The group, which includes voting-rights attorney John Bonifaz and J. Alex Halderman, the director of the University of Michigan Center for Computer Security and Society, believes they’ve found persuasive evidence that results in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania may have been manipulated or hacked. The group is so far not speaking on the record about their findings and is focused on lobbying the Clinton team in private....What does it mean to say there is "persuasive evidence" that something "may have" happened? The "may have" takes the edge of urgency off "persuasive evidence." I've read the short article at the link and doubt that the idea will tempt Clinton to pursue a challenge.
The Clinton camp is running out of time to challenge the election. According to one of the activists, the deadline in Wisconsin to file for a recount is Friday; in Pennsylvania, it’s Monday; and Michigan is next Wednesday....
ADDED: "Shame on Liberal Journalists For Running With Baseless Election ‘Hack’ Story":
There is only one “fact” cited in the original NY Mag piece that would point to hacking, and that was immediately debunked by actual experts (per Nate Silver it doesn’t even “pass the sanity test,” Dave Wasserman calls it “pathetic”). Remarkably, the NYDN piece repeats the sole “evidence” of hacking, and then completely debunks it two paragraphs later....
So Clinton’s vote was down 7% in Wisconsin counties with electronic voting… and counties with electronic voting were also the ones most likely to vote against Clinton. In other words, literally nothing is suspicious about the election results.
Posts
134 comments:
trump did say the election was rigged. maybe he has a point.
Putin hacked the electronic voting machines? Who woulda thunk it?
Want to see a real uprising try to carry this out. I would trust the conclusions of these people about as far as I trust the conclusions of the guy who came up with the hockey stick graph for global warming. As you statisticians out there can probably attest you can reach any conclusion using statistics. As Mark Twain said there are " lies, damn lies and statistics".
Hillary conceded. Her one act of grace in a lifetime of sin.
Utter nonsense; it will never happen.
Can there by any more self-interested group favoring a recount than "election lawyers"?
It's like Peter Pan. If all the boys and girls applaud, then Tinkerbell will live.
Note also the fake news, that six Trump electors have elected.
Sorry, make that "defected."
It's just part of the coordinated, funded effort to oppose Trump.
Why don't the lefties read this description of the new electoral world.?
I know. It doesn't suit your prejudices.
Well Trump can 'rethink' charging Hillary with crimes. And there is no "may have" to her crimes.
Paper ballots in urban areas and electronic in rural areas, no discrepancy. Very weak and sad!
I'm persuaded! Get to it!
Paul said...
Well Trump can 'rethink' charging Hillary with crimes. And there is no "may have" to her crimes.
11/22/16, 8:53 PM
not very likely he'll do that.
because
Recount until you win, is the rule.
If Hillary had won and Trump had tried this, the press would crucify him, bury him, then dig him up and crucify him again, just to make sure.
Nate Cohn, Nate Silver and Harry Enten have all come out and said they are full of poo. Iowa and Minn moved to Trump as much as WI, MI and PA and they have 100% paper ballots.
I believe all voting should use paper ballots, but this is such sour grapes. Hillary's supporters are behaving worse than anyone expected the Trump supporters would have if he had lost.
Seriously? Now they believe in vote fraud?
Honestly, I'd love to be gone with any voting machines that can be hacked. I'd also love to be gone with voting by mail, which is basically begging for large scale fraud, and to get rid of early voting, and and to institute voter ID laws. For some reason the Democrats don't seem to care for any of those for some reason.
The harassment of Trump electors needs to be called out as well.
Why stop at WI, PA and MI. Go full Gore and try to get FL. It is only 113,000 votes to make up. There are probably that many ballots in the trunks of Broward county election workers
Wouldn't any recount run into the same Time problem that the 2000 Gore challenge ran into? The Electoral college needs to meet on day X so the POTUS can be inaugurated on Jan 21st. So any recount would have to be ordered now.
What this really shows is that a large part of the Democrat Party are liberal fascists who will do ANYTHING to hold onto power. Rules? We don't care about your stinking rules. Just win baby, just win.
Of course the election was rigged. We know that because there were Democrats involved.
They just didn't rig it enough.
"Prominent computer scientists"
I find that super-funny. First, the idea that computer programmers are "scientists" Do they were white lab coats while they type in code?
I mean they couldn't be Left-wingers with major in computer science or biased. After all, its Science!
Oooh, and they are "prominent". Which means the reporter liked them.
Sane voter 9:31 - heh.
They just want to sow doubt about the election, trying to get out the vote in two years. Leftists are nothing if not predictable.
The most important part of the article: "the group has not found proof of hacking or manipulation".
I'm a bit inclined to Tom Swift's view. They know they rigged it, they're having trouble working out why they didn't win. The great Democrat strongholds know that subtlety is for wimps.
