December 20, 2025

Sunrise — 7:01.

Both pictures were taken at the same time, the first one by me and the second one by Meade:

IMG_5339

IMG_3919

It's funny, when I saw the time stamp on Meade's, I thought the iPhone got the time wrong and wondered how. I'd only walked part way out, stopped for a photo, then retreated, because the path was atrocious, ruggedly bumpy with ice-slicked snow. Meade walked all the way out to the usual vantage point, and I was counting on him to get some later photos, closer to sunrise. What you see above is my favorite of the pictures he took. Because his picture is lighter and because I wanted a later photograph, I got sidetracked into puzzling over why the time stamp went bad. But that goes to show how thinking goes bad. There was one thing I didn't want to believe and it was the thing that was true: Meade and I snapped our pictures at exactly the same time. We were both standing in the same darkness, but he zoomed into the lit up spot on the distant shore. The iPhone adjusted the exposure.

Anyway, what wrong thinking and unexpected coincidence have you encountered lately?

Or... write about whatever you want.

65 comments:

Whiskeybum said...

Ah, the last day of Fall in Wisconsin. Soon the weather will turn cold, and we may get some snow. We’ll have to wait for Spring in March to enjoy warm, sunny days again!

/sarc

Clyde said...

Clyde's Top 15 Favorite "New" Songs of 2025 - Part 6 of 16
#11 - Soul Asylum - "Never Really Been (MTV Unplugged Live)" - The Complete Unplugged - NYC '93 (2023)

In either late December 2024 or early last January, I had this Soul Asylum album come up on my recommendations and I gave it a listen. I hadn't heard this particular song before and really liked it, so it was the first song that I added to my new 2025 Best New and New-to-Me songs playlist. Because of that, it got played whenever I played the playlist, no matter how many other songs got added, so it ended up as one of my most played songs of the year. When I hit the deadline, I rearranged my playlist, so it's now the 11th song on the playlist.

I had not heard the original version of the song, which appeared on the 1986 album Made to Be Broken, which is probably just as well. In my opinion, the vocals on this live version are far superior to the original, which would not have appeared in any top song list for me.

My favorite part is where Dave Pirner sings the lyric:

"And where will you be
"In 1993?
"Still sitting in the same chair?"

Because, of course, this was MTV Unplugged show was recorded in 1993, seven years after the song originally came out. I heard a recording that Dave Pirner, the songwriter, guitarist and lead singer, did in Paste Studios in 2017, where he changed the lyric to "And where will you be in 2023?" That works, too, I guess.

https://youtu.be/mlQXxFJKCzA?si=auItGiDEkKDP479e

Derve said...

Picture of the rugged path one of these days, please?

He could print and market that second picture as egg money to help support himself. Face.it? You might have the art degree but he has the better eye and consistently turns out better photos and videos than you, proffy. And I don't even like the guy...

Regarding the simultaneous shots, think of it like simultaneous orgasm? Often pursued; rarely achieved. Just enjoy it when it happens...

Thanks for sharing, kids!

Clyde said...

Re: Wrong thinking and unexpected coincidence:
I work for USPS, and every year, we have a contest for a couple of weeks where we try to guess the number of letters being cancelled daily in the weeks running up to Christmas. The winner each day gets a tin of popcorn. They provided us daily stats that included their official projections for each day, which were often way off, and the numbers for the Same Period Last Year (SPLY). Some days the projection was closer, some days the SPLY was closer. I did statistical analysis of the results each day before putting in my guess for the next day. I divided the Actual number of cancellations by the Projection, then divided the Actual number by the SPLY, and came up with two different multipliers that I would apply to the current day's Projection and SPLY. I averaged the different multipliers as I got more data points over successive days. On December 12th, I though I screwed up, because the average of five days data for Average/Projection gave me 1.0446, but when I divided the Average/SPLY for December 11th, I also got the number 1.0446 for that single day's number. I double-checked them both and found out that both numbers were correct. It was very strange.

My entry the next day didn't win. However, I did win this past Wednesday, for the first time since 2020. I'm enjoying my popcorn!

Derve said...

It looks like a pink and blue transgender picture with a big nipple in the middle...
People would buy that, but we know how you hate on the trans so no $ for you. Lost opportunity...

narciso said...

The question about basque is because it lies between french and spanish territories it should resemble either

Political Junkie said...

