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June 23, 2020
At the Sunrise Café...
... you can write about whatever you want.
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Trump Jr. says fallen statues should be replaced with "more sturdy" statues of his father.
Here are the spreadsheets for COVID-19 that I have been keeping up to date:
US COVID Data
Individual States
You can find Wisconsin in a separate tab in the top link, and in the bottom link, the following states are included and up to date: AL, AZ, CA, FL, GA, TX, VA, NC, MI, UT, NY, TN, SC, OK, and AR. The extra tabs are at the bottom of the pages.
If there is a state you would like added, just leave a comment for me in this thread. Adding a state is trivial- takes about 2 minutes for me to do it. I can't promise to update it every day, but can easily do so on a weekly basis. The states listed above I update every day around 7 p.m. EDT.
I've been listening to some favorite oldies today. One band is Crack the Sky, in particular the album Animal Notes (1976). "Rangers at Midnight" was a big fave back then.
The other group is The Wild Swans. I was much enamored of the title song from their first album Bringing Home the Ashes (1988). Other cuts are good, too.
Check them out on YouTube. What have you got to lose?
Trump is rambling, looking pale and sweaty. He just said he doesn't know where the 19 in Covid-19 came from, yes he actually did say that.
That's a triple top for Nasdaq this year. The NDX, the Comp, the XCI Tech index, a few others along those lines.... a triple top is often a bearish development. It reflects an extreme in psychology which produces three closely related tops in price, near enough to each other that their message is that sellers are increasingly making their presence known.
The big-cap indices are nowhere near their February peak. I don't think they get there, either. The February top came while the ChiCom virus was being widely reported upon. It was an insane spurt of buying, in my own opinion, and of course led to the sharp 30% selloff in March.
I've posted some data supplying the evidence of just how overvalued American stocks are. Now the technical evidence is adding more heft to that fundamental extreme. Extreme + Extreme = Big-Axx Selloff, according to the history. Trusting in the Fed has worked in these last 10 years. But they are in a desperate way, throwing money at everything and possibly breaking the law that created them in some of that. I don't think they save the market this time, I think they are part of the problem. This is a big, big top, IMO.
NASCAR noose turns out to be fake news.
Trump again just said “If you do more tests you have more cases”. You Trumpists can try to make sense of that all you want, good luck.
NASCAR noose turns out to ... not be a noose at all.
What a shocker.
The demand for real racial attacks far outweighs the supply. Therefore, hoaxes are created to fill that void.
What evidence does Althouse have Trump didn't read the opinion she recently claimed he didn't read?
Is Althouse a stinkin' liar or did I miss her evidence that she had laid out and therefore documented?
Lies of Satan are the single greatest difference between the statists and us Americans.
Something to think about as the demonstrations in multiple American cities drag on & on is how can the people who man these demonstrations stay there for so long? Someone is paying them & paying for their expenses.
I bet if the FBI checked into their bank accounts they'd find some very interesting connections. I'll bet that major left-wing foundations and even a union or two (e.g. SEIU) are funneling money to the lefty organizers & activists. I wouldn't be surprised that there's real heavy overlap with Democratic Party money, too.
Why isn’t Trump worried about tax returns sent in the mail?
Trump knows without voter suppression he will lose.
The fake requests for tickets for Trump's events can be turned into a positive with one stroke.
Each request for a ticket comes with a nominal fee: $3 or $5 or so. If you don't pay the fee it doesn't register as a real honest request. The fee should be designated for a charity that benefits a worthy cause. Military Veterans....Law Enforcement...Border Patrol (those would send the libs into a tail spin.) Cancer research. Something that Trump supporters would not mind their money going to it.
People who truly want a ticket would not balk at a nominal fee.
Even IF the fakers put in requests for 100,000 or 200,000 tickets...at 5 bucks a pop, that would be great. 200,000 at $5= I million dollars :-)
@YoungHegelian: The FBI doesn't have time to investigate the protestors. They're too busy investigating fake hate crimes.
Waiting to hear a statement from Bubba Wallace.
Here's what he said Sunday:
"Today’s despicable act of racism and hatred leaves me incredibly saddened and serves as a painful reminder of how much further we have to go as a society and how persistent we must be in the fight against racism,”
I've been in garages and around race cars since I was 16. I've seen dozens and dozens of hand loops like that. Hard to believe all of those NASCAR guys wouldn't ask the obvious question: Isn't that just a hand loop to open the garage door with?
#BronzeLivesMatter
Inga said...
Trump again just said “If you do more tests you have more cases”. You Trumpists can try to make sense of that all you want, good luck.
******************
Easy peasey. People who test positive but are asymptomatic or have recovered from a mild form of the disease are new cases that would not have known without...more tests.
"Trump again just said “If you do more tests you have more cases”. You Trumpists can try to make sense of that all you want, good luck"
Does Inga thing that if you test more you get less cases? Inga does not think well.
1:
I was writing a cafe post for tonight but it got out of hand. I don't expect to see this posted, due to it's length, but I somehow feel that when I send it to Althouse, I have somehow “published” it. I'm sorry to take up your blog and moderating time and space. I'll send it to a few family members as well so it doesn't go down a memory hole. My apologies again but I think I may have nuggets here for further consideration.
______________
I like to tell stories.
I am mostly descended from colonial settlers. I am amused by the concept of living on stolen native land. After all, all peoples everywhere have always emigrated to greener pastures. That's why the Navajos stole the Hopi's lands and why now the Hopis are the little doughnut hole on the big Navajo rez. We're all of us, all over the world, bad people. Mea culpa, right?
While I'm an American mutt, my family culture is Scots-Irish. This is a unique culture begun when the English needed labor to staff their new Irish plantations, especially in Ulster. It is a union of Scottish lads and Irish lasses.
