Commodore guy says 50-50 on account of the unclear objectives (neither takes seriously the pretext of avenging dead protesters) and low likelihood of a quick knockout and the punishment Israel would likely take as a result, and the impact of closing the Straits of Hormuz on the world economy. Hint, if 35% of the world's oil gets bottled up in the Persian Gulf, Putin is the big winner with oil prices through the roof, but of course China is a big loser.
When you watch these, and then time passes, you get a better feel for who knows what they are talking about and who doesn't.
I don't think Trump will pull the trigger, but over the past few months, Trump seems to have changed. But if he does, he better know for a certainty that a lot of things are going to go exactly right.
Other noise coming out of the Moscow commentariat is that if the West manages to keep Ukraine in the fight for a couple of more years, Russia should end the war with nukes, on the theory that Washington won't trade NYC and LA, etc to avenge Kiev, likewise France won't throw away Paris, etc. etc . across Europe.
The whole war has been an exercise in frog boiling by the West (Ukrainian losses are irrelevant to their thinking), but if the frog decides that if he doesn't jump out of the pot, he will be cooked, and the frog has 6,000 nukes, well, what would you do if you were the frog.
Also the threat to banish Russia from the family of nations is kind of a hollow one, since we have already played that card.
All Iran would need to do is sink one U.S. battleship (or carrier). The Houthis already forced two carrier groups out of the Red Sea through persistent attacks. Given the hypersonic missiles Iran tested and used last year, it's reasonable to assume they could at least make it possible.
"Other noise coming out of the Moscow commentariat is that if the West manages to keep Ukraine in the fight for a couple of more years, Russia should end the war with nukes, on the theory that Washington won't trade NYC and LA, etc to avenge Kiev,"
Stefon Diggs, New England Patriot wide receiver, is apparently angling for father of the year. He had 4 children born in 2025, to 4 different women (New York Post). Or maybe he caught wind of the $1000 Trump accounts before anyone else.
He has a long way to go from a pure volume standpoint, though. Former NFL’er Antonio Cromartie fathered 14 children with 8 different ladies.
However most of siloviki thar includes ivanov and sochin are of like minds medvedev on the other hand is a angry panda Lipsynching steven berkoffs lines from an old bond film
Watch the video as a recklessly driven car careens around and a gang of armed thugs spring out to menace an innocent civilian, like a kidnapping or robbery or murder-for-hire. It looks like organized crime taking place in a third-world country, because it is.
"MPR News has learned that the police chief in the small southern Minnesota city of St. Peter intervened Thursday afternoon to prevent federal immigration agents from arresting a local resident" who had been observing federal agents." https://www.mprnews.org/story/2026/01/30/st-peter-police-chief-intervenes-prevents-federal-agents-from-arresting-resident
While this is an impressive story, let's look again at that image of three federal officers with guns drawn and pointed at an unarmed observer in her car. She's a citizen, but her status isn't really the point. These "officers" are the problem, and you can plainly see why.
I applaud the Republican effort to repeal the 17th amendment. Why any state legislature voted to enact it is a mystery to me. I see lots of people saying "The people have spoken! It cannot be undone!" Actually, the "people" never had a say in it. There was no popular vote on it- nor should there be.
And let's look at even newer amendment- the 18th, prohibition. Repealed a whole 13 years later when politicians came to their senses and realized what a mistake it was. It's taken a bit longer with the 17th, but they're starting to come around.
Next up we need Reynolds vs. Sims overturned. A city with a population density of >27000 mi² shouldn't dominate the zoning and burn restrictions, and other things going on, of a county with a density of 151 people mile² that's >250 miles away with the shortest route going through another state.
They have to deport 20 million people. This will require a mobilization on the scale of a major war, as well as emergency laws to suit. "Protests" should not be tolerated, certainly not those that interfere with those dealing with the emergency. People can complain when the emergency is over.
The Trump administration is doing a great job with illegal immigration. It’s been a huge success. People crossing the border now has shrunk to about zero. Illegals who get arrested for crimes are being turned over to ICE. Even blue states are doing this now. And people are self-deporting and moving back home, free of charge.