The other day I posted that Clarence and Sam should resign and we appoint young Conservatives to the USSC. While I bet they would not resign, some folks asked for evidence of my fears.
Well, history is one.
NVC, NJ and VA another answer.
Lastly, new and devastating, Atlas, the most accurate pollster of 2024 Presidential election has D +16 in generic ballot.
Tsunami incoming.

Derve said...

Ann always frames her shots with the trees looking like unkempt pubic hair... nttawwt.
Some people like the ungroomed look, I understand...

Glad to see you are leaving the ducks and swans undisturbed on your continued early morning visits. Tough to be a duck these days...

Peachy said...

Thank you, zoom. the capitol looks especially regal in the cold pink light.

narciso said...


Never the wrong time for the chairman

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hLf0-lro8X8

Eva Marie said...

This is my story about a NYC subway encounter with a knife-wielding druggie.
Early 1980s, sometime around 11 or 12 at night. We were heading home on the subway after seeing a play when we found ourselves in a subway car with a large, angry man who was clearly high. He pulled out a hunting knife and began waving it around while shouting belligerently. Very scary.
Also in the car was a young man in his early twenties - tall, slim, and very good-looking. Somehow, through calm conversation alone, he managed to defuse the situation and quiet the big guy down. I was so relieved.
Then the train hit a bump, jostling everyone who was standing. The big man, whose balance was already shaky, stumbled and fell against the young man. The younger guy looked at him and said, “Don’t touch me. Don’t ever touch me again.”
That startled me. It clearly hadn’t been intentional, and I worried the remark would reignite the tension. After all, the kid was no match for this big, drug-addled crazy person.
Of course, the big guy took the bait. “What are you gonna do?” he said. “What are you gonna do if I touch you?”
Without raising his voice, the young man replied, “If you touch me again, I’m taking you home with me.”
The big guy stared at him for a moment, then backed away, sat down, and shut up.
At the next stop, the young man got off. We hurried into another car - several cars away - just to be safe(er).

narciso said...

https://x.com/ArmandDoma/status/2002061308901142705?s=20

Derve said...

PJ:
He promised "no new wars" yet the US has only gotten more deadly this past year...
Not everybody's a macho chest beater out for blood... Wait and see, even more than the economy or immigration enforcement, MAGA is in big trouble. Enjoy the killings while you can, I guess..
So long as the Dems don't run boy Gavin, we'll be looking to break with Israel and the kill-em-cuz-we-can mentality that Christian Americans "frown upon". Make love, not enemies. Pass it on?

narciso said...

https://youtu.be/48CtX6OgU3s?si=dTw-wvfbhprxZ47f

She should get better material

john mosby said...

Eva Marie: Tall good-looking guy was rolling the dice. At least some huge druggie knife-brandishing guys are gay. Dude might have accepted the offer! CC, JSM

Big Mike said...

You’re right, Althouse, creepy coincidence. Creepy.

Malesch Morocco said...

God I love you two! Such a great pair. Merry Christmas and thank you for all of the posts all year long.

Original Mike said...

I have a photographer friend who used to take lightning photos. One day, he was looking through a friend's photos and recognized a lightning strike that he had also photographed. The two guys had photographed the same lightning bolt from two locations several miles apart. Put together in a stereoscopic viewer, they had a spectacular 3D image of the strike.

Big Mike said...

Does not look good right now for the Dukes of James Madison.

narciso said...

That jim acostas alma mater fwiw

Jamie said...

Put together in a stereoscopic viewer, they had a spectacular 3D image of the strike.

That is AWESOME. What serendipity!

narciso said...

https://x.com/Eli_Sherman/status/2002149962826813801

Jamie said...

Are you able to post those stereoscopic pictures? In my young geologist days, I used to be able to relax my eyes to view stereo pairs without a viewer - I wonder if I can still do it.

Original Mike said...

"That is AWESOME. What serendipity!"

I'm impressed he recognized the lightning bolt as the same one. I have a copy of the images (35mm slides) and a viewer. It really is spectacular.

Original Mike said...

I'm not sure how I'd do that, Jamie.

I used to do that eye relaxing thing too.

Gospace said...

Numbers. Covid was always about numbers, and the health authorities were making them up. I saw this a day or two ago, and read it again on coffeeandcovid today.