In the 1680s, the Secretary of State of the Pennsylvania Colony, a known hotbed of Quaker and German Anabaptist pacifist sects, starting recruiting settlers from Ulster. As Presbyterianism was still considered a dissenting religion, they were promised religious freedom and free [Indian] land to squat on for the implicit bargain that the Scots-Irish would protect the border, because most of Pennsylvania would not.
Some years ago in Milwaukie, I was in the bar next to the lumber yard one evening with my roomy. I have to add, he was also my first Black Friend in Portland and this area's so white, not everybody can have a Black Friend. I got lucky early.
Anyway, we're in the Tartan and Thistle and I'm chatting with a really cool Native American dude. He's telling me stories about his tribe and I'm telling him stories about mine. So, as things were winding down, I tell him the story about why the Orangemen were brought to America and how great it was that 350 years later we're just sharing a pint.
His mood immediately changed. WTF? I gulped the last of my pint and said I was out of there. My roomy said he'd follow me in a minute or so as he was not quite done. As I was walking back to my truck, the guy snuck up behind me and sucker-punched me behind the ear with his big fat ring, dropping me like a stone. Luckily, my roomy had followed the Indian out the door and he was at least close enough to forestall further mayhem.
I do really understand that there are some residual bad feelings.
2:
English colonists arrived in Virginia and Massachusetts in the early 1600s. In the 1500s, it was common for European fishermen from the Atlantic Coast working the Grand Banks to pull up at a beach to dry their fish. These were the first North American contacts. By the time English settlement began, measles and smallpox had killed some 90-95% of the indigenous population, entire villages being wiped out, spreading from the coast inland.
The first settlers encountered a culture, or cultures, that had no metal tools, no writing, no beasts of burden, and still practiced ritual torture and cannibalism, like the Iroquois. It was a culture shock for everyone. The Indians were probably all like maybe OMG we need border controls and us settler are all like, OMG, the natives aren't even using this continent to multiply and be fruitful. The settlers didn't really want to "take" Indian land, since it looked to us as pretty much unused and ready for the settling.
I have to fault the Indians for a few things.
One is counter-productive tactics. Indian wars usually began with Indian guerrilla raids on isolated farmsteads, where an entire family would be slaughtered, the mother and daughters raped pre- and post-mortem, and the father often left with his penis stuffed in his mouth.
There are some noteworthy exceptions, like the 1600-something Indian uprising in Virginia that killed one-third of the whites, the Wyoming Valley Massacre during the Revolution that killed 2000 civilians, or the spectacular Ft. Mim Massacre in 1813 which sparked the Creek War and gained Andy Jackson his first bones. [Only after that came the Battle of New Orleans.]
These tactics were really counterproductive because they just served to outrage the settlers.
The other issue is foreign policy, which has to be broken into two parts.
When Americans were involved in wars with foreign powers in the early days, substantial numbers of important tribes sided against us. It's one reason we call the Seven Years War the French and Indian War. During the Revolution, the Iroquois Confederacy sided with King George and, under Tory leadership, led raids in both the Wyoming and Mohawk Valleys, a breadbasket for the Continental Army. General Sullivan led the New York militia to conduct a Shermanesque assault on the Iroquois tribes, burning their crops and villages and driving them to shelter under the British cannon at Ft. Niagara.
During the War of 1812, the war faction of the Creeks, the Redsticks, traveled to Canada to support the British fighting against the American invasion out of Detroit. The Americans got their ass kicked and in the retreat, the Redsticks are credited with "mopping up" stragglers. Traveling back to Creek Territory they wandered by the mouth of the Ohio River where they wiped out some isolated farmsteads. This is the same wild bunch soon responsible for Ft. Mim.
Skipping over the Trail of Tears for now, which, terrible as it was, Jackson at least allowed the Civilized Tribes to take their Negro slaves with them to the "Indian Country," aka Oklahoma. This munificence by Democrat Party founder Jackson was duly repaid when Indian Country decisively broke for the Confederacy. In fact, General Stand Watie of the Cherokee Brigade was the last Confederate general officer to surrender his troops. I now wonder if he has a statue someplace.
Supporting Kings and other tyrants by opposing the Americans most of the time did not endear the Indians to us Americans. It was a really bad foreign policy for Indian tribes. Just being an armchair SOS here.
3:
Then, other than sovereignty and the right to live their primitive lifestyles, what are some examples of Indian demands? Technically, this was also a foreign policy question.
The Delaware, after their support for the Brits in the Seven Years War, got the Proclamation of 1763, prohibiting settlement west of the Appalachians, the Ohio Country. There were 13 colonies on the coast with a population nearing 4 million and 10,000 Delawares were telling us Americans that the future state of Ohio, etc., is their private, Indian Nation traditional hunting ground and keep out? Talk about under-utilization of resources. Too many of us settlers had memories of people being executed in the old country for poaching on the King's lands and we were not impressed with tiny satraps.
The Plains Indians, perhaps the most iconic natives in U.S. History, didn't even have horses until they got their hands on abandoned Spanish Conquistador horses, the original mustangs. What was their foreign policy post the Minnesota Sioux Uprising in 1862? We already know that the Civilized Tribes sided with the slavocrat seditionist Democrats. This Plains “foreign policy” seems to have been: Stop American Encroachment by Random Frontier Killings and Stop the Iron Horse at All Costs, including random cavalry attacks on railroad work crews.
There may have been ~25–50,000 Plains tribes-people in the path of the railroads. On the other side there were about 35 million Americans. Like, do the math you little savage motherfuckers who still don't have your own written language or even a forge. Here comes Western Civilization like an, um, railroad train. We're done with your petty notions of sovereignty inside the United States
As I understand it, the early Christian doctrine of Just War is that first, your cause needs to be just. For the Indian Nations, fighting the Americans was a just cause. The second part is that the ruler, the decider, must have a reasonable chance to win. Otherwise, you plunge your people into suffering and destruction for nothing more than perhaps vanity. Of course, Indians, being generally completely illiterate, missed this lesson.