No need for a “mobilization on the scale of a major war.” Trump is right and his instincts are sound. He just needs to keep doing what he’s doing. Outstanding first year in office, in my opinion.
While this is an impressive story, let's look again at that image of three federal officers with guns drawn and pointed at an unarmed observer in her car. She's a citizen, but her status isn't really the point. These "officers" are the problem, and you can plainly see why.
Cool story bro. Nobody gives a shit about your fairy tales.
Minnesota police are cooperating and arresting your illegal voters now. They are going to be arresting your seditious loser drones too.
The only person lamer than those seditious fucks are the cowards like you that can't even get out there and help them.
The administration has done the easy part, with the persuasion to self deportation and deporting criminals already identified and in custody. That has, overall, accounted for about 4 million, 20% of the problem. The remainder will be far worse, more disruptive economically and socially, more demanding of manpower, to investigate and identify people who do not want to be found.
Kak, ref your third-world kidnapping, here's a long quote from the article:
"She told MPR News in an interview that she was out in the community in her car, tracking the movements of federal agents, and recording them on a dash cam.... Agents in three vehicles began chasing her and trying to force her to pull over. Eventually they box her in, three agents get out of the car in front of her"
Ok, so let me do an imitation of Gilbar:
LEFTIE ACTIVISTS follow ICE agents, identify their cars, box them in so they can't keep going down the road - DOUBLEPLUSGOOD!
ICE AGENTS do the same to LEFTIE ACTIVISTS: War crime! Wrongthink! This only happens in the third world!
Having mastered coronavirus epidemiology, toilet paper supply chain logistics, bridge design, submarine engineering, and large language models, supply chains, breastfeeding, the Russia/Ukraine conflict, the Israel/Palestine conflict, and the economics of inflation, I will now turn my beautiful mind to immigration policy ~ Achilles
The administration has done the easy part, with the persuasion to self deportation and deporting criminals already identified and in custody. That has, overall, accounted for about 4 million, 20% of the problem. The remainder will be far worse, more disruptive economically and socially, more demanding of manpower, to investigate and identify people who do not want to be found.</b.
The easiest way to get rid of them will be to cut off welfare programs and start throwing business owners who employ illegals in jail.
Next step is a 50% tax on remittances to particular countries.
Having mastered coronavirus epidemiology, toilet paper supply chain logistics, bridge design, submarine engineering, and large language models, supply chains, breastfeeding, the Russia/Ukraine conflict, the Israel/Palestine conflict, and the economics of inflation, I will now turn my beautiful mind to immigration policy ~ Achilles
The reason you have to put your own words into an argument and pretend it was me is that said it is that you are a retard.
" start throwing business owners who employ illegals in jail."
This is part of what I mean by economically and socially disruptive. There are already laws about this. Theres a reason why they are seldom enforced. There will be enormous collateral damage especially among Republican voters. I dont want to come across as an ironical lefty, its just a plain fact.
To put it in the ground, so to speak - I dont know a trenching contractor (guys who dig up the streets for gas, water, sewers etc) in California whose crews aren't mostly illegals. All these contractors (guys who own these businesses/run these crews) vote Republican. And they are, IMHO, irreplaceable. Some monkey democrats can screech all they like, but THEY arent qualified to dig up the streets.
This is the first deep, iceless snow in decades here, and I botched making snow cream, using too much milk. Not willing to walk out a third time for more snow.
"If you see the homeless out on the streets in January, you might want to give them a few bucks." Or a compass. Here on the Left Coast, the "city management" expert class maintain a huge population of unemployed, and therefore unhoused, people, who are mostly drug addicts who support themselves by various forms of criminal activity, which the "city management experts" refuse to suppress, and indeed, actively support.
This population surges up and down I-5 as the weather changes. But if you are still hanging out in a tent on the sidewalks of Portland or Seattle in January, you have missed the boat. You should be in San Francisco or LA by now. Of course, Portland and Seattle are doing their best to hang onto you, by subsidizing your drug purchases, shooting you full of Narcan every time you OD, and providing a miserable excuse for shelter that nonetheless allows you to survive and continue to prey upon the community. That's what they studied in college, and that's what they do for a living. And it's a good living.