Here’s a clip from this week’s Joe Rogan Experience #2427 (December 17, 2025), where Bret Weinstein discusses Pierre Kory’s book “The War on Ivermectin.” The book documents 80 U.S. court cases between 2021-2022 as a kind of accidental natural experiment. In the cases, which were brought by families of patients who wanted courts to make hospitals administer the drug, 38 of 40 patients survived when courts ordered ivermectin, versus 38 patients out of 40 who died when courts denied ivermectin.

CLIP: Brett Weinstein tells Joe Rogan about Kory’s ‘natural’ ivermectin experience (3:49).

Weinstein displayed the appropriate amount of incredulity about this outcome. As a scientist, he ran the numbers. The chances of those outcomes happening by random chance are so small as to be impossible (1 in 20 quadrillion). But, as Weinstein ruefully pointed out, nobody will pay any attention to this astonishing evidence since it doesn’t appear in a peer-reviewed study.

38 of 40 covid patients denied ivermectin by the courts because of expert MEDICAL testimony saying it was useless- died. 38 of 40 allowed ivermectin despite expert medical testimony saying it was useless lived.

When my wife and I got covid the 2nd time was a twice vaccinated person showing no symptoms- despite the great medical expert Emperor Hoch banning ivermectin use in her Dictatorship of NY, as soon as I has symptoms we immediately started ivermectin we had purchased through an online overseas pharmacy. The 30 year younger person I got it from, who called me the day he tested positive (the day after our weekly meeting) had no symptoms the day after me and my wife, so 1 day longer then me, 2 days longer then her, us in our late 60s, him 30 years younger.

BTW, symptomless spread was widely attributed to us evil unvaxxed, yet every case I know of was from a vaccinated person to us evil unvaxxed. Odd that, isn't it? There's only anecdotal stories about that, it was never actually studied.

Based on those cases, if I were a spouse or child of one of the 38 dead who were denied treatment, I would sue the doctors involved both in treatment and testimony for malpractice. Would be really hard to explain how 38 of 40 denied ivermectin died and 38 of 40 given ivermectin lived. They were all sick enough to get into a court, fighting for appropriate treatment. Only the ones who received ivermectin got it. Unfortunately, it's not possible to sue the idiot judges.

chuck said...

@narciso Sounds like "today's date" not the rental date. The amount of confusion and silliness surrounding this event would have led me to lose faith in humanity -- if I had that faith.

Original Mike said...

I wouldn't be surprised if there are similar images on line. Although their photos were serendipity, after they did it they realized it's not that hard to do on purpose. The technique for photographing lightning at night is to just open the shutter and wait for a lightning bolt.

Iman said...

“NYC, NJ and VA another answer.”

Gee… who woulda thunk the Dems would win elections in Blue States?

imTay said...

I was today years old when I learned from last night’s open thread that audits that have been denied relevant factual information in quantities that dwarf a margin of victory can somehow prove that the result was not rigged.

They would get more respect if they said “Suck it, losers! We kept any court from seeing it when it mattered, cry moar, you’ll pee less!”

narciso said...

That should a 30 font headline no

Jersey Fled said...

Question of the day: Why do people worry if their cosmetics are vegan.

Original Mike said...

"I was today years old when I learned from last night’s open thread that audits that have been denied relevant factual information in quantities that dwarf a margin of victory can somehow prove that the result was not rigged."

But they counted the tainted ballots multiple times. And got the same answer each time! What more do you want?

imTay said...

I got in trouble over expressing my opinion on a book a female friend adored. I read the blurb and it turns out that it was a better story than Huckleberry Finn or Catcher in the Rye. You see, unlike those two fictional protagonists, we are assured right on the cover that Barbara Kingsolver's hero is extremely good looking! How could a master like Twain fail like that?

Quaestor said...

I prefer Althouse's sunrise to Meade's because it adheres to the rule of thirds. Meade's is nice too, but I think it could have been improved by panning a little to the right until the dome is over the first third vertical. This would give us a better view of those cranes, and more skyglow.

Digital cameras give us tremendous freedom to experiment over 35mm film, not only by exposure bracketing, but by compositional experimentation. Shoot fast and loose, that's my motto. In the immortal words of Bluto Blutarsky, it don't cost nuthin'.

Prof. M. Drout said...

Ivermectin seemed to work for me--Covid resolved within 3 days of starting, and it seemed to make subsequent upper respiratory infections resolve faster than they used to. The only issue I had was that my vision was off a little bit: everything looked the way it does the morning after pulling all-nighter with that kind of sparkliness around the edges.

