Althouse: Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker to win the 5 June 2012 recall election: 90%.

May 21, 2012

Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker to win the 5 June 2012 recall election: 90%.

It's just Intrade.

29 comments:

Anonymous said...: The Sound of Heads Exploding is Sweet Music to My Ears.; 5/21/12, 5:10 PM
edutcher said...: Yes, sounds nice, but, as I always say, how many of these guys spent the last 30 years betting on the wrong horse?; 5/21/12, 5:11 PM
BarrySanders20 said...: And I went down to the demonstration
To get my fair share of abuse
Singing, "We're gonna vent our frustration
If we don't we're gonna blow a 50-amp fuse"

I think the sound of explosions may be thousands of 50 amp fuses. We can ask Mick if he checks in, assuming he's recovered from last week's "proof" that Obama was born in Kenya.; 5/21/12, 5:18 PM
Anonymous said...: Yeah ... i could quote same great Dylan lyrics about unions too... sheeeeessz; 5/21/12, 5:26 PM
KCFleming said...: Barrett has him right where he wants him.; 5/21/12, 5:36 PM
Anonymous said...: Walker hasn't won anything yet, the Democrats are hauling every warm body they can find into government offices to walk in absentee vote.

If you support Walker, go vote walk in absentee in your town, city or county asap. You can vote now there is no need to wait for election day.; 5/21/12, 5:36 PM
chickelit said...: ♪In two short years
they've gone from rage to bitchin'
And what they did before that I don't know
So let it rain on my windowpane
I got my own rainbow
And I'm sitting here shining
Watching Scotty grow ♫; 5/21/12, 5:36 PM
ndspinelli said...: You never celebrate until the game/election is over.; 5/21/12, 5:37 PM
rehajm said...: This comment has been removed by the author.; 5/21/12, 5:42 PM
dhagood said...: channeling instapundit: nice intrade percentage kid, but don't get cocky.; 5/21/12, 5:44 PM
dbp said...: This is a golden opportunity for a frequent commenter, who has been silent for a bit but always certain big revelations would doom walker, to make some easy cash.

Just go to Intrade and sell shares in Walker. You make $8.77 for every share you sell and when Walker looses you pocket the cash.; 5/21/12, 5:46 PM
James said...: Absentee and early voting started today and I'm quite sure the Dems are already rounding up voters and driving them to the polls. The only consolation is that its limited to Milwaukee and probably Madison.

That prediction seems overly optimistic.; 5/21/12, 6:01 PM
new york said...: "Friends of Scott Walker" is taking fraudulent charges on people's credit cards:
http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/donations_to_scott_walker_flagged_as_potential_fraud_20120521/; 5/21/12, 6:16 PM
Tom Spaulding said...: Just go to Intrade and sell shares in Walker. You make $8.77 for every share you sell and when Walker looses you pocket the cash.

There are people on this blog I fully expect to take a second mortgage and bet against Walker, victory for Barrett being so certain, fair and just as it is. What could go wrong?; 5/21/12, 6:47 PM
Tom Spaulding said...: "Friends of Scott Walker" is taking fraudulent charges on people's credit cards

Walker's a.........RINO?; 5/21/12, 6:58 PM
David said...: Hey New York, I followed your link. That was really a hard hitting article. It's a blow from which I doubt Walker will recover. It's amazing that the New York Times does not have this scandal all over the front page. Be sure to contact the Journal-Sentinel. For sure it will make them withdraw their endorsement.

You are really on to something. Spread the word.; 5/21/12, 7:28 PM
kcom said...: Yes, sounds nice, but, as I always say, how many of these guys spent the last 30 years betting on the wrong horse?

Apparently about 10%.; 5/21/12, 7:41 PM
Chuck66 said...: There is still an effort to recall the Governor? Huh. I thought all of that ended around August of 2011.; 5/21/12, 7:57 PM
Leland said...: It's just money. If Democrats can't spend it with legislation, they might as well force others to spend it on recall elections.; 5/21/12, 8:34 PM
Michael Haz said...: Anyone know InTrade on Zielinski & Tate being employed by the Democratic Party of Wisconsin on June 30, 2012?; 5/21/12, 8:40 PM
MikeR said...: Yeah - the neat thing about Intrade is that it costs you money. People who are "absolutely certain" about stuff aren't certain enough to bet their real live money. Reality is different.; 5/21/12, 9:35 PM
MikeR said...: By the way, this works elsewhere too. In a discussion with someone of a different political persuasion, who says he's "absolutely certain" of whatever, ask him if he would therefore be willing to give you 10:1 odds. He won't.
This can actually help him to understand his own thinking.; 5/21/12, 9:46 PM
Phil 314 said...: Is it time to bring out the papier mache heads?; 5/21/12, 9:49 PM
Pianoman said...: By the way, it's been six days since Garage's last post. It was the article about DailyKos' latest poll:

And, there is a reason walker is going to release a bogus jobs report tomorrow, using metrics no other state uses. Because he knows he is in t-r-o-u-b-l-e!

5/15/12 11:05 PM

It's not just Garage. Seems like a lot of the Althouse Left has up and disappeared lately. Funny.; 5/22/12, 1:16 AM
Mel said...: Mark Belling reported yesterday on his show that the Dem, get out the vote folks, are knocking on doors in Milwaukee and bringing vanloads of people to the polls already. It makes me nervous. Of course I have been a worry wart from way back. I wish someone could talk me off the cliff!; 5/22/12, 6:29 AM
Dust Bunny Queen said...: In a discussion with someone of a different political persuasion, who says he's "absolutely certain" of whatever, ask him if he would therefore be willing to give you 10:1 odds. He won't.

That's because he is a liberal and we know that they don't understand math or economics. The idea of 10:1 odds is probably making his head explode so he doesn't want to think about it. Math is "hard"!!

Never underestimate the ability and willingness of liberals to cheat and steal elections. Never.; 5/22/12, 8:46 AM
Patrick said...: Commenters come, commenters go. Certainly hope nothing bad has happened, though.; 5/22/12, 9:19 AM
purplepenquin said...: In a discussion with someone of a different political persuasion, who says he's "absolutely certain" of whatever, ask him if...

...he wants to bet $10,000 on it?; 5/22/12, 10:04 AM
Dust Bunny Queen said...: ..he wants to bet $10,000 on it?

Thereby proving my point that liberals don't understand math and evidently gambling as well. Stay away from Vegas and the stock market.

"Fractional odds are the traditional odds you see in the bookmaker window on the high street such as 10/1 or 6/4. Simply treat them like fractions. If you divide the first number by the second, you will get a multiplier. For example, 10/1 means that whatever you stake on this bet you will receive 10 times your stake back if you win."

Hint. If you are "giving" 10/1 odds, then you are pretty sure that you are going to win and the other person taking the bet will be losing, and will therefore you will not have to pay out the 10x the amount of money bet.; 5/22/12, 10:42 AM