What a mess! Biden is too old and too mentally weak to be President, yet he's just sitting there at the top, immobile. And the only other strong candidates are the distinctly lefty Warren and Sanders. Harris cannot advance to double digits. And the mayor of a small city is inexplicably parked in fifth place. What about all the governors? Have they all dropped out, or are some of them still in and invisible?
The polls are awful for the Democrats, who've exacerbated their problem with their structure for the debates — discussed in today's NYT podcast "The Daily" today: "The Sudden-Death Phase of the Democratic Primaries."
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104 comments:
The Democrats do not have a deep bench. The Clintons sucked the blood out of the party.
"The Clintons sucked the blood out of the party.”
So did Obama. Obamacare was an electoral disaster for them.
I thought about saying that, Skylark, but didn't want to be blacklisted. Or, should that be whitelisted?
Biden's become "none of the above."
"What about all the governors?"
They're not batshit crazy socialists. They understand that programs have to actually be paid for somehow. Therefore they have no appeal to the psychotic Democrat Party base.
They're not even offering the the moderate that women would support, not that that wouldn't be disastrous too.
That Harvard poll is gold, baby!
Warren will be palatable and potentially hard to beat if she runs as the Warren of 15 years ago who rose to prominence on free thinking. Warren will be just another lefty patsy if she keeps pandering to the hard left the way she has been (Instapundit links to a good <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/02/opinion/elizabeth-warren-2020.html>Brooks opinion piece in the Times</a> that let's us know they still aren't supporting her.
Sanders' moment came and went in 2016. The only quesiotn for him is how long he waits to drop out and give his voters to Warren.
Do real people pay attention to this stuff before the actual primaries start?
Hmmm...what's up with blogger and links lately. It's like they heard Althouse declare she would delete people who didn't use hot links and said, "you'll be deleting everyone then!"
I have written here several times that I think Howard Schultz will run and will be a significant candidate in the general election.
If Warren wins the Democrat nomination, Schultz will run.
That's what happens when your party goes NUTSO!!!
HAHAHAHAHA!
If Warren wins the Democrat nomination, Schultz will run.
Warren will win the nomination.
Biden / Sanders / Warren - a trio of grandparents offering to buy the kiddies all ice cream cones they want.
Trump has his (many) flaws, but who wants to look at/listen to these three in the Oval Office.
"What a mess! Biden is too old and too mentally weak to be President, yet he's just sitting there at the top, immobile. And the only other strong candidates are the distinctly lefty Warren and Sanders."
Hence LLR Chuck's flop sweat panic.
Given this field, is a centrist, third-party candidate likely to pull more votes away from Trump or the Democrat nominee?
Hate to break it to Bill Maher, but I think it's the latter.
With his tan and overly white teeth, Biden looks like a retirement community lothario.
I saw more than a few when visiting my wife's parents in Scottsdale.
At some point, Trump will transition from Sleepy Joe to Creepy Joe. He's holding back for now.
Maybe the Establishment now wants Trump to win. Many a polity has changed radically in a few years with the change taking several more years to register. Maybe Chuck & Co. didn’t get the memo.
the only one worth two poops is Tulsi.
After being Obama's go-to implementer of the Title IX jihad against due process, Biden deserves nothing but disgrace.
I know you need to produce posts, Althouse, but really...
Trump is doing a great job. Why look elsewhere?
I think your academic predisposition is to argue endlessly about intellectual issues, and I think Trump has proven that this requirement for the presidency is simply an error.
What is needed is an experienced business manager, a pragmatist who understands the intangibles of negotiation.
These lengthy policy and intellectual disputes on which you seem to premise your vote are mostly irrelevant.
Elizabeth Warren reminds me of Dolores Umbridge and once I got that thought in my head, I can't see her any other way.
Biden's become "none of the above."
Agreed. I think he will stumble in the end and Warren will probably win the nomination with Bernie's support unless he decides to go third party.
The question then is whether Michelle or Oprah gets involved. The Dims will be staring into the abyss.
The polls are awful for the Democrats, who've exacerbated their problem with their structure for the debates — discussed in today's NYT podcast "The Daily" today: "The Sudden-Death Phase of the Democratic Primaries."
