Donald J. Trump appears to be a stronger candidate than he was four years ago, polling suggests, and not just because a notable number of voters look back on his presidency as a time of relative peace and prosperity. It’s also because his political liabilities, like his penchant to offend and his legal woes, don’t dominate the news the way they once did....
Really? I think he seems to dominate the news. But of course, he isn't President. The actual President does necessarily claim some space. In Biden's case, it's the least space I've ever seen claimed by a President. Because of all the prosecutions, Trump's first presidency is still immensely important daily news. And Trump also gets attention as the leading contender to be the next President. Biden is overwhelmed. What do we hear of Biden? He said something weird about cannibalism. He didn't wear a bow tie with his dinner jacket.
Nevertheless, Cohn seems to have convinced himself that Trump is lower profile in the news these days:
[O]nly 27 percent of registered voters in the last Times/Siena poll said they were paying “a lot of attention” to the news about the legal cases against him.
Yes, that's because there's too much news. Who can follow it all? Who can parse through the legal details when it's so tempting to assume he's guilty of whatever it is these hard-working professionals came up with or, alternatively, the victim of corrupt power-abusers.
It seems plausible that the lack of attention paid to Mr. Trump contributed to his early strength in the polling.....
Still, it remains plausible to think Mr. Biden’s standing might improve if the news were Trump, Trump, Trump all the time. And against that backdrop, the trial of Mr. Trump in Manhattan is all the more interesting....
A trial might just be the kind of media spectacle that manages to put Mr. Trump, not Mr. Biden, front and center.
Perhaps it’s the kind of event that leads those double haters to remember why they disliked Mr. Trump more than Mr. Biden four years ago....
Clearly, Cohn is rooting for Biden, and in that light, I'll just say, I wouldn't count on this theory working. I'd say voters have already processed their feelings about Trump, and perhaps we're settling into the relevant substantive question: Who will do a better job for us as President?
On the subject of irrelevant things, however, Cohn did draw attention to this:
— Patrick Ruffini (@PatrickRuffini) April 16, 2024
Posts
79 comments:
Meanwhile, back at the ranch…
https://x.com/RNCResearch/status/1781045127609233903
I'm having a vision of a baby on a changing table looking up into Joe's aviators as the man begins to take off the diaper. A Danny Elfman soundtrack plays in the background.
The Democrat strategy is to provide all of the free campaign advertising Trump can eat. And then they call you people stupid for supporting Donald.
Really? I think he seems to dominate the news.
Yes, It is clear the left just starts with the narrative they are pushing. Make up what ever is needed to rationalize why Obama's agenda is a disaster for the working class. Throwing in gratuitous swipes at President Trump, without actually identifying anything Trump has actually done.
What a question!
Trump is incorruptible. Biden has taken millions from hostile foreign governments. That alone!
Trump has his wits. Biden is an empty husk, and a shadow government, perhaps headed by Obama, is making key decisions in his name.
Books will be written.
Why is Trump doing so well in the polls?
Because he was the most competent executive elected in the last century. He received 10 million more votes than any other presidential candidate in history.
He had a life of executive decision making experience before taking the job.
Other presidents before him was an overstuffed Harvard/Yale grad lawyer. Except for the actor who also did a reasonable job. There was a general or two that did ok as well.
Trump’s success was predictable if you can look past the snooty classist bullshit that permeates politics.
Still, it remains plausible to think Mr. Biden’s standing might improve if the news were Trump, Trump, Trump all the time.
I read this as a threat.
Ultra-low Q score media type still convinced mainstream media decides what everyone thinks...
That Biden is a ham sandwich seems less relevant these days. It's the current polices. There's plenty for everyone to hate...
Trump not in the news enough?
These people really do live in an alternative universe, don’t they.
Because Biden stinks.
Some random thoughts . . .
