November 5, 2024

It's Election Night at last, and the results are almost in.

I hope to hear The Big Answer before I fall asleep, and that is not an expression of hope for insomnia. I hope there's a nice big juicy clear result that comes in early. A good brisk dose of reality. And then we can all stop fighting, come together, and get some rest.

I'll update this as we go along... if I've got anything to say and I don't conk out.

But, please, get the comments started. The first polls close in about half an hour. 

233 comments:

1 – 200 of 233   Newer›   Newest»
Original Mike said...

I voted at my near-west-side Madison poling place at 1:30pm. My wife and I and one other person were the only voters there. It seemed very strange.

320Busdriver said...

I was here in 2016…what a wild ride that was

mccullough said...

Move over, Grover

Dixcus said...

70% of EXIT VOTERS say the country is on the wrong track. That is ... 70% of the people who JUST EXITED A VOTING BOOTH said they didn't vote for Kamala Harris.

The Democrats are going to have to produce MILLIONS of fake ballots between now and about a week from now when they will announce that at long last, after they counted enough, Kamala Harris won.

You will not be getting any sound sleep tonight, Ann.

Original Mike said...

I was in Sydney, AU, in 2016 but followed the incoming results on the Althouse blog. Made for a surreal experience.

Yancey Ward said...

Watch Fayette County, KY. It is a blue county, but it will tell you a lot:

.......................Republican.................Democrat
2012...............60,795..........................62,080
2016...............56,894..........................69,778
2020...............58,860..........................90,600

If Harris' margin is equal to Biden's, it looks bad for Trump. If Harris' margin is worse than Clinton's, it looks bad for Harris.

doctrev said...

The percentages or who even becomes President doesn't actually matter. I'm sure President Trump will increase the number of people voting for him, AGAIN, and possibly by another ten million. However many gorillion allegedly vote for Kamala, ask yourself this. If a revolution comes, how many people on your side are:

- armed,
- motivated, and
- legitimately and increasingly numerous?

Musk and Bezos (!!) aren't turning because they suddenly feel newfound empathy for the American people. They know appealing to deviant rejects is no longer remotely worth the effort. Make up whatever fake number you like: the oligarchs are heading to the exits or currying favor with Trump.

320Busdriver said...

Just reported in MKE a Republican observer at central count found tabulators not properly locked. Requiring re-running some 31,000 mail and early ballots…delaying results

Mogget said...

Polling place here in rural southern WI was pretty busy all day. No idea what that means, except that folks do seem to care.

The Cracker Emcee Refulgent said...

Apropos of nothing, it occurred to me today that in far more politically correct Britain, the Labor Party has never had a woman leader whereas the Tories have had a few. I wonder if left-leaning male voters tend to have a problem with women.

Shouting Thomas said...

Got me a bad, bad feeling about this one.

Just an old country lawyer said...

My wife and I voted last week in Hall County, Georgia, about forty miles northeast of Atlanta.
Although there was not a long wait to vote there was a lot of traffic through the polling place. People were in a good mood. The place was upbeat.
This is a very red county: industrial, distribution, agribusiness. About 40% of our population is Latino, initially drawn by jobs in the poultry processing industry. It will be interesting to see how their vote shakes out.

phantommut said...

If Trump flips Virginia (not likely but possible) it's going to be a very short night.

Oso Negro said...

Here in Thailand, Moo Deng predicted a win for Trump

Oso Negro said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Yancey Ward said...

If Trump is within 5% in Virginia it is going to be a short night.

The Real Andrew said...

I have no idea what it means, but there was lots of early voting in Ohio.

I waited til today. I drove past my voting place (a church) at 7:30 am, and it was completely packed. Cars on the grass, etc. So I waited til around 10 am, and took an early lunch break. I work remotely.

It was smooth and fairly quick. Finished in about a half-hour.

I’m glad I didn’t early vote. One friend of mine who did said it took three hours.

At about 2 pm I turned on the TV out of curiosity. Forget which network. It’s a Kamala Harris speech. I think it was live. I listened to 30 seconds before I almost threw up. Turned it off. Vowed to wait until later tonight to start paying attention.

If that woman is our President for 4 years, I may have to commit seppaku.

I’m hoping for a replay of 2016, when I stayed up until 3 am, in ecstasy.

