May 26, 2026
"When scientists try to model how hot Earth could get this century, they typically look at a range of possibilities..."
"... for how much planet-warming pollution humans might pump into the atmosphere. These scenarios get updated every seven years or so.
In this latest update, the researchers abandoned a dire — and often criticized — high-emissions scenario known as RCP8.5 that has been prominently cited in thousands of climate studies over the past decade. The authors said the scenario was now 'implausible' given recent energy trends.... For years, critics of the high-emissions scenario had argued that it was always unrealistic, in part because it envisioned that countries would burn coal at absurdly high rates. They argued that any studies or news reports relying on that scenario exaggerated the risks of climate change. Why, those critics now asked, did the course correction take so long?..."
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35 comments:
How inconvenient.
Another sterling example of “Settled Science” , AKA the Climate Hoax.
An episode... another episode of The Outer Limits.
"Why, those critics now asked, did the course correction take so long?..."
For one thing, we needed to get close enough to legislated Net Zero deadlines with no real hope of being able to supply the needed amount of power to run modern civilization before alarmists would even begin to question their climate catastrophe religion hysteria.
And, of course, many in government are hesitant to give up even a tiny bit of the control that "Global Cooling/Global Warming/Climate Change" has permitted them to exercise.
It is unlikely that this will knock the Net Zero religion into a cocked hat, where it belongs. But that would be a big help for Europe and Canada.
Just a few weeks ago I read something about Al Gore -- remember him? -- and he was worried about an ice age in 25 years or so. I guess due to "global warming" accelerating the normal glacial cycles.
" . . . raises questions about whether some risks have been overstated."
Questions? Seriously? There is no question that RCP8.5 grossly, ridiculously overstated the dangers of global warming, as has almost every climate-change spokesman, from Al Gore to Joe Biden.
So we now have children who are being frightened by teachers who threaten them with climate boogie-men, to the point where they've utterly lost faith in the future, despite the fact that they're living in the materially-best world that has ever existed. That's a big part of why they aren't reproducing themselves.
Climate change has always been occurring. And there are plenty of reasons to believe that human industrial activity is a significant causal factor. This has given schemers an opening to pursue money and power by exaggerating the timeline and likely effects. Lonborg got it right.
The alarmists are losing the struggle for public opinion. People just don’t care as much as they did 10 years ago. If they want to improve their situation, they need to deal with all their failed predictions.
The de-industrialization prompted by Net Zero has led to an industrial proletariat with no industry. So they end up doing fentanyl and living in tents on urban sidewalks. There is a lot we can blame on Climate Change, or rather the threat of Climate Change.
Ampersand said...Climate change has always been occurring. And there are plenty of reasons to believe that human industrial activity is a…factor.
FIFY
"It is unlikely that this will knock the Net Zero religion into a cocked hat, where it belongs."
Probably not, but it's possible that at least some of those alarmists would rather be perceived to be located some distance from the craziness they've cultivated when the power goes out in the winter, the wind's not blowing, the sun's not shining and the freezing villagers start rounding up torches and pitchforks.
Libtards are amazing. Its crazy the way they just jump from one "cause" to the next, and then forget about the thing that was "THE MOST IMPORTANT THING IN THE WORLD!" . How much ink was wasted over Climate Change. Didnt it make Al Gore a billionarie? Or was that Vodka.
You see the same thing with the warmongers and world crusaders. One minute we must save Ukraine and spend $zillions and risk WW3 because the "Next Hitler" is going to Conquer the world. Then a couple years go by and its "Ukraine? Whats that?"
Climate change is an actual cult.
Only retards still listen to this crap and give it any predictive value.
Follow the money. Politicians aren't the only ones who can be bought off.
Out-of-frame speculation and modeling is incongruent with observation upon close and repeated inspection.
Yes it 'raises questions', and those questions were being raised 20 years ago when this nonsense was started, but the nonsense wheel was a big one, with lots of effort poured into rolling it, and it steamrolled right over a bunch of concerned, classically trained climate scientists, and in its wake came the attacks, persecution, de-funding, and personal cancelling. These caused a lot of them to give up and some of them to leave climate science entirely, because it had become a toxic hellscape.
