Althouse: "A new and massive poll of 2,029 18- to 29-year-olds from Harvard’s Institute of Politics just released..."

October 29, 2014

"A new and massive poll of 2,029 18- to 29-year-olds from Harvard’s Institute of Politics just released..."

"... found that of those who say they will 'definitely be voting,' 51 percent want the GOP in charge, 47 percent favoring Democratic control."

47 comments:

Quaestor said...: There's that pesky 47% again. Poor Romney got the pillory for citing that portentous figure.

How will they deal with Harvard?; 10/29/14, 2:17 PM
campy said...: The ballots that come out of dem's car trunks on recount day never get polled.; 10/29/14, 2:19 PM
Curious George said...: Amazing what living in your parents basement can do...; 10/29/14, 2:20 PM
MadisonMan said...: I'll believe it when it happens, not when it's predicted to happen.; 10/29/14, 2:20 PM
RecChief said...: The world is seemingly spinning out of control!!; 10/29/14, 2:22 PM
Nonapod said...: Young people voting Republican en masse?

It's the end times! Fire and brimstone coming down from the sky! Rivers and seas boiling! Forty years of darkness! Earthquakes, volcanoes! The dead rising from the grave! Human sacrifice! Dogs and cats, living together! Mass hysteria!; 10/29/14, 2:33 PM
rehajm said...: There's that pesky 47% again.

LOL! To think that guy would have been succeeding to make your life better right now.; 10/29/14, 2:35 PM
NotWhoIUsedtoBe said...: 2000 respondents is "massive" now?; 10/29/14, 2:36 PM
RecChief said...: I'm not staying up to see election returns Tuesday night, but I do plan to spend all day on Wednesday reading the the Journ-o-listers and the Kubler-Ross Model should the GOP manage not to dork up this election.

Is that wrong of me?; 10/29/14, 2:42 PM
Amichel said...: For a survey of this demographic in a smaller state like Wisconsin, that's actually a pretty decent sample size. For comparison, the Gallup daily tracking poll surveys 500 people for their daily sample size.; 10/29/14, 2:44 PM
Brando said...: Millenials, like Xers, are still very much up for grabs. The Bush years didn't do much to pull them into the GOP, and the Obama years did little to make them loyal Democrats. One way to look at it is that we're a very middle-swing nation these days, but another way to look at it is most people in the country are apprehensive about the future and don't see either side really addressing it.

Smart Republicans will capitalize on the current swing before the millenials sour on them again.; 10/29/14, 2:45 PM
Achilles said...: Problem is the 47% find ways to vote more than once.; 10/29/14, 2:48 PM
JPS said...: Brando:

"most people in the country are apprehensive about the future and don't see either side really addressing it."

Well put. If this election turns into a wave, the Democrats will have richly earned their defeat. I'm not at all willing to say that the Republicans will have earned their victory.; 10/29/14, 2:53 PM
Chris said...: What does this survey remind me of? Oh, yes...

Kinder: These people don't know their enemy is the GOP. They think the enemy is their own Democratic Party!

Reisman: Maybe that's because the GOP hasn't done anything to them yet.; 10/29/14, 2:56 PM
RecChief said...: You know, the flip side of this is that if the GOP wins the Senate and retains control of the House? The American Public are going to expect some kind of bi-partisan measures coming from Congress. just my guess.; 10/29/14, 2:58 PM
Jaq said...: It has been obvious for a while that on the big issues, the Republicans are making arguments and the Democrats are hectoring. Which would you choose?

Gay Marriage is in the bank. Maybe they don't want Social Security bankrupted paying the way of old farts like myself? Or to be forced to subsidize my high blood pressure in their forced health insurance plan? Good on 'em, I say. About time you woke up.; 10/29/14, 3:04 PM
jr565 said...: RecChief wrote:
You know, the flip side of this is that if the GOP wins the Senate and retains control of the House? The American Public are going to expect some kind of bi-partisan measures coming from Congress. just my guess.

Screw that. Keep the rules that Howie Reid put in place.; 10/29/14, 3:14 PM
Larry J said...: Why would any sane adult vote for Democrats? "He who robs Peter to pay Paul can always count on the support of Paul."; 10/29/14, 3:14 PM
RecChief said...: tim in vermont said...
It has been obvious for a while that on the big issues, the Republicans are making arguments and the Democrats are hectoring.