Iman said...

Pretty
Tired of
Stupid
Democrats

Oh Yea said...

2016 - Hillary lost because she didn't go to Wisconsin
2024 - Kamala loses because she wouldn't go on Joe Rogan's Podcast (and a dead squirrel)?

tcrosse said...

It's not over 'til it's over, and even then it's not over. I expect a lot of fuckery, just like last time.

320Busdriver said...

I just want to avoid waking up tomorrow and finding out that what I believed going to sleep at 2am was no longer true. As it was in 2020.

NorthOfTheOneOhOne aka Doug Emhoff's Pimp Hand said...

I went to my poling place here in Maricopa Co. Got there at 5:55 AM (polls open at 6AM) and there was already a good sized line. I got in line and it took about 10 minutes to get into the building and sign in. Got my ballot (that was about the length of Gone With The Wind), voted and was done by 6:30 AM. Walked out and there was absolutely no line. I guess there were a lot of early and mail-in voters this go around. I don't know what the situation was later in the day; I spent that shopping for new shoes and doing chores.

Christopher B said...

Poll report from Kentucky.

Issues early this am with voter check in, likely caused by massive early voting that flooded the tablets we use to verify voters as we opened the polls. Rectified after a few hours but gave Democrats an early opportunity to lose their s#!+. Polls closed as normal. Turnout overall was heavy, looked to be approximately 60+% from early+Election Day though our precinct turnout today was relatively light.

Dixcus said...

Republicans UP AND DOWN THE TICKET are EVISCERATING the Democrats. It's not just Trump winning 60/40 ... Senators, Congressman ... Democrats aren't winning ANYWHERE.

The Democrats CAN ONLY WIN by cheating.

Original Mike said...

"I just want to avoid waking up tomorrow and finding out that what I believed going to sleep at 2am was no longer true. As it was in 2020."

Ditto, which is why I expect to bail early tonight.

Jersey Fled said...

I’m getting the feeling the Philadelphia Fraud Machine may be making a business decision not to go full Philly for Kamala this go round. Reasons: No Zuck Bucks for ballot harvesters this time and 2) fear of going to jail if Trump wins. Just a feeling.

Lilly, a dog said...

I voted at 11:45 AM in Southern Dauphin County, Pennsylvania, and there were only a handful of people voting and lots of poll workers. This is normal for this town, as I've never had to wait in line.

Shouting Thomas said...

FoxNews says it will come down to PA, site of massive vote fraud after 2 a.m. in 2020. Expect more of the same in 2024.

Dixcus said...

Kentucky has been CALLED for Trump. He's winning 80% to 20%. Kamala Harris couldn't catch a CAB in Kentucky.

Dixcus said...

Reason: Muskets being loaded ready for them to try to stop this.

rehajm said...

Our little voting place in Beaufort County SC had a couple dozen in line ahead of us about 10 minutes before 7AM. I was number 22 to enter my ballot. A good line of 30-40 when I left. We’re trying to keep our intimate little polling place but it’s mostly elders who do early voting or make an elder appointment to vote..

Mogget said...

My polling location just set a new record and there’s still two hours to go.

Dixcus said...

She wouldn't even DISCUSS P'Nut's murder. We need LEADERSHIP.

Yancey Ward said...

Watching Kentucky- only 4 counties have reported anything- and almost all absentee/mail ballots collected before today. Trump is at or over-performing his total margin in those counties from 2020 on just the mail-in-ballots. If mail-in-voters really lean Democrat, then this is bad news for Harris- it means Trump is doing quite a bit better than 2020.

Disparity of Cult said...

If it's a short night in Trump's favor, will Biden congratulate Trump before Harris concedes?

Dr Weevil said...

Is this an omen?
I decided to put on some pleasant and not-too-demanding music while I ate dinner and waited for the returns. The most enticing CD that happened to be near the top of a random stack was 'Gerry Mulligan / Paul Desmond Quartet'. Only after I put it on did I notice that Track 6 is "The Battle Hymn of the Republican".

Dixcus said...

Fox reports 25% of black men are breaking for Trump in Georgia. She's toast.

Dixcus said...

Joe Biden is in bed already and they've drugged him to prevent him from doing precisely that.

Ann Althouse said...

Where are you watching results? On line? I was doing CNN and I just switched to Daily Wire.