In so many ways, the Indians fucked their own selves up. I stand with the Americans. I don't care how many Hot Blonde Karens yell at me asking how I sleep at night while occupying indigenous land. Fuck the Karens and the soyboi SJW allies. As for the American Indians, play stupid games and win stupid prizes.
Why did the Cherokee Tribe dis-enroll all of their half-breed former slaves like a decade or two ago? The casino or oil money? Cry me a river, you losers.
109 degrees in Phoenix. Trump speaking inside church with no a.c. Full suit and tie, bullet proof vest..
Extraordinary physical and mental condition. He never runs out of energy.
Looks very strong.Bet he could lift Biden and throw him to the ground. Maybe twenty years ago, before Joey became frail, it would have been a close fight.
BTW, is there an online schedule for Biden? I keep missing his interviews and appearances.
Inga Trump again just said “If you do more tests you have more cases”. You Trumpists can try to make sense of that all you want, good luck.
Seriously. You are this mentally challenged??. Let me see if I can put it into 2nd grade math concepts.
If you have a bunch of apples and you are trying to find the bad ones you do a test for ...oh...I don't know apples with worms.
10 apples and 2 have worms. You have 2 cases... wormy apples.
But...what if you test more apples...all the rest of the orchard.
10,000 apples and you have 200 wormy apples. MORE CASES. 200 is MORE than 2..OMG~!!!!!
Now...then. The media is counting the NUMBER of cases and making a big deal out of that number. Well DUH...if you test more apples you are going to find more worms.
This is not the same as the PERCENTAGE of wormy apples to the number of apples. If you want that you have to test ALL...every last damned one of the apples. When you do that you generally find out that the percentage of wormy apples in a larger sample is smaller.
NEXT>----->>>>Why you get wet if you go outside in the rain. And a simple way to prevent getting wet!
Handy hint for those of you using Firefox: If you click next to Inga's name on her posts, firefox hides the body of the post. You're welcome.
YoungHegelian: My best guess is Unemployment+$600/wk stimulus money.
Yancey Ward: thanks again for posting this data.
Ann Althouse: thanks for letting us populate your pixels.
Inga said...
Trump knows without voter suppression he will lose.
Trump knows he will lose.
I'd like to know the theories of howsil voting is any more riggable than absentee ballots.
Still I prefer keeping polls open but I think staffing is more and more of a problem.
I did one full 18 he election day in 2008 and I never wanted to do it again.
Yes as a matter of fact I had thought about "hadn't read" but chose "didn't read" instead and by josh I ain't lying and I ain't wrong.
Trump knows without voter suppression he will lose."
I don't get this because younger and minority voters seem to have as much of a problem with sending mail as with getting to the polls. Like who has a stamp? And what are all these other names on the ballot? I've never heard of them?
One gal asked if she could just vote for Obama and leave the rest blank. Lol.
How can the State of Rhode Island change its name without voters’ approval?
Yancey, thanks for the spreadsheets.
The AZ data is driving me crazy because of the way it's reported. For example, deaths reported today were possibly the highest ever, 42. HOWEVER, if you look at the COVID-19 Deaths graph, which is *by date of death*, you don't see a spike at all, and in fact see a flat if not falling trend. Those 42 deaths *reported* today happened sometime over the past 2 or maybe 3 weeks.
I am beyond frustrated with how poorly data is being managed and interpreted throughout this (mostly manufactured) "crisis". I've commented a couple of times already on how poorly the site describes using words what the graphs are showing, but so far no responses. Here's a couple more examples: they're reporting the "Percentage of cases presenting with CLI or ILI" (that's COVID-like illnesses or influenza like illnesses) to hospital emergency departments and in-patient departments. There's an uptick recently, but there is literally no way to interpret this data since 1) we don't know what the total # of ED and Inpatient cases are and 2) we DO know that non-COVID hospital visits were severely limited earlier in the pandemic, so we would expect the percentage to be higher then. Percents are tricky things. And then there's "hospitalizations". There's a day-by-day graph of cases that are hospitalized by date of hospitalization. But there is NO data on how long anyone is in the hospital, and when they get out, either by recovering, or dying. There is a hospital beds usage page, which also shows an increase, but afaik, 85% does not equal "capacity is being overwhelmed," although perhaps it is in some areas... but 15% of capacity in Intensive Care is non-trivial, and ED and in-patient beds remain WIDELY available and could be converted for use if necessary.
All that to say, the media and, inexplicably, the local government, are doing everything they can to make sure AZ remains in a state of panic about the rising case numbers, even though the vast majority of new cases are among younger people who have minimal risk. The death trend is not blowing up at all, much less what would seem to be indicated. Over the first week of June, we had almost 6,200 new cases diagnosed. This was the beginning of the spike, and you would expect to see people dying from these infections over the most recent week. But total deaths over the last 7 days (including today's 42!) is 145, which works to a 0.02% mortality rate.
My point: if this virus is as deadly as we're supposed to be afraid that it is, MANY, MANY more people would be dead in AZ right now. I'm very grateful that they are not, but I'm increasingly frustrated with how this is NOT being handled by the media and the state and local governments.
/rant off
Oh, wait: Trump knows without voter suppression he will lose.
Did you know that projection gives the opposition a really good idea of the lengths to which you'll go to win? We've already see the shenanigans around the Tulsa rally, so we know Democrats have no qualms about using foreign influence to affect election events. I guess they aren't going to limit their dirty tricks to ballot harvesting and vote stuffing, but they'll also be scooping up Trump ballots and making sure they never get counted.
