January 19, 2021

Trump has a +3 approval rating in the new Rasmussen poll.

 You can see all the latest polls here, at Real Clear Politics.

71 comments:

The Cracker Emcee Refulgent said...

Oppose the blatant theft of an election from 70 million people and you're likely to gain some fans. Not surprising.

For better or worse, politics is like religion. Fighters rise, squishes sink.

Mike Sylwester said...

Few people believe that protesting against voting fraud is wrong.

Kovacs said...

And underwater by double digits in all the rest--way to cherry-pick, Althouse!

Readering said...

Outlier poll.

Michael K said...

The war on Trump and Trump voters will be intensified until the last Trump voter has been "deprogrammed." I wonder what year that will be ?

Rabel said...

The election of 2020 shows that their "likely voter" model is going to need a major revision in light of the vote harvesting and mail-in fraud.

YoungHegelian said...

Well, whatever may have been Trump's role in the 1/6/ Melee at the Capitol, it's not like the Biden Admin nor the Congress has especially been Profiles in Courage since then.

The American People are hurting. Their communities and businesses were devastated by the COVID lockdowns. Then, they saw the riots & how law enforcement didn't do anything to stop them. Governors didn't call in the National Guard, and downtowns burned around the nation.

And, then Congress gets ransacked, and with the exception of one Capitol Hill police officer who may or may not have died from riot related injuries, everyone who died was from the protestors' side of things. Congress & the Biden Admin then freak out, turning the Mall into an armed camp with two fucking divisions of National Guard, effectively locking down downtown DC. They then proceed to publicly question the loyalty of the troops, even going so far as to have some nutjob white lefty Congressman from TN go on air & discuss how the NG can't be trusted because they're probably all white Republicans.

So, when the electorate thinks about Trump, the question is "Trump vs who?". Could Trump be whack? Oh, yeah. But sanity really, really seems to be in short supply among our political class.

The Cracker Emcee Refulgent said...

"Blogger Readering said...
Outlier poll."

Not according to those revanchist right-wing extremists at NBC. The wildly popular and universally acclaimed Joe Biden has a one point edge in approval over the vile, universally denounced Donald Trump. Sorry, Establishment.

Nonapod said...

While I don't believe that Trump is hated as widely as some may believe, I still think most polls are probably wrong. At any rate, it will be interesting to see how people's views about Trump evolve over the next few years. Will people who hate him now start to miss him?

Earnest Prole said...

Rasmussen’s final nationwide presidential poll had Biden +1 over Trump; the actual count was Biden +4.4. Experience tells us Rasmussen’s margin of error tends to be less than other polls and on the right rather than the left, so adjusting three points for that it would appear Trump’s approval/disapproval is roughly breaking even — not bad given the Orange Outrage of recent weeks.

Inga said...

Isn’t that a nice departing gift to Drumpf, in light of all the rest on the list.

The Cracker Emcee Refulgent said...

Adjusting margins of error for fraud will be the new polling craft.

walk don't run said...

Choose an explanation:

1. It may be an outlier. Statistics have a way of doing this every so often.
2. People may like the new quieter Trump. (i.e. He should have done this a year ago!)
3. People are now realizing that the so called "insurrection" was like many things in Trumps presidency, grossly overplayed.
4. The election was actually stolen and far more people voted for Trump than for Biden - hence the new bias in favor of Trump!
5. Biden and his team are already scaring a majority of Americans with their plans.
6. All of the above.

Prediction: Within a year a majority of Americans will be wishing Trump was back in office!

stevew said...

Little late for that to have any positive impact. This is how they keep him in the news and keep us tuning in.

Arashi said...

Ah come on man, its all russian collusion! Just wait till tomorrow when the seas retreat and systemic racism ends and the unicorns start delivering our new energy future. Then you will see SloJos popularity go to +200!

Shouting Thomas said...

Inga wakes up finally from last nights drunken binge.

I hope you at least changed your shitty Depends before you hit the bottle again.

Hillary put down the bottle long enough to claim that Putin directed the capital riots.

You’ve got your marching orders, Bloody Inga. Swig down half a bottle of rotgut, wipe your ass, and get on board.

Finally, you have something in common with a president... dementia.

Fernandinande said...

"After almost three-quarters of a century of trying, Donald Trump has become the first American ever about whom zero percent have No Opinion."

tim maguire said...

If you believe that Biden won the election, then you believe that the media is still powerful in forming public opinion. But polls--all of them, not just the "outliers"--say otherwise. They say that all this crap the media keeps stuffing down our throats about how awful Trump is has very little effect on public opinion.

NorthOfTheOneOhOne said...

walk don't run said...

Choose an explanation:

How about: 7) The Rasmussen Poll was the only poll conducted somewhere other than a coffee shop in deepest, darkest Berkley.

tim maguire said...