The Dems don't want an actual audit. They would lose 10 million + fraudulent votes in their favor.
Well, we've seen anger, and denial, this must be the bargaining?
Nate Silver is dismissing the "study". And Michigan has all paper ballots.
Questions no one asked: "Secretary Clinton, will you accept the results of this election?"
Remember when not forthrightly answering this question in the affirmative was the greatest threat to democracy ever?
Someone should 'splain to the libs that if you think that if the other guy gets elected instead of your guy, the dark night of fascism will descend on the nation, you don't believe in small-r republicanism. You don't believe in democracy if you only accept as legitimate elections where your guy wins.
In the case of global warming, many on the left believe that if the GOP gains power all life on earth will be extinguished.
Bernie Sanders said "Today, the scientific community is virtually unanimous: climate change is real, it is caused by human activity, and we have a moral responsibility to transform our energy system away from fossil fuel to energy efficiency and sustainable energy and leave this planet a habitable planet for our children and our grandchildren."
You can't believe that and call yourself a democrat. The will of the people is second to the survival of the race, isn't it?
Well, the Dems got plenty of votes. They just weren't distributed properly.
This is what happens when Scientific Progressives are allowed to become computer scientists and election lawyers.
She conceded. This fantasy is irrelevant.
What loons. Get over it. Move on.
What a terrible idea.
Has everyone forgotten about the idea that a gracious loser is well positioned to win next time?
Obviously, Hillary has had her last chance. She's coughed up two unlosable elections, and if she's smart she won't grasp at straws like this. But other Democrats are going to be on the ballot in two short years. The best play is to settle down, find some new blood in the leadership, and try to benefit from the inevitable Trump missteps. Freaking out and trying to get a do-over for an election that has already happened is exactly the wrong thing to do.
What would your legal strategy even be in this case? What ballots do you want the court to count?
"While it’s important to note the group has not found proof of hacking or manipulation, they are arguing to the campaign that the suspicious pattern merits an independent review..."
This is just pathetic, but it's not even the worst part. Forget about no evidence of wrongdoing, there are no ballots to be counted! All votes registered by the machines have been counted correctly.
You can't win an election unless by actual count you have received more votes than your opponent. Expectation values don't enter into it. No court is going to give you the presidency for imaginary ballots you think you should have received.
I'm still seeing comments posted on Facebook by "progressive" friends who are arguing that Trump is going to be terrible, fully confident they can't possibly be wrong or need to wait until he is inaugurated to pass judgement on what a terrible president he is. They are stuck in the same arguments we were having before the election, insulting me, and convinced that the fake news and slander against Trump was real.
I wonder how they will process President Trump as a successful leader? Could be a lot of mental breakdowns, I can't imagine.
"prominent computer scientists and election lawyers..."
I think I see the problem here.
"Prominent computer scientists"
"Top men"
Geez. New York Magazine really knows how to troll for kiosk sales. There must be big bucks lefty agitprop. I would like to get in on it but I have a conscience.
I must say, I am enjoying watching everyone react stereotypically according to their voting preference. Obama wins, the Repubs howl, and vice a versus.
Trump really is Obama's mirror image. Grope and Change!
It reminds me of that scene at the end of the movie Trading Places when Don Ameche starts screaming "Turn those machines back on!"
I was looking for one of those beautiful photographs the perfesser posts from time to time calling for free-for-all comments, but alas... no.
So i have to say it here, i guess (and I'm serious):
What exactly is the difference between a memory and a fantasy?
And what is the difference between a soul and a ghost?
I have always wondered about these. It's driving me crazy.
I'm not getting better. Can y'all help?
R.J. Chatt said...
I'm still seeing comments posted on Facebook by "progressive" friends who are arguing that Trump is going to be terrible, fully confident they can't possibly be wrong or need to wait until he is inaugurated to pass judgement on what a terrible president he is. They are stuck in the same arguments we were having before the election, insulting me, and convinced that the fake news and slander against Trump was real.
Trump's well published history over the past 30 years provides adequate evidence to believe what tomorrow will bring. His long history of abusing his acquaintances (he has no friends), employees vendors, investors, bureaucrats, reporters, politicians, tenants, family and women run deep throughout his life, so there is little chance that all of the news falls into the "fake news" category. You can work through the history and come to a reasoned conclusion, but if you don't really want to know about Trump truth, you can continue your emotional connection to the carny barker.
Tough for some folks to handle losing......
BN said...Can y'all help?
Sure. $600 an hour with a four hour minimum. I guarantee my work, and only sterile equipment will be used. Most of my patients recover in less than a month.
BN said @ 11/22/16, 10:41 PM...