Thanks for the head's up, Inga!
Trump hasn’t talked to Fauci in more than two weeks. The virus is a big joke to him. And his ego is much more important than the lives of his supporters. What an odd fellow. Enjoy it while you can. Could be long time before the republicans regain the White House
Althouse captures G_d's sublime graffiti.
Inga, could you define "voter suppression" for me? I honestly don't know what it is, or how one would suppress voters who actually want to vote.
FullMoon, Trump was speaking in Yuma, not Phoenix, so I was going to tell you it probably wasn't that hot.
I checked the temperature, now, at 5:40PM local time, it's 106 degrees in Yuma. So yes, it probably was 109 down there earlier today, but any time it's over 105, it gets really hard to tell the difference.
No A/C but maybe had a swamp cooler. They aren't nearly as effective but they do help a LOT.
nga said...
Trump again just said “If you do more tests you have more cases”. You Trumpists can try to make sense of that all you want, good luck.
Inga missed that course on
"Bayes algebra and Receiver Operating characteristic Curves in her nursing school. Bedpan specialist, I suspect.
If she had done so, she might know that more testing discloses more positives. It has nothing to do with severity although asymptomatic cases are going to reduce the overall mortality. The mortality is going to be around that of a severe flu season.
Inga said...
Why isn’t Trump worried about tax returns sent in the mail?
Do you know that he isn't? I bet you he doesn't mail his tax returns. I don't mail mine. Even so, the IRS has been hacked and people's personal data exposed, and the IRS used their own power to withhold tax exempt status from people of their disfavored political party.
So yes, everything can be tainted.
Let me ask this: If someone could pay off a mail clerk to obtain a bunch of mailed in ballots, do you think they would? Or do you think the political parties are just above that?
Generally I am loathe to refer to other commenters and their comments but Inga's in this thread are the dumbest I've of any I've seen in a long while.I
In other news, I bought something on the portal. Hope it adds something meaningful to the AA coffers!
It is possible to make mail-in-voting very secure, but you have to do the things no Democrat will ever support:
(1) Cleanse the rolls of people who haven't voted in any election in, let's say, the last 4 years.
(2) Make it illegal for anyone to handle the unopened or resealed ballot other than the postal service, election officials, and the voter theirself. No ballot harvesting, in other words- no helping people fill out the ballot. Make it an ass-pounding prison felony to violate this law.
(3) The ballot has to arrive before or on election day to be counted. If your ballot has been counted, you don't get to do a provisional ballot, full stop and no excuses.
(4) Full and complete accounting for every ballot printed, mailed, and returned. No more of this bullshit we see with every election in Florida where Palm Beach, Dade, and Broward Counties can't tell anyone exactly how many ballots they printed, mailed, or even received by the deadline. This is where the fraud is the biggest. One strongly suspects certain localities print far more ballots than they actually have as voters, and then "find" them for a week after election day.
(5) You fucking count on election day and you don't stop until you are finished counting- this shouldn't take more than 24 hours to do (it didn't used to, but now it does?). No more 3 week counting times for ballots that supposedly had a deadline 3 weeks earlier. See California, for example.
(6) If you didn't register prior to election day, then tough fucking shit. You don't get to vote. No more provisional ballots- they are a way to commit fraud- they just count them regardless- this is one reason you get these extended counting processes that go on for weeks- they aren't really checking anything, they only try to look like they are to hide what they are doing.
"Trump is rambling, looking pale and sweaty. He just said he doesn't know where the 19 in Covid-19 came from, yes he actually did say that"
I don't either. Yes, I actually did write that. The year of origin? Some obscure reference to Boogie Boys?
I guess I could Google it.
Meh, maybe tomorrow. No one else gives a shit. Why should I?
Dr. Deborah Birx, the coordinator of President Donald Trump’s coronavirus task force, told the nation’s governors in a call Monday that it was vital that they ramp up testing to find asymptomatic individuals to prevent further community spread.
Her remarks stood in stark contrast to those by the president at his rally in Tulsa, Oklahoma over the weekend—and the days since—in which he said he had asked his team to slow-walk testing initiatives so as not to inflate the country’s official case count.
Hopefully I have left you with the impression that increased testing is good,” Birx said on the call, a recording of which was obtained by The Daily Beast. “We would like to even see it even more. Identifying cases early including your asymptomatic [ones] will really help us protect the elderly and the additional people with comorbidities.”
@Inga/ARM,
Inga said...
Trump knows without voter suppression he will lose.
Trump knows he will lose.
I can't possibly imagine what poll, what economic index, what anything you two are looking at that you can possibly be so certain about your conclusion. Especially after 2016, I would think that some circumspection would be in order. Apparently not.
Ask yourself this question: has any of the coalition that brought Trump to office in 2016 deserted him? Do you see any evidence, even second-hand reports from posters here of "Oh, my cousin says he's had it & is voting for Biden"? I'm all over the right-wing blogosphere on a daily basis & I see none. Quite the opposite. And it's not just NOT voting for Trump. It's NOT voting for Trump & actually voting for Biden, who whatever you might think of him, doesn't exactly inspire enthusiasm.
Unless the Covid testing is randomized the results tell nothing of the trends of the spread and prevalence of the virus. The test result numbers are, perhaps, interesting but truly meaningless.
“Inga said...
Trump knows without voter suppression he will lose.
Trump knows he will lose.“
Then what are you so worried about?
Beijing Boy: "Trump knows he will lose."
When all you've got left is Inga-level mindreading, you've really got nothing left.
The good news? Biden will not even know he has been removed from the ticket and he can be told that Trump's second inaugural speech is just a replay of the first as Biden eats his pudding.