320Busdriver said...

Harris won’t concede

doctrev said...

It's quite possible. Even at this late stage, Biden heavily dislikes "his" party and would love a chance to deliver a final blow while heavily incentivizing a Trump pardon for his son. That is assuming his cabinet lets him anywhere near cameras.

Dixcus said...

Why in the world would you watch CNN? Knowing what you must know.

Sydney said...

I went to the polls in NE Ohio at 6:30AM when they open. Had to wait 30 minutes to check in. The poll worker who checked me in said there was a line forming at 6:00AM. On the other hand, my son said he only waited for 10 minutes at the same polling place mid-morning. Everyone seemed upbeat and happy to me. I hope that means they were Trump voters. Kamala supporters always seem angry to me.

Dixcus said...

Kentucky has been CALLED because precincts are coming in 80% Trump. Harris cannot overcome that. Ever. Mathematically.

Jersey Fled said...

My wife is watching Fox News, mostly out of habit I think. I thought their coverage in 2020 was awful. I’m hanging out on Althouse and X.

effinayright said...

Businesses in DC are boarding themselves up in plywood to protect themselves against democracy-loving citizens celebrating Harris's win, or "protesting" Trump's loss. Either way it'll be a great night to demonstrate their love of country.

That's how it work with Dems, yuh know....

Dixcus said...

Everyone should keep in mind that Trump was WAY AHEAD of Joe Biden until the 3am fake ballot dump in key precincts.

Democrats KNOW how to steal elections and they want you to go to bed early thinking Donald Trump won so that they can STEAL the election in the night, while you are asleep, then whipsaw you in the morning and by the time you wake up good, they've already stolen the country.

We are NOT going to vote our way out of a country where some California hooker can run a coup on a US President.

Dixcus said...

Businesses in DC aren't boarding up their windows to protect against Reagan Republicans Running Rampant.

They know who they need to protect themselves against and what color they are.

boatbuilder said...

I am going to pour myself a double Glenfiddich and watch the Bruins-Maple leafs game. Should he over around 9:45. I will turn to the networks, with the sound off. The expressions on their faces will tell me how things stand.

wild chicken said...

Our election center is right down the road from me and I saw about 200 people in line, to register probably because voters have actual polling places to go to. Or drop boxes for ballots.

Looked like Harris voters. Young and scruffy, staring at their phones.

Trump will win Montana tho.

Jersey Fled said...

Trump up 11 points in Miami-Dade. Those Latinos really don’t like that open borders sh*t.

pious agnostic said...

There will be fiery peaceful protests no matter what happens.

Eva Marie said...

Jill Biden voted in a very nice red suit. Was it because, this election only, she’s MAGA?

Jersey Fled said...

Her Panda outfit needed cleaning.

Esteban said...

Daily Wire and the Free Press

Dixcus said...

I'm AMAZED by the comments that Google is DELETING. There is MASSIVE invasion of Americans' First Amendment rights going on with this company and it needs to be NATIONALIZED.

Maynard said...

I was doing CNN and I just switched to Daily Wire.

Hmmm. I am inclined to think that Althouse voted for the Nazi with the Jewish son-in-law. At least, that is how her fellow Madisonians will see it.

320Busdriver said...

Here and split with X

Eva Marie said...

“Got me a bad, bad feeling about this one.”
This movement didn’t end with the Tea Party and win or lose it doesn’t end here.
Quoting Hillary, “I don’t feel no ways tired. We’ve come too far.”
Only we don’t say it with a fake accent.

320Busdriver said...

Justice flips Senate in WVA ….yuge

Dixcus said...

Fox isn't showing ANY vote totals. They are just calling states based on their exit polling, but of course NOT SAYING how WELL Trump is winning. They're not showing ANY NUMBERS.

So we just have to trust the media. They're deciding these states. Not voters.

Jersey Fled said...

Not many districts reporting, but Harris seems to be running 5% or more behind Biden 2020 pretty much everywhere.

Somewhere Joe is smiling.

Dr Weevil said...

Excellent tune, like the rest of the album, composed by Paul Desmond. Liner notes have nothing about the odd title, but do say that it follows the chord changes of 'Tea for Two', which is also on the album. Were tea parties stereotypically Republican in 1957? Likely enough. But a tea party with a "battle hymn"? Seems implausible. Still a good omen.