Here's the thing: When that happened back in 2022, I found plenty of articles that were written before 2020 that explained this side-effect as not unusual, and that it would resolve when the course of ivermectin was completed. The articles were aimed at people who were being treated for parasitic nematode infections.
Apparently Google search is more dishonest now than it was at the height of covid tyranny in 2022, because I could not dredge up any of the articles and instead got repetitive "Ivermectin is dangerous" crapola that was obviously being forced into the search results.
I think breaking up Google and a general anti-trust push against big tech companies would be a very good thing for the country. And even if it wasn't, Google should be broken up just for spite because search---and not just with Google-- is now completely pozzed and somebody should be punished for that.

Eva Marie said...

@john mosby: The kid got off at Christopher St. So I think he would’ve been fine with that.

James K said...

I got Covid in January 2022, and while not worse than a nasty flu, was pretty miserable for around four days. On day five my Ivermectin order arrived, and started feeling noticeably better by the end of that day. It might have been a coincidence, but the improvement was pretty dramatic over the next couple of days. I felt so much better by day seven that I didn't even finish the full course of Ivermectin, which I think was five days. I figured I'd save the rest (which was not easy to get at that time, and took a few days to get by mail order) in case I or someone in my family got sick.

Curious George said...

Da Bears! What a game!

Dave Begley said...

At the Omaha Public Power District meeting this week, there was a big controversy about a closing date for the North Omaha coal plant. North Omaha is where most of Omaha’s Blacks live. Giant crowd at the meeting; mostly white liberal women from West Omaha.

The complaint is that burning coal has caused all sorts of deaths and injuries. But the general counsel and management commissioned some studies that found coal was not a serious health risk. The Left, of course, went crazy. A theology professor at Creighton organized a conference of left wing hack public health people who criticized the recent “no harm” studies.

I found some estimates from tollfromcoal.org that OPPD’s coal fired power plant in Nebraska City allegedly killed 29 people while NOS only killed 17 people.

The wrong thinking by the Left is that the lives of the white people in Nebraska City were less valuable than the Black lives in North Omaha.

Dr Weevil said...

I just added a couple of comments to the sucking pig thread that some of you may find amusing. Probably should have put them here. The last has a question for Ann.

Mr. Majestyk said...

If aclean, affordable fusion power is ever developed, I wonder how the left will attack it.

Humperdink said...

What happened to the Epstein files? Did they get released and flushed down the memory hole? The only pic I recall getting anyone’s attention was former Commander-in-Heat Bill Clinton cavorting in a hot tub with an anonymous chick.

Fritz said...

Humperdink, approximately 300,000 pages were released. For liberals not accustomed to doing arithmetic, that's 600 reams, or a small roomful of paper. Democrats are still looking for the pony. I can't even conceive of how anyone, even someone as notorious as Epstein, can have that much paperwork in the hands of the government. And there's probably as much to go. And each one has to be looked at and redacted for victims, and people only casually associated with Epstein. Of course the DOJ couldn't make the deadline. You might as well ask a cow to jump over the moon. But that was the point of the Dec. 19 deadline, to make it impossible, and to give Democrats and Massie something to bitch about.

Humperdink said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
planetgeo said...

Anybody else having issues with the mobile version of this website being identical to the desktop version and therefore having the text appear very tiny? Readable only if you zoom a few words at a time on an Android phone.

Money Manger said...

Re: The Epstein files and Trump.

It is pretty clear, to the NYT and WaPo readership, per their comments that, to recast the legal saw, "The absence of evidence, is evidence of guilt".

rehajm said...

If aclean, affordable fusion power is ever developed, I wonder how the left will attack it.

…if they’re still around they’ll invent a new grift…

Christopher B said...

@planetgeo, I'm also getting the desktop site even though the mobile tag is in the URL on my Android phone. I can zoom it to be generally readable though.

Humperdink said...

Scott Jennings suggested the files be re-labelled the “Clinton Files”. Made me laugh.

@Fritz. I used to sell copy paper. 600 reams is 60 cases. 40 cases to a pallet. 60 cases is 1.5 pallets. But I get your point.

Humperdink said...

The Prime Minister of Australia’s response to the massacre? Another gun buyback. I presume the general public, here and in Australia, recognize how that solution is absolutely moronic.