Yes they have. However, several of the arguments play best to the base of the GOP, and not for the wider populace. Repeal of Obamacare for example. I'm not sure it could be totally undone, and there are a lot of people who have been conditioned into thinking that even with reform, going back to the system in place 6 years ago is a non starter. And since those kids are staying in Mom and Dad's basement due to this administration's policies, quite a few parents are fine with keeping their kids on their health insurance. It's a way to make sure johnny and jane have some kind of coverage. I'm also concerned what will come out of GOP controlled congress in the spirit of bipartisanship. Finally, every time Obama vetoes a bill, the press is going to blare the old "obstructionist" horn. just something to think about.; 10/29/14, 3:15 PM
Brando said...: "Screw that. Keep the rules that Howie Reid put in place."

Unless those rules are why Reid is about to become Minority Leader.

I doubt anything is going to get passed, except maybe a trade deal or possibly Keystone. But the GOP can at least put some generally popular bills on the president's desk, using that to run on for 2016.; 10/29/14, 3:29 PM
RecChief said...: Most likely I think is that President Penandphone will take executive action to a degree that he will basically dare them to impeach him.; 10/29/14, 3:32 PM
Anonymous said...: "I doubt anything is going to get passed, except maybe a trade deal or possibly Keystone. But the GOP can at least put some generally popular bills on the president's desk, using that to run on for 2016."

My view is just the opposite of this.

The President will give speeches and bluster and talk about veto's, but when the bill's get to his desk, he'll sign them.

Because he doesn't care. He cares about golfing, parties, speeches, love from the masses, etc.

Governing? Not so much.; 10/29/14, 3:36 PM
I'm Full of Soup said...: I can almost picture Obama with the Captain Queeg ball bearings in his hand.; 10/29/14, 3:45 PM
Hagar said...: You cannot rule without the White House.
However, with McConnell as Majority Leader there should at least be some debates in the Senate and perhaps some votes taken.; 10/29/14, 3:48 PM
Peter said...: "I'm not staying up to see election returns Tuesday night, but I do plan to spend all day on Wednesday reading the the Journ-o-listers and the Kubler-Ross Model should the GOP manage not to dork up this election. "

If you don't stay up and the GOP does get some wins, you won't get to hear those dolorous "Democracy Just Died" tones from the "journalists" at NPR.; 10/29/14, 3:55 PM
RecChief said...: huh several polls out today. a new one from Quinnipiac on the Iowa Senate Race, one from Monmouth on the Georgia Senate race, both showing likely voters breaking toward Republicans. interesting.; 10/29/14, 3:57 PM
RecChief said...: Peter said...
"I'm not staying up to see election returns Tuesday night, but I do plan to spend all day on Wednesday reading the the Journ-o-listers and the Kubler-Ross Model should the GOP manage not to dork up this election. "

If you don't stay up and the GOP does get some wins, you won't get to hear those dolorous "Democracy Just Died" tones from the "journalists" at NPR.

The wailing and gnashing of teeth will still be in full swing if it happens.; 10/29/14, 3:58 PM
Michael K said...: "I'm not at all willing to say that the Republicans will have earned their victory."

I agree somewhat but, with Harry Reid at the barricade, what could they do ? The news media is hostile so they need a Reagan to get word out.

Romney tried but the GOTV was not good enough and he was savaged all summer with no ability to respond. Here's hoping the new Chair will be better at technology or know somebody who is.; 10/29/14, 4:02 PM
Jaq said...: Canada has come up with a low cost alternative to Keystone using existing pipelines and Canadian ports.

That ship has likely sailed.; 10/29/14, 4:05 PM
Curious George said...: "RecChief said...
You know, the flip side of this is that if the GOP wins the Senate and retains control of the House? The American Public are going to expect some kind of bi-partisan measures coming from Congress. just my guess."

The GOP is on the right side of most major issues...Immigration, Pipeline, Spending. Obamacare.

And they'll see Barry, Mr.38% and dropping like a rock, Veto, veto, veto, veto.; 10/29/14, 4:18 PM
Wilbur said...: RecChief said
"Most likely I think is that President Penandphone will take executive action to a degree that he will basically dare them to impeach him."

This is 100% correct. It will lead to a political/constitutional crisis.