Dixcus said...

Google is MASSIVELY deleting normal comments of American citizens. This company MUST BE NATIONALIZED.

Jersey Fled said...

Lots of numbers on X.

Dixcus said...

Google is deleting comments.

rhhardin said...

Will pussy hats make a comeback.

Dixcus said...

Google is DELETING most comments that even suggest that Google is deleting comments.

Aggie said...

I'm tabbing the Daily Wire, NYT, Matt Taibbi, Tucker Carlson at Mar a Lago, and one other non-network site. My Wife has Fox on, in the background.

Dixcus said...

Not only Harris. She has ZERO coattails. Republicans are taking 60% in EVERY TYPE OF RACE. Governor, Senator, Congressman ... EVERYWHERE.

Dixcus said...

Babylon Bee has called the Early Lead for P'Nut.

320Busdriver said...

Fox News TV has vote totals just below the % bubble

Dixcus said...

Andrea Mitchell just claimed:

"There are a lot of men...black and white, who just simply don't trust a woman to be chief executive, Commander in Chief." "They just don't wanna vote for a woman."

No, sweetie. We'll vote for a woman. Just not a whore.

Dixcus said...

Democrats are about to severely limit immigration into the United States from Mexico and South America because the Latinos are breaking SOLIDLY for Donald Trump and the Republican anti-cartel candidates.

Jersey Fled said...

Trump winning GA independents by 11 points. Fulton County can go home now.

Yancey Ward said...

Every Kentucky county that reports finished counts show Trump running better than he did in 2020. Harris underperformed Biden's results in all of them. It looks like she has bled support to the minor party candidates.

The Real Andrew said...

For results I trust: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/

Dixcus said...

Just posted about how Latinos are breaking massively for Trump. Google deleted the entire comment. Replies they seem to leave up for some reason, so I'm posting it here to test.

Leland said...

I’m using RCP to track results. I’m not big into listening to pundits, but DailyWire looks to have the best lineup.

doctrev said...

You got something wrong in your noggin, Mary Glynn. Even if it was appropriate for you to ask, Althouse has adult children. I'm not even one of her stans but I can tell how disturbed you are. Get help.

Dixcus said...

It's not even close. He's winning 70-30.

Dixcus said...

I'm not even looking at results until 3am this morning when the Democrats dump all their pre-printed fake ballots to steal the election.

Oh Yea said...

Watching and listening to Free Press on pc and Fox News video on TV

Dixcus said...

Google is interfering in the election.

Dixcus said...

I am recording Google massively deleting many, many normal opinion comments.

Ice Nine said...

Where are you seeing this Dem "evisceration?" I'm only watching FOX so far and seeing mixed results - none of which mean very much with only very early vote counts in. I do hope you are right. I would just like to see it also.

Dixcus said...

Try it yourself. Just write a comment about how Google is deleting comments. Then refresh the page. Watch it disappear in real time.

Aggie said...

"Thousands have poured into the Yard at Howard University for Harris’s election-night party. The radio host Charlamagne Tha God, who had a wide-ranging interview with Harris last month, is here. Andrew Gillum, the onetime Democratic nominee for governor of Florida, is also on campus. ....."

Aggie said...

Pretty much expected I thought....

Dixcus said...

Trump is currently ahead by ONE MILLION VOTES in Florida and CNN hasn't called the state and Google is massively deleting many comments.

Jersey Fled said...

AnnaPaulina retains her seat in Congress. Good news for men everywhere.

Dixcus said...

Trump is currently ahead by ONE MILLION VOTES in Florida and CNN hasn't called the state and Google is massively [censored] many comments.

Dixcus said...

The censored word above is: DELETING

The Vault Dweller said...

I would assume CAB just means cab , like Taxi cab.

Dixcus said...

[deleting]

Jersey Fled said...

Panhandle is still voting.

Lem Vibe Bandit said...

If Trump loses, the ominous thing I believe is going to happen, will happen sooner rather than later... I always look at the bright side. Stay Positive.

Jersey Fled said...

Decision Desk HQ now gives Trump a 70% chance of winning. It was 54% at the beginning of the day.

Lem Vibe Bandit said...

I'm going with the BBC

Yancey Ward said...