In other words, good news for the sane citizens of this great, but imperfect country!
The pros think 2020 is going to be a good year to keep a low profile.
"And the *failed* mayor of a small city is inexplicably parked in fifth place."
South Bend, Indiana - home of the University of Notre Dame du Lac - is in the top twenty murder cities in the US. Right there with Chicago and St. Louis.
Mayor Pete can't even run South Bend.
Biden is perceived as the most centrist candidate. Apparently that outweighs being "too old and too mentally weak to be President" in the minds of Dem voters.
Is that because they reject the far left movement in their party or do they just perceive Biden as most likely to beat Trump in the General?
The Democrat Party has morphed into the Russian Bolsheviks of 1917 -- but without the guns.
Instead, they've armed the inner cities of Detroit, Chicago, Baltimore and DC, where their voters mostly just shoot each other up. Oh yeah, they've also designated Antifa as their "political muscle" - a buncha cowardly masked Commie junior college professors, who protest stuff.
The leaders (Biden, Warren, Sanders) are all 70 year old leftwing figureheads who tolerate and encourage all the nonsense below them.
They simply don't buy the American experiment in Constitutional liberty. They think America, in general, is too racist, too sexist, too capitalist, too Christian. So, they seek to chip away at the American traditions, institutions, and values.
Fuck 'em. They are a menace to our country. I'm looking forward to 2020 - it'll be a real dogfight.
Biden is too old and too mentally weak to be President, yet...
...everyone else running is worse.
It's that damn Trump's fault. Before he became President, any of these people would have looked perfectly acceptable to the American electorate.
First he made the Republican establishment look like a bunch of buffoons.
Now he's doing it to the Democrats.
"Hmmm...what's up with blogger and links lately. It's like they heard Althouse declare she would delete people who didn't use hot links and said, "you'll be deleting everyone then!""
I have no idea what you are talking about. I made no such declaration. And maybe you're not getting the code right. Nothing is wrong with Blogger.
How to make a hot link.
See?
Mayor Pete can't even run South Bend.
and, he's a lame duck; that isn't even going to TRY to get a 3rd term.
The mayor before him had, like, FIVE terms. It's not that Pete Buttifuc Can't run, it's that he WON'T
Hmmm…what's up with blogger and links lately. It's like they heard Althouse declare she would delete people who didn't use hot links and said, “you'll be deleting everyone then!”
It sometimes seems so, but no (smile).
In this case (your foregoing link), actually, one needs to put a double-quote character around both ends of a URL link for it to be acceptable html. (Look closely at that code.)
To wit: [correcting your comment…]
Warren will be palatable and potentially hard to beat if she runs as the Warren of 15 years ago who rose to prominence on free thinking. Warren will be just another lefty patsy if she keeps pandering to the hard left the way she has been (Instapundit links to a good Brooks opinion piece in the Times that lets us know they still aren't supporting her.
Sanders' moment came and went in 2016. The only question for him is how long he waits to drop out and give his voters to Warren.
[/unQuote]
Socialism has the political virtue of being a policy that "sounds good". The equality and economic security depicted in socialism sound good to low information voters with no sense of history. The problem with socialism is that it doesn't work. No one wants to hear about Cuba or Venezuela, much less the USSR or Mao's China. No one wants to hear about Baltimore, Detroit and Seattle.
The Democrats are selling a failed ideology. Their only hope is to double down on socialism. Bernie and Liz are effectively arguing that socialism has failed in the USA because it wasn't done right or hard enough. That message is a loser, which is why Biden is leading. Voters see Biden as the least socialist of the Democrat candidates.
Biden has been a glad handing people pleaser who embellished stories to gain favor. Now he appears to be confabulating because of significant cognitive decline. In other words, he is making up false details because he cannot remember the actual details, but does not want others to notice his memory problems.
I have interviewed and assessed many cognitively impaired patients. Confabulation is often the most obvious sign of serious cognitive decline.
He will not be the Dem candidate in 2020.