I must say, I am enjoying watching everyone react stereotypically according to their voting preference. Obama wins, the Repubs howl, and vice a versus.
Please post some links to stories about Republicans calling for vote recounts, posting nearly incomprehensible emotional meltdown/tantrum selfies, needing grief counselor-manned 'safe spaces' replete with play-doh and hot chocolate, and protesting/rioting in the streets over Obama's 2008 and 2012 elections.
We'll wait...
(BTW, I think you meant 'vice versa' at the end there)
"It's not over until we win."
I haven't heard the term computer scientist since the 80s.
Damn they are pathetic.
Id welcome an election audit.
Why dont we ever do election audits? Especially if a third party is willing to pay.
Something tells me the Democrats wouldn't welcome such a thing.
To paraphrase a nice tweet from Ashe Schow: I love the idea that Russia hacked the election results but didn't bother to make Trump win the popular vote while they were at it.
It would be unwise at this point on a maybe to un-concede 2 weeks after conceding based on some professors making a wild-ass statistics claim. That's kind of like saying the election should be contested because the election results didn't match the pre-election polls.
If there is hard evidence, then present it and make the case. Any media story that has to hedge with "maybe" "may have" or any other sort of conditional is basically saying that it's just speculative agenda journalism and not news.
"Computer scientists"? This is science worship. If these guys are really "computer scientists", they are researchers who do math. Jesus, I wish the mainstream press would stop treating people with PhD's like they are gods. They are academics. It is their job, just like R&B's job is walking dogs and properly disposing of their poop.
The idea that someone with a PhD after their name has more insight on what it means to be human than the gal who hands you you order at the fast food drive through is ridiculous.
I do technical work at a research facility. The scientists like to hire grad students because they work cheap. We hired one guy -- Swiss, I think -- to do some specialized work. After a few weeks he stopped showing up. It took my employers days to find out where he actually lived. The people they sent to check on him discovered his body. He had killed himself. No one cared. They didn't even know how to contact his family. Poor bastard.
We had an engineer who went nuts. I talked to him a few times. He sent me a link to a crazy history website. One of those "The people who make castor oil are the secret masters of the universe!" type of web sites.
This guy went nuts at a meeting, started talking to people in words that were hard to understand but were vaguely threatening. They made him resign. By the time he went home and reconsidered, maybe a quarter hour, they had already deleted his email account. He wanted to send an email retracting his resignation, but couldn't. So he drove back to work, but now he was a non-employee trying to get into the building. You can imagine what happened next.
Imagine the crew that works at your local McDonalds. Now put a PhD after all of their names. This is what science is like.
No, Halderman is for real. widely read security expert. name got my attention.
May be nothing there. counting would resolve.
but Halderman isn't some random PhD student, or even some self-proclaimed expert. he's who you read re: computer security.
strongly doubt politicians will challenge. risk too big to their reputation Gore soreloserman. Even if 30% chance russians hacked, politicians won't challenge.
R.J. Chatt said...
I wonder how they will process President Trump as a successful leader? Could be a lot of mental breakdowns, I can't imagine.
Despite consistent and numerous examples of government/socialist failure they still believe. They believe.
Progressivism is a religion. Just look at Global Warming/lack thereof. They still believe.
gadfly said...
Trump's well published history over the past 30 years provides adequate evidence to believe what tomorrow will bring. His long history of abusing his acquaintances (he has no friends), employees vendors, investors, bureaucrats, reporters, politicians, tenants, family and women run deep throughout his life, so there is little chance that all of the news falls into the "fake news" category. You can work through the history and come to a reasoned conclusion, but if you don't really want to know about Trump truth, you can continue your emotional connection to the carny barker.
A hillary supporter posted this.
This is beyond parody. You people are disgusting.
wwww said...
strongly doubt politicians will challenge. risk too big to their reputation Gore soreloserman. Even if 30% chance russians hacked, politicians won't challenge.
They believe.
I would be stunned if the Clinton campaign asked for even one state recount based on this "evidence". However, this election was full of surprises, so what do I really know about what they would do?
believes they’ve found persuasive evidence that results in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania may have been manipulated or hacked.
They have no proof. But we have proof that millions of illegals voted. Lets Audit the results in Florida, Nevada, California, New York and Illinois as well. Virginia would be a hoot after Mcauliffe illegally autopenned 60000 felons their voting privileges back.
Or not.
We know you fuckheads tried to cheat. You never stop. Please keep pushing. You are turning the squishy middle against you.
Oh, and the little tidbit about six electors saying they wouldn't vote for Trump is either a flat out lie, or laughably mistaking the six former Bernie Sanders supporters who are Clinton electors, and they have been trying to convince Trump electors to be faithless. What they have said is that they might not vote for Clinton as a way to publicly damage the Electoral College.