It will be interesting times in which to live. I hope it will be satisfactorily resolved without bloodshed, but I'm not optimistic.; 10/29/14, 4:29 PM
Steven said...: Most likely I think is that President Penandphone will take executive action to a degree that he will basically dare them to impeach him.

At which point the obvious counter-move is to impeach not the President, but the people working for him. "[A]ll civil Officers" are subject to impeachment for criminal acts.; 10/29/14, 5:24 PM
Titus said...: Just saw Henry Louis Gates at the Wine and Cheese Cask across from the loft.

He know my rare clumber's name and mine too.

Total Starfucker.

kiss kiss

btw-his female companion was white-disgusting.; 10/29/14, 5:45 PM
Titus said...: Biden was here today and snarled traffic.

A big fag democrat bundler lives across the street and Biden was there.; 10/29/14, 5:51 PM
Left Bank of the Charles said...: On Hope and Change, one of the things young people hoped Barack Obama would change was the Democratic Party.

Pelosi and Reid pushed back against that, and the Democratic Party remains pretty much set in its ways.

That's a large part why Martha Coakley may get her second comeuppance here in Massachusetts.

Age 18 to 29 means 4 to 15 when Bill Clinton left in 2000, and 2 to 13 during the Lewinsky scandal.; 10/29/14, 5:51 PM
ken in tx said...: Obamacare will have to be taken apart piece by piece like a pile of pick-up sticks, in order not to hurt those those who do not deserve to be hurt by it. It was created by a single throw-down, we have to pass it to see what's in it, single thrust. But it still needs to be taken apart.; 10/29/14, 6:23 PM
Anonymous said...: When interpreting the results, bear in mind that 63% of respondents said "I'm totes voting... where do I go to download the app?"; 10/29/14, 6:50 PM
Michael K said...: "Obamacare will have to be taken apart piece by piece like a pile of pick-up sticks, in order not to hurt those those who do not deserve to be hurt by it."

The solution that I see is simply to make it voluntary. That will leave the Medicaid people the same and allow everybody else to escape. Obamacare is simply Medicaid for all and it is time to accept that.

We could go to a better system easily. high deductible insurance, which Obamacare has prepared people for, plus health savings accounts. Let the poor go to a Medicaid system with limited networks and salaried doctors. We have suffered enough for the dream of "one tier medicine" and the fraud of that was exposed very nicely by the ACA.; 10/29/14, 6:59 PM
steve uhr said...: This comment has been removed by the author.; 10/29/14, 7:32 PM
Birkel said...: Are you concerned, steve uhr.

Or is it Steve Uhr?; 10/29/14, 8:06 PM
steve uhr said...: This comment has been removed by the author.; 10/29/14, 8:17 PM
Revenant said...: The solution that I see is simply to make it voluntary. That will leave the Medicaid people the same and allow everybody else to escape.

Unfortunately, while that is the most politically-attractive solution, it is also the single worst solution from an economic perspective. You're keeping the budget-breaking expenditures while eliminating the means of paying for them.; 10/29/14, 8:51 PM
Birkel said...: steve uhr:
You have deeply held concerns at every turn. I get it. Others will get it shortly, if they haven't already.

Strike a different tone, troll, or keep on keeping on, lamely.

As for what is wrong with your question? Try asking one that doesn't ask somebody to predict the future. Try asking one about something somebody within the power structure of the Republican Party has suggested instead of in your fevered imagination.

Just give up the pose, Steve Uhr. Or steve uhr. Maybe both of you should stop.; 10/29/14, 9:46 PM
Original Mike said...: I'm thinking they're tired of being unemployed.; 10/29/14, 9:52 PM
chillblaine said...: I spent all this time thinking rare clumber was some kind of vine, turns out it's a dog. Posts from Titus always brighten my day.

I hope I can take the day off next Wednesday for Rush's 'Gloat-a-Thon.' I need this.; 10/29/14, 11:00 PM
Jaq said...: I am pretty sure there are two people using the Titus handle. One of them is interesting, the other is some kind of ADHD head case.; 10/30/14, 6:48 AM
Rusty said...: No Tim. One is Titus being AbFab and the other is Titus high. Apparently there is a razor thin line between when Titus is being FABULOUS and when he is overserved.
Interesting? Palladin was interesting.; 10/30/14, 7:14 AM