Just in case you want a credible cannibal story, not one related by a senile old man, check out Savage Harvest, detailing Michael Rockefeller's disappearance in Papua New Guinea in 1961 (son of Nelson R., then NY Gov.) Michael was then just 23, fresh out of Harvard (where else?), and searching for primitive art for his father's new Museum of Primitive Art. His small boat turned over just offshore from a river; he swam in to find help, while his companion stayed on the capsized hull and was promptly rescued. Author builds a credible case that Michael became dinner that day for some head-hunters.
The connection to primitive art makes me think of the scene from Animal House, where Brunella is asked her major while chatting at the Dexter Lake Club, where the college kids are the ONLY white folx there: she shouts "primitive cultures" over loud background music, Shama-Lama-Ding-Dong, "Ooh mou mou". One of the many oldies you couldn't film today!
The hack-D press have nothing to discuss BUT TRUMP. The hack-D press obsess over Trump non-stop.
The hack D-Putin-like Soviet press have little to say about Crook Joe - other than the creepy in-union talking points about how wonderful dear leader Joe is.
Does Cohn have any examples of Trump being hurt by being in the news more?
Of course not. He doesn't know or care whether it's true. His editor assigned him an angle and he did his job. Like the debater who is supposed to be able to argue for any side of any issue, the good journalist is expected to be able to support whatever narrative is assigned.
He is?
Trump should be ahead by 10 points.
The cope will get more absurd as November approaches
I notice that whenever the punditry speaks about Obama it's 'President Obama', and whenever the punditry speaks about Clinton, it's 'President Clinton'. And whenever the the punditry speaks about Trump, it's Former President Trump'. Anyone else pick up on that? It's almost like they are struggling to keep from spitting on the ground and making the sign against the Evil Eye. Or is it, the Evil Tie?
I agree that Trump dominates the News.
This is because Democratic Propagandists that prevail in almost all newsrooms are always looking for negative news re: Trump. The problem is that the entire population who is not a partisan Democrat is inured to all that anti-Trump news, and just hears "Trump", and they're reminded of how well the USA was doing during his administration.
Why is Trump doing so well in the polls?
"Trump is incorruptible."
Hahahahahahaha.....!!!!!!!
"...he was the most competent executive elected in the last century."
Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha....!!!!!!
The laughter is sardonic, in spades.
"No one changes; no one learns."
People are dumb as shit.
People have had more than enough of the whiney-ass punks of POTATUS Biden’s administration. The ineffectual, foppish behavior of Blinken… the clueless SecDef… Mayorkas… the race-baiters… the grifters…
"Why is Trump doing so well in the polls?"
"Why am I not 50 points ahead?"
Could it be that more and more of the public is recognizing lawfare for what it is and that these cases are bullshit ?
I guess we'll find out in November.
People don't want to take a knee or become the next target of prosecutorial or judicial indiscretion.
I would pay good money to take a cooking class from Biden. Can you imagine the pandemonium? Comedy gold.
As long as the left wants to Trump the object of their affection-let's face it. They love the guy or why else give him all this attention-he's going to dominate. RCP swing state numbers still favor Trump by good margins.
Trump is not doing well in the polls, he is where he has always been (mid to high 40’s). There is no clear indication that Trump has converted a sizable number of 2020 Biden voters to his cause.
The issue is that Biden is doing poorly in the polls. What will happen to those voters in November?
I'd LOVE for the MSM to spend more time broadcasting Biden. His visible weakness grows almost hour by hour.
And noting his repetitive lies, debunked but born anew every speech, would be nice too.
I'd also like to wake up with the health, looks and stamina I had 40 years ago. Same likelihood.
Cohn's essay sounds like a form coping- I suspect he knows the media and the various prosecutions are directly responsible for Trump's resurgence, so Cohn is attempting to deny that that is the truth. However, this just makes Cohn look ridiculous because the argument that Trump is out of the news is just an outlandish point of view.
Hey Cookie - Under Crook Burisma Joe - we have nothing but war war and more war.
LOL - leftists are dumb as shit.
Blogger Achilles said...
Why is Trump doing so well in the polls?
Because he was the most competent executive elected in the last century. He received 10 million more votes than any other presidential candidate in history.