I've often wondered whether it would be more effective for Trump to finish off Biden ahead of time, thus asserting his dominance, or just let the status quo play out. His political instincts are uncanny, so I'm sure he knows what he's doing. But I'm certain Trump could destroy Biden in a couple of tweets if he wanted to.
Bob Boyd said...
Biden is perceived as the most centrist candidate.
... and I agree.
I have no idea who Yang is or what he's about but Yang bumper stickers and even signs have been popping up in my Seattle neighborhood and on cars.
It's way early, still. Yang - or someone else with 0% name recognition - can come out of nowhere. Schultz might resurface (as someone above suggested). Oprah or some other celebrity could pull a Schwarzenegger and jump in.
There's no point in handicapping the race now. Just pay attention for the astonishment of watching the Dems believe in their own loud and nasty echo chamber as they race off the cliff. And there's also lots of LULZ in that!
There's no point in handicapping the race now
Interesting. I’d speculate the race is pretty much over. Everything except the chaos.
Bring back Hillary, Dems! She's your only hope.
Hill uh ree!
Hill uh ree!
Hill uh ree!
It is very hard to beat an elected incumbent President. It's only happened three times since WWII. LBJ was saddled with Vietnam, Carter with high inflation and the Iran hostage crisis, and Bush Sr's betrayal of his No New Taxes pledge combined with the strong third party candidacy of Ross Perot did him in.
Politicians know that getting nominated for President and losing usually means you won't get a second chance. Nixon was the exception. So the strongest potential candidates don't run when they don't think they can win. There are some Democratic senators and governors who could run a strong center-left campaign out there, but they're not running this time because they have too much to lose. So we're left with weak candidates who have little to lose by running.
what's up with blogger and links
You forgot the " after the URL.
Maybe we should wait until after a couple of primaries and caucuses to see what shakes out. Actually, all of the democrat candidates are terrible
Harris cannot advance to double digits.
@Althouse, have you seen any poll of the support for Harris among black voters? Last one I saw was weeks ago, and it had Harris below 10% strictly among black voters. Mayor Pete is also polling poorly among blacks. Neither is going to be the nominee.
You are playing a very bad hand when the best you can offer is someone too old and mentally weak (that mentally weak part was true of Biden when he was a mere stripling of 35) as a candidate for President.
Biden is too old and too mentally weak to be President, yet he's just sitting there at the top, immobile.
Yeah, and that's because, while the large majority of the chattering class are white liberals, the majority of Democratic voters are minority.
Minority voters aren't looking for the next Great Social Experiment. They're looking to keep the Democratic Machine gravy train flowing, and they, rightly in my opinion, see Biden as their best shot to accomplish that goal.
If you're a white liberal, Biden looks like a fossil. If you're a black woman, Biden looks like the Democratic Party that gave your Mom & Dad a leg up.
The Dem party has for some time basically consisted of three blocs: Blacks, centrists, and anti-war leftist types. Biden is the current favorite of the first two. Unless he does something really disqualifying, it's hard to see how Warren or Sanders are going to be able to dislodge him from the lead. It's also hard to see how anyone else in this field is going to broaden their appeal in a way that makes them popular with more than one of these blocs.
You inexplicably mis-spelled "because he's gay".
it's hard to see how Warren or Sanders are going to be able to dislodge him from the lead.
Would? (COULD!?) the Powers That Be (read, Cash on the Barrel head) actually be STUPID ENOUGH
to let Either Warren OR Sanders get the Presidency?
Of course, maybe the Powers know, that there's no chance President Trump won't be reelected?
confabulating because of significant cognitive decline. In other words, he is making up false details because he cannot remember the actual details, but does not want others to notice his memory problems... Confabulation is often the most obvious sign of serious cognitive decline.
"this is the God’s truth. My word as a Biden."
BUT! He DID say, after all; that Democrats CHOOSE TRUTH OVER FACTS
I was jousting with my favorite liberal here on the left coast and even they concede his choices are limited and super shitty. Even if Trump is dislodged none of the promises being made will ever be kept. The damage that ramming Obamacare through on a party line vote has damaged and continues to damage their party so imagine trying to get reparations, the new green deal or universal healthcare through?