It is things like this why some media faced a "fucking firing squad" the other day.
So now we know why Trump has backed off from his threat to name a special prosecutor to investigate Hillary and Jeffrey Epstein's other "friend" from Chappaqua.
This article should be an example the next time we discuss "fake news."
They're creating a nugget for election deniers to hang onto. Much like the "southern strategy" it will become part of the left's mythology.
Not such a wise idea--they're just as likely to turn up shenanigans committed by Team Dem.
I say, though, go on with your investigations. The people should see what really goes on in these elections.
Because we all know that if the shoe had been on the other foot, Trump would have been fine with the way things are.
The little children of the Left will never give up. When caught in a lie they double and triple down on it. They must be driven into the ground and beaten into dirt and their heart ripped from their bodies and stakes driven through them. Trump showing the Crooked Old Lady Compassion is merely a sign of weakness to them . Hang that evil bitch in the public square.
Putin hacked the electronic voting machines? Who woulda thunk it? - Unknown
Putin was probably tired of Hillary's high prices.
One wonders how much Democrat voter fraud might be exposed if they really start investigating the voting. The true surprise was not just that Trump won, but that he won beyond the margin of fraud.
"Call the DOJ…and tell them you want the votes audited,” she wrote. “Even if it’s busy, keep calling.” says Huma, guilty of multiple felonies by her own admission.
The DOJ has to be shitting itself about the new sheriff in town, among other agencies. What a fucking carbuncle of corruption the DOJ is on the face of the whole Federal Government.
tim in vermont said...
The DOJ has to be shitting itself about the new sheriff in town. What a fucking carbuncle of corruption that agency is on the whole Federal Government.
Yeah, Tim, it ain't gonna be the Department of Just-Us any more!
We know when Trump lost: Iowa.
Caucus.
He was gracious in defeat, as he is in victory.
Don't matter though. This story helps Clinton by making her appear gracious because she, what exactly?
Didn't make a concession speech? Didn't refute the crazyily extremely amazingly insane fringe of her party?
Yes! The INSTANT! non-refutation, like Trump with his boy Davey Dukes, is proof Hillary is attempting assasination of the Republic.
QED. QUODMONSTERUM EDUCATADA DEMOSTERICAL.
"Deja Vu: Don't take it so hard Nick, life is filled with it's little miseries, each of us in his own way must learn to deal with adversity in a mature and adult fashion.
[Sneezes into hands screams, and jumps out a window]"
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0088286/quotes
Trump's well published history over the past 30 years provides adequate evidence to believe what tomorrow will bring. His long history of abusing his acquaintances (he has no friends), employees vendors, investors, bureaucrats, reporters, politicians, tenants, family and women run deep throughout his life, so there is little chance that all of the news falls into the "fake news" category. You can work through the history and come to a reasoned conclusion, but if you don't really want to know about Trump truth, you can continue your emotional connection to the carny barker.
The projection here is almost breathtaking. This is obviously from a supporter of the woman whose rules were that underlings never make eye contact, stand by the side of the hall, with their eyes to the floor when she walked by, etc., whose abuse of her security detail resulted in only junior people protecting her while Secretary of State, was documented as flying into a screaming rage at Vince Foster, the day before he died. On and on. Who really has never thanked her campaign workers and millions of supporters for the work they did to get her so close to the Presidency. Who didn't bother with a concession speech until the next day. Etc.
What we do know about Trump is that he does publicly thank those who work for him, including the lowest level workers. We know this from his victory speech, and from his thank you speech after the convention. When has Crooked Hillary ever thanked the Secret Service for being willing to put themselves between her, and a bullet? We also know that he has on multiple occasions stopped on his way to important occasions to ask (low level) people their names and about themselves.
Does Trump abuse his enemies? Yes, and that is part of why he was elected. McCain and, esp., Romney, were too nice to win against the nastiness that is at the top in the left. Against the MSM especially. And, that is the important thing here - pretty much no matter what you say negative about Trump, Crooked Hillary was worse in that respect. Meaner, nastier, more violent, less generous, less stable, etc.
I thought this was certain to fail until I watched this video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9tz_iFOCzSU
It's a mistake to underestimate these guys. Trust me. Hillary's cavalry maybe have arrived afterall.
By the way, the Intelligencer's crack reporter apparently has a little trouble with reading comprehension, so I wouldn't trust his reporting on math.
He says that six faithless electors have already agreed to vote for someone other than Trump as a protest. He ignores the fact that the six are Democratic electors, and they were never going to vote for Trump. If they vote for some other person than the person that won their state, it will be a vote against Hillary. In other words, it is time for a totally futile and pointless gesture, and they are just the ones to do it. In fact, it is so pointless that they have confused poor Gabe Sherman.