He had a life of executive decision making experience before taking the job.
Other presidents before him was an overstuffed Harvard/Yale grad lawyer. Except for the actor who also did a reasonable job. There was a general or two that did ok as well.
Trump’s success was predictable if you can look past the snooty classist bullshit that permeates politics.
4/19/24, 7:28 AM
———-
I am starting to believe that Achilles is really a parody of a tRump Swab. Either that or he has the IQ of an amoeba…
FTR, his business record is filled with failure and bankruptcies. It has been said that given the level of failure he has achieved p, whether it be business, politics, managing people, or marriages the one thing he has not failed at his failure itself.
AMDG--The left cheated in 2020.
so while Trump should be higher in the polls... it probably doesn't matter.
The crook and liars - and a-holes who killed voter ID, have already won.
Biden wins on changing a baby's diaper because he has all that experience changing his own.
Can't believe no one said that yet.
Robert Cook said, "People are dumb as shit."
Then, given that Cookie is (presumably) a person, then I guess he is confessing that he, too, is dumb as shit.
So if someone dumb as shit is making this particular comment, are we not expected to discount it by considering the source?
AMGD said..." It has been said that given the level of failure he has achieved..."
And your net worth?
This line from the spurious “poll” jumped out at me:
Teaching a beginners cooking class……..35%………26%
People would pick Joe Biden, a man who was just talking about cannibalism, to teach a beginning cooking class by 9 points over Donald Trump? Have food prices under Bidenomics gotten that bad elsewhere in the country? Here in the Shenandoah Valley food prices are up substantially since Biden took office, but I don’t think anyone is eating their neighbors just yet.
Why is Trump doing so well in the polls?
Because Biden is the latest in the line of horrible neo-liberal governance these past 30 years. Trump has no coherent vision for America's future, but has the instinct to destroy the rotten finance, military, academic and media structures holding up a tottering empire.
That's good enough for me.
NYT people, employees and devotees, live in a fantasy bubble. Trump is everywhere with mostly negative media coverage. However, polls don't matter Trump can't win by enough that Democrats can't steal it.
It's difficult to imagine a major American political party fielding a ticket that virtually guarantees Kamala Harris as our first female President. Makes you want to weep, doesn't it?
I’ve noticed in the NYC area, the local news promos have been mentioning Trump—“Donald Trump in court today” etc. I don’t recall anything about him before, not on local stations. Per Barnum, the I don’t care what you say about me as long as you spell my name right effect might be happening.
Trump has no coherent vision for America's future, but has the instinct to destroy the rotten finance, military, academic and media structures holding up a tottering empire.
=====================
Q > how far can coherent vision get the country in 4 year terms of Presidency?
the DeclarationOfIndependence arguably had a coherent vision
but not the Constitution,
nor the "Civil War"
nor all the wars following it precisely due to lack of coherent vision
House sitting for you over the weekend: Biden 43%
Well, we are living thru the “Weekend at Bernie’s” presidency.
Iman said...
Meanwhile, back at the ranch…
=================
so much independence = he did not ask mommy permission to do that
even with HEB coupons and combos my groceries bill are double what they used to be.
“Cohn's essay sounds like a form coping- I suspect he knows the media and the various prosecutions are directly responsible for Trump's resurgence, so Cohn is attempting to deny that that is the truth. However, this just makes Cohn look ridiculous because the argument that Trump is out of the news is just an outlandish point of view”
They should have asked which one was better at turning lemons into lemonade. He’s stuck attending kangaroo court hearings in NYC? He just stops by afterwards in working class a minority restaurants and bodegas, to pick up a bite to eat, and the crowds go wild.
The issue is that Biden is doing poorly in the polls. What will happen to those voters in November?
A lot of them are likely to vote for RFK Jr., and hand an Electoral College landslide and a plurality of the popular vote to Trump.
Trump is O.G., yo.
That's 'Orange Goldstein' to the folks with TDS.
@AMDG: FTR, his business record is filled with failure and bankruptcies.