My read on the returns is that Harris is actually in danger of losing the popular vote nationwide- she is running well behind Biden in every county that has complete results so far in the eastern US.

gspencer said...

Massachusetts closed the polls two weeks ago, calling it for all Democrats.

Yancey Ward said...

The two blue counties in Kentucky, Jefferson and Fayette (Louisville and Lexington) only have absentee ballots counted and Harris is only winning the absentee by the margin Biden won the counties in 2020 total. She is going to end up running 3-5% worse in Kentucky than Biden did. Now, Kentucky is deep red but the states are still corelated to a good degree. Will start looking at Virginia in detail.

Lem Vibe Bandit said...

BBC is reporting Kamala is not doing as well as expected with Puerto Rico populated counties in Fla and PA.

Big Mike said...

I'm looking at Virginia. It looks as though we're going to have another six years of smarmy Tim Kaine (sigh). One Congressional seat looks as though its going to flip -- the sixth, a district south and east of Richmond. The rest are holds or party holds. I had been afraid in the 5th district, where a Gaetz ally was punished for the mess where Gaetz, Nancy Mace, and six other members of the House allied with 100% of the Democrats to oust McCarthy. A guy named Good (no, his nickname was not "No") was one of those six and he lost in the primary, sort of like Liz Cheney. I though maybe he'd be in trouble, but he is winning by over 20 points.

The latest results show Trump gaining a little on Harris, down only 40,000 votes after being down 70,000 earlier, but she will probably hold on to win this state. That's not unexpected as far as I'm concerned -- the northeast corner of the state is dominated demographically by people who work for the federal government. They are aware that if Trump wins they may actually have to work for a living.

NorthOfTheOneOhOne aka Doug Emhoff's Pimp Hand said...

Expect a new found respect for the Electoral College if she does.

NorthOfTheOneOhOne aka Doug Emhoff's Pimp Hand said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
NorthOfTheOneOhOne aka Doug Emhoff's Pimp Hand said...

I've always thought Trump, if he wins, would probably pardon Hunter anyway. Makes him look magnanimous and serves to really piss off the Democrats.

320Busdriver said...

And if Elon has his way, a lot of them may find that their jobs are eliminated.

Lem Vibe Bandit said...

BBC : Helene bodes well for Kamala.

Lem Vibe Bandit said...

South Carolina called for Trump.

320Busdriver said...

Trumps got a small lead in VA RN

Big Mike said...

Sorry. Type. It was the Fourth, not the Sixth, and the Democrat incumbent has inched ahead. So probably no flips in this state.

RideSpaceMountain said...

"A good brisk dose of reality. And then we can all stop fighting, come together, and get some rest."

I want rest. But I do not want to stop fighting and come together. Do these people really expect that after the last 8 years of non-stop vilification? As if half the country has in any way changed and become less militant towards the other half? Like covid, a "our bad, we're sorry" is gonna cut it?!

Not happening. There will be no further ceding ground in the culture war that dominates the political life of this country. If you're on the left, expect a brawl every single time now, guaran-fucking-teed.

wildswan said...

I'm "watching" RealClear Politics and they don't know. This is making me sick to my stomach and I tell myself to stop watching. I try to power off but somehow I end up looking at another tab. ABC News, David Muir. He's frowning and worried. I watch him for awhile. Back atcha, Dave. I check the comments here. I admire the ones who have managed to give themselves a break. I try to power off. I 'm going to check RealClear first though.

Eva Marie said...

Here’s my dilemma
1. NYT is always wrong.
2. NYT needle shows Trump winning 278 to 260

320Busdriver said...

Excellent post. If Kamala were to lose how does she/they walk back the f@scist/@uthoritarian/n@zi talk. They’ll attempt to cut his legs off.

Eva Marie said...

I should say the needle is leaning. Not a definite prediction.

Big Mike said...

Another update. Trump has pulled very close to Harris, only 7000 votes behind, and most of the remaining areas where votes are to be counted are in rural -- therefore red -- parts of the state. Kaine's lead is also narrowing, but I fear it will hold up.

Lem Vibe Bandit said...

The people who might call in a false alarm need to know whatever disruption they have up their sleeve will be worth it. Or something.

Mr. T. said...

Not likely. Looks like Milwaukee is up no good and is delaying its count because they cant get their shit together (or worse).