The fire is starting to burn and its just beginning. In what is a major political upset, Democrat Taylor Rehmet defeated Republican Leigh Wambsganss for the open Texas Senate District 9 seat in Tarrant County, the largest Republican county in the nation, according to complete but unofficial returns. With 100% of the vote in, Rehmet, a union president in Fort Worth, has 54,267 votes - about 57% - while Wambsganss, a longtime conservative activist, has 40,598 votes, or roughly 43%. more. In a statement, DNC Chair Ken Martin said, "It's clear as day that this disastrous Republican agenda is hurting working families in Texas and across the country, which is why voters in red, blue, and purple districts are putting their faith in candidates like Taylor Rehmet. This victory is a warning sign to Republicans across the country... Tonight's results prove that no Republican seat is safe. From now until November, Democrats are keeping our foot on the gas and organizing and competing everywhere, including in Texas and the rest of the Sun Belt." Americans aren't feeling MAGA watching Americans get shot in the face and back on the streets by trumps brown shirts. Trump is trying all he can do to rig the elections putting military on the streets ,constant gaslighting and lying about everything and NEOCON around the globe as he has now tasted the blood of the bombs .The 2nd American revolution>time wi tell..They will definitely claimits rigged .stolen.cheated in other words the usual.The North and the South on the fields again, the Colonists in the backrooms talking and the rest of the world watches the fracturing of the republic and speaking out against the proclaimed king. more to be revealed. "I CAN FEEL COMING IN THE AIR TONIGHT OH LORD!
US international tourist arrivals are down by 6% in spite of booming international tourism. This is likely because of tighter issuance rules for visas and poor international reputation factors, among them (as I am a witness of these rumors) an alleged increase in combativeness by airport immigration agents. The US needs a tourist PR campaign. The US is still #3 after France and Spain.
"It’s a good thing for these violent, mentally ill insurrectionists that Trump is demonstrably not a violent dictator or fascist bent on torturing and exterminating his opponents. It is a remarkably sad thing that so many Americans cannot -- or will not -- see this."
Btw the behavior of the Minnesota government, inflating as it does the appearance of disorder there, cannot be doing any good for the business climate in that state. Similar sorts of political publicity stunts have had serious economic consequences in California.
Please use the comments forum to respond to the post. Don't fight with each other. Be substantive... or interesting... or funny. Comments should go up immediately... unless you're commenting on a post older than 2 days. Then you have to wait for us to moderate you through. It's also possible to get shunted into spam by the machine. We try to keep an eye on that and release the miscaught good stuff. We do delete some comments, but not for viewpoint... for bad faith.
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60 comments:
For the Star Trek fans in the audience, the army is working on a replicator:
https://thedebrief.org/beyond-mres-the-u-s-army-is-testing-3d-printed-food-for-the-battlefield/
A few loose ends?
Very nice Meade!
Retired Lt Col and Royal Navy commodore, both with combat experience, discuss the factors involved in an attack on Iran by the US Navy.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SAp0p_eCC3g
Commodore guy says 50-50 on account of the unclear objectives (neither takes seriously the pretext of avenging dead protesters) and low likelihood of a quick knockout and the punishment Israel would likely take as a result, and the impact of closing the Straits of Hormuz on the world economy. Hint, if 35% of the world's oil gets bottled up in the Persian Gulf, Putin is the big winner with oil prices through the roof, but of course China is a big loser.
When you watch these, and then time passes, you get a better feel for who knows what they are talking about and who doesn't.
I don't think Trump will pull the trigger, but over the past few months, Trump seems to have changed. But if he does, he better know for a certainty that a lot of things are going to go exactly right.
Other noise coming out of the Moscow commentariat is that if the West manages to keep Ukraine in the fight for a couple of more years, Russia should end the war with nukes, on the theory that Washington won't trade NYC and LA, etc to avenge Kiev, likewise France won't throw away Paris, etc. etc . across Europe.
The whole war has been an exercise in frog boiling by the West (Ukrainian losses are irrelevant to their thinking), but if the frog decides that if he doesn't jump out of the pot, he will be cooked, and the frog has 6,000 nukes, well, what would you do if you were the frog.
Also the threat to banish Russia from the family of nations is kind of a hollow one, since we have already played that card.
https://wreg.com/news/two-city-leaders-question-whether-snow-was-man-made/
"No new wars" meets "release the files."
