November 5, 2024

It's Election Night at last, and the results are almost in.

I hope to hear The Big Answer before I fall asleep, and that is not an expression of hope for insomnia. I hope there's a nice big juicy clear result that comes in early. A good brisk dose of reality. And then we can all stop fighting, come together, and get some rest.

I'll update this as we go along... if I've got anything to say and I don't conk out.

But, please, get the comments started. The first polls close in about half an hour. 

296 comments:

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Gerda Sprinchorn said...

Succinct betting market summary:
https://polymarket.com/elections

Paul said...

NYT's 'needle' shows Trump 'likely' to win.. Trump 299, Harris 239. Landside country! MAGA!

Original Mike said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Narayanan said...

soothing

Eva Marie said...

Fox is saying that the Harris campaign has basically gone dark on them. No answers to questions.

Original Mike said...

She's an hour away and I'm already in my pajamas.

gspencer said...

11pm, we're now in the final hours of the Heels-Up campaign.

Jersey Fled said...

Fox still hasn’t called NC or GA for Trump. I guess they are waiting for the last vote to be counted.

gspencer said...

Harris - in the final hours.

Limited blogger said...

Call North Carolina please

Nice said...

You can't win the Presidency without winning Iowa, but there's still time for Democrats to do some 11th-hour harvesting.

rehajm said...

If it goes the way it’s going the first finger pointed should land on Clooney. All his fault innit?

Jersey Fled said...

NYT now projecting 300 electoral votes for Trump and 88% chance of winning.

wild chicken said...

Wut the hayell is going on with Minnesota

Iman said...

She’s gotten into the port again. Poor dear.

wild chicken said...

Shenanigans in MSP?

Eva Marie said...

Wyoming : Trump got 70% of the vote. And Harris thought it would be a good idea to campaign with Liz Cheney.

Clyde said...

Bernie Moreno (R) is making his Senate victory speech over Sherrod Brown. I like the cut of his jib. "Chuck Schumer, you're fired!"

Jersey Fled said...

Bernie Moreno wins Senate seat in Ohio. Republicans now hold the Senate.

Aggie said...

Also seeing it said that the Hispanic vote turnout has overrun the black vote for the first time. Hispanic poll more hardass than whites when it comes to secure borders.

Andrew said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Aggie said...

Dude, why are you even online? You should be working on the bunker.

Mr. T. said...

They are all busy in Madison right now making Molotov cocktails.

Paul said...

NYT calls North Carolina for Trump.

Aggie said...

Pencil Neck Schiff also wins a Senate seat. 6 more years of head wobbling insufferability.

Clyde said...

I've flipped over from Fox News to MSNBC. This should be entertaining. They are whistling past the graveyard but look pretty glum.

Limited blogger said...

RCP holding back on GA and NC

The Real Andrew said...

Good news out of Ohio: Moreno defeats Brown.

Temujin said...

Once again, it's approaching 11:30pm, Trump is leading in electoral votes and has a comfortable lead in the remaining key states including the 'Blue Wall' states of MI, WI, PA. Also, for some reason they've yet to call GA and NC. I'm not going to sit up all night for this. My state, Florida, got everything done and counted hours ago. I don't know what goes on in PA or MI or GA. No telling what's going on in Detroit or Atlanta at this moment. But I'm going to bed now and I'm hopeful I won't wake up to the same nightmare we had 4 years ago.

Time for a change. I hope it's here when I wake up.

Iman said...

That Mishkin is an arsehole…

wildswan said...

Real Clear Politics is refusing to call the election. I myself think that as soon as we all go to bed and no one is looking, votes will appear as by magic. However, I hope I'm wrong.

RCP just had Frank Luntz on as guest and he believes Kamala has lost and that she lost because she would not say what she stood for. And he believes there is no other real reason - just a basic lack in the Dem campaign - what do Dems stand for? Did identity voting or tricks lose the Dem campaign. No, he says. There was a refusal to tell people what the Dem candidate stood for and ... so she fell.

Iman said...

Now THAT was just mean, Lilly! 😆

wildswan said...

I believe Luntz way underestimates Trump who was out there teling people every day what he stood for. In this way Trump overcame the kangaroo courts and the Pravda-like media. At least so far, so good.