No other county in Wisconsin should reveal its total results until Milwaukee is done.

They would do well too to send the National Guard to the IL border and interdict anyone coming from Chicago.

wild chicken said...

NYT numbers are wild. Are they real time?

Tina Trent said...

Your county includes the zip code with the highest percentage of illegal immigrants in the country. “Initially drawn by the promise that poor legal working Americans will pay their bills while you and they reap the freebies, pal. The highest percentage of illegals in the entire country. Your sleazy rep, now Lt. Gov. Burt Jones let this happen, and your fat and happy (I don’t know how you feel) poultry pals made a bunch of money off it while your neighbors like me pay for the illegals’ housing, schooling, utilities, medical — and we can’t afford our own. How special you’re retired and I imagine wealthy enough to not have to deal with the Central American gangs taking over Gainesville and destroying the schools, shooting cops and screwing little girls. Plus, it’s a “sanctuary county” now, so people like my illegal next door neighbor got away with impregnating one 11-year old daughter before he made the mistake of screwing the next one in the small part of Gainesville in Forsyth County, where we actually put child rapists away. Your county’s government just cut him loose a bunch of times. You should be ashamed.

The illegals don’t vote unless they’re doing it illegally by stealing citizens’ identities. How could you not know that? Because you don’t want to know, lawyer. Your generation did nothing to stop this. Shame on you. Red county my ass. More like a banana republic circling the drain. Enjoy your success.

walter said...

Coffee filter face Evers will get right on that...

Paul said...

Maybe the NYT is still wrong... Trump wins 290 to 248!

Yancey Ward said...

For those looking at the NYTime needle- the algorithm needs some actual return data to make any solid prediction that isn't based on polling data alone. Give it until about 10 PM and then look at it and check out the states in the midwest and NC and GA.

Michael Fitzgerald said...

Garbage!

rhhardin said...

I haven't found a good feed but The Bulwark (leftist) seems to be pessimistic about the whole thing.
Bulwark Election Night

tim in vermont said...

One political analyst, who was a big Democrat, claimed that he did an analysis, and in 2000, the networks calling the state for Gore before the heavily red panhandle had voted, cost Bush 15,000 votes.

Well one of the big regrets of my life is that I voted for that little creep, and he only won by a couple of hundred votes...

tim in vermont said...

Bulwark... lol, I will keep that link for when a Trump victory looks a lot more certain.

Tina Trent said...

Forsyth County, Ga, outside the northern metro area and still one of the fastest growing counties in the U.S., is polling very hard for Trump. As it is now more than 20% SE Asian professional, as of very, very recently, I think this is a good sign for the future: a sign people are rejecting identity politics for fiscal and assimilative priorities, effective local government, good policing, and good schools.

Big Mike said...

Trump has pulled ahead in Virginia. I ran the numbers a few days ago, but basically if he wins Virginia he may not need Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, or Arizona.

Leland said...

It is going to be a long week.

tim in vermont said...

I only watch the TV when I am in a mood to be lied to.

Yancey Ward said...

The following link (I am unable right now to hotlink it) shows exactly what I am seeing in the vote totals.https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president.html

Rabel said...

Shenanigans in Milwaukee.

robother said...

It just occurred to me watching all the NE states and NY awarded to Harris, and Southern States to Trump minutes after polls closed. National politics is the opposite of the NBA: garbage time is at the beginning of the game.

Yancey Ward said...

Trump won't win Virginia- there are too many outstanding vote counts in northern VA for his lead to hold- but he is running a lot better in the state than he did in 2020 when he lost by 10%. He might not lose the state by more 5% this time.

Eva Marie said...

I love the NYT needle. Trump 285 to 253

john mosby said...

MSNBC reports a trans woman has won a congressional seat in Delaware.

I wonder if any of the GOP congresswomen (eg Mace, MTG, Boebert) will complain about a wiener in their restroom.

JSM

tim in vermont said...

Well, he's baa-ack

https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1853427785894678531

rhhardin said...

The Bulwark is really very good - trying to explain why it's not going their way, as a side effect you get that it's not going their way

loudogblog said...

It's going to be a late night.

wild chicken said...

Why is Nebraska breaking for Harris

Kathryn51 said...

