January 31, 2016

"Donald Trump has muscled ahead in Iowa, regaining his lead on the brink of the first votes being cast in the 2016 presidential race."

The Des Moines Register selects a very masculine verb as it reports its last poll before the caucus that will finally release us from the clutches of Iowa.
Trump stands at 28 percent, while rival Ted Cruz has slid to 23 percent. But there’s still a strong case for Cruz in this race — he’s more popular and respected than Trump, the final Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa Poll shows.

“The drill-down shows, if anything, stronger alignment with Cruz than Trump, except for the horse race,” said J. Ann Selzer, the pollster for the Iowa Poll.
And that's the wan encouragement for anti-Trumpions from J. Ann Selzer...


David Begley said...

Cruz wins. Marco surprises.

Daniel Richwine said...

Rejected headlines:
Trump bullies his way to the top.
Trump overpowers opponents in latest polls.
Trumps virility showing with rise in latest polls.
Trump has a huuuuuuuuge lead.
Trump proves he's more of a man than Cruz in latest survey.

traditionalguy said...

A triumphant Trump One 757 flies down from New York City and easily wins the dogfight with the Canadian Immigrant US Senator who can barely get a Piper Cub Campaign off the ground.

Phil 3:14 said...

Trump bellies up to the bar

rhhardin said...

His appeal has become more selective.

Michael K said...

The Des Moines Register woman was on Stephanopolis show. She was a Hillary leftist so I don't know if they know what is happening.

David said...

The drill-down shows, if anything, stronger alignment with Cruz than Trump, except for the horse race,”

So they align with Cruz but will vote with Trump? Hmmmm.

Eric said...

What's with all this on-topic commentary? I think we should focus on the tall blond in the video.

Sammy Finkelman said...

If you take the question, who would b your first choice, and who would be your second choice...


Add the first choice and the second choice percentages together, and divide by two (average them) you get: ([ercentages adjusted to equal 100%, with those who said no first choice excluded)

Ted Cruz: 20% (23 and 17)

Donald Trump: 17.5% (28 and 7)

Marco Rubio: 17.5% (15 and 20)

Ben Carson: 10.5% (10 and 11)

9% gave no first choice - possibly this means somebody else not included in the poll. The percentages were adjusted so as to add up to 100.(actually 99% because of rounding) Those who said (or volunteered?) Not Sure or Uncommitted were figured into the 100%.

Not Sure: 5.5% (2 and 9) [Unsure between two or more, or just unsure?]

Rand Paul: 4.5% (5 and 4)

Uncommitted 4% (3 and 5)

Chris Christie 3% (3 and 3)

Jeb Bush 3% (2 and 4)

Carly Fiorina 3% (2 and 4)

Mike Huckabee 2.5% (2 and 3)

John Kasich 2% (2 and 2)

Rock Santorum 2% (2 and 2)

Jim Gilmore was included in the poll but got less than one half of one percent and maybe zero.

Second choices (including Not Sure) add up to 91%. The 9% with no first choice were also put in this column. Maybe that was intended to add up to 100%.

Sammy Finkelman said...

My average of rist and second choice (excluding no first choice) adds up to 95.5%.

John Lawton said...

That's Lucille Ball on the left...

ken in tx said...

Actually, Lucille Ball was a glamour girl when she was not mugging for the camera. She was a hottie.