Beclownment as far as the eye can see.
From the article:
Clinton received 7 percent fewer votes in counties that relied on electronic-voting machines compared with counties that used optical scanners and paper ballots.
I live in a rural WI area, and we have both electronic-voting machines, and paper ballots. You get to choose which one you want to use. Very few people seem to want to use the electronic ones.
The gentry left has firm convictions that they are representing the wishes of certain voting blocs and just cannot believe that some of these blocs seem to have bolted and actually have voted against them in this election. It just can't be true!
This story is just battlespace prep for January, when the deplorables find out Crooked Hillary flipped 150 or so Trump electors.
"This story is just battlespace prep for January, when the deplorables find out Crooked Hillary flipped 150 or so Trump electors."
I've been hearing about the "electors" plan but can't picture it actually coming off. Sounds a lot like the "just get the delegates to dump him at the convention" plan. Those electors are pretty tightly bound, in most cases by state law.
What AllenS say re: machine verses paper ballot - I have vague memories of Team Trump prepping for vote fraud and one of the 'nip it' scenarios was use a paper ballot so there is a record of your vote. Could this possibly account for the greater percentage of nonHillary votes in such areas?
Does this mean the three or four million votes illegally cast by illegal aliens will be thrown out? Trump in a popular vote landslide!
Sounds a lot like the "just get the delegates to dump him at the convention" plan.
If there had been a utterly ruthless and amoral criminal organization devoting all its resources to that plan, who know what might have happened.
Rick wins the thread with "election deniers". Stealing that one!
Hillary's "win" of the popular vote is well within the margin of fraud. This is a bogus issue.
"If there had been a utterly ruthless and amoral criminal organization devoting all its resources to that plan, who know what might have happened."
If this "electors" plan works, I'll owe you a Coke. I figure if they could pull off an elector plan (which would be a much more obvious coup) it would have made more sense for them to hack into electronic voting machines, or print up extra paper ballots in Miami and Philadelphia and Detroit to secure it in a way that would be much harder to prove.
Some people voted otherwise than these "experts" thought they should have voted and this is taken as in itself evidence of election fraud?
"campy said...
This story is just battlespace prep for January, when the deplorables find out Crooked Hillary flipped 150 or so Trump electors.
11/23/16, 7:24 AM"
Indeed.
Hahahahahaha!
This election has demonstrated that politics = hypocrisy.
Let's all keep that in mind from now on. None of these people believe what they are saying, none of them have any real convictions.
I don't think the country will react favorably if they do challenge. The odds of success are strikingly poor, given Trump's wide margin in electoral votes.
It would be a public relations disaster.
This is amusing due to the pre-election furor over Trump's "rigged" comments.
And I would think that if such a challenge were filed, it would open the door for those who want to take a second look at illegal voters.
Recounts tend to lead to immediate prosecutions. Hillary should take her hundreds of millions and wander off into the desert of ignominy, lest she lose a large chunk of that money defending herself in courts against her indefensible actions.
Hillary does this DJT will rethink how bored he is with all that investigating and prosecuting going on.
Hillary's "win" of the popular vote is well within the margin of fraud. This is a bogus issue.
Especially in California where illegals are all registered to vote if they have drivers' licenses. My wife had to renew her license last January (her birth month) and could not get an appointment at the DMV until April because they were swamped with illegals. For four months she did not have legal ID because the Democrats were getting all the illegals registered to vote.
And I would think that if such a challenge were filed, it would open the door for those who want to take a second look at illegal voters.
True but Trump will have the AG do this anyway later.
The only "evidence" I see here is of hypocrisy - I think MayBee has summed it up.
They have no evidence at all, really. But I don't know, maybe they are inspired by Austria's example? There there were very significant violations of voting laws, although no evidence that they did change the election. But the upshot is that the Austrians are about to rerun their election. That's what they really want - a rerun.
The likely reason for the difference in vote totals between electronic and scanned votes would be local demographics which affected the speed of change to electronic voting machines.
I personally strongly prefer the paper ballot/optical scanner system, because with that you get rapid results but you can perform a valid recount. But we go to the polls with the election equipment we have, not the election equipment we want.
I'm a poll worker in a rural Wisconsin township. We use the Edge voting touchscreen machine. The process involves touching the screen to choose each candidate. At the end of the initial choosing, the screen shows each candidate that has been chosen. The voter then touches the "print" square. The machine prints the choices in an enclosed and locked area that the voter can see. If something is not as it should be, the voter can then go back to the screen to change his choice. Not until everything shows exactly the way the voter intended to vote does he/she cast a ballot, which is printed and stored in the machine. The idea that there could be hacking on these machines is ridiculous. The only paper ballots we received were early votes and absentee ballots.