Fullmoon: "BTW, is there an online schedule for Biden? I keep missing his interviews and appearances."
Dementia Joe made an appearance today and it had to be seen to be believed. Obama was there as well for the fundraiser and Joe treated us to gems like this one:
“Stop the cold war future that we’re talking about. We’re talking about a peaceful cold war. What are we talking about?”
Yep, Slow Joe is certainly hitting on all cylinders now!
LOL
Jersey Fled said...
NASCAR noose turns out to be fake news.
Pianoman said...
NASCAR noose turns out to ... not be a noose at all.
Everyone with half a brain knew it was fake news the moment they read it.
Turns out not to be a noose at all? That's just the plot twist. At least it wasn't exercise equipment put in the trees. By a Black American citizen livening up exercise routines.
They got him now!. Oh, wait, nevermind..
"Audio emerged on Monday afternoon of comedian Jimmy Kimmel allegedly using the “n-word” multiple times in a song that he recorded in 1996 for a Christmas album.
Kimmel previously pressed actor Tom Arnold to release an alleged “n-word” tape of President Donald Trump, which has not materialized."
Audio Emerges of Jimmy Kimmel Allegedly Using "N-Word," Report Says
if 'Kent State 2.o' doesnt happen, will this do?
The CHAZ Is a Setup as the Next Maidan
"This reminds me of the situation in Ukraine in 2014 where the protests on the Maidan plaza in Kiev turned violent when snipers began shooting from rooftops. And to this day there are questions as to who shot who and what actually happened."
The NYT is despicably threatening to doxx SlateStarCodex https://slatestarcodex.com/
The blogger is worried about his safety; he was already SWATTed once. This is truly despicable by the NYT.
Althouse: how would you feel in the NYT published a map showing your house, and an article highlighting those of your opinions is dislikes? That is the closest analogy I can come up, since you are not anonymous.
The time SSC was SAWTTed https://slatestarcodex.com/re-swatting/
How can the State of Rhode Island change its name without voters’ approval?
System Name -> Change
reboot
So much for the theory that all the increased testing is meaningless. There are increasing numbers of cases that are far from being asymptomatic.
Seven states are reporting new highs for current coronavirus hospitalizations, according to data tracked by The Washington Post — Arizona, Arkansas, California, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee and Texas — as the number of infections continues to climb across the South and West. More than 800 covid-19 deaths were reported in the United States on Tuesday, the first time fatalities have increased since June 7.
Texas and California on Tuesday eclipsed 5,000 new cases of the novel coronavirus over a 24-hour span — records in those states. Arizona, Nevada and Missouri also logged new single-day highs. Overall, 33 states and U.S. territories now have a rolling average of new cases that is higher than last week.
Aeolian dust from the Sahara is settling over the Caribbean. Japan gets the same problem from China, where it's been studied.
It's caused by large clumps of dirt being moved by wind and breaking apart on landing, launching dust into the wind. Otherwise the dust tends to stick together and wouldn't be caught up in the wind.
20mph wind speed is where it starts happening.
From my link above.
“The federal government plans to end support of testing sites on June 30, including seven sites in Texas, where cases and hospitalizations are climbing rapidly.“
History ain't be rhymin' no mo' we gon' tear.
The same masks work with aeolian dust as with covid-19. A two-fer.
You can’t even trust the postal carriers with voting documents. Just recently a postal carrier in WV was arrested for altering the party affiliation on requests for mail-in absentee ballots.
You know what Inga and Freder and ARM and gadfly are not talking about ?
The 90% drop in Covid deaths.
The news is not mentioning it either.
That’s a monstrous 90% drop in deaths the space of two months, a tremendous sign of positivity which clearly suggests that the worst of the coronavirus outbreak has now passed. But the media mostly ignored it in favor of a continuing embrace of fear porn. (For the coronabros out there, yes Sunday tends to be the lowest day of the week, but if you want to use the seven day moving average instead of Sunday, the data still reflects a 70+% decline in mortality, a similarly wildly positive story.)
If wishes were horses, beggars would ride.
“Trump knows he will lose.”
Financial advisory firm Signum Global Advisors is telling clients that it now believes the U.S. Senate is going to flip blue as Joe Biden continues to surge past President Donald Trump in the polls.
In a note to clients, Signum said that while it was initially convinced Republicans would maintain control of the upper chamber, the firm has changed its mind and now thinks Democrats are going to take the Senate.
When the great Wisconsinite Orson Welles portrayed onscreen "my reasons satisfy me Susan" that set our current Althousian stage here, for good or bad.
steve uhr said...
Trump hasn’t talked to Fauci in more than two weeks. The virus is a big joke to him. And his ego is much more important than the lives of his supporters. What an odd fellow. Enjoy it while you can. Could be long time before the republicans regain the White House
*********************
World-class mind-reading, unsupported assertions and conclusion-jumping.
Blogger MayBee said...
Inga said...
Why isn’t Trump worried about tax returns sent in the mail?
This was one of those stupid talking points put out on Lefty websites a few weeks ago.
The response was that mail fraud is continuing problem that has never been solved, the P.O. has a well-staffed department of gun-carrying agents who are constantly investigating mail that is stolen or purposely misdirected.
How much is your vote worth? Would you be comfortable sending that much cash in the mail?
Where was the Republican Party founded?
By whom?
For what?
1856 Racine is what I thought, but I can't confirm. No searches ought there will allow it.
I honestly can't find this out.
I had thought it was the Republican Party formed in Racine, WI in 1856.
Can't confirm.
welcome back @Mockturtle !
Milwaukie Guy: Thanks for the very informative posts.
The most important thing for you to understand is I will not allow you the grace of the fiddle, I will restrict to/for you enjoyment to what they called the violin.