Aggie said...

Update: People are heading for the exits at Howard University, where Harris is holding her election night party, upon hearing news on giant TV monitors that the election will not be called tonight. ..."

Iman said...

Quite a story!

The people on CNN and MSLSD look so heartbroken. It’s a terrible thing, but I have no pity for them, nor remorse for feeling this way. This has been a long time coming and so richly deserved.

Quaestor said...

Where's Abby Normal this fine evening. Getting a recharge?

Jersey Fled said...

Trump is currently up almost 4% in the popular vote.

James K said...

She would have lost by a lot more if she'd said what she (really) stood for.

Ice Nine said...

Yeah, do too - and for the same reasons. Still, I haven't seen any evisceraton. It's still too close to call, even though it is looking pretty good for Trump. The NYT needle just backed off from its high of 301. Hmm.

Iman said...

People can see how bad it has gotten. There’s no flippin’ way the second in command of this fustercluck deserves a promotion.

Iman said...

WTF… Trump won Minnesota?!

Limited blogger said...

BitCoin at all time highs.

Big Mike said...

Starting to look like Harris will win Virginia. [String of very bad words redacted.] However he's opening up a solid lead in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and he's neck and neck in Arizona and Michigan. I can sleep more comfortably tonight.

I'm having a bit of chuckle. With only a sliver of the vote counted in Minnesota Trump was lambasting Harris by better than 20 percentage point. Won't last, of course.

Republicans have already picked up 2 Senate seats (West Virginia, as expected, and Ohio, not so expected) and are well on our way to flipping Montana (at last!). Can we do better? Republicans are ahead in Pennsylvania (McCormick has opened up a 100,000 vote lead over Casey with 79% counted), and possess excellent chances in Wisconsin and maybe even Michigan. Flipping three seats is pretty good; flipping six takes us from 49-51 to 55-45.

And to all a good night.

Drago said...

Putin will see to that......

Birches said...

Women care more about their families than killing the unborn. America can be great again.

Howard said...

The NYT election algorithm (the needle) has Trump at a 91% chance of winning.

Jersey Fled said...

By the way, Kamala’s promise to bring back Roe just flew out the window with Republicans winning control of the Senate, regardless of who wins the Presidency.

D.D. Driver said...

Kamala is getting fewer votes than Tammy. Trump is getting more votes than Hovde. Interesting.

walter said...

There's a lot of unrest at her Not So Happy Hostel tonight.

Mr. T. said...

Rich/sockpuppetsimp is outside doing his best Kevin "Animal House" Bacon impression, screeching

"THIS IS TEH BESTEST ECONOMY EVER!"

Jimmy said...

Euro papers saying Harris is getting ready to write a concession speech. Surprised if that happens, as shes probably, llike HRC drunk.
trump loses in Virginia, but by 1% reportedly. thats huge, as Virginia has always been a solid dem firewall.
Consensus on X tonight, no ones going to sleep until its offical Trump wins. too many memories of 2020.

Michael Fitzgerald said...

New Democrat Party border policy: Welcome libtard Billionaires, mentally ill women, and transsexuals! Everybody else- No Entry!

Michael Fitzgerald said...

Trump wins Texas. Looks like Cruz breezes in his race. How'd the abortion enthusiasts do down ballot?

Eva Marie said...

Trump attempted the impossible. If he wins, and that’s still a big if, then he achieved the impossible. Surviving the assassin’s bullet was the least of the miracles associated with his magnificent campaign.

Drago said...

Howard: "The NYT election algorithm (the needle) has Trump at a 91% chance of winning."

Incorrect.

The NYT election algorithm (the needle) has America at a 91% chance of winning.

Greg The Class Traitor said...

https://vrsws.sos.ky.gov/liveresults/?id=36
with 285 out of 286 precincts in
Trump 56,267 40%
Harris 80,301 58%

So worse than 2016, but better than 2020

tim in vermont said...

"Trump won Starr County TX, most Hispanic county in America at 97% by 16 points.

Last time it voted republican was in 1892." - X

Kathryn51 said...