This will be a real gift to Trump is Sanders, Biden and Warren all go to the convention with votes and it's split three ways.
Not sure of the Dem party would allow that though.
The Democrats do not have a deep bench. The Clintons sucked the blood out of the party.
Agree. They had no real party or ideological loyalty. Everything was how best to further their interests.
Obama's fault is different. He didn't suck blood out of the party but rather he didn't add any new blood. Unlike with FDR, JFK and Reagan, there isn't a generation that wants to further his agenda. Old Joe is really the only that run on the Obama legacy.
The damage that ramming Obamacare through on a party line vote has damaged and continues to damage their party
How hard would it have been, for the Dems to get Just a Few republican votes?
My guess is: Not Very Hard At ALL
They did more whoring to get democrat votes (Louisiana purchase, Cornhusker Kickback)
than they would have had to do; to get Just a Few republican votes....
BUT! They Didn't WANT any republican votes; That WANTED to OWN O'Bama care
ALL THE DEMOCRATS HAVE TO DO IS NOT BE CRAZY — AND THEY CAN'T EVEN DO THAT.
I tend to view the race as Biden vs Not-Biden. So, I look at these polls and see Biden behind by 40%. In other words, the race won't be 5 way as depicted here beyond New Hampshire- it will be heads up, and I am not even convinced the heads up part of the primary race will involve Biden at all, but if he does make it that far, I think he will be done by mid May of next year.
Right now, if I had to bet money, I would say Warren is going to win the nomination- her campaign seems the most professional and complete in the field right now, and she seems the most energetic. I think her support right now in the polls is the floor and she has a great upside. As for Sanders, his support definitely seems to be a ceiling, not a floor. Were he to drop out, almost all of his supporters would go for Warren. The one problem for Warren, though, is that I don't think Sanders will drop out- he will stay in until the last primary- this is the one good thing Biden has going for him- Sanders and Warren's supporters may not team up until it is too late.
And if, by some miracle, it does go to a brokered convention, there is Hillary!
They had no real party or ideological loyalty. Everything was how best to further their interests.
There was a very good book about the Democrats a few years ago. I can't recall the title but it was about the identity politics and how the coalition has contrary goals.
Jeff said...
There are some Democratic senators and governors who could run a strong center-left campaign out there, but they're not running this time because they have too much to lose.
Who are you thinking of?
Maybe, a damaged, senile Biden would be easier for Trump to beat in the General election. He could rail against the Obama administration and hammer Biden with it.
Dunno, just a thought.
Whoever the Dems pick, I still think it's a 50-50 election, based on Electoral College.
Re: ConradBibby:
The Dem party has for some time basically consisted of three blocs: Blacks, centrists, and anti-war leftist types. Biden is the current favorite of the first two. Unless he does something really disqualifying, it's hard to see how Warren or Sanders are going to be able to dislodge him from the lead. It's also hard to see how anyone else in this field is going to broaden their appeal in a way that makes them popular with more than one of these blocs.
I think that breakdown is a little too pat. I think the major blocs in the Democratic party today are:
1. Left-wing progressives
2. Educated professionals, both wealthy (e.g. bankers, lawyers, doctors) and merely credentialed (academics, journalists, etc.)
3. Ethnic minorities who don't trust Republicans (Blacks, and to a lesser extent Hispanics and Asians)
Democrats also need to hang onto their shrinking share of non-minority middle class and lower class Whites to win elections -- not a core bloc or interest group for the party, but still critical to winning elections in suburban and rural districts across the country. Democrats can still afford to lose rural areas (they have basically lost all of them at this point), but not the suburbs. Biden has these people and number (3), which is why he still seems the most electable to me.
His personal flaws (penchant for ludicrous exaggeration of his own accomplishments, creepy habit of sniffing womens' hair) would probably be disqualifying against any normal Republican candidate, but Trump has all the same weaknesses only worse, so I think he has a decent shot against Trump. Hence Trumps' advisors being most concerned about Biden (there were all those stories about how they were trying to get Trump to stop pumping Biden up as his main rival).
I think what Trump is betting on, though, is that in the debates, if it comes down to a contest of blowhard vs. blowhard, he'll blow Biden out of the water.
