Althouse: At the Sunrise Café...

October 2, 2020

At the Sunrise Café...

... you can write about whatever you like.

64 comments:

Jersey Fled said...: Headline: U.S. surpasses 200,000 deaths from Covid-19

Alternative headline: Covid-19 deaths reach 0.07% of population in the U.S.; 10/2/20, 8:13 PM
Titus said...: I am into Mishima and don’t fuck with cats?

And Phillip glass

What are you into?; 10/2/20, 8:36 PM
Lawrence Person said...: Enjoy a Friday LinkSwarm.; 10/2/20, 8:39 PM
stevew said...: Additional headline: US colleges dramatically increase Covid testing of students, confirmed case count spikes!

Lovely photo. The days and nights (highs and lows) have cooled by about 20 degrees over the last few days. I suspect this is permanent. Indian Summer has come and gone. Being a native and lifelong resident of New England I welcome the change. Leaves are falling all around.; 10/2/20, 8:49 PM
ken in tx said...: The projected deaths was 1.2 million US deaths. Looks like Trump's actions saved about 1 million lives.; 10/2/20, 8:52 PM
jacksonjay said...: Wow. Not a word about Dilbert. I thought I could return to Althouse for the straight skinny on the bizarre Scott Adams meltdown. Guess there’s a lid on Dilbert.; 10/2/20, 8:55 PM
Sebastian said...: So, depending on what happens, we'll really be voting for Pence?; 10/2/20, 8:55 PM
Owen said...: Gorgeous image. You really have developed a lovely touch. Of course it doesn’t hurt to have such a setting.; 10/2/20, 8:59 PM
Big Mike said...: The more I learn about the Breonna Taylor case, the more I wish the God-damned news media would learn to report FACTS! Was it a no-knock warrant? Whether it was or it wasn’t there is evidence from an independent third party that police did knock and did announce their presence. Whether Taylor’s boyfriend should have understood what they were saying or was he groggy from being awakened from a sound sleep in the wee hours of the morning is a separate issue, and perhaps law enforcement should rethink its processes. Kick down my door before I have processed that you are police (and you have proved that you are law enforcement).

Based on the available reporting, I do not get how Breonna got shot. Was she foolishly standing too close to her boyfriend when he fired a round at the police? Was she therefore shot because she as standing too close to a target when she should have been taking cover behind a mattress in her bedroom? Did the police, knowing they were there to take a woman into custody mistakenly assume she was the shooter? I guess trying to answer pertinent questions such as these would have gotten in the way of the “stupid, evil cops murdered a helpless, innocent, woman in her bed thanks to a no-knock warrant” narrative.

Observation #1: Dirty Harry movies aside, most cops don’t practice with their service weapon nearly enough and consequently would have trouble hitting a barn if you put them inside and thoughtfully closed the doors. That.’s why they burn so much ammo in a gunfight.

Observation #2: Cops gave a right to defend themselves when someone shoots at them. Breonna Taylor died because her boyfriend thought shooting at cops was a good idea.; 10/2/20, 9:07 PM
Titus said...: Mishima was kind of like trump, but with a hot body.; 10/2/20, 9:12 PM
Michael K said...: Blogger jacksonjay said...
Wow. Not a word about Dilbert.

He said he got just as much hate for joining the Biden voters so he is back supporting Trump.; 10/2/20, 9:12 PM
boatbuilder said...: An interesting statistical analysis--42% of Covid-19 deaths (in the US) are nursing home residents. This is not out of line with other countries.

I am trying without much success to find out what the percentage of deaths from all causes was for nursing homes pre-Covid-19. Since nursing homes (and hospice, etc. which are counted as such in the stats) are pretty much by definition where people go to die, I would guess that the ordinary percentage is very high.

I will keep looking.; 10/2/20, 9:13 PM
boatbuilder said...: Forgot to attach the link (Duh!)https://freopp.org/the-covid-19-nursing-home-crisis-by-the-numbers-3a47433c3f70; 10/2/20, 9:15 PM
steve uhr said...: This comment has been removed by the author.; 10/2/20, 9:17 PM
boatbuilder said...: This 2018 article says that the mortality rate in nursing homes was 31% per year. And the average survival period was 2 to 2.5 years. Not the same thing as 42% of Covid-19 deaths in nursing homes, but it is not shocking that people in nursing homes die at a much higher rate than people who are not in nursing homes--for whatever reason. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6143238/; 10/2/20, 9:28 PM
Owen said...: In the water there are two small black objects with a hint of a wake or disturbed water to the right. I don’t think this is a tidal effect or a current; I want to say, the heads of swimming animals? Muskrats or —be still my heart— beavers?

