed triumph in an otherwise favorable climate for Democrats could be badly misinterpreted as a mandate."


I suspect the Times wants El-Sayed to lose. 

There's this quote from Matt Bennett, an executive vice president of the centrist Third Way think tank: "The danger is that the triumphal stuff coming from the left will take hold as a narrative that 2028ers believe. I think he will win despite — not because of — the fact that he has campaigned mostly to the left."

Which "narrative" is more true — because of or despite? Good luck with the "despite" side of that narrative flogging.

From the comments over there: "Why on Earth does this article bill this contest as a test of the left's potency when the real story is that the candidate is under assault from the right on the basis of islamophobia and xenophobia and from the candidate's primary opponent on the basis of sour grapes and the ongoing Democratic establishment's delusion that only centrism can win? This race is a bellwether for those things, not for the viability of progressivism."

10 comments:

Peachy+2 said...

The politics and religion of Envy.

Peachy+2 said...

El Sayed's grand master is Hasan Piker. (D)
Hasan Piker hates blacks, hates the USA, lives in a 3 million dollar mansion, and electrocutes his own dog.
El Sayed and his family support the Muslim Brotherhood.

Obama supports El Sayed.

Dave Begley said...

This Rhodes Scholar is a smooth talker just like Obama and Clinton, but there is really no doubt that he is a Socialist (Medicare for all) and a Jew hater.

If this guy wins, we are in BIG trouble.

The conversational wisdom is that Blacks won’t vote for him, but one always have to worry about vote cheating.

Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...

I've read that if Democrats lose Michigan, they won't be particularly heartbroken. They view Abdul El-Sayed as a firebrand who would be a disruptive presence in the Senate.

That said, it will be interesting to see just how big the so-called Blue Wave turns out to be and whether it’s strong enough to carry El-Sayed across the finish line.

Dave Begley said...

On Kalshi, Mike Rogers has only a 24% chance of winning. $14m bet on the race.

john mosby said...

"Unalloyed Progressivism?" el-Sayed is definitely alloyed. Or perhaps Progressivism is itself an alloy at this point: of OG leftism with every possible grievance group, including the ones that hate each other. But the alloy can't stay together. Even on simple parochial Michigan things like Arabs vs Blacks.

It's less of an alloy and more like a half-assed soldering job. CC, JSM

john mosby said...

Even "Michigan Arabs" are not monolithic. There are Chaldean Christians, who refuse to call themselves Arabs. And every flavor of Lebanese: even though they don't blow each other up like in the old country, they still don't necessarily mix. And a lot of Yemenis, whom the more northern Arabs look down on. el-Sayed refused to denounce terrorist groups not so much because he was afraid of pissing off lefties, but because for every terrorist group, some of the Michigan Arabs love it and some hate it. Heck some of them even may have fought for/against it in the old country. He can't afford to fragment the delicately balanced community. CC, JSM

Aggie said...

I would like to see some investigative journalism that pries open the betting markets like Kalshi. I would like to know the demographics of participants.

I wonder how effective it would be for a leftist billionaire to selectively, in small increments, invest in the betting markets by putting money down under various identities, to stack the odds. Money lost, yes, but maybe money well invested at swinging perceptions of what the odds are, of a candidate winning or losing?

The whole basis of betting markets is that people are wagering to see a win or loss in good faith. What if the bets were not made in good faith?

Temujin said...

I am not Islamophobic. I just don't like being beheaded.

wildswan said...

Sharia uber alles.

Post a Comment

Please use the comments forum to respond to the post. Don't fight with each other. Be substantive... or interesting... or funny. Comments should go up immediately... unless you're commenting on a post older than 4 days. Then you have to wait for us to moderate you through. It's also possible to get shunted into spam by the machine. We try to keep an eye on that and release the miscaught good stuff. We do delete some comments, but not for viewpoint... for bad faith. Also: No italics, even briefly. Use asterisks for emphasis. And don't play with the format by changing fonts or using boldface or all caps. Never include more than one extra line break between paragraphs.