BREAKING: Bleach was found in #Bubba Wallace's laundry room
...placed by 2 Nigerians in MAGA hats
video: Bubba assaulting a white person
Bubba finds burned cross in garage
hey Blubba-- if you're going to be petty... be Richard Petty
I try not to watch the news. I check the weather and CNBC in the morning. I'm pretty sure that if the world was going to end it would be reflected in futures prices. Anyway the market is way up, maybe unrealistically so, but on this mortal coil, there are never any realistic grounds for optimism. I prefer ephemeral good news to ephemeral bad news....I hope this portends a V recovery. If that happens, Trump wins. If not, not. All this talk of rally attendance or Joe's incoherent platitudes are irrelevant. It's the economy stupid.
I can understand the leftist mentality, having been one many years ago. What I can't understand is the acquiescence among people who should know better. NASCAR? There wasn't one driver who said, "Are you sure it was a noose and not a door opener?" I mean, what the hell is this? NASCAR is now woke? And why do we need the FBI to investigate such a trivial affair, even if it were an actual crime? Those 18 agents don't have anything better to do? Everyone involved should feel stupid for being used in one man's egotistical bulls--t temper tantrum. Will there be any apologies for all the time and manpower wasted? Will even one NASCAR driver have the guts to say "I guess this shows that America isn't nearly as racist as everyone accuses her of being"? How disheartening to see so many adults play childish games. .
Ingenues aren't what they used to be. I followed Alison Brie from Community to GLOW. Community was an inventive and funny sitcom. Alison played an ingenue. She wore flowery dresses with mild decolletage and was perky and bright. My kind of ingenue....On GLOW, she's also an ingenue, but an ingenue who travels to dark places. She plays a professional woman wrestler. She wears leotards, which is all to the good, but also a purposely unattractive hairstyle. She's much less appealing. The show was written and directed mostly by women. It has its rewards, but the political correctness wears you out....I guess I'll finish all the seasons, but only because I don't want to face down the harrowing existential crisis of what to watch next.
I hope they let Biden down gently.
Like, maybe they can build a pretend Oval Office that he can got to everyday, with people there dutifully calling him Mr. President.
They can even bring in crisp new 20-dollar bills with his picture on them and tell him THAT is how much America loves Joe, he's even on the currency now.
I bet Stacey Adams would be good with being cast as the imaginary Vice President; better than nothing.
He can then fade peacefully in his own Palace of Dream, telling stories of Corn Pop to the actors playing his Cabinet, including the new Secretary of Lost Puppies.
Joe knew America would like that.
I am Laslo.
Hate Hoax Compilation
courtesy of @akight78
Since the latest Bubba Walace/NASCAR hate hoax. I am doing a thread on all false reports of hate crimes since 2016.
Hopefully this gives those still thinking the US is a racist society.
stevew said...
Unless the Covid testing is randomized the results tell nothing of the trends of the spread and prevalence of the virus. The test result numbers are, perhaps, interesting but truly meaningless.
*******************
Bloody nonsense.
The number of tests and their results keep rising, but the number of deaths nationally keeps declining.
There's information there, if you want to find it.
I see the moderators have taken the evening off. Have fun.
FakeHateCrimes.Org
maybe annual "Hoaxie" or "Golden Noose" awards for best race hoax
Yancey Ward said...
It is possible to make mail-in-voting very secure, but you have to do the things no Democrat will ever support:
These would go a long way to make the mail_in-voting secure, but they miss the fact that mail-in-voting does an end-run around the secret ballot. Secret ballots prevent both voter intimidation and vote-buying. No point in threatening or bribing someone if you can't observe how they actually end up voting. With mail-in-voting, you can watch as they vote.
(1) Cleanse the rolls of people who haven't voted in any election in, let's say, the last 4 years.
Yancy, this is key. The mysterious cleansing of the voting roles that never happens. And when anyone tries, democrats claim people are being disenfranchised.
>>NASCAR noose turns out to ... not be a noose at all.
*15* FBI agents tasked to investigate a garage door handle. That's some mighty fine police work.
I am a bit surprised they didn't conclude that the Russians were to blame.
Oh
https://outkick.com/media-ignores-90-coronavirus-death-collapse-in-country/
Tales of the Civil War:
So down in my neck of the woods, there’s a privately owned billboard that the owner displays conservative messages (which the rioters characterize as racist, natch-Google Hamilton billboard) on. Consequently the rioters are insisting that it be torn down despite it being on private property. Tonight they (the rioters) were rallying people on social media to come down and burn the billboard. That darn social media! Who knew that everybody can see it?
As I write this, there’s a couple of hundred heavily armed locals in the vicinity of the billboard. Several vehicles have driven down the road near the billboard, turned around, and quickly departed.
Tough to have a revolution when you’re hopelessly outgunned.
@Gospace, so fake noose = fake news?
Jerkoffs to the left of me, jerkoffs to the right, here I am, stuck in the middle with you.
No noose is good news.
Maybe it's time Gov Northam puts out an instructional video on identifying a proper noose.
What kind of racist fuck would beat Bubba?
By God have you folks no shame?
Bubba Undeafeated or RASCIST!!!
Hey hey, hey ho, Hans Christian Heg has gotta go!
Wait, he’s gone?
Oh.
Hey hey, hey ho, Hans Christian Heg has gotta go!
Wait, he’s gone?
Oh.
Hans Christian Heg... is outta here!
What's next?
The Emancipation Memorial, depicting President Lincoln and a freed slave and erected in 1876, was financed entirely by freed slaves and dedicated by the abolitionist Frederick Douglass in a ceremony attended by President Ulysses S. Grant.
They want to tear it down because it is racist.