No it isn't, you fucking fool. Six of his ventures ended in bankruptcy. Nearly 500 of them have been successful. It's one of the best records in the history of American business. More than half of all new enterprises go under in less than five years, as you might know if you had ever had the gumption to run so much as a hot-dog cart.
Tens of thousands of family dinner tables will have food on them tonight because of the good jobs that Trump's many businesses provide, probably a majority of them paying union scale.
It's only someone who signs the back of a paycheck instead of the front that could ever say such a stupid thing.
Was there a secret proviso in that poll? Like, Joe will be a better house-sitter, provided that Hunter won't hold any parties?
Anyway, given the absurdity of the current regime and its nominal leader, Trump isn't doing "so well," and there's a good chance nice women will vote for abortion rather than against the invasion.
The Godfather is asking for a good reason to vote for a man he abhors. lonejustice thinks he may have to vote for Trump because Biden.
People are looking for reasons to abandon the current shitshow. Trump is going to win in a landslide.
"FTR, his business record is filled with failure and bankruptcies. It has been said that given the level of failure he has achieved p, whether it be business, politics, managing people, or marriages the one thing he has not failed at his failure itself."
That is hilarious, AMDG. How many business failures does Trump have to do before he ends up in a gutter rather than jetting around the country in a big jet and sleeping at night on piles of money?
I am amazed that so many people think Biden could diaper a baby. I bet he's never done it - he had to marry the babysitter after his wife cut in front of a truck.
Well after a while the populace falls into lawfare fatigue. Now it's just a sort of background buzziness, and it now tends to come with an overlaying smell of the dirt in a cattle feedlot. You get a bit of occasional outrage--the judge in the "hush money" trial--which isn't really about hush money, but about accounting treatment thereof, won't let Trump take a day off to attend his son's high school graduation.
But otherwise the Democrats "saturation lawfare campaign" has passed peak interest--and now those deplorable dogs don't like the Democrat lawfare dogfood. They won't pay attention anymore.
As for Trump's "business failures", I'm reminded of a story about a German venture capitalist who came to Silicon Valley early on. The Valley was littered with startup failures--and also some immensely successful startups. The German said that people who'd gone bankrupt in the Valley carried the bankruptcies like dueling scars on the cheeks of German University students--the scar was something to be proud of for a moment--and then on to the next startup. It was not a badge of shame.
And it's not only Silicon Valley. There are and were all kinds of people in the "Oil bidness" in Texas, Oklahoma, and now in North Dakota who made--and lost- fortunes several times. And, after losing a fortune, went on to make another.
Have Democrats forgotten Bill Clinton in 1998 and 1999, when Monica Lewinsky and the stained blue dress hit the Drudge Report? Clinton ultimately came across as a victim when the Ken Starr video interview was released, and his popularity rose.
Bully any person and they may become more popular.
I note in passing that Biden achieved the office of president by not campaigning in public almost completely in 2020. All it took to get Biden elected was hatred of Trump and some skillful lawfare to get universal mailed ballots countable in a few states. Lying low is now a precedent with successful application at the presidential level in elections. Trump isn't trying to convince his opponents to vote for him, he is just trying to avoid having the opposition hate him so much they'll bother voting for the turnip their own party is running. And I note the turnip is going out in public more than in 2020, with disastrous coverage every time he tries to speak and shows his increasing dementia. Perhaps we will see a presidential election where a simple website with bullet points on policy will be the entire campaign for both sides. I'd pay a dollar to see that.
Robert Cook said...
People are dumb as shit.
You don't actually post anything intelligent here anymore. You don't ever try to deal with any actual facts or points anymore. Trump has broken you too.
He is smarter than you, better than you, and an infinitely more succesful person than you.
Go back and read your posts. They are all appeals to authority and baseless assertion.
It is pathetic. You have no self awareness.
AMDG said...
I am starting to believe that Achilles is really a parody of a tRump Swab. Either that or he has the IQ of an amoeba…
FTR, his business record is filled with failure and bankruptcies. It has been said that given the level of failure he has achieved p, whether it be business, politics, managing people, or marriages the one thing he has not failed at his failure itself.
