August 29, 2021
"Hurricane Ida made landfall in Louisiana on Sunday as a Category 4 storm.... The storm’s maximum sustained winds on Sunday morning reached 150 miles an hour, closing in on the 157 m.p.h. winds of a Category 5 storm...."
"The storm has New Orleans directly in its path.... The storm could also wreak serious havoc farther inland, in places like greater Baton Rouge, where a number of areas have been devastated by inland flooding in recent years from much less powerful storms.
Hurricane Ida will bring 'extremely threatening storm surge inundation of 9 feet or higher' between Burns Point, La., and Ocean Springs, Miss., the Hurricane Center warned.
In some places the surge could be as high as 16 feet.... Governor Edwards [said] 'We can sum it up by saying this will be one of the strongest hurricanes to hit anywhere in Louisiana since at least the 1850s'.... The storm made landfall on the 16th anniversary of the landfall of Hurricane Katrina.... The trajectory and strength of Ida will present a high-stakes test of the levees, flood walls, pumps and gates that were reinforced around New Orleans after Katrina.... ... Mr. Edwards said that the pandemic had thwarted plans to evacuate hospitals.
'Evacuating these large hospitals is not an option because there are not any other hospitals with the capacity to take them'...."
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Posts
28 comments:
Are they setting up the BBQs inside the Superdome for when the people-eatin' begins?
I hope the reporters are getting their wet-weather gear ready : )
I'm surprised that I haven't seen more news coverage about this until this morning. In 2005 Katrina hit land as a category 3 and this one looks like it might hit as a category 4. I'm afraid that this is going to be disastrous for the people in this storm's path. (Plus, it will be depressing to see how fast people will politicize this.) I really hope that FEMA has everything that they need, but I'm worried that the ongoing pandemic may have reduced their ability to respond to this.
Hurricane Ida wont be a big deal.
Except that global warming obviously caused it.
How I am able to predict this is a complete mystery.
So why exactly, do people live in the New Orleans area? They can't all be working in or supporting the port.
... it is the most populous city in Louisiana. Serving as a major port, New Orleans is considered an economic and commercial hub for the broader Gulf Coast region of the United States.
...
New Orleans was severely affected by Hurricane Katrina in August 2005, which flooded more than 80% of the city, killed more than 1,800 people, and displaced thousands of residents, causing a population decline of over 50%. Since Katrina, major redevelopment efforts have led to a rebound in the city's population. Concerns about gentrification, new residents buying property in formerly closely knit communities, and displacement of longtime residents have been expressed.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Orleans
According to NOAA, 19 major hurricanes have made landfall within 150 miles of New Orleans from 1900 to 2020 ...
https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/special-report-hurricane-ida-in-historical?r=2n1fv&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&utm_source=twitter
We live in a prosperous nation.
Third World problems
Based on recent examples of competent planning, the gov't probably is sending Afghan refugees to Louisiana.
so, i learned an useful lesson today
IF you were supposed to do something, and DIDN'T...
Just Say... It's Because of COVID!
And, you'll get a pass; 'cause people are too stupid to think
Jesus. So there was no plan to evacuate the most sensitive populations who need a steady supply of oxygen and or ventilators and of course electricity in order to stay alive?
Holy shit FEMA.
Have they learned anything since Katrina? I bet I’m not the first to ask.
Instead of wasting so much political energy on reducing carbon, voters need to support politicians who focus on feasible, local, engineering works which can mitigate the negative impacts of bad weather.
The main cost of "climate change" is bad weather: storms, floods, freezing, droughts, fires, heat. All of these should be expected to be "the worst in 200 years".
Like the Texas frost and the need for back ups and emergency.
Why didn't New Orleans' plan for another Katrina OR WORSE, hurricane?
Bad politicians. Bad, bad ... voted in by voters.
"Evacuating these large hospitals is not an option"
Don't get sick in NoLa. Even better, do us all a favor and don't live there.
Last year, we drove through the aftermath of Hurricane Laura with days of it plowing through Lake Charles. From the Texas boarder to the 100 mile marker on I-10, trees were leveled and power would be out for more days to come. Ike went directly over my home, and I witnessed the 6 days while Harvey rained on my home. The destruction of Laura was nothing I had seen. Laura left a horrific aftermath.
Ida looks to be tracking West of New Orleans, but I'm not sure being spared a direct hit will help when the rotation is filling up Lake Pontchartrain. This will be another disaster.
Are people wearing their masks in the rain and wind? If not, this could be a superspreader event.