Trump decides a new war is exactly what's needed.
All Iran would need to do is sink one U.S. battleship (or carrier). The Houthis already forced two carrier groups out of the Red Sea through persistent attacks. Given the hypersonic missiles Iran tested and used last year, it's reasonable to assume they could at least make it possible.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/amyfeldman/2026/01/12/a-holy-grail-sleep-apnea-pill-could-be-on-the-market-next-year/
Think I've got my ClawdBot just about dialed in
https://x.com/scotus_wire/status/2017703844633850075
Interesting 2 minute read
Milton Friedman warned, with characteristic precision, that a country cannot simultaneously have a generous welfare state and open borders. One must give way. Minnesota chose neither.
Friedman was explicit that he opposed not immigration itself but immediate access to welfare. He even noted that illegal immigrants in a welfare state could work without drawing benefits. But open borders combined with unconditional welfare, he warned, distort incentives for migrants and host societies alike, and are fiscally and politically unsustainable..
ClawdBot is hilarious. Thank you
Like financial skynet though
Great photo, great video, and a great tune. Trifecta!!
"Other noise coming out of the Moscow commentariat is that if the West manages to keep Ukraine in the fight for a couple of more years, Russia should end the war with nukes, on the theory that Washington won't trade NYC and LA, etc to avenge Kiev,"
Depends on who is in office...
That was a risk with a breach through the fula gap
Putin is not gonna nuke Ukraine or anywhere else. He’s not an idiot and he doesn’t have a death wish.
That seems a bridge too far
Fulda obvious nigeria has nothing to do with this
Stefon Diggs, New England Patriot wide receiver, is apparently angling for father of the year. He had 4 children born in 2025, to 4 different women (New York Post). Or maybe he caught wind of the $1000 Trump accounts before anyone else.
He has a long way to go from a pure volume standpoint, though. Former NFL’er Antonio Cromartie fathered 14 children with 8 different ladies.
https://yen.com.gh/facts-lifehacks/biographies/284762-meet-antonio-cromarties-kids-how-fathered-children-baby-mamas/
However most of siloviki thar includes ivanov and sochin are of like minds medvedev on the other hand is a angry panda
Lipsynching steven berkoffs lines from an old bond film
Watch the video as a recklessly driven car careens around and a gang of armed thugs spring out to menace an innocent civilian, like a kidnapping or robbery or murder-for-hire. It looks like organized crime taking place in a third-world country, because it is.
"MPR News has learned that the police chief in the small southern Minnesota city of St. Peter intervened Thursday afternoon to prevent federal immigration agents from arresting a local resident" who had been observing federal agents." https://www.mprnews.org/story/2026/01/30/st-peter-police-chief-intervenes-prevents-federal-agents-from-arresting-resident
While this is an impressive story, let's look again at that image of three federal officers with guns drawn and pointed at an unarmed observer in her car. She's a citizen, but her status isn't really the point. These "officers" are the problem, and you can plainly see why.
A foot of snow in Charlotte and my central heating is out. We’re waiting on a spare part and I am hunkered down with a blankie and a space heater.
If you see the homeless out on the streets in January, you might want to give them a few bucks.
I had that experience three years ago i sympathize
I applaud the Republican effort to repeal the 17th amendment. Why any state legislature voted to enact it is a mystery to me. I see lots of people saying "The people have spoken! It cannot be undone!" Actually, the "people" never had a say in it. There was no popular vote on it- nor should there be.
And let's look at even newer amendment- the 18th, prohibition. Repealed a whole 13 years later when politicians came to their senses and realized what a mistake it was. It's taken a bit longer with the 17th, but they're starting to come around.
Next up we need Reynolds vs. Sims overturned. A city with a population density of >27000 mi² shouldn't dominate the zoning and burn restrictions, and other things going on, of a county with a density of 151 people mile² that's >250 miles away with the shortest route going through another state.
What I don't understand about those two politicians in Memphis is why no journalist has asked why they are so stupid.
Like the norridge city council
the theory that Washington won't trade NYC and LA
I find your terms acceptable if you hand over Alberta.