I'm not saying by that that I think Biden stloe the election. I think he might have, but the red flags, however many they are, have not been demonstrated to be decisive. At the moment, they are still just that--red flags.

Joe Smith said...

"Fighters rise, squishes sink."

Speaking of squishes, just heard McConnell on the news stating Trump incited the rioters.

Would love to see a forensic accounting of his finances.

Fuck him and all like him.

They are all grifters on your dime, making unimaginable money as your 'public servant.'

Are you amused yet?

rcocean said...

Better not tell Mitch McConnell, he's just attacked Trump signally he'll vote to impeach him. He also won't meet with Trump tomorrow AM, instead he's going to Mass with Good Ol' Joe. Oh, and Kevin McCarthy is doing the same.

McCarthy is much more subdued in his Trump hatred because he's up for re-election in 2 years. Mitch is going to retire in six years. He's a free agent baby, and he's going Democrat Big-time.

Thanks Loser Kentucky Republican. Hell of a job!

Joe Smith said...

McCarthy won't last...he's outed himself as a coward.

With any luck the priest will laugh in Joe's face when he comes up for communion.

Fat chance, but I can dream.

Earnest Prole said...

The NBC poll a couple of days ago showed Trump’s support essentially unchanged. It’s difficult to link from my phone, but google “ Trump approval remains stable in new NBC poll” to find it.

Curious George said...

"Trump has a +3 approval rating in the new Rasmussen poll."

Sure, now. Not by morning.

Bemac said...

Poll of likely voters vs. polls of registered voters and of adults.

Ken B said...

It’s like when Clinton's numbers went up after his impeachment. It’s not approval, it’s disapproval of someone else.

rcocean said...

What's outrageous is that McConnell repeated Schumer's lie. Oh there was insurrection by "The Mob" incited by TRUMP and other "powerful men" (LOL), but the senate nobly withstood "The Mob" and courageously voted for Joe Biden our new Thief-in-Chief.

McConnell, of course, has spent the last 4 years subverting, obstructing, and undermining Trump and his agenda. All the while posing as Trump great buddy, including having his wife in Trump's cabinet. Y'see McConnell, really, really, wanted to help Trump, but the "Senate Traditions" and "The filibuster" stopped him. He tried. Really, he did.

Rand Paul says McConnell will split the R party and 1/3 will leave if Trump is impeached on McConnell say so. I'd like to think that was true.

Mark said...

Sigh.

Trump has ALREADY been impeached.

Ken B said...

Tim M
“ If you believe that Biden won the election, then you believe that the media is still powerful in forming public opinion”

Yes, and yes.

Why do people lie Tim? There are lots of reasons but the main one is to fool people.

rcocean said...

The people, especially the Trump supporters, look at the evidence. They see nothing that Trump said or did that incited anyone. They look at the Tapes of the "Capital Hill Riot" and wonder why this is considered so "Horrible" given we've been watching 6 MONTHS of antifa/BLM violence.

They wonder why McConnell and his gang are such hysterical cowards. And why a few protesters made them cry like little girls. Or why the big strong Senators and Congressmen need 25,000 troops (more than were at Omaha beach on D-day) to protect them from non-existent Right-wing boogie men.

wild chicken said...

How the hell do they poll now anyway?

No one answers their phone. Been that way for years.

Ken B said...

What foolish misunderstanding are you under now catechism Mark?

Drago said...

Joe Smith: "Speaking of squishes, just heard McConnell on the news stating Trump incited the rioters."

Incorrect.

McConnell attempts to "square the circle" by claiming Trump "provoked" the crowd, a standard below that of the legal term "incite".

I suspect McConnell did this to kick Trump on the way out in order to shore up his anti-populist establishment bona fides while setting the stage for claiming the charges dont amount to an impeachable offense.

The Turtle knows full well that republicans working to impeach Trump, unconstitutionally (a violation of at least 4 constitutional protections) would literally end the republican party.

In this case the signalling by Lindsay Graham is most telling.

rcocean said...

Poor Trump might have to depend on the SCOTUS to retain his right to run again. We already know the 3 Democrats will vote their politics. And that Roberts Hates Trump. All they need is one more SCOTUS judge and Trump will be barred forever from running again.

Good thing we have the rule of law in the USA. HAHAHAHAHAHAHA

rcocean said...

Yeah, right. McConnell is playing 4-D chess again. LOL!

He's stabbed Trump in the back. He will vote to impeach or let 20 R's vote to impeach and remove and bar him from running again. This is what its all about.

No, Mitch is NOT Playing 4-d Chess. Quit wishing and start thinking.

Drago said...

rcocean: "Yeah, right. McConnell is playing 4-D chess again. LOL!"

4D chess?

More like 2D checkers.

McConnell attacks Trump but can read a poll as well as anyone.