Everyone who goes into business wins some and loses some. Trump had a pretty good record and was more successful than 99.9999% of Americans.
The difference between us is I look at objective facts.
Trump got 75 million votes which makes him the most popular politician in history.
Period. End of Discussion.
You are just a little person who was born in his station without the talent to accomplish 1/1000th of what Trump did and it makes you a bitter loser. There is nothing more pathetic than a Romney Republican right now. Everyone hates you people.
Nothing makes a progressive feel good than publicly saying they hate trump. It’s a natural high, Maddow loves you, Polosi loves you, NPR loves you, you are at the center of the universe, at the throne of God.
Nothing makes a progressive feel good than publicly saying they hate trump. It’s a natural high, Maddow loves you, Polosi loves you, NPR loves you, you are at the center of the universe, at the throne of God.
Blogger Mr. Forward said...
AMGD said..." It has been said that given the level of failure he has achieved..."
And your net worth?
4/19/24, 9:34 AM
_________________
If Trump taken his inheritance and whatever else is father funded him with he would be worth more than he claims to be worth now. Just for grins let's review some of the results of Trump's life of executive decision making and see if it can cut the mustard:
Trump Airlines
Trump Vodka
Trump Casinos (it takes a special kind of incompetence to bankrupt Casinos)
Trump: The Game
Trump Steaks
GoTrump.com
Trump University
Trump Mortgage
Trump Beverages
Trump Perfume
Trump Home Products
Trump Tower Tampa
Blogger Yancey Ward said...
"FTR, his business record is filled with failure and bankruptcies. It has been said that given the level of failure he has achieved p, whether it be business, politics, managing people, or marriages the one thing he has not failed at his failure itself."
That is hilarious, AMDG. How many business failures does Trump have to do before he ends up in a gutter rather than jetting around the country in a big jet and sleeping at night on piles of money?
4/19/24, 11:17 AM
_______________
Hey tRump Swab. He does not have piles of money. He has lots of properties mortgaged to the hilt.
If he had piles of money he would not have to loot the GOP to find is legal defense.
Blogger Hassayamper said...
@AMDG: FTR, his business record is filled with failure and bankruptcies.
No it isn't, you fucking fool. Six of his ventures ended in bankruptcy. Nearly 500 of them have been successful. It's one of the best records in the history of American business. More than half of all new enterprises go under in less than five years, as you might know if you had ever had the gumption to run so much as a hot-dog cart.
Tens of thousands of family dinner tables will have food on them tonight because of the good jobs that Trump's many businesses provide, probably a majority of them paying union scale.
It's only someone who signs the back of a paycheck instead of the front that could ever say such a stupid thing.
4/19/24, 10:40 AM
_______________
Yes - look at this unapparelled level of success:
Trump Airlines
Trump Vodka
Trump Casinos (it takes a special kind of incompetence to bankrupt Casinos)
Trump: The Game
Trump Steaks
GoTrump.com
Trump University
Trump Mortgage
Trump Beverages
Trump Perfume
Trump Home Products
Trump Tower Tampa
The Trump Plaza
Why is President Trump not ahead 15 pts?
Very simple. Trump has almost zero Elect Republicans out promoting President Trump.
Republicans, really are the Stupid Party. It would take very little effort by elected Republicans and other Conservatives to turn this into a true landslide. On par with Reagans 2cnd term.
But things like abortion, keep getting in the way. Trump is a centrist Democrat from the 80's, He invited Bill and Hillary to his wedding, and they CAME! Trump politics have not changed.
If Obama gets another 4 years, the destruction may not be correctable, or it will take a couple of generations of pain for the population to learn policies that appeal to your emotions, are terrible for the success of a Nation.
AMDG
Do you understand the term venture capital?
Every successful entrepreneur. has dozens of failures along the way.
Back in 2021 Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway and JPMorgan Chase launched a joint venture to deliver health care. It folded.
Bezos lost money on amazon, for more that a decade.
Apple is getting out of electric cars.