Um remember the missile tracks over greenland
"What I don't understand about those two politicians in Memphis is why no journalist has asked why they are so stupid."
Became journalists are stupid too.
Sounds like they are related to the dc city council from skme years back
They have to deport 20 million people. This will require a mobilization on the scale of a major war, as well as emergency laws to suit. "Protests" should not be tolerated, certainly not those that interfere with those dealing with the emergency. People can complain when the emergency is over.
You see that happening, you see how many obstacles are in place to block even a sliver of those deportations
Surprixe
https://x.com/nypost/status/2017592306644185373
Fraud!
The Trump administration is doing a great job with illegal immigration. It’s been a huge success. People crossing the border now has shrunk to about zero. Illegals who get arrested for crimes are being turned over to ICE. Even blue states are doing this now. And people are self-deporting and moving back home, free of charge.
No need for a “mobilization on the scale of a major war.” Trump is right and his instincts are sound. He just needs to keep doing what he’s doing. Outstanding first year in office, in my opinion.
He needs to pressure states to enforce voter ID in federal elections. Cut off funding to states facilitating fraud.
Kakistocracy said...
While this is an impressive story, let's look again at that image of three federal officers with guns drawn and pointed at an unarmed observer in her car. She's a citizen, but her status isn't really the point. These "officers" are the problem, and you can plainly see why.
Cool story bro. Nobody gives a shit about your fairy tales.
Minnesota police are cooperating and arresting your illegal voters now. They are going to be arresting your seditious loser drones too.
The only person lamer than those seditious fucks are the cowards like you that can't even get out there and help them.
The administration has done the easy part, with the persuasion to self deportation and deporting criminals already identified and in custody. That has, overall, accounted for about 4 million, 20% of the problem. The remainder will be far worse, more disruptive economically and socially, more demanding of manpower, to investigate and identify people who do not want to be found.
Kak, ref your third-world kidnapping, here's a long quote from the article:
"She told MPR News in an interview that she was out in the community in her car, tracking the movements of federal agents, and recording them on a dash cam.... Agents in three vehicles began chasing her and trying to force her to pull over. Eventually they box her in, three agents get out of the car in front of her"
Ok, so let me do an imitation of Gilbar:
LEFTIE ACTIVISTS follow ICE agents, identify their cars, box them in so they can't keep going down the road - DOUBLEPLUSGOOD!
ICE AGENTS do the same to LEFTIE ACTIVISTS: War crime! Wrongthink! This only happens in the third world!
CC, JSM
PS: how'd I do, Gilbar?
Having mastered coronavirus epidemiology, toilet paper supply chain logistics, bridge design, submarine engineering, and large language models, supply chains, breastfeeding, the Russia/Ukraine conflict, the Israel/Palestine conflict, and the economics of inflation, I will now turn my beautiful mind to immigration policy ~ Achilles
Rents all across the country are falling.
Net negative migration has benefits for the little people.
buwaya said...
The administration has done the easy part, with the persuasion to self deportation and deporting criminals already identified and in custody. That has, overall, accounted for about 4 million, 20% of the problem. The remainder will be far worse, more disruptive economically and socially, more demanding of manpower, to investigate and identify people who do not want to be found.</b.
The easiest way to get rid of them will be to cut off welfare programs and start throwing business owners who employ illegals in jail.
Next step is a 50% tax on remittances to particular countries.
Kakistocracy said...
Having mastered coronavirus epidemiology, toilet paper supply chain logistics, bridge design, submarine engineering, and large language models, supply chains, breastfeeding, the Russia/Ukraine conflict, the Israel/Palestine conflict, and the economics of inflation, I will now turn my beautiful mind to immigration policy ~ Achilles
The reason you have to put your own words into an argument and pretend it was me is that said it is that you are a retard.
Bah. Fine.
👆 Bonfire of the vacuities
" start throwing business owners who employ illegals in jail."
This is part of what I mean by economically and socially disruptive. There are already laws about this. Theres a reason why they are seldom enforced. There will be enormous collateral damage especially among Republican voters. I dont want to come across as an ironical lefty, its just a plain fact.
To put it in the ground, so to speak - I dont know a trenching contractor (guys who dig up the streets for gas, water, sewers etc) in California whose crews aren't mostly illegals.