Also, the Wisconsin Elections Commission only allows for the use of two kinds of ballots : paper and optical-scan. According to Ballotpedia , the "Electronic" machines Wisconsin uses are "Direct-Record" machines. These machines tally and record the result as ballots are put in, but there's a paper ballot somewhere in storage (likely in the municipal clerks office) which could be used to double-check the results.
Click bait that I won't touch.
Big Mike's quote is apt. I also like that the hacking put Trump in but didn't give him the Popular Vote. That's some precision hacking!
Hillary Clinton will never be President of the United States.
I think that the Democrats are going to give this issue a good leaving alone. The Kool-Aide drinkers may think that the Democrats are pure as the driven snow on this point, but I don't think any Democrat wants, for example, the voting as it happens in PA to be examined any too closely, to give an example at random.
This is what Haldeman- the guy who seems to have admiration in the business- has to say about his part in this:
https://medium.com/@jhalderm/want-to-know-if-the-election-was-hacked-look-at-the-ballots-c61a6113b0ba#.grqa5rb82
Nobody wants investigations into how the sausage of vote counts is made in some of these states less than Obama, I would think.
Maybee beat me to it, but this article (Washington Post!)
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/11/23/attention-democrats-theres-still-no-good-evidence-the-election-was-rigged/
seems to say that the "experts'" article simply does not say what the New York Magazine article says it says.
Wow!! This comes a day after Trump backs down from authorizing a special investigator into Clinton's email.
I guess any thought of the Clinton's sauntering off into history should be dismissed.
@Michael K, I just read that article to which you linked, and how Jared managed the Trump campaign's successes in Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin was fascinating. And, as a bonus, the social media targeting and focused traditional advertising saved millions of dollars! It is indeed a revolution in political campaigning.
Does Trump really have anything to say concerning the prosecution of the Clintons? Does anybody really think AG Sessions won't be independent? There are still investigations going on.
Minnesota only gave Hillary a 1.5 margin over Trump. Minnesota is historically 4 points more Democrat than Wisconsin.
Case closed. Trump won the Rust Belt.
Considering that Trump supporters are beaten by Clinton thugs, maybe everyone wasn't 100% truthful upon leaving the voting booth.
That said, I can assure you the Democrats do not want to look closely at election fraud, if they do it will be Al Gore style selective canvassing, which is unfair. The story says that areas with computer voting were 7% lower for Hillary than those without. There are many precincts that are 20 points in one direction or the other, so that is BS, and could be proof that Republican areas are more likely to have modern voting machines, or that the areas controlled by Dems had 7% more cheating for Hillary.
Thank you MayBee. Here are two essential quotes from the Halderman piece: "Were this year’s deviations from pre-election polls the results of a cyberattack? Probably not. I believe the most likely explanation is that the polls were systematically wrong, rather than that the election was hacked."; "I know I may sound like a Luddite for saying so, but most election security experts are with me on this: paper ballots are the best available technology for casting votes."
Halderman's point was: it can be done and we'd only know if requests for recounts are made before deadline. Another great example of slanted reporting.
So, does all of this mean there is a chance that Hillary Clinton will be inaugurated as the next President?
Wel, it may be a good thing that the outcome doesn't hinge onn one state, but she'd have to win recounts in 3 states to win the election. They decided it was lost at about 2;54 am Wednesday, November 9, 2016, when one additional state besides Wisconsin would have to be revesred - taht probably was Pennsylvania. But this shows you what was prepared or what people were ready to do.
In North Carolina, the Republican Governor narrowly lost a bid for re-elecrtion, and he tried finding trouble. (Trump and the senator won somewhat by well over recount proof margins)
Normaly it might be the SDemocrats who have claims - discouraged voters and the like.
Zieman said...11/23/16, 8:43 AM
Also, the Wisconsin Elections Commission only allows for the use of two kinds of ballots : paper and optical-scan.
Optical scan is paper.
The claim that something s wrong is based on nothing more than a statistical argument that some outcome is unlikely, but you can come up with bad statistical arguments all the time. It's not a true statistical argument, which you can make. That's how teachers' changing tests scores were detected in Atlanta, for instance.
It might be a good idea, as matter of principle, to do a spot check to make sure the ballot totals were recorded accurately. But this is probably happening anyway because of local races, or no one could be sure in advance it would not happen.
If somebody changed votes, they'd also have to know just how much to change it, or else it either would not be enough to change the result or it would be unnecessary for the side being favored to win. The more they do, the more it might be detected, and few would want the risk if unnecessary when it carries the risk of jail for some people, and the collapse of much more.
Here's the thing.