"His personal flaws (penchant for ludicrous exaggeration of his own accomplishments, creepy habit of sniffing womens' hair) would probably be disqualifying against any normal Republican candidate, but Trump has all the same weaknesses only worse, so I think he has a decent shot against Trump."
Respectfully disagree, even assumimg I grant your assertion Trump has similar flaws.
Because you haven't addressed Biden's apparent senility. His recent behavior reminds voters about The Talk they had or will have on what to do with Grandpa. The police found him at a Rest Stop 280 miles away, he had no idea where he was and couldn't remember his own name.
Americans will not vote for Senile Joe.
The Democratic Party must have their time in the Wilderness before they come to their senses I guess.
I think it is lining up pretty good for dems. Biden-Warren looks like a winning ticket to me. Too old and mentally unstable? Is that really going to be trump’s strategy?? Pot is a lot blacker than the kettle.
The crooked democrats are pretty sure they can steal this time, they've got a plan.
think your academic predisposition is to argue endlessly about "intellectual" issues, and I think Trump has proven that this requirement for the presidency is simply an error.
I think that says it better, Shouting Thomas.
Re: Fen:
Because you haven't addressed Biden's apparent senility. His recent behavior reminds voters about The Talk they had or will have on what to do with Grandpa. The police found him at a Rest Stop 280 miles away, he had no idea where he was and couldn't remember his own name.
Fair enough. I think 50% of that is just that Biden has always tended to blabber a bit, but 50% of it may be that his mental acuity (such as it was) is not what it used to be.
Re: MadisonMan:
The Democratic Party must have their time in the Wilderness before they come to their senses I guess.
Eh, I would like the Democratic fever to break, but I remember how Obama used to muse about the Republican fever breaking too. The fever didn't break -- instead, the dam broke and it washed the putative "achievements" of Obama's administration away. I think Trump's election sent a message to the professional classes, but the professional classes have, by and large, not been willing to listen to it. It's a muddled message, to be sure, but the professional classes would rather dismiss the messenger as racist or befuddled by Russians than think hard about why they have lost the confidence and respect of so much of the country. And I see no sign of that changing, even if Trump wins reelection.
In reply to my contention that
"There are some Democratic senators and governors who could run a strong center-left campaign out there, but they're not running this time because they have too much to lose."
Bob Boyd asked: Who are you thinking of?
North Carolina Gov. Cooper and Montana Gov. Bullock both won election in red states, which makes them formidable. Among Senators, Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Mark Warner of Virginia would be very strong general election candidates if they could get through the primaries. All four of these people can run as experienced centrists, which is usually a winning strategy. (Please note that I make no claim about whether these guys really are centrists or not, just that they can run as such.) And I think the amount of money someone like Warner could raise would pretty much blow away the rest of the primary field.
You might question whether or not a perceived centrist can win the Democratic nomination, but I submit that both Carter and Bill Clinton did, and even Obama pretended not to be a hard leftist in 2008.
The only thing that worries me is the Democrats stealing the election, through ballot harvesting and cooperation by Google / Facebook / YouTube to suppress conservative voices.
Otherwise, it'd be a blowout for Trump.
"Biden-Warren looks like a winning ticket to me."
A prickly progressive woman in a subservient role to a doddering old white guy: yes, the optics are going to be wonderful.
I am Laslo.
I think it is lining up pretty good for dems. Biden-Warren looks like a winning ticket to me.
Steve,
Biden is suffering from progressive cognitive decline. His tendency to be an amiable, smiling bullshitter has changed to confabulation and will only get worse. If you pay close attention you will notice the change.
How hard would it have been, for the Dems to get Just a Few republican votes?
When you tell Susan Collins to eff off, you have no interest in even the slightest appearance of bi-partisanship.
Biden is the sacrificial lamb who can absorb a loss to Trump without ruining his future, because he has no future. The rest of the field has to think about 2024.
Big Mike said...
When you tell Susan Collins to eff off, you have no interest in even the slightest appearance of bi-partisanship.