F**k, we are reliving 2016 when Podesta told everyone to go home because. . . .whatever. The US needs to grow up and adopt some standards for vote results same day.

Kathryn51 said...

Maybe she, like me, is drinking several glasses of wine - altho, admittedly, mine is in celebration.

Achilles said...

2024...............56k............80k with some stragglers remaining out

Rabel said...

As I write this the Times has Trump with a 95% chance of taking the Presidency.

If we wake up tomorrow to be told that late night ballot counts in Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Detroit and Fulton County threw the race to Harris -- War.

It wouldn't be the first time.

walter said...

The Boogie Loo Boyz!

Dixcus said...

Ann really, really, really needs to evaluate why she got almost NO VIEWS tonight because Google was deleting people's comments and restricting the number of comments people could make.

Dixcus said...

Ann really, really, really needs to evaluate why she got almost NO VIEWS tonight because Blogger was deleting people's comments and restricting the number of comments people could make.

Dixcus said...

Ann really, really, really needs to evaluate why she got almost NO VIEWS tonight because [this unnamed site] was deleting people's comments and restricting the number of comments people could make.

Limited blogger said...

RCP has Georgia going for Trump

Dixie said...

Ann really, really, really needs to evaluate why she got almost NO VIEWS tonight because [this unnamed site] was deleting people's comments and restricting the number of comments people could make.

Lem Vibe Bandit said...

Trump winning Bucks Co PA.

Butkus51 said...

and they still dont know why

Lem Vibe Bandit said...

NBC IS PROJECTING TRUMP AS WINNER.

tim in vermont said...

Because Hillary started drinking at about 10 a.m. when she thought she was winning, then never quit.

Rosalyn C. said...

Doing the math looks like Trump has won, I'm estimating 290 - 243. But afraid to go to sleep. I'd hate to see this flip in the wee hours.

tim in vermont said...

NYT has Trump an over 95% likely to win.

Lem Vibe Bandit said...

Trump ahead in Michigan.

Lem Vibe Bandit said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Achilles said...

Looks like 317.

john mosby said...

Evereone went to sleep?

JSM

wendybar said...

I was wondering that myself!

Limited blogger said...

Trump to talk soon....

Lem Vibe Bandit said...

The south is solid red.

walter said...

Drudge: "WORLD IN SHOCK"

Lilly, a dog said...

Fox just called Pennsylvania for Trump. Looks like it's over.

Original Mike said...

Pretty much.

Limited blogger said...

Pa called for Trump

Clyde said...

MSNBC seems inconsolable. I'm quite sanguine about that.

wendybar said...


Ben Domenech
@bdomenech
·
Follow
It's true, Chapter 18 of Project 2025 is literally just "Oprah never gets to vote again."
Jesse Rodriguez
@JesseRodriguez
Oprah last night: “If we don't show up tomorrow, it is entirely possible that we will not have the opportunity to ever cast a ballot again."
9:14 AM · Nov 5, 2024

Lilly, a dog said...

MSNBC was a laugh riot tonight. They were all trying so hard to keep hope alive, and then they went to Steve Kornacki at his little maps, and he threw cold water on everything they said.

Joy Reid marveled about all of the celebrity endorsements at one point: "Queen Latifah never endorses anyone!"

Enlighten-NewJersey said...

What an unbelievable comeback!

Original Mike said...

Rachel Maddow is rambling on about Russia. Give it up, already!

Lem Vibe Bandit said...

Take frequent screenshots of the count as it edges closer to 270. When and if the numbers shift drastically the other way it will be obvious that some shakinery is taking place.

Original Mike said...

Trump is going to eliminate the "legislature".

I went over to watch some angst, but these people are dumb as posts. Can't watch it.

Jimmy said...

fox just called PA for Trump. That's it folks

Disparity of Cult said...

Bye Felicia

RideSpaceMountain said...

RideSpaceMountain: "DRUDGE IS MASSIVE HOMO, WORLD NOT SHOCKED"

rhhardin said...

Trying to find somebody not carrying Trump speech, just results

RideSpaceMountain said...

I heard Trump is planning to open concentration camps for the defeated.

Not being able to vote for the guy twice is a travesty I tells ya.

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