I'm an honest-to-God computer scientist (in fact, most of my colleagues would refer to me as a "theoretical computer scientist," which just makes me wonder "as opposed to what?") My community is small, so by definition, I'm a bit of a big fish in a small pond. A lot of people in my field know who I am—a lot more than I know of them.
Computer security is a tiny community within this community. The top people in this field all have names and are all well-known in the field. The ones who are serious about their work write about it. Incessantly. If they find "persuasive evidence" of a system's insecurity, they document it assiduously. Please see What voting machines can be hacked through the Internet? for responsible reporting on the subject, follow "Freedom to Tinker" generally, and in particular read everything Andrew Appel, a highly-regarded computer scientist, writes there.
If there's one domain in which there is zero room for handwaving, it's computer science.
@ Sammy F. Zieman said...11/23/16, 8:43 AM
Also, the Wisconsin Elections Commission only allows for the use of two kinds of ballots : paper and optical-scan.
Optical scan is paper.
Wisconsin Elections Commission lists two ballot forms - EL-203 Election Paper Ballot & EL-203Fms - General Election Optical Scan Ballot.
in just a few seconds, anyone can install vote-stealing malware on those machines that silently alters the electronic records of every vote.
But you'd have to first write the software, or obtain it and modify it for that election, and do it one machine at a time. They are not cnnected to the Internet. You would need to plug in a special USB drive. That might attract some attention. Too many people would have to be involved to do this in enough places to matter if this was not for a very local election. And there might be sme mistakes in the customizing. And switching any more than 5% or 10% of the vote would be kind of noticeable.
Wisconsin Elections Commission lists two ballot forms - EL-203 Election Paper Ballot & EL-203Fms - General Election Optical Scan Ballot.
Probably in one case you make check marks, ad in the other you fill out a circle. (and for write-ins, fill out a circle that says write-in and then write out a name)
And then, what happens if after the election, someone checks the software that you've uploaded to many of the machinesa at the warehouse before the election? Is it going to erase itself? They do test out the machines.
In Wisconsin you can fill out a paper ballot and it goes through an optical scanner and the ballot is stored "paper ballot" or you fill in a touch screen and it prints out a paper ballot which it stores automatically (electronic ballot). So until there is a recount the paper ballots would have the electors' and poll workers' fingerprints only while the electronic ballots would have no fingerprints. The recount should find out whose fingerprints are on the ballots first before any recount. This simple trick will end calls for recounts.
BN
In Western tradition.
A memory is recall of an actual happening. A fantasy is a wish that something would happen or did happen.
A soul is the form of a living body. A ghost is the soul of a dead body in mainstream Western tradition which is revisiting the living and manifesting itself. But in some other traditions in the West a ghost could be the soul of a living body which is separated from that body without death and is moving about and manifesting itself.
In a way you have to ask what tradition or culture gave you the question you are asking and what tradition gave you the words you are asking about.
@Paul Snively
I'm just curious if this potential scenario is feasible--If the electronic machines store a hard copy of the vote in a lockbox, what's to say anyone has to mess with the machine itself?
If the recount/audit entails tallying the lockbox copies with the computer tallies, and if the lockbox hard copies are deemed to be the thing that constitutes the true count (let's say because it was agreed upon that the machines were open to tampering) and given the amount of time that has elapsed since the election, hasn't there been plenty of time to print and "stuff" the lockbox with fraudulent hard copies? It would be so easy to see how many people didn't vote, take an unsuspicious percentage of those, print up some hard copies, bribe someone into stuffing them into the (I am assuming now unlocked) hard copies, and voila--new tallies after an audit.
So let's say that the Clinton campaign tried to steel the election in say Wisconsin and they failed because they underestimated the degree to which they had to cheat to win. So for the sake of argument Wisconsin didn't use machines that provided a paper trail. So in an effort to cover their tracks and not take to many risks they, only hack a small percentage of machines. So the voters who use one of the hacked machines are 100% Clinton voters so the bad software never actually switches any votes. The problem is that there is no way after the fact to show that the machine didn't switch any votes. Also a decent hacker has probably swapped back the legit software into the machine.
Another problem with trying this is, that if you tested out any machine, by running ballots through them, it would then give a wrong count.
Another possibility is only to fill in undervotes. The results are unpredictable, but let's say someone tried this: Tamper with the counting so that the machine records no undervotes. But that would be kind of suspicious. And then later, in this scenario, they'd have to fish out just the right ballots, or right number of them - let's say they only added votes for one quarter or one half of the undervotes - and then they'd have to mark the ballots, after searching through the ballots to find them. It's time consuming and a lot of people would have to be involved.. They'd probably skip steps and rely on nobody checking.
In any cases you are talking about doing more than just tampering with software.