That's What I mean! They (basically) had to Work to keep her from voting for it
There's some sort of "Climate Change" debate which I have ZERO desire to watch. I mean ZERO.
Blogger steve uhr said...
I think it is lining up pretty good for dems
Steve, the hurricane missed Mar a Lago;. Go back to sleep.
steve uhr walked past the graveyard; whistling...
Too old and mentally unstable? Is that really going to be trump’s strategy?? Pot is a lot blacker than the kettle.
Too old and mentally unstable? Is that really going to be Bidens’s strategy?? Pot is a lot blacker than the kettle.
fify!
Experts: It May Be Too Late To Halt Climate Change Town Hall On CNN
Despite humanity's best efforts to stall climate change town halls by long-winded, self-important politicians, the event appears to be rapidly approaching. No one has been able to come up with a plan to stop it, and now there's a scientific consensus that it's inevitable.
"We have reached the point of no return," said one expert grimly as he took a shot of something from a flask. "We have less than 12 hours before the Democrats do irreparable damage to our sanity by talking for seven full freakin' hours on television."
@ Jeff
Actually Bullock is running. And MT is not a red state. Never has been. Used to be blue before blue and red were the terms for it. Now it's purple. MT has one senator from each party. Last 2 governors have been Dems.
Dems have long run left in the primaries and center in the general, but now? The rules have changed. What the rules are is still being established. Anyway, Bullock isn't doing very well. I think he's raising money and working on his brand for a Senate run. But who knows. Carter, Clinton and Obama were all dark horses. Anyone waiting for things to get back to normal is in for a long wait.
Too old and mentally unstable? Is that really going to be trump’s strategy??
No, Senile. Trump will be hosting 3-5 campaign stops per day.
Biden will be confusing his drool cup with his Depends by the 2nd stop.
One of my favorite pols is Dan Crenshaw from Texas. If Trump's reelection campaign gets dicey, he ought to consider booting Pence (who's done a decent job), with Crenshaw (who'd be a rock star).
Also, tapping a younger Presidential heir corrects the mistake that both Reagan and Bush 2 made.
Just a thought.
Also, tapping a younger Presidential heir corrects the mistake that both Reagan and Bush 2 made.
I agree but Pence has been loyal although dull.
I see Haley and Crenshaw in 2024.
The wild card in this election is that 40% of those between 25-34 have a college degree. And consequently, some unfathomable number in the millions upon millions of the people in that group have an overwhelming, life-destroying debt which they've had since they were 21. College is now what a catastrophic illness without insurance used to be. I think students who agree not to live on campus or use the facilities except the libraries and labs should only have to pay enough tuition to cover the costs of the teaching professors, who are mainly adjuncts, so that wouldn't be a lot. The state or endowments should pay for maintenance of the libraries and labs. The Federal government and foundations are funding research. And the others, the slush of administrators, should be paid from football games and endowments or disbanded. Professors, adjunct and graduate students could do the essentials.
As usual the ones I would consider, Delaney and Hickenlooper, have no chance. Delaney seems sane, and Hickenlooper possibly sane with the best formal qualifications in the field but ... bupkis.
I'm hoping the nominee is Warren, she loses, and the third time is a charm in 2024. Haley2024.
Wildswan, you are talking about wiping out the entire Leftist seminary system.
That will never happen. Not a chance.
The Left could never allow it. Their degrees are their entire self-worth. Their college experience was the high point of their lives. Their expertise is what gives them societal legitimacy. Their parents and grandparents are proud of them. They want the same for their kids.
It’s a gigantic status racket. But there’s a far more fundamental political piece...
The modern university is their ideological delivery system, radicalization incubator and largest adult public works program.
Without the education system, they’re toast.
stable sort,
https://twitchy.com/brettt-3136/2019/09/04/kamala-harris-says-shes-prepared-to-get-rid-of-the-filibuster-to-pass-the-green-new-deal/
they tried to put their man through an election but he lost,
https://babalublog.com/2019/09/04/with-the-help-of-venezuela-and-cuba-colombias-marxist-narco-terrorist-group-farc-is-officially-back-in-action/
A senile Biden is better than a functioning Biden. Random is better than leftist.