All of these are failures.
My point is, this is NORMAL. No successful person has success in every venture they launch
Everytime people buy stuff Biden is blamed for inflation.
No running from that.
"Hey Cookie - Under Crook Burisma Joe - we have nothing but war war and more war."
Do you think there was peace during Trump's administration? We were still mired in our self-made catastrophe in Afghanistan. Trump was, in fact, trigger-happy and "reckless" in his use of force against other nations.
Blogger iowan2 said...
Why is President Trump not ahead 15 pts?
Very simple. Trump has almost zero Elect Republicans out promoting President Trump.
Republicans, really are the Stupid Party. It would take very little effort by elected Republicans and other Conservatives to turn this into a true landslide. On par with Reagans 2cnd term.
But things like abortion, keep getting in the way. Trump is a centrist Democrat from the 80's, He invited Bill and Hillary to his wedding, and they CAME! Trump politics have not changed.
If Obama gets another 4 years, the destruction may not be correctable, or it will take a couple of generations of pain for the population to learn policies that appeal to your emotions, are terrible for the success of a Nation.
4/19/24, 1:02 PM
___________________
Trump is not ahead by 15 points and trails both other Republican office holders and the Republican advantage on issues because most voters despise Trump personally. Large majorities of registered voters with highest propensity to vote find him repulsive.
He is crass, disloyal, unfaithful, untrustworthy, untruthful, incompetent, completely devoid of honor, and the world’s most notorious golf cheat - if he has a redeeming quality it has yet to be found.
Trump’s position in the polls is due almost entirely to the fact that the Democrat ticket is going to made up of 2 of the 3 people in the world that Trump can defeat.
At least you admit he is a Democrat, something most tRump Swabs fail to grasp.
Polls are not votes.
People often say one thing to pollsters and another on their ballots. Then there is the matter of the sample being skewed by a biased media.
This much is clear - Trump would need at least a ten-point lead in the polls in the battleground states to win a majority vote in those same states.
He is crass, disloyal, unfaithful, untrustworthy, untruthful, incompetent, completely devoid of honor, and the world’s most notorious golf cheat - if he has a redeeming quality it has yet to be found.
Sure, but he's a great seller of shoes.
America's prodigal son returns, maybe. A diverse population of over 300 million citizens want to know.
There is no clear indication that Trump has converted a sizable number of 2020 Biden voters to his cause.
You really need to get out more. Hispanics and blacks are moving in large numbers towards Trump. As are young people.
He is crass, disloyal, unfaithful, untrustworthy, untruthful, incompetent, completely devoid of honor, and the world’s most notorious golf cheat - if he has a redeeming quality it has yet to be found.
You left out icky. And he smells bad.
You live in Pasadena?
I doubt Cohn has watched any recent Trump rally or even the Bodega scene. The elite leftist are too comfortable watching DTS MSM.
I see our little butthurt early DeSantis supporters, AMDG and VA Lawyer Mark, are still screaming at the heavens.
Therapy group rates remain available for those who have transitioned, and easily so, into Joe Scarborough mode.
Jim at (to DeSantis Lawfare Holdouts AMDG and VA Lawyer Mark): "You really need to get out more. Hispanics and blacks are moving in large numbers towards Trump. As are young people."
Shhh!
Jim, dont upset the cats that supported the guy that spent $200+M and still couldn't win a single county in Iowa but want to lecture everyone else on where voters are heading.
Why is Trump doing so well in the polls?
Joseph. Robinette. Biden.
Sorry Cook. No sale.
all those wars were started under other administrations. Many of them democratic.
You know this, btw.
I kinda doubt Trump lost money on the Trump board game.
Keep lying to yourself AMDG- it is of no concern to me.
Hail Pedo Pete, king of open borders.
"People often say one thing to pollsters and another on their ballots."
You think that means less votes for Trump? Inverted reality.
Devoid of honor?
AMDG - I guess that is why Trump went to the funeral of the cop killed by an illegal entrant.
And Biden when to an elite fund-raiser.
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