"It depicts Lincoln as the Great Emancipator, while a curly-haired slave, crouched and shackled, rises to his freedom. Goodwin said that’s a paternalistic reading of history and not consistent with the representation many black people want to see in statuary. [The statue and those defending it are an] example of the disempowerment that came from celebrating Lincoln’s emancipation of the slaves in the first place. 'This statue right here embodies the white supremacy and the disempowerment of black people that is forced upon us by white people,' [another black activist] said, pointing upward. 'That is why we are tearing this statue down.'”
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/we-are-tearing-this-statue-down-protesters-target-memorial-to-emancipated-slaves
That's right. Lincoln's emancipation of the slaves embodied white supremacy and was an act of "disempowerment" of blacks.
HEG FELL! HAHAHAHAHA!!!
"Unless the Covid testing is randomized the results tell nothing of the trends of the spread and prevalence of the virus. The test result numbers are, perhaps, interesting but truly meaningless."
I can't emphasize this comment nearly enough. Steve is correct- if you want to know anything about the prevalence of the disease in a given geographical area, then you have to do random sampling. Interpreting the percent positives is almost a fool's game. The only solid percent positive number in my data I linked to above is the cumulative percent positive- it is the only data that isn't regularly polluted by reporting idiosyncracies of the various states- for example, a number of the states, at least 1 day a week, only report the positive tests- this pollutes the 7-day moving averages with meaningless 100% positive days (a 14 day moving average might give smoother data with meaningful trends but will also be less responsive to more recent changes in outcomes, and I might add that column Wednesday).
The death rates are more easily interpreted. If you don't see this week an increase in the 7 day moving averages of deaths (nationally and at the various state levels- I include the moving averages for all the states I update), then you can probably make 1 of 2 interpretations- either new cases really aren't increasing and we are just uncovering a higher percentage of those extant by a change in testing regime, and/or we are either getting significantly better at treating the disease or the disease is now mainly infecting people who aren't going to die from it.
I will use Arizona as an example, since Joan mentions it in a comment above. Arizona has risen from a cumulative positive rate of 8.8% on May 28th to 13.2% today. Arizona's testing has risen from a seven day average of 4500 on 5/28 to 12,300 today. New positives/cases have risen from a 7-day average of 350 on 5/28 to 2730 today. So, they are definitely testing more, but also finding a higher percentage of positives. Does this mean the disease is increasing in the population the last 3 1/2 weeks? No, we can't know that because the tested population isn't randomly selected. All we know for certain is that Arizona has increased test run by about a factor of 3, and have found about a factor of 8 more positives, but we don't really know whether or not there was some change in the selection of testees that just had a higher overall exposure to the disease.
I mean Heg fell AGAIN!
https://nypost.com/2020/06/23/oregon-county-issues-face-mask-order-exempting-non-white-people/
Health officials announced last week residents must wear face coverings in public settings where they may come within six feet of another individual who is not from the same household.
But people of color do not have to follow the new rule if they have “heightened concerns about racial profiling and harassment” over wearing the masks, officials said.
“No person shall intimidate or harass people who do not comply,” health officials said.
With mask requirements becoming more common, activists have raised concerns that the directives could put non-white people in danger.
“For many black people, deciding whether or not to wear a bandanna in public to protect themselves and others from contracting coronavirus is a lose-lose situation that can result in life-threatening consequences either way,” ReNika Moore, director of the ACLU’s Racial Justice Program, told CNN.
Trevon Logan, who is black, said orders to wear face coverings are “basically telling people to look dangerous given racial stereotypes that are out there.”
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/twitter-bans-trumps-favorite-meme-maker-election-heats
More Tyranny from our Tech Overseers, I link ZH in the irony that they are now muzzled by their own greed and desire to bow to the Techfiefdoms.
Facebook
Apple
Amazon
Google
MSFT
FAAG M(afia).
The Faag mafia is the market's main prop in addition to their flagrant dictatorial censorship.
When the reality of their P/E is properly marked to price, and banks no longer pump those stocks, pop goes the FAAG M afia.
The Antitrust thrust of our generations will be upon us soon.
https://twitter.com/TONYxTWO/status/1275051388431667200
"Spokeswomen for Evers and Madison Mayor Satya Rhodes-Conway did not respond to questions late Tuesday about police force's slow response."
"In Madison, statues of Lady Forward and Col. Christian Heg were dragged away from their spots guarding the statehouse. Heg fought and died for the Union during the U.S. Civil War; his sculpture was thrown into a Madison lake by protesters.
The original Forward statue was first placed in front of the Wisconsin State Capitol in 1895. Forward is "an allegory of devotion and progress," according to the Wisconsin Historical Society. "
The Tennessean
Anybody got the recipe for tar and feathers?
Madison protesters tear down Capitol statues, attack state Senator from Milwaukee as fury erupts again
MADISON - Fury exploded outside the Wisconsin State Capitol on Tuesday night as protesters smashed windows at the statehouse, attacked a state senator, and tore down two iconic statues — including one of an abolitionist who died trying to end slavery during the Civil War.
The unrest began earlier Tuesday following the arrest of a Black man who was arrested after bringing a megaphone and a baseball bat into a Capitol square restaurant. It followed weeks of mostly peaceful protests of the death of George Floyd, a Black man who was killed by a white police officer
During the melee late Tuesday, Democratic state Sen. Tim Carpenter was assaulted after taking a photo of protesters.
"I don't know what happened ... all I did was stop and take a picture ... and the next thing I'm getting five-six punches, getting kicked in the head," Carpenter told a Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reporter following the assault.
"Protesters." I think they misspelled "rioters."
Snitches get stitches, even if they are Democrat state senators. Them's the new BLM rules.
Hans Christian Heg and Ms. Forward moved faster tonight than the Governor or the Mayor and they're statues.
More statistics abuse reported this morning on masslive.com:
"Suffolk University poll: Nearly 30% say racism ‘most serious problem’ in Mass.