All these contractors (guys who own these businesses/run these crews) vote Republican.
And they are, IMHO, irreplaceable.
Some monkey democrats can screech all they like, but THEY arent qualified to dig up the streets.
Behold - the modern democrat party
Democrats are cheating in our elections.
This is the first deep, iceless snow in decades here, and I botched making snow cream, using too much milk. Not willing to walk out a third time for more snow.
"Other noise coming out of the Moscow commentariat ..."
Ah, yes. A "commentariat" does have a tendency to produce ..... noise.
"If you see the homeless out on the streets in January, you might want to give them a few bucks."
Or a compass.
Here on the Left Coast, the "city management" expert class maintain a huge population of unemployed, and therefore unhoused, people, who are mostly drug addicts who support themselves by various forms of criminal activity, which the "city management experts" refuse to suppress, and indeed, actively support.
This population surges up and down I-5 as the weather changes. But if you are still hanging out in a tent on the sidewalks of Portland or Seattle in January, you have missed the boat. You should be in San Francisco or LA by now. Of course, Portland and Seattle are doing their best to hang onto you, by subsidizing your drug purchases, shooting you full of Narcan every time you OD, and providing a miserable excuse for shelter that nonetheless allows you to survive and continue to prey upon the community. That's what they studied in college, and that's what they do for a living. And it's a good living.
The fire is starting to burn and its just beginning. In what is a major political upset, Democrat Taylor Rehmet defeated Republican Leigh Wambsganss for the open Texas Senate District 9 seat in Tarrant County, the largest Republican county in the nation, according to complete but unofficial returns.
With 100% of the vote in, Rehmet, a union president in Fort Worth, has 54,267 votes - about 57% - while Wambsganss, a longtime conservative activist, has 40,598 votes, or roughly 43%. more.
In a statement, DNC Chair Ken Martin said, "It's clear as day that this disastrous Republican agenda is hurting working families in Texas and across the country, which is why voters in red, blue, and purple districts are putting their faith in candidates like Taylor Rehmet. This victory is a warning sign to Republicans across the country... Tonight's results prove that no Republican seat is safe. From now until November, Democrats are keeping our foot on the gas and organizing and competing everywhere, including in Texas and the rest of the Sun Belt." Americans aren't feeling MAGA watching Americans get shot in the face and back on the streets by trumps brown shirts. Trump is trying all he can do to rig the elections putting military on the streets ,constant gaslighting and lying about everything and NEOCON around the globe as he has now tasted the blood of the bombs .The 2nd American revolution>time wi tell..They will definitely claimits rigged .stolen.cheated in other words the usual.The North and the South on the fields again, the Colonists in the backrooms talking and the rest of the world watches the fracturing of the republic and speaking out against the proclaimed king. more to be revealed. "I CAN FEEL COMING IN THE AIR TONIGHT OH LORD!
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/fewer-foreigners-visited-us-2025-global-tourism-spending-rose-2026-01-14/
US international tourist arrivals are down by 6% in spite of booming international tourism. This is likely because of tighter issuance rules for visas and poor international reputation factors, among them (as I am a witness of these rumors) an alleged increase in combativeness by airport immigration agents.
The US needs a tourist PR campaign.
The US is still #3 after France and Spain.
Canadian travel to the US is down by over 20%
"It’s a good thing for these violent, mentally ill insurrectionists that Trump is demonstrably not a violent dictator or fascist bent on torturing and exterminating his opponents. It is a remarkably sad thing that so many Americans cannot -- or will not -- see this."
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2026/01/who_are_the_fascists_again.html
Btw the behavior of the Minnesota government, inflating as it does the appearance of disorder there, cannot be doing any good for the business climate in that state. Similar sorts of political publicity stunts have had serious economic consequences in California.
Post a Comment
Please use the comments forum to respond to the post. Don't fight with each other. Be substantive... or interesting... or funny. Comments should go up immediately... unless you're commenting on a post older than 2 days. Then you have to wait for us to moderate you through. It's also possible to get shunted into spam by the machine. We try to keep an eye on that and release the miscaught good stuff. We do delete some comments, but not for viewpoint... for bad faith.