Emerson reports.
Here's the Real Clear Politics average of polls for the last 6 months:
Is that because of impeachment or in spite of it?
ADDED: The 7-day time frame highlights the recent upswing:
February 19, 2020
"President Trump’s job performance rating of +4 points is the highest it has been since he took office."
"This month’s poll [February 16-18] finds him at 48% approval and 44% disapproval, up from last month’s 47% approval and 48% disapproval. Emerson College Polling found Trump at 48% approval in December 2019, November 2019, and February 2017 as well but his disapproval numbers are lower now than they’ve ever been before.... In potential head-to-head match-ups, Trump leads 4 of his 5 democratic rivals, trailing only against Sanders 51% to 49%. The President leads Biden 52% to 48% and leads Bloomberg, Buttigieg, and Klobuchar 51% to 49%."
Emerson reports.
Here's the Real Clear Politics average of polls for the last 6 months:
Is that because of impeachment or in spite of it?
ADDED: The 7-day time frame highlights the recent upswing:
Emerson reports.
Here's the Real Clear Politics average of polls for the last 6 months:
Is that because of impeachment or in spite of it?
ADDED: The 7-day time frame highlights the recent upswing:
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He picked up some support by telling Barr to stuff it.
Barr seems to be a ball-scratcher and propriety guy in taking on the deep state in his own department.
“You can’t have an acquittal unless you have a trial, and you can’t have a trial unless you have witnesses and documents — so he can say he’s acquitted, and the headlines can say ‘acquitted,’ but he’s impeached forever: branded with that, and not vindicated,” Pelosi argued.
In potential head-to-head match-ups, Trump leads 4 of his 5 democratic rivals, trailing only against Sanders 51% to 49%. The President leads Biden 52% to 48% and leads Bloomberg, Buttigieg, and Klobuchar 51% to 49%."
The people really want Trump removed.
Unless it's for one of these jakolopes.
I've seen memes on FB comparing Trump's popularity with Hitler's.
Funny how those meme-makers never saw how that same comparison could be used for Obama's popularity. History began yesterday, or something.
If those streams ever cross there will be total protonic reversal and all the molecules in Nancy Pelosi's body will explode at the speed of light.
Is that because of impeachment or in spite of it?
Neither. The impending election causes people to evaluate him differently. When the election is comfortably in the future the question draws a general expression of support or not. As the election nears the question becomes a more tangible evaluation of how his policies (or lack of Dem policies) effects them.
"Is that because of impeachment or in spite of it?”
Fox Butterworth could not be reached for comment.
Thanks again, Nancy!!
If these are the polls they are releasing, then wow.
Not in spite of, but for spite.
Are we pretending polls these days are honest and accurate?
they fired full tupolev spread,
Because of. The chance was given to make a case in the strongest way possible. People made a verdict. Biden was the big loser. It all was about election interference but not by Trump.
"Are we pretending polls these days are honest and accurate?”
We always assume that the polls are slanted to benefit the Democrats as strongly as they can get away with, so when they seem to benefit Trump, the assumption is that they are minimizing that advantage. This assumption may or may not be correct, but it seems to play out election after election.
Tonight: Trump rally in Phoenix vs. Mike Bloomberg Show in Las Vegas.
Who will win the rating's war?
We always assume that the polls are slanted to benefit the Democrats as strongly as they can get away with, so when they seem to benefit Trump, the assumption is that they are minimizing that advantage. This assumption may or may not be correct, but it seems to play out election after election.
Yeah, and it's funny how polls often seem to shift a bit more in Republicans favor the closer to actual elections we get. It's almost as if the pollsters are suddenly concerned about being reflective of reality rather than attempting to drive a narrative.
Trump vs The Others
Robot vs Werewolf
Ugandan Army vs Grasshopers
I guess the army is winning because 12 million locusts are already going hungry.
With all these job approval, approval and impeachment polls, the real question was what is the change from the day he took office?
With Trump Derangement Syndrome in almost full force from day 1 and the true TDS floor probably pretty high (and the true followers maybe not as high because of the "anyone but Hillary effect"), what we need to see is how the small but soft middle is reacting.
The hills are alive with the sound of music...
Prez Trump's success speaks for itself.
The hysterical screeching of the identity politicians has failed.
We always assume that the polls are slanted to benefit the Democrats as strongly as they can get away with
Hey old(er) people?
Can Any of you remember a republican that was AHEAD in the Polls a ways before the end?
Seems to me; Even Ronnie was slated to lose reelection... Right up until they said they'd predicted a landslide the whole time. I didn't know what polls were with McGovern,
as i was only ten at the time.
Does anyone remember? Thanx!
In this brave new world the Left has made, admitting to a nosey stranger that you support President Trump can get you beaten by a mob, fired from your job, or flunked out of school. It’s no wonder that the David Dinkins/Shy Tory effect is so strong in our elections these days, confounding the pollsters again and again.
Look for the leftist scum to attack the secret ballot next. They are already trying to do it in union certification elections with the card-check business.
@Rick "Is that because of impeachment or in spite of it? Neither. The impending election causes people to evaluate him differently."
Yeah. The alternatives sound nuts and somewhat dangerous to normal people. Normal people may not like Donald Trump, but they can reflect that the last few years have been pretty okay in terms of results. No one thinks that the Democratic candidates would have done that.
gilbar said...
Hey old(er) people?
Can Any of you remember a republican that was AHEAD in the Polls a ways before the end?
Remember those days well. I just try to imagine how far ahead Trump actually is.
The only thing that could save the Dems is vote total changes. Kinda like they'll do to Crazy Bernie.
Locusts Ready to Eat, military meal that provides its own transportation.
Robot vs Werewolf
Robot wolf vs pigs (not nearly as good as it sounds).
