August 17, 2020

The top-center of WaPo's home page: A map of Wisconsin, divided into 7 "states."



I see that the southeast gets to be all or part of 6 of the 7 states.

Here's the article: "The seven political states of Wisconsin" by David Weigel, who seems to have gotten much of his info from Ben Wikler (I knew Ben when he was a teenager):
“The history of polling relative to election results in Wisconsin suggests that this election will be won or lost by a nose,” said Ben Wikler, who took over the state’s Democratic Party in 2019. “Democrats should run as though we’re three points behind and might be able to win at the very final moment if we do absolutely everything in our power.”
He's not taking Wisconsin for granted!
So how is Wisconsin still so close? To understand it, we broke it down into seven political “states.” Democrats win landslides in the two most populous counties, Milwaukee and Dane. Republicans in 2016 won nearly everywhere else — the suburban WOW Counties (Waukesha, Ozaukee, Washington), the rest of Southeast Wisconsin, the old swing counties of Northeast Wisconsin, and formerly Democratic areas in the Southwest and Northwest.

39 comments:

Gordon Scott said...

“Democrats should run as though we’re three points behind and might be able to win at the very final moment if we do absolutely everything in our power.”

A very sensible strategy. It may or may not work, but it's grounded in reality.

Chanie said...

Democrats win landslides in the two most populous counties . . . Republicans in 2016 won nearly everywhere else

Just like Illinois!

Darrell said...

The Democrat areas are the nutty ones. Stay clear!

rehajm said...

Which Wisconsin state makes the Sprecher root beer is what we really want to know...

iowan2 said...

To translate. Dems win in population that see govt as their source of income. A requirement of their existence, the giver of meager perks.

The rest of us just want the government to get out of our way.

Darrell said...

There are seven because a simple Red/Blue breakdown would make Drats look pathetic.

rehajm said...

I mean, remember those maps with the hand drawn cartoony places? Wisconsin could have a big ol' cow on the legend, places like 'cheese head field', 'good walleye fishing place', 'angry leftie spots', 'where your toilet is from'.

THAT would be helpful to the rest of us...

Dave Begley said...

When Althouse called out Biden for his disgraceful “fine people on both sides” lie, I knew Trump would win Wisconsin.

As Meadehouse goes, so goes Wisconsin. On Wisconsin!

rhhardin said...

In the 14th century, confessions were organized by the profession of the sinner. The handbook says ask "princes about justice, knights about plunder, merchants officials artisans and laborers about perjury, fraud, lying and theft..."

There's nothing for news media. The sin is probably too indirect, depending themselves on the sins of those who click for an instant high.

Nichevo said...

Ah, Ben Wikler. That nice boy who set your state on fire.

No, people, she will never, never learn. Like the Old Bolsheviks - if only Stalin knew!

MadTownGuy said...

Democrats should run as though we’re three points behind and might be able to win at the very final moment if we do absolutely everything in our power.

Failing that, there's always cheating.

Jersey Fled said...

I trust polls about as much as I trust tarot cards, but new CNN poll has Trump +1 in battleground states.

CNN

iowan2 said...

“Just like Illinois“

Just like Chicago. The land mass, Illinois, is conservative.

mikee said...

Now explain why the city mice are smarter than those country mice.

Jersey Fled said...

Correction: Trump -1

In a CNN poll of registered voters.

rehajm said...

Democrats should run as though we’re three points behind...

You probably are...and you probably know it.

wildswan said...

rehajm said...
Which Wisconsin state makes the Sprecher root beer is what we really want to know..

Sprecher beer comes from Milwaukee "state," but not from the city of Milwaukee but the town of Glendale inside Milwaukee county, near the river, not the lake. They hold a big root beer party; this year they gave away 50,000 free root beer floats in drive-thru event, the Root Beer Flotilla.

Darrell said...

I said "Democrats" above, it defies all odds that it would turn into "Drats." Better start believing. You have witnessed a miracle.

Leland said...

Wisconsin may be important, but not enough for Biden to go there for his nomination.

a simple Red/Blue breakdown would make Drats look pathetic

Yep.

Sebastian said...

"So how is Wisconsin still so close?"

Good question. You'd think even all nice liberal women like Althouse would have resolved en masse to oppose hoax-and-coup-promoting pro-riot Dems by now. But no.

MadisonMan said...

Looks like a map of amount of racism to me.

wildswan said...

The largest minority in Dane County is the Asian-Americans, the second largest the Hispanic-Americans. I wonder how they vote, especially the Asian-Americans.

Original Mike said...

"So how is Wisconsin still so close?"

'Why am I not 50 points ahead?'

MartyH said...