Gosh, I wonder where all the logical, skeptical, challenging credentialed dissenters went to, the ones that kept demanding proof and scientific methods? I guess they were raising the wrong questions.
Meanwhile Dr. Michael Mann waved his hockey stick around and sued anybody that dared to question the provenance of his data and his calculation methods, driving one man into his grave. As the UN panel lapped up his bullsh*t and declared it solid gold fact.
Maybe these Climate Inquisitioners should just shut up now, unless they would like to line up to offer a little humble penitence. They've set actual Climate Science back a couple of decades with their manipulative dishonesty, to nobodys benefit except for the pocket-liners.
Meanwhile vegetation on Earth is reproductive forced by the greenhouse effect of carbon dioxide in warm climates and anthropogenic intelligence is harvesting the benefits with a viable present and posterity.
Back behind the cave wall
It was always a socialist move and never meant to be taken seriously. I think some scientists noticed that the NYT has been calling for "blot out the sun" technology. And all the climate scientists went, "Holy shit, we need to dial this back. We're the authorities and the cult really believes what we say."
NYT: "What, you were faking it?"
Green Nude Eel Scientist: "Of course! What's the point of have an underground socialist network if you don't wait for our computers to spit out a false prediction?"
NYT: "We thought it was an emergency."
Green Nude Eel Scientists: "It was a fucking scam for our socialist masters! Did you not get the memo?"
NYT: "What memo? We've been hard at work doing a rewrite of our past. 1619 project. You're in charge of scare-mongering the future."
Green Nude Eel Scientist: "Do not blot out the sun, you dumb fucks."
NYT: "Okay, okay. Obviously our messaging needs a little work. The couriers are slow."
Green Nude Eel Scientist: Damn couriers take forever. We ought to go back to pigeons. Why are you in a bunker, anyway?"
NYT: "The fucking kids are driving us crazy. It's blue on blue civil war in our cafeteria."
Green Nude Eel Scientist: "Next 5 year plan, we cut back on Ivy League pay-outs."
NYT: "Can we turn on the AC?"
Green Nude Eel Scientist: "Of course you can turn on the AC."
NYT: "That might help. What about ice cubes?"
Green Nude Eel Scientist: "Ice cubes are fine. Man, you really drank the Kool-Aid."
NYT: "And it sucks without ice cubes."
If your research didn't show scary outcomes, you didn't get funded.
the decision to back away from a worst-case outlook raises questions about whether some risks have been overstated" (NYT).
It does not raise questions, it answers them.
CAGW is the biggest scam in the history of the world.
Google wants to build a giant data center near Lincoln. It would be powered by natgas turbines. But since natgas turbines emit carbon dioxide, the plan is to build a pipeline to transport the carbon dioxide somewhere to sequester it underground. Absurd. Ridiculous. Expensive.
People believe what they want to believe and this new development won’t change Google’s mind or that of the Greens. It’s their religion.
".. Why, those critics now asked, did the course correction take so long?..."
BECAUSE, the Powers That Be didn't have AI until recently..
NOW they WILL be burning coal at absurdly high rates.
Coal is NOW COOL.. So is Nuclear Power.. so is Natural Gas*
Climate Change Hysteria has been completely replaced by AI mania.
Natural Gas* of COURSE it's cool.. it's NATURAL!
A lot of the "right" people got very rich on this. It was first and foremost always about the money/grift'
NYT: "The fucking kids are driving us crazy. It's blue on blue civil war in our cafeteria."
The urbane heat island is a well-established first-order forcing of catastrophic anthropogenic climate change.
So the NYT is trying to gently back away from the scam they loudly proclaimed for the last 50 years.
Cool.
The grift must be drying up.
Oh, PoO!!!
"the decision to back away from a worst-case outlook raises questions about whether some risks have been overstated" ... no shit.
There is no 'question'... it has always been overstated.
"raises questions about whether some risks have been overstated" (NYT)."
OK, literal laugh out loud moment there.
I think this is what's called the climb down.
https://share.google/Kp8vHS6N2USS3eGvH
Pam bondi has been recovering from thyroid cancer after the atty general
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