Althouse, you may enjoy Mark Halperin's "2 Way" YouTube channel (with consultant's Sean Spicer(R) and Dan Turentine(D). I've been listening to Fox on TV and bouncing between 2Way and Free Press since 3 PM (PST). Good analysis on all of them.

rhhardin said...

One interesting Bulwark complaint is that the gender gap is only 12% instead of 15% they were hoping for

Rory said...

John Stossel's betting odds tracker just pushed Trump over 76%.

Tina Trent said...

I normally have a lot of contempt for the Koch operations, but their Project Libre, run by one of the men who was a minor when captured by Castro during the Bay of Pigs and returned to the U.S. in a special deal, is an exception, and he deserves all credit for turning younger Cuban generations against their flirtation with Democrat communism. Also, a lot of very wealthy Central and South Americans who saw the writing on the wall and fled rising despotism became citizens there some time ago. So the tide may be changing, but the “late” counting is not in yet.

Eva Marie said...

I thought Michelle Obama didn’t want to get into politics.

HoodlumDoodlum said...

I just hope both teams have fun.

mikee said...

My spouse, whose previous presidential vote was made in the last century, voted today here in Austin, TX. She voted for Trump (she hates Dem economics) and then anti-Cruz, and anti-R's statewide. Abortion was her issue. She says there is no understanding of the depths of anger many women in Texas have over the R's abortion law. Perhaps the state legislators will get the message, if they retain office. Or they can lose worse next go-round in two years. Serve 'em right if they lose, stepping on their own dicks like that over abortion.

Big Mike said...

Starting to look as though Trump will lose Pennsylvania. With 25% of the vote counted he’s a quarter million votes behind. Not enough votes counted in Michigan or Wisconsin to tell whether he can win either of them to compensate. So I sure hope Yancey Ward, upthread is wrong about my home state. As I write this Trump is 24,000 votes ahead out of 2,400,000 cast.

Yancey Ward said...

It's not. The urban areas in Nebraska always report earlier.

Drago said...

Many reports showing Trump winning above 43% of the total latino vote. If that is anywhere close to be true, the New Soviet Democraticals will have to undergo a massive strategic focus change as they have already lost the white working class, a bigger and bigger chunk of black males particular on the younger side, and now its the latino working class.....and that is no doubt driven by the insane open borders immigration policies of the New Soviet Democraticals.

And the New Soviet Democraticals won't understand this, but its a class battle, not a racial battle as the dems have built their entire party identity around for 60 years.

Yancey Ward said...

The Pennsylvania counts are largely all the big urban ones right now. I suspect they counted up the mail-in ballots earlier today- they had a big bolus of a count right after polls closed so those were not election day ballots.

HoodlumDoodlum said...

Dang, Tina seems pretty upset. Glad you had a good day voting!

Yancey Ward said...

Again, look at this updated map on shifts from 2020- all around PA the shift is to the right and what limited data is available inside PA the shifts are also to the right.https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president.html

Scott Gustafson said...

Voted in Maricopa county (Phoenix metro area) early this afternoon. You can go to any voting center and after verifying your ID they print your ballot. Short wait to get verified. Ballot was insanely long – 2 pages, double sided, 78 items. Got out in about 20 minutes. Overall a very efficient operation.

Wife voted after work. About a 15 minute wait to get verified and then voting a really long ballot. While I waited for her the line went from 12 people to about 40 even though they were moving through fairly well. Heck of a surge.

Kari Lake had busses running between polling places to help balance the surge.

320Busdriver said...

Fox showed how 2020 GA & PA leads swapped blue to red a bit before midnight. Then Trumps lead bled out slowly over the next several days until the crossover again put the dementia patient over Trump.

320Busdriver said...

NYT dial is moving in one direction…a good one

Eva Marie said...

Sherrod Brown just lost in Ohio. Way to go Ohio.

Big Mike said...

@Yancey Ward, it looks as though you’re right about Pennsylvania. The Harris lead is dwindling fast. Trump is widening his lead in Virginia. It’s gone from 24,000 to 50,000.

Iman said...

I watch Fox, Megyn and CNN. CNN in particular. I wait to see the panic set in, look for Dana Bash’s eyes to turn even more empty than usual. Tapper has tells, as well. Hope all continues to go fairly well.

Dave Begley said...