I’m sure that the peaceful protests in Minneapolis boosted support for the Dems in the western half of the state.

ga6 said...

Well, he was able to color inside the lines. Must be a former private school student.

Darrell said...

A person would have to be stupid AND insane to vote Democrat after what they did over the last four years.

Fernandinande said...

I still get Wisconsin and Minnesota mixed up, so...

“Why the f*** is we so peaceful in this [homophobic slur removed] neighborhood. F*** your motherf***ing peace, white racist motherf***ers!”

“This whole god***n state burned down for $20 goddamn dollars, you think we give a f*** about burning [the town of] Hugo down?” -- A fine fellow endorsed by Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D).

I've always felt that "slur" was a weird, inappropriate, MSM-only word to describe slang terms for groups of people, and it is: "slur: an insinuation or allegation about someone that is likely to insult them or damage their reputation".

mtrobertslaw said...

Inga lives right flat in the middle of the WOW counties. She needs help.

hombre said...

Democrats rule the cities that are, by and large, either cesspools or Marxist/progressive enclaves destined to be cesspools. Now they are beginning their work on the suburbs while the media runs cover for them.

Hello. I’m an American and my President is about to be chosen for me by leftmediaswine because a majority of my compatriots are ignoramuses.

Kevin said...

So how is Wisconsin still so close?

All your voters are belong to us.

Black people and Wisconsinites, know your place.

Original Mike said...

" "slur: an insinuation or allegation about someone that is likely to insult them or damage their reputation"."

Example: "I still get Wisconsin and Minnesota mixed up,"

rcocean said...

We need to redraw state boundaries. Milwaukee and SE part of Wisconsin should be made part of Illinois, while all of Illinois outside of Cook county and the Chicago suburds should be joined to Indiana.

Gahrie said...

So how is Wisconsin still so close?

Democrats win the cities, Republicans win everywhere else...just like the rest of the country.

rcocean said...

Wisconsin and Minnesota couldn't be more unlike each other. Wisconsin has always been one of the most politically intelligent states in the Union. And sent quality people to Congress like Proxmire or the La Follettes.

Minnesota, OTOH, has given us dead-head liberals. Politically in terms of Federal politics, its like New York - only more mediocre and dull. Mondale, Stassen, zzz.... A clown like AL Franken could get elected in Minnesota. In Wisconsin? Never.

Fernandinande said...

Wisconsin and Minnesota couldn't be more unlike each other.

Isn't one of them "the land of a thousand lakes"?

Turns out that's Finland, which I still get mixed up with either Norway or Sweden.

Mr. D said...

Wisconsin and Minnesota couldn't be more unlike each other.

I grew up in Wisconsin, but I've lived most of my adult life in Minnesota (St. Paul suburbs).

Electorally, Minnesota is like Washington state. Giant blue metro area, red outstate. And since the metro has over half of the population, the DFL mostly rules. This is especially true since, in recent years, the traditionally DFL Iron Range has been turning red. The battleground is now the suburbs, which went very blue in 2018 but could turn at least purple in this cycle; there's a lot of disgust with Minneapolis in particular right now and some of the suburbanites who are crazy about Trump's deportment are growing weary of having their noses rubbed in all the DFL malfeasance. If enough of these suburbanites flip back, Minnesota will get interesting. I don't think Trump wins here, but Walz, Frey, et al. have made it uncomfortable for the bien pensant crowd. Walz in particular has a bad habit of insulting the folks outstate; since he's from outstate (Mankato), that's fired up the opposition.

Greg The Class Traitor said...

Got to love the dishonesty of Democrats:

Twelve years later, those voters went for Donald Trump by 16 points, and turnout in Milwaukee, in the first election since the implementation of voter ID, was down.

...

Democrats have won back voters in some, but not all, rural parts of the state, while growing their margins in the state’s biggest cities.

Really, Dave? So In 2018, with all those PhotoID laws in effect, Democrats are their margins in Milwaukee in 2018?

So the drop in 2016 wasn't due to "photoID laws", but due to the fact that the Democrats had a really horrible candidate in 2016?

Shocking!

Greg The Class Traitor said...

In 2016 Hillary barely beat Trump in MN. But Trump + McMillan was > Hillary
In 2018 two R House seats went D, and two D House seats went R

OTOH, the MN general Primary was last week. A LOT more people voted in the D side than the R side

If I didn't know that last bit of information, I'd expect Trump to win MN this year. Including that information makes me wonder whether the suburban voters really have learned anything from watching the Minneapolis riots

hstad said...

Blogger Greg The Class Traitor said..."...A LOT more people voted in the D side than the R side..."

As a resident of CA that comment tells me nothing? Unless you're implying that the "D side" will vote heavily for Biden. Did that happen in 2016?