Biden reminds me of Chief Lesard in the Police Academy series: always a bit oblivious to what was going on about him, but also without guile. So those around him protected him, and just when you thought he didn't know what was going on, he'd do something and you realized he really was in charge.
Biden may be ridiculed by the press for his mistakes, but I suspect many folks trust him because he is no vicious and doesn't come over as ambitious.
If Biden got rid of his extreme left wing handlers and went back to his blue collar/blue dog Democrat roots, he really would be a threat to Trump.
Warren is a crazy, nasty piece of work and a total fraudster. Trump will mop the floor with Fauxchahantas. The National Media will be finished after the 2020 election - corrupt, stupid and anti-American to the core
Sure death by Climate is imaginary, so it can use any tool that it wants to see used.
The Hindu DA and Senator from California wants to see it used to outlaw all eating of cows. This is hilarious.
It is very hard to beat an elected incumbent President. It's only happened three times since WWII. LBJ was saddled with Vietnam, Carter with high inflation and the Iran hostage crisis, and Bush Sr's betrayal of his No New Taxes pledge combined with the strong third party candidacy of Ross Perot did him in.
Technically, twice: LBJ didn't run in '68, and thus didn't lose. And Carter and Bush lost to Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton, respectively: the two most popular presidents of the last 50 years.
So, if the Dems want to beat Trump, they need a new Reagan or Clinton, which they really, really don't have.
Warren is a crazy, nasty piece of work and a total fraudster.
Not enough people know that Warren Who Cares So Much About The Little Guy started building her fortune by flipping foreclosed houses in Oklahoma. That's a shitty, shitty way to make a buck. Profiting off of people's misery.
I realize that whether she participated or not, the banks were still going to take the houses, but it says a lot about what kind of person you are if you can sleep at night making money from the misfortunes of your social inferiors. Many of whom were probably real Cherokees, come to think of it.
Will Biden's eye do him in? Doesn’t he look and sound feeble? Aside from his scummy dishonest campaign, doesn’t he just look too old and feeble?
Statistically in the modern era Presidents win re-election more often than not. The better Democrats are probably sitting tight and hoping to recapture their party from the craziest of the crazy after their policies are proven undesirable in the 2020 election. If there are better Democrats that is, I've seen no evidence of any, just figuring statistically there must be some, somewhere.
Couldn't happen to a nicer party.
I wouldn't say Biden looks like a lightweight at this point, but it wouldn't surprise me if he came right out and said that he thinks gravitas is the name of a Mexican beer.
The rest of the field is a punch line in search of a joke. Bernie Sanders is an unrepentant Communist, and the also-rans are starting to make George McGovern sound like a centrist.
Meanwhile, Warren's gaming of the affirmative action racket is going to be front and center if she's the nominee. The fake Indian jokes are way too easy: Lieawatha, Fauxcahontas, Chief Spouting Bull, the list could go endlessly on. She'll be depicted as a radical on policy, and a rapscallion on personality, and good luck selling THAT mixture of snake oil in the Rust Belt.
One thing complicating things in the primary cycle is that while the delegates are allocated proportionally, 15% of the vote is required to win any delegates so long as somebody crosses that threshold. Sanders and Warren are close enough to the 15% cutoff that it's quite possible they get no delegates in several states if their support stays about where it is.
Although it seems increasingly apparent Biden simply does not have the stamina needed for this, if he drops out it likely causes a 4-way intersectionality crash between Sanders and 3 identity based candidates, and unless one of them pulls away as the favorite (probably over 40% of the vote), the Democrats are going to Milwaukee to try and broker a nominee out of 3 or 4 candidates or the possibility of a compromise nominee who wasn't even in the running - Hillary's dream, as it were, as she'd only need to run a 100-day campaign and wouldn't face any friendly fire in a bruising primary.
You have to love that the three front-runners are old and white. No one says "white privilege" more than Biden, he has no great ideas and no accomplishments other than sitting in a seat as a Senator and later as VP. Warren rose due to her lies about being a Native American, and Bernie never held a real job.
Maybe Oprah will swoop in at the eleventh hour in a failed attempt to save the day.
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