Just got back from the big GOP event. Nice talk with Sen. Ricketts and his dad the billionaire. Also met his brother Tom who helps run the Cubs. Also spoke to the Governor and he hopes to have 33 to 35 conservatives in the Legislature. That means we get rid of our idiotic split EC system. Hope the election doesn’t turn on Omaha. Legal pot and abortion were on the ballot here.

320Busdriver said...

That’s awesome

Yancey Ward said...

I think Georgia and North Carolina will be called for Trump by 11 PM. There simply isn't enough vote left in the blue areas to overcome the deficits for Harris. Arizona did a big dump of the early vote and absentee and Trump was almost tied whereas 4 years ago he had a big deficit.

Eva Marie said...

The NYT needle moved again 293 to 245

320Busdriver said...

NYT 79% odds for return to sanity

wild chicken said...

I don't understand the check boxes at RCP. States they've called, with 0% reporting in? They called Montana but not Idaho? Makes no sense.

Lem Vibe Bandit said...

Georgia going to Trump

Drago said...

Is kamala still "up in the polls" in Iowa by 8?

tim in vermont said...

Remember that Iowa poll that 'proved' that there was a late surge to Harris? Well, the truth was always going to come out, wasn't it.

Eva Marie said...

Larry Hogan, who publicized that he wouldn’t vote for Trump lost his Senate bid - after the Turtle pumped millions into his race.

320Busdriver said...

WI disallowed taking RFK off the ballot. His votes equal the delta between Harris and Trump. Thats delicious

320Busdriver said...

Any chance of a popular vote win? That’s a cherry on the top.

The Cracker Emcee Refulgent said...

WTF! I was assured the wine grannies of Iowa were going to deliver the state to the Donks….

320Busdriver said...

Don’t want to get over my skis though

Jersey Fled said...

NBC just called Iowa for Trump. Inga hardest hit.

Yancey Ward said...

Michigan just started leaning to Trump according to the NYTimes- we are getting real data now.

Eva Marie said...

NYT projects Trump popular vote win

Matt said...

@Eva Marie - that one took me a second! LMAO! Good one.

Jersey Fled said...

Fox News is waaaay behind the curves again. I’m only watching because my wife likes it.

tim in vermont said...

I haven't watched more than 45 seconds of Fox News, total, since election night 2020. What is the point? It's the Bud Light of news networks.

Limited blogger said...

Georgia should be called

Shouting Thomas said...

Elon Musk calls the election for Trump.

tim in vermont said...

Decision Desk just called Georgia for Trump.

Limited blogger said...

Nice!

Aggie said...

Minnesota looking mighty Red as they plow through the count.....

tim in vermont said...

I would actually enjoy watching the news right now, for the first time in years, but the women folks in the house? Not so happy right now. So it's X and Althouse.

tim in vermont said...

"Trump wins Iowa by 12%.

Ann Selzer poll that had Harris winning by 3% was only 15% off." - Trump on Truth Social

Jersey Fled said...

NYT now projecting 297 electoral votes for Trump, 84% chance of victory.

tim in vermont said...

Just drove through there on my way south; what a lovely place to live.

boatbuilder said...

The CNN panel is losing it and blaming Latino voters for not being offended by Tony Hinchcliffe. Good stuff.
I'm very much hoping that the Republicans do better than my Bruins.

Lilly, a dog said...

Where is our favorite nurse? She was awfully chatty this morning.

tim in vermont said...

Holy crap!

"JUST IN: FOX News reporting that AP Votecast projects Trump winning a STAGGERING 23% of Black Men nationwide."

Original Mike said...

"Ann Selzer poll that had Harris winning by 3% was only 15% off."

It was the Russians…

Aggie said...

NYT's Chief political analyst, right now: "For the first time tonight, we consider Trump likely to win the presidency. He has an advantage in each of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. To win, Harris would need to sweep all three. There is still a lot of vote left, but in the voting so far, Trump is narrowly but discernibly ahead....

Greg The Class Traitor said...

And it looks like Trump will take every State he took in 2016
NYT needle is currently at 87% chance of Trump victory, taking every "Swing State"

Yancey Ward said...

Someone in the Madison area might want to do a wellness check on Inga right now.

Rory said...

Over 90% at 10:45 ET.

Mikey NTH said...

As in Cleveland.

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