A new Suffolk University poll shows Massachusetts residents believe racism is the most serious issue facing the commonwealth, with fears over the ...
Wait, what? If 30% believe racism is the most serious problem, doesn't that mean 70% don't? I would call 70% "most".
The folks that conduct the poll don't write the headlines on the news article, but this is such an egregious misrepresentation that they might/should be upset.
AOC beat MCC and it wasn't close. A big win for Venezuelan rule...
As veteran reps that group will longer a manageable freak show but rather powerful policy makers...
Bubba still playing the victim card.
"I talked to my crew chief about it. ... I wanted to make sure we weren't jumping the gun," Wallace told Lemon. " ... It was a noose. Whether tied in 2019, or whatever, it was a noose. So, it wasn't directed at me, but somebody tied a noose."
And:
"I'm pissed. I'm mad because people are trying to test my character and the person that I am and my integrity." - NASCAR driver Bubba Wallace on social media reaction to the conclusion of the FBI investigation into the noose found in his team's garage.
Everything you need to know about the Huffington Post in one article:
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/colin-mattis-urooj-rahman-lawyers-trial-vandalism-trump-judges_n_5ef0ae0fc5b639909d573613?guccounter=1
You can tell where this is going just by reading the url.
The test result numbers are, perhaps, interesting but truly meaningless.
They tell you how many positive tests they've had, or at the very least how many people have been labeled as covid positive. It isn't meaningless. What's disturbing is the incorrect inference politicians, 'experts' and people who are both are drawing from that data.
AckShuaLly, Jesus was well known for toppling statues of anti-Confederate militia and dumping them in lakes.
I live near a poor part of town and did my 5 mile walk/ run there yesterday afternoon. Depressing, lots of office space and restaurants empty and looking for tenants now. Lots of broken windows. Every place that is open has the BLM support (don’t hurt me I’m woke) spray paint all over it. This morning I see that someone was shot and killed last night at 11PM right on the corner I ran by.
Black males from 15 to 35 years old are 3 percent of the population but commit almost percent of crime. This horrific fact must be acknowledged before any corrective action will work. All current social programs are having no effect. Riots are just empowering criminals.
CORRECTION.
I live near a poor part of town and did my 5 mile walk/ run there yesterday afternoon. Depressing, lots of office space and restaurants empty and looking for tenants now. Lots of broken windows. Every place that is open has the BLM support (don’t hurt me I’m woke) spray paint all over it. This morning I see that someone was shot and killed last night at 11PM right on the corner I ran by.
Black males from 15 to 35 years old are 3 percent of the population but commit almost 50 percent of crime. This horrific fact must be acknowledged before any corrective action will work. All current social programs are having no effect. Riots are just empowering criminals.
I was going to post that deaths were the only true measure of how we are doing with the virus, but even those numbers can be questionable. The old "died with CV-19" vs. "died from CV-19" thing.
I was also going to point to hospitalizations as a good measure, but having spent a few days in one last week I can tell you that:
1. They are half empty
And:
2. They will do anything to generate billings. They were still ordering bloodtests for me as I was walking out the door.
I have no doubt that people are being hospitalized for CV-19 now who would have simple been told to stay home and ride it out two months ago.
Also, if I am reading the graphs right, excess deaths are now back to normal levels for this time of year. I predict that they will drop below normal during the next few months, as Covid simply pulled forward deaths that would have happened anyway later in the year.
Don’t think of hospitals as half empty— be optimistic!
Black males from 15 to 35 years old are 3 percent of the population but commit almost 50 percent of crime.
More than 50% of violent crime. And that's with almost a half million of them already locked up.
That's right. Lincoln's emancipation of the slaves embodied white supremacy and was an act of "disempowerment" of blacks.
I posted a video on Facebook of a Black woman telling White people not to vote for Biden, and was immediately condemned as a White man trying to tell Black people how to think.
Hospitals half full: they're twice as big as they need to be.
Everything you need to know about the Huffington Post in one article:
That the PuffHo starts articles with a sentence so inapt and boring that you don't read any further?
More statistics abuse reported this morning on masslive.com
masslive is also following the new cap-B Black and lower-w white standard. That seems to have caught on almost overnight.
Capital B, lower case w has been the rule for as long as I can remember. I thought of it simply as a spelling, or style, rule, a matter of racial injustice.
*not a matter of racial injustice
Turns out not to be a noose at all? That's just the plot twist. At least it wasn't exercise equipment put in the trees. By a Black American citizen livening up exercise routines.
6/23/20, 8:20 PM
To be fair, it looks a little noose-y. Two questions follow,
1) was it an actual operational noise tied with the hangman's knot and capable of resizing the loop? This seems impractical as the door-pulling function would be impaired by a slipknot.
2) so what if it was a noise? Maybe it was black, I mean gallows, humor. A memento mori.
It's not permissible, to me, to assign meaning, ownership, power, to universal symbols according to revolutionary needs. A noose is for hanging and nothing else, sure; but not only for illegally hanging black people. Plenty of white, brown, red, yellow people have been hanged. A triangle led to the takedown of a Presidential campaign ad? A three sided polygon?
No.
Just say no.
Just say no, Ann.
Or have you decided that you can solve the "raped to death in a pool of your husband's blood" problem by telling your husband to stand down/leave, and submitting willingly to the mob? Some vague analogy to Lot and his daughters comes to mind.
Then again, so does the Christian-Newsom atrocity. Didn't work out so hot for them; plus I believe they started on the man, curiously enough.
Bubba Wallace can't lose enough races, to my way of thinking. He's a self-righteous pantywaist, and NASCAR should be ashamed of the way they are groveling to the BLM crowd. Can't go out of business too soon for my tastes.
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