February 17, 2015

"Iowa poll: Walker garners 24% of GOP support, Paul & Bush trail at 10%..."

And: "Going to head-to-head with Walker, Clinton leads 47 percent to 41 percent."
But, inside the polls crosstabs, Walker beats Clinton 56 to 38 percent among males and 49 to 44 percent among voters with a four-year college degree. The former secretary of state leads Walker among voters with post-graduate degrees by a margin of 57 to 33 percent.

32 comments:

Tim said...

Hillary! may campaign on a Rascal scooter. That should lock up the Walmart vote.

trumpetdaddy said...

I would suggest that 47-41 isn't that great for Hillary Clinton. She has near-universal name recognition and doesn't get to 50%+ in a state Democrats have carried consistently at the presidential level against a governor that people are just now starting to hear about?

Yeah, that isn't very good for her. She's at her ceiling and Walker can only go up.

MadisonMan said...

Curious, I pushed the 'Rebecca Walker' tag.

Titus said...

How many graduate degrees in Iowa, like 10?

The clumber is going to be on Westminster any minute-so excited!

Ann Althouse said...

Thanks, MadisonMan. Fixed.

Drago said...

Titus: "How many graduate degrees in Iowa, like 10?"

Irrelevant.

The relevant question is how many graduate degrees in productive academic areas.

Not surprising an HR guy like you doesn't get that.

great Unknown said...

Wow! The Gail Collins NYT article was extremely beneficial to Walker. Who wouldn't vote for a person who can warp the very fabric of time to his will?

madAsHell said...

...and Gallup is stating that Obama is back at a 50% approval rating.

Battle space preparation.

Bricap said...

NBC/Marist came out with a poll only a few days prior that showed Walker, Huckabee, and Bush running neck and neck. link Who is right, I wonder?

PWS said...

"and Walker can only go up."

Um, it would seem at this point Walker has nowhere to go but down. Has anyone leading this early ended up winning?

Big Mike said...

@PWS, I agree with you. Walker's peaking too early.

Bricap said...

I think the only guy in the field won can best Walker for the nomination is Jeb. I don't see any of the others being competitive over the long haul. How it plays out between those two is anybody's guess.

Is this really a Bachmann flash in the pan scenario playing out? Does anybody really think that? One would have to believe Walker checks more GOP boxes.

MadisonMan said...

Poor Rebecca has only had three posts tagged to her.

She needs to up her game!

garage mahal said...

Post #704 on Scott Walker. Walker still awesome!

Meade said...

garage mahal said...
"Walker still awesome!"

THIS!

garage mahal said...

Scott, Scott he's our man
If he can't do it
No one can!

Gooooooooo Scott!

traditionalguy said...

Did someone call Queen Elizabeth Rebecca? That is not funny. That's a worse name recognition problem than Mr Scott has.

Warren is fighting Indian style. She is sneaking up very quietly to ambush Hildabeast when she least expects it.

buwaya puti said...

Very high proportion of people with graduate degrees are public school teachers - people with post-BA/BS teaching credentials seem to be counted as such. That strongly skews most of these comparisons.

Biff said...

The former secretary of state leads Walker among voters with post-graduate degrees by a margin of 57 to 33 percent.

The most counterintuitive discovery I made as an adult is that naiveté is closely correlated with increased levels of education.

Gusty Winds said...

It will be fun if Walker can get the nomination. Dems will call him uneducated, unknowledgeable, and unqualified (like Howard Dean did recently) because he left Marquette, leaving the degree behind.

All while trying not to insult the 65% of voting age Americans who don't have one either.

And to the dismay of the campus left, perhaps it stirs debate on what the actual value a degree actually holds anymore, accelerating the "pop" in the inevitable higher education bubble burst.

Gusty Winds said...

Lately Walker's de-pants-ing of the UW Administrators has been most entertaining.

The middle class is learning their kids run massive debt to have classes taught by TA's. Top profs are insentivized by light class loads. And they learn the intellectuals can't make a budget work with 2.5% operating reduction, while holding cash balances.

Walker is content to let them run around whining with their pants still down around their ankles.

Bricap said...

Gusty Winds makes a good point. I think the Dems would be stupid to try to make hay of it. It will be interesting to see if they stumble here should he get the nomination.

The Godfather said...

At this stage, polls are a tool that should be used only by professionals, and never in public. I suppose it's good that polls show Walker is getting some recognition, because that may help him raise money, but beyond that, they have little predictive value.

Or, in other words, "Don't get cocky, kid!"

Gusty Winds said...

Walker could carry WI. Iowa may be ripe for 2016 GOP picking, and Ohio looks to be a fan of Kasich.

It is early and much will change...but it's never to early to dream.

Michael K said...

Walker, as far as I am concerned, has this to lose and I don't think he will.

Hillary is old and querulous and will not do well in debates against a nice guy who knows the facts.

All the Romney research will not help.

chickelit said...

The former secretary of state leads Walker among voters with post-graduate degrees by a margin of 57 to 33 percent.

I'm proud to run counter to that trend!

Bruce Hayden said...

Very high proportion of people with graduate degrees are public school teachers - people with post-BA/BS teaching credentials seem to be counted as such. That strongly skews most of these comparisons.

The big problem, as I understand it, with the sorts of graduate school education that teachers get is that they are rewarded for putting in the time, and not for being smart or learning. In the infamous Bell Curve, there were two exceptions from the reality that the mean IQ for most doctorate degrees is one standard deviation above the mean. That means MDs, JDs, and even most PhDs. The example on the high side is a physics PhD. And, on the low side, it is a doctorate in education, where the average IQ is close to the class mean - approximately 100.

josil said...

A substantial proportion of those with post-grad degrees are working in secure economic environments...like schools and positions in government. It is not surprising that they would feel comfortable with collectivist (i.e., progressive)politics...and fearful of those who find it deficient.

chickelit said...

It is not surprising that they would feel strengthened with/by collectivist (i.e., progressive)politics...and fearful of those who find it deficient.

FTFY

"Comfort" is a code word now.

Quaestor said...

"Has anyone leading this early ended up winning?"

Written in reference to Walker's ambitions and his early speed, however, doesn't this apply with even greater strength to Clinton?

Beldar said...

When will the rest of America wake up and strip Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina of their chokehold on early primaries? There's no reason for these states to retain this power every damned election cycle, and their monopoly systematically and permanently devalues other states' voters' primary votes.

iowan2 said...

@Beldar.
Why?
What is it about Iowa or NH that disqualifies them? You prefer what? Illinios?

Thats convenient......for the candidates. They just campaign in Chicago, and promise more largess from the federal larder.
Iowa forces retail politics. Work. Talking to real, involved, citizens. its hard work.

So again I ask why? Or is this just some snip-it of a talking point, requrgitated by reflex, not thought?