It would be so easy to see how many people didn't vote, take an unsuspicious percentage of those, print up some hard copies, bribe someone into stuffing them into the (I am assuming now unlocked) hard copies, and voila--new tallies after an audit.
Here you are proposing they are creating new votes. There's a sign-in process at the polling place.
The place where you have fraud is with absentee ballots - people filling them out for other people. Sometimes ollecting them and mailing them themselves. But thise are actual votes (maybe wrongly cast) but not switched votes.
The thng is to have a lot of checks and balances in the system. Banks do a pretty good job of making sure tellers don't steal cash - you ahve to design a system where this kind of thing requres a lot of things to happen. The danger is a faulty system culd be used - but merely having machines tabulate paper ballots isn't faulty enough. They are not connected to the Internet, you'd have to plug in a malicious USB drive in each and every counting machine or scanner - and they are not even all booted at the same except on Election Day and then they are all in different places. And you'd have to have nobody ever examine the software.
Brando said...
"This story is just battlespace prep for January, when the deplorables find out Crooked Hillary flipped 150 or so Trump electors."
I've been hearing about the "electors" plan but can't picture it actually coming off. Sounds a lot like the "just get the delegates to dump him at the convention" plan. Those electors are pretty tightly bound, in most cases by state law.
11/23/16, 7:37 AM
I really hope the electors plan doesn't come off. If there's one thing that could really ignite something nasty, having the Electoral College pick someone other than Trump after rioting in the streets and reports of Trump electors getting death threats. At that point, you are staring a second Civil War in the face. 'Stolen Election' wouldn't begin to describe it then.
"So for the sake of argument Wisconsin didn't use machines that provided a paper trail."
But in Wisconsin even touch screen machines DO have a paper trail. It's just created after the vote, not before. And it should be fingerprint free. If we recount (someday after some other election) we need to get a "CSI" team (is that the show I mean? - heavy on technology?) on the items before the recount. Otherwise we can't prosecute for felony voter fraud but still have to do an expensive recount. If we recount, someone goes to jail. Voter fraud in the cities? Lock them up.
Yesterday I thought the people saying the Clinton-snivel-pix were part of a plan were paranoid. Today I think trial balloons are being floated.
Andrew Pardue said...11/23/16, 12:10 PM
Also a decent hacker has probably swapped back the legit software into the machine.
They can only be swapped back one scanner or counter at a time. It won't do to change the grand tootal - results are given for every precinct. The arithmetic has to check out.
In New York besides printing out a result the votes are recorded on a USB stick. So OK, maybe the interanal computer results are corrupted. But someone would have to get oo them papaer ballots and carefully change them or prepare substitutes if this is to be undetectable.
The paper ballots in the lockbox are guarded. The machnes are guarded. How is all this going to happen?
It's not that something couldn't be tried, but we would know it. Even if it wasn't officially investigated, we would know it.
What the oressure on the electors shows, if the result is within 5 Electoral votes it could be pretty ncertain.
But in the year 2000, it was 271 BBush and 267 Gore, and the only faithless elector was one Gore elector from Washington DC who left his presidential choice blank.
Novels of the future based on this election.
Maybe the Clintons prepared a computer hack to switch 7% of the votes and discussed the secret plan, known as the "The Blue Firewall" on their private server and the Russians read the plan, hacked the hack and made a plus a minus. Imagine the outrage at the DNC. Those dirty Russians - interfering in a clean all-American election theft. How dare they?
"I really hope the electors plan doesn't come off. If there's one thing that could really ignite something nasty, having the Electoral College pick someone other than Trump after rioting in the streets and reports of Trump electors getting death threats. At that point, you are staring a second Civil War in the face. 'Stolen Election' wouldn't begin to describe it then."
I think it's just a lot of "we can't believe this is happening!" saber rattling, much like the "delegates will dump him at the convention" idea. Partly because it's not like those favoring this idea can even agree on another candidate (Republican leaners won't want to install Clinton). But also, the electoral college has evolved into a rubber stamp for how the voters voted, and the college members are political functionaries who aren't about to screw over their states' voters. Maybe a few will on principle, but no one will be the deciding vote that will send things into the House. It'd be too much like a coup.
Here you are proposing they are creating new votes. There's a sign-in process at the polling place.
And you don't think those could be altered after the fact. I assure you the precinct captains have the system gamed seven ways to Sunday.
I think Hillary and Trump have made a deal. Hillary won't contest the election and Trump won't send her to jail. By the way, does anyone other than Hillary or the official Hillary for President campaign have Standing to Sue in court over the election results?
Oh, that sounds good, richardsson, then hopefully he will f*** her. After Dec 19 she's shooting blanks. I would settle for an Obama pardon. Gets the point across.
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