Looking forward to seeing pictures of overweight people being transported to emergency shelters in wooden crates because of the lack of preparedness or because rowboats and canoes couldn't do the job.
Can I make a prediction- if New Orleans is still there tomorrow and unflooded by the sea, the media will crow that Joe Biden passed his Katrina test, and that the future of the country is secure.
We wonder whether the Resident of the United States is certain that Ida is a storm and not a long-gone Hollywood actress.
The storm has never been forecast to hit New Orleans, only to pass by uncomfortably close. In fact, the landfall forecasts have been astoundingly accurate, and consistent, an incredible achievement.
Does anyone know how long a hospital can run on backup generator? I know that diesel generators can run as long as they have fuel, but they still have to feed patients, too.
Captain obvious says: this is bad.
Deaths will be ascribed to:
* People who don't believe in CAGW
* Trump
* Bush
* Anti-vaxxers
* People who don't believe in wearing masks
Deaths will NOT be ascribed to:
* Democratic Mayors
* Governor Edwards (Democrat)
* Failure to maintain levees
Yancey Ward said...
Can I make a prediction- if New Orleans is still there tomorrow and unflooded by the sea, the media will crow that Joe Biden passed his Katrina test, and that the future of the country is secure.
Tempest Storm!
>> Why didn't New Orleans' plan for another Katrina OR WORSE, hurricane?
Democrats in NOLA and LA were helpless in the face of Trump hurricane plans.... totally unable to change them in any way.
Orange Man Still Bad.
Tomcc- There’s no simple answer to your question. It’s a classic “It depends….” Question.
1. Is the generator sized to handle full hospital electrical load or just hospital essential loads?
2. How many days of on-site fuel storage? And, of course, the assumption the generator was above flood level and the storage either the same or otherwise protected from contamination.
3. If only a day or three of fuel is onsite will the hospital have local priority for fuel delivery- if the trucks can get through.
As for the food question I would assume hospital food services plans a menu weeks in advance and has at least a weeks worth in storage. Bread, mil, if they get daily or just in time delivery are going to be short until normal retail distribution is reestablished. I’ve been in some places where they bake their own bread, but not any hospital.
I was reasonably assured that since a Republican was not in the White House, a repeat of Katrina could never occur.
to repeat someone else's Serious Question
WHY did we rebuild New Orleans?
Maybe (Just, MAYBE) Cities should be ABOVE SEA LEVEL?
Hi Gilbar,
Given that cities should indeed be above sea level, I’ve always wondered why New Orleans was there in the first place. Why not someplace higher?
Ida is now down to Category 2.
The mayor of New Orleans says levees have been strengthened since Katrina. I hope so.
—Lady Cutekitten
I think the question I posed ar 1:25 has largely been answered in the negative.
For those questioning the accuracy of the forecasts/predictions, Cliff Mass writes ...
Why are our models frequently unable to get the intensification right? One reason is the lack of resolution. To simulate such storms one needs to simulate the hurricanes with model grid spacing of approximately one kilometer or better, but the National Weather Service lacks the computer resources to do so.
Then there are deficiencies in model physics, such as how sea spray humidifies the air above the breaking waves. Or how cooler water mixes vertically in the upper ocean surface.
And then this the need for model data to describe hurricane structure offshore.
An apparently significant issue for Hurricane Ida was a patch of deep warm water over the Gulf of Mexico, directly on the track of the storm (see below). Such warm water greatly helps a storm to intensify.
Finally, one thing to keep in mind: our ability to predict the tracks, and to a less extent the intensity of hurricanes, is a potent tool for reducing damage and casualties from tropical storms and hurricanes.
It is why tropical storm deaths are far fewer today than 50-100 years ago, even with many more people on the planet.
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2021/08/the-landfall-of-category-four-hurricane.html
Like all hard problems, solutions take time and money. Nothing to it.
The real hard problem that needs solving is ... how do we keep people from moving to a city that gets hit by a category four or five hurricane every 20 years or so? Maybe we should charge them directly for the rebuilding and cleanup. Money talks.
BADuBois: "I was reasonably assured that since a Republican was not in the White House, a repeat of Katrina could never occur."
Remeber,the "fire cant melt steel" lefties/LLR lefties still have a plurality or majorities of their morons who believe Bush/Rove had a weather machine programmed to direct the storm toward a "chocolate city", that Bush blew up the levees, and that Bush let people eat each other in the Superdome.
Post a Comment