The anti-gunners tell us give your guns, the police will protect you. Tell them to go watch the police response in Australia or the Uvalde shootings. The police were cowering in fear as the shots rang out.

rehajm said...

A theology professor at Creighton organized a conference of left wing hack public health people who criticized the recent “no harm” studies

…how science-ey…

Christopher B said...

What happened to the Epstein files is exactly what most Epstein skeptics have been predicting ever since no new information about Trump and Epstein was released between 2021 and 2025.

Epstein had nothing to do with anybody's intelligence agency.

Epstein made his money with sometimes more and sometimes less, and occasionally not at all, legal cons of rich folks, famously Les Wexner.

Epstein's wealth allowed him to become a confidant and socialite with a wide range of contacts but he was never particularly close to Donald Trump. In fact, he appears to largely despise DJT.

Epstein was an ephebophile who got caught but his sexual activities had little intersection with his social life, and he wasn't pimping underage girls to a gang of rich men.

I'm sure various Trump haters are gonna keep pushing on that string, along with a few wild-eyed right wing populists, but I expect the story to fade away over the next year.

Old and slow said...

planetgeo said...
Anybody else having issues with the mobile version of this website

It has always been this way for me on iPhones. I rarely read the blog - or anything else - on the phone and just use my laptop.

Rob said...

It's an iPhone, you sure Apple is not screwing with the 'keeping time' function as a way of getting you to buy a new one?
They have a history...

Chest Rockwell said...

Planetgeo, I have this problem on my Galaxy Fold. There's a zoom function in my mobile browser, that's separate from pinch zoom. It increases the default font size of the site to something readable.

Kakistocracy said...

Liberals are complaining that the Justice Department has left in the faces of the little girls being abused while blacking out the photos of the rich, powerful men abusing them. But the rich, powerful men are the real victims of this investigation.

Marcus Bressler said...

Clyde, a SPLY story. I was a Postmaster for five years, and a manager for almost ten prior. Each month we would get a print out of our performance in all categories. In the first column was ACTUAL, the second BUDGET, the third SPLY. But the catch was the powers-in-charge had altered the SPLY numbers of some offices to hide the fact that they had, as favorites, gotten massive budget increases while others settled for tiny increases (despite adding several thousand new delivery points). When some higherup would mention SPLY (pronounced just as it is spelled), one of my supervisors would loudly question, "It is SPLY ......or "Adjusted SPLY" ? It did not get a laugh.

imTay said...

We already know from the quote “giving humanity unlimited energy is like giving a toddler a machine gun.”

Ronald J. Ward said...

Trump’s DOJ redacting the files equals Trump redacting the files.

“It’s simple economics. If you have fewer people, fewer illegal aliens trying to buy homes, that means American citizens are going to finally be able to afford a home again. It’s very, very simple economics,”
—-J.D. Vance

I guess when they’re not mooching off the taxpayer or, or something?

“Everything is perfect,” Trump went on. “Her undergarments, sometimes referred to as panties, are folded, perfect. Wrapped. They’re like, so perfect. I say, ‘That’s beautiful.’ You know, that’s the part of the world she came from. Everything was perfect, no problem. Fold, fold, fold. I think that she steams them.”

Okay

Trump’s name on the Kennedy Center and a fake peace medal, that oughta ease those grocery bills.

Only in MAGAland.

Rusty said...

I drove from my house the Benton Harbor Mich. Yesterday. There was hardly any traffic going out , but it started snowing shortly after I got passed Michigan City and there was a brief whiteout around Sawyer. The waves on the lake were between three and four feet. I'm always impressed by how much moisture the lake provides to the eastern shore.

Mason G said...

"The Prime Minister of Australia’s response to the massacre? Another gun buyback."

Buyback? Was there a time when the Australian government sold guns to people?

Original Mike said...

"Buyback? Was there a time when the Australian government sold guns to people?"

Not directly, but everything we have derives from the beneficence of our government, dontchaknow?

Leland said...

Outkick:
"Tesla Stock Surge Exposes Tim Walz’s Bad Bet And A Governor Distracted By All The Wrong Numbers"

Walz posted this back in March when the stock was 225. TSLA closed Friday at 481.20.

Josephbleau said...

“Both pictures were taken at the same time, the first one by me and the second one by Meade:”

Since the greater goal is to photograph the sunrise, photographs taken separately should occur contemporaneously, by design. The timestamp is not an independent random variable, but correlated.

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