Remember how shocked the press was when the Republicans won Congress in 1994? How could they miss that one?
Can Any of you remember a republican that was AHEAD in the Polls a ways before the end?
Seems to me; Even Ronnie was slated to lose reelection... Right up until they said they'd predicted a landslide the whole time.
There are other explanations than that pollsters deliberately mislead, although they certainly put the most pro-Dem spin on all results. We see consistent patterns because the masses are responding to similar circumstances in similar ways.
Trump appeals to the People, not 1/2 Americans, not to diversity or color blocs. He works for emigration reform at both ends of the bridge and to mitigate progress. He walks with human rights leaders to end discrimination of Fetal-Americans... babies, and others denied a voice and the right to bear arms, legs, and a head. It doesn't hurt that Democrats, establishment, journolists, and [anti]Fascists have conducted witch hunts, warlock trials, and violent assemblies in excess of 12 trimesters, even before his inauguration ("birth").
He's benefiting from the Dems scrapping with each other. It could get worse for them before it gets better. But November is a lifetime away.
Still can’t believe The Donald can’t crack 50%.
narciso said...
they fired full tupolev spread,
With the safeties set to zero...
More than twice the approval rating for Congress, btw...
One more data point to believe this won't be a throw the bum out election.
I don't have a lotta faith in polls, whether they support the Dems or DJT. They are mostly "soft" data.
I view this as a 50-50 country and a 50-50 election.
The nationalists v the globalists - the rural counties v the urban counties.
I think there's a contingent that will not answer the Trump question truthfully because the Left in this country is NUTS and will not hesitate to take out their frustration on Trump supporters. Best to leave your talking to the voting booth.
Is that because of impeachment or in spite of it?
Because of.
Trump's favorables have been down, first because of the Mueller Investigation and "Russian Collusion", and then the impeachment hysteria.
Well, the boys (and girls) cried "wolf", twice, and both times it turned out to be a lie. I doubt voters will give the Democrats another shot
The self righteous, leftist Democrat party has, by now, convinced itself that winning by any means, *cheating*, would be justified in defeating The Devil in the White house. It's *not* about who runs what campaign against the Donald, it's about ballot harvesting and illegals voting, creative ways registering to vote with a limited id, felons voting, and so on. The current polls only reinforce their panic and their determination to win at any cost.
Who answers telephone polls anymore? OR stops to chat with an earnest looking kid with a clipboard in the mall? Basically pollsters are assessing a small, unrepresentative group.
"Are we pretending polls these days are honest and accurate?"
No, I assume that Trump is doing better than these polls show- this was as far as the pollsters could tilt the process against Trump.
These polls also support my contention- the most dangerous opponent for Trump is Sanders as the Democratic candidate. This is why I want Sander beaten in the primaries, preferably by the DNC openly taking the nomination from him causing him to go third party.
Blogger Yancey Ward said...
. . .
These polls also support my contention- the most dangerous opponent for Trump is Sanders as the Democratic candidate.
. . .
I agree. Sanders appeals to the white working class.
Health insurance cost is a very big deal to those guys. $5,000 in medical bills can bankrupt them. It is annoying that conservative politicians don't see this.
IMO the rise in Trump popularity is a deep realization among the public that Trump has been telling them the truth all along about the Fake News Narrative BS composed by the CIA psyops guys that have ruled American politics for 50 years. It has been done by a slow internet spread of facts that has reached the puzzle solving critical mass world wide.
Basically the MSM personalities reading propaganda shit storms are being laughed at now. And Trump has become the trusted news source.
Trump's approval charts a lot like the S&P 500 index. An upward trend, with a dip in Sept-Oct, a smaller dip in early December, and a bigger one in January before rebounding to new highs. Not a big surprise, stocks are a thermometer of public moods.
The question is, what comes next? How much longer does the mood last? How long can the stock market make new highs in the face of the China catastrophe and its still-unknown ramifications? Could be a lot tougher year than it looks right at this moment.
and Obamacare made that problem, worse, I can imagine single payer will utterly devastate the safety net, because it's unsustainable, along with other aspects of the green nude eel,
My recollection is that 'everyone knew' that Senator McGovern was going to lose against President Nixon-- the real question was, 'how badly?': whether this was based on polling or the wisdom of the network news readers, I don't know.
Bernie is the heavy favorite among the union rank and file here in Las Vegas. Bloomberg reminds them too much of the guys they work for.
Lewis Wetzel said...
"Yancey Ward said...
. . .
These polls also support my contention- the most dangerous opponent for Trump is Sanders as the Democratic candidate.
. . .
I agree. Sanders appeals to the white working class."
I disagree with both of you. In 2016? Sure, I think Sanders would have beat Trump.
But, in 2020? Thanks to Trump their jobs, economy, and lives are getting better. More jobs are coming back, and they're paying more, too!
Sander will reverse everything that Trump did to make their lives better. They're not going to vote for him
The RCP average is just plain garbage and non predictive. It averages a bunch of disparate and often dishonest polls and yields a trash result.
Much like the idiot savants at 538.
Bernie is the heavy favorite among the union rank and file here in Las Vegas. Bloomberg reminds them too much of the guys they work for.
I think Medicare for All is a deal breaker for unions. Back when I was active in the medical association we did a weekend retreat with a guy who ran the culinary workers' union health plan. He knew more about health plans than any of the rest of us. That is a very big deal with unions. I think they will go for Trump or stay home.
I’d like to see the actual poll questions. For instance a question worded along the lines of “Donald Trump was impeached for abuse of power. Do you support this evil and disgusting man?” might give skewed results.
I think Medicare for All is a deal breaker for unions.
Which is why the union leadership declined to endorse anybody. They might have endorsed Biden, but his numbers have dropped like a stone. We shall soon see how the rank and file vote.
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