Dont overcomplicate this.

Drago said...

rcocean, I will offer 1 caveat.

I am operating under the assumption that McConnell wishes to maintain the supposed viability of the republican party.

Here's the caveat: it is possible that the republican establishment believes that the Permanent 1-party control of the US Govt is now underway and that train has left the station.

In that case, given the dems will give amnesty to 30 million illegals prior to 2024, give statehood to DC and/or PR (yes, Manchin will fold as usual), and complete dem control of voting systems will be consolidated, McConnell may indeed be playing his part to secure his position within the New Reality/Regime by helping to vote down the populist revolt embodied by Trump and a potential 2024 candidacy.

I suspect thats what you are thinking.

wildswan said...

The Cracker Emcee Refulgent said...
Adjusting margins of error for fraud will be the new polling craft.

They have to poll the unlikely voters like the dead and the nonexistent and they have to know who to poll twice.

wildswan said...

Continuing to sketch in the outline of a popular, legitimate, democratic government we find that after the barb wire gets picked up and the curfew ends and the streets reopen and after the 25,000 soldiers go home, this government plans to put the former leader of the government on trial and send his supporters to re-education camps. I understand that Burmah and other countries will file a protest at this violation of standards which the US government used to impose on them. They want the grants taken from them to be given back. But the US government simply plans to explain that we have never objected to "human rights" violations, never monitored elections, never objected to placing former leaders on trial and always considered half of all Americans multiracial white scum.

Joe Smith said...

McConnell attempts to "square the circle" by claiming Trump "provoked" the crowd, a standard below that of the legal term "incite".

Yeah, I get the legal niceties, but it's still bullshit from a bullshit artist.

Jersey Fled said...

Expect Biden's approval numbers to start falling when he climbs out of his basement and actually starts doing things. Or rather, others start doing things in Joe's name and Joe just mumbles something like he knows whats going on.

Media and lefty pollsters will try to hide the decline.

n.n said...

The most credibly criticism is that he didn't finish everything that he started. 17 trimesters of witch hunts; warlock trials; JournoListic cover-ups; stoking diversity, adversity, and division; and protests have consequences.

Drago said...

Joe Smith: "Yeah, I get the legal niceties, but it's still bullshit from a bullshit artist."

Nobody said it wasnt.

McConnell is attempting to strangle America First populism in the same way he helped democraticals target the Tea Party movement.

Joe Smith said...

"McConnell is attempting to strangle America First populism in the same way he helped democraticals target the Tea Party movement."

Then I hope he keeps trying.

Because the backlash will only get larger.

Rabel said...

If Mitch had not blocked the additional stimulus payouts he would probably be looking at another term as Majority Leader.

Francisco D said...

Jersey Fled said...Expect Biden's approval numbers to start falling when he climbs out of his basement and actually starts doing things.

Joe's campaign strategy of staying in the basement worked. Why change?

He has the DNC to run his administration as was planned from the beginning.

He has the media to pump up his approval ratings while he drools and wonders where his oatmeal is.

Michael K said...

Blogger Rabel said...
If Mitch had not blocked the additional stimulus payouts he would probably be looking at another term as Majority Leader.


I agree and wonder why he did it. The pork, of course, is why Mitch is there, but why the extra money was a barrier?

JaimeRoberto said...

Hold on. We're getting word of a mass of late night responses from Philly, Milwaukee and Atlanta. Trump is now at -4.

Rabel said...

“Socialism for rich people is a terrible way to help the American families that are actually struggling,” McConnell said on the Senate floor. “Let me say that again. Borrowing from our grandkids to do socialism for rich people is a terrible way to get help to families who actually need it.”

Terrible argument considering the recent spending habits of the Congress and his participation in that spending.

Looks foolish, really.

Earnest Prole said...

Expect Biden's approval numbers to start falling when he climbs out of his basement and actually starts doing things.

You mean like every president in modern history?

Amadeus 48 said...

Remember how Clinton's approval went up as his depravity became more widely known?

I don't really think that was about Clinton. I think that was about hating the other side.

Michael K said...

You mean like every president in modern history?

Yes, like every one that campaigned from his basement and is senile.

You won. Try giving it a rest.

Joe Smith said...

"I agree and wonder why he did it. The pork, of course, is why Mitch is there, but why the extra money was a barrier?"

Sundance makes the excellent (and at first glance, non-intuitive point) that Mitch wants to be the minority leader...far more money in it.

"The answer is where you have had to actually follow Mitch McConnell closely to see how he works. When the Majority has around 52 to 55 seats, they need McConnell to give them 8 to 9 votes to overcome the three-fifths (60 vote) threshold for their legislative needs. It is in the process of trade and payment for those 8 to 9 votes where McConnell makes more money, and holds more power, than as a sitting Majority Leader."

Of course, this supposes that the Dems won't kill the filibuster.

Besides, Mitch has never liked Trump, will retire soon, and has more money than God.

He just doesn't care anymore.

RMc said...

Me: "Biden will be the 11th president of my lifetime. And coming soon, the 12th!"

Friend: "You don't know that!"

Me: "I'll bet you $1,000 that Biden won't finish his term."

Friend: "..."

daskol said...

Trump's positives are up? Double the number of troops in the capital, and double-down on the lies and deplatforming. Tell those Dem governors to shut the fuck up about re-opening their states. The counter-terror measures will continue until his poll numbers are down.

Marcus Bressler said...

About six hours ago, I received a push poll text: "Hi, I'm Brittany from MDC with a quick survey. Do you think President Trump should be charged with treason? 1 YES 2 NO Reply STOP to End" I replied "Fuck off!"

Then I politely texted "STOP"

THEOLDMAN

wholelottasplainin' said...

I suspect the RNC will be quite surprised when their attempts to get money from Trump's base yield no results.

Why send $$ to the swampy clowns who didn't lift a finger to help help Trump?

I wouldn't give them the steam off my warm.....

Mutaman said...

"Oppose the blatant theft of an election from 70 million people"

Enough! You've had 2 months to litigate it and prove it. Either put on your big boy pants and come up with some evidence or stop whining about it.

Chuck said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Lurker21 said...

The poll is an outlier and probably isn't an accurate reflection of how people feel. But it could be an indication that the other polls aren't wholly right either as well as a harbinger of the future. If Trump still gets kicked around, or if he doesn't, people may become more well disposed towards him once he's out of office.

***

In the sense that matters, Joe Biden won the election. Sure, Donald Trump may have won more votes in more states, and he was surely cheated out of votes in several others. But he lost. And Biden won.

We know Biden won because it will be he that is sworn in next week and not Trump. It’s tough to swallow, but that’s what’s happening.

If a party cheats, and is in charge of investigating accusations of cheating, and if the media calls the cheating a conspiracy theory, and if the rulers move to expel those who question the cheating, as has already happened, then that party will win by virtue of its power.

This is the way power works.


Source

Joe Smith said...

"Why send $$ to the swampy clowns who didn't lift a finger to help help Trump?"

I got 'surveys' all the time with a pitch to send money.

I sent zero dollars and always scrawled something with a bold Sharpie that they'd never see a dime until they shut down the border and started arresting Hillary, Comey, etc., the usual deplorable screed.

Of course I used their pre-paid envelope to return it : )

BillieBob Thorton said...

McConnell and Schumer have agreed to a power 2001 sharing agreement

BillieBob Thorton said...

2001 power sharing agreement

Lurker21 said...

The Grift Goes On ...

Gideon Sa’ar, a right-wing Netanyahu rival who recently quit the ruling Likud party to run for prime minister as the head of the New Hope party, has hired several campaign advisers from Project Lincoln, who, in recent months, ran a campaign against outgoing US President Donald Trump, in an attempt to thwart his reelection bid, Channel 12 reports.


Lincoln Project founders Steve Schmidt, Rick Wilson, Stuart Stevens, and Reed Galen, who worked to persuade Republicans that Trump no longer represented them, will face a similar task in convincing the Israeli right that Sa’ar, not Netanyahu, is their true leader now.


A source close to the campaign confirms the report to The Times of Israel on condition of anonymity, and adds that they are likely to visit Israel as soon as possible.

The Times of Israel


And the shekels will flow. "Credulous Boomer Rubes" translates to "משפשף בומר מפואר" which translates back to "Rubbing a magnificent boomer."

Achilles said...

Mutaman said...

"Oppose the blatant theft of an election from 70 million people"

Enough! You've had 2 months to litigate it and prove it. Either put on your big boy pants and come up with some evidence or stop whining about it.

No.

You had 2 months to convince us that after you kicked our observers out you fairly counted the ballots.

You failed.

The election was illegitimate.

Butkus51 said...

A senile guy ran Germany. He appointed Hitler to Chancellor.

Good times.

Earnest Prole said...

You won. Try giving it a rest.

Like our hostess I'm a proponent of cruel neutrality.

The Crack Emcee said...

The Macho Response says DEPLORABLES will rise again.

Just you wait.

Big Mike said...

The official US troop count in Afghanistan is 2500. Even granting that DoD troop deployment reporting is unreliable, the notion that Joe Biden feels he needs ten times as many National Guard soldiers in and around DC says something about his courage — lack thereof.

Hercules, not that one though said...

Polls. Well thank you Progressive media for sharing your propaganda. Let me guess...despite America being split 70% Americans vs 27% Progs, we're really 50/50.

And...the minority Alawite clan in Syria rules because 50/50?