What’s your take?; 10/2/20, 9:29 PM
Guildofcannonballs said...: 'ell it was corruption den an' it corruption now: Day always bein' corrupt.

But day more corrupt now den den, day now.

They was so corrupt.

Corruption going on out dare.

Corruption goin' on dow' dare.

Exacerbatin' the corrupt corruption goin' on ou' dare.

They corrupt.

*Hat Tip Rush Limbaugh, King (like Jackie Gleason); 10/2/20, 9:30 PM
Original Mike said...: "Wow. Not a word about Dilbert. I thought I could return to Althouse for the straight skinny on the bizarre Scott Adams meltdown. Guess there’s a lid on Dilbert."

What meltdown? I've listened to his podcasts the last few days. No mention of a meltdown (and he certainly didn't meltdown on the podcasts).; 10/2/20, 9:31 PM
boatbuilder said...: Ack. Death sucks, and it ain't going away. I am going to focus on sunsets for a while.; 10/2/20, 9:31 PM
Owen said...: Never mind. I zoomed in and saw ducks. Which are very nice but NOT beavers.; 10/2/20, 9:31 PM
Readering said...: Still not even 24 hours since the announcement. Hang on folks, it's going to be quite a ride.; 10/2/20, 9:32 PM
Readering said...: ken in tx: 2 million if everyone behaved like the White House.; 10/2/20, 9:34 PM
Kylos said...: MI Governor Whitmer’s emergency orders struck down by MI Supreme Court. We here in Michigan are thrilled!; 10/2/20, 9:43 PM
chuck said...: @jacksonjay

Althouse said months ago that she was tired of Scott Adams. Perhaps you should troll elsewhere if you want to catch fish.; 10/2/20, 9:51 PM
q12345q6789 said...: @Owen "really developed a lovely touch."
I would tend to agree but she's been doing it for so many years now that it's beyond developed. SO many of her photographs are like... ordinary PLUS. and I mean that as the highest compliment! She takes pictures of "ordinary" subjects and yet so many of them end up with some dimension of sublimity that transcends their ordinary beginnings. It's the lifetime of a creative eye honing that sense of "seeing" the world at an angle that continuously captures something special. It gives hope to the rest of us that if we keep at what we want to keep at we will get something out of our subjects as well (of course I see how this is just like her blogging too).; 10/2/20, 9:58 PM
q12345q6789 said...: @Owen "really developed a lovely touch."
I would tend to agree but she's been doing it for so many years now that it's beyond developed. SO many of her photographs are like... ordinary PLUS. and I mean that as the highest compliment! She takes pictures of "ordinary" subjects and yet so many of them end up with some dimension of sublimity that transcends their ordinary beginnings. It's the lifetime of a creative eye honing that sense of "seeing" the world at an angle that continuously captures something special. It gives hope to the rest of us that if we keep at what we want to keep at we will get something out of our subjects as well (of course I see how this is just like her blogging too).; 10/2/20, 9:59 PM
walter said...: jacksonjay,
Keep trying.
Keep trying.
and
Keep trying.; 10/2/20, 9:59 PM
q12345q6789 said...: @Owen "really developed a lovely touch."
I would tend to agree but she's been doing it for so many years now that it's beyond developed. SO many of her photographs are like... ordinary PLUS. and I mean that as the highest compliment! She takes pictures of "ordinary" subjects and yet so many of them end up with some dimension of sublimity that transcends their ordinary beginnings. It's the lifetime of a creative eye honing that sense of "seeing" the world at an angle that continuously captures something special. It gives hope to the rest of us that if we keep at what we want to keep at we will get something out of our subjects as well (of course I see how this is just like her blogging too).; 10/2/20, 9:59 PM
q12345q6789 said...: @Owen "really developed a lovely touch."
I would tend to agree but she's been doing it for so many years now that it's beyond developed. SO many of her photographs are like... ordinary PLUS. and I mean that as the highest compliment! She takes pictures of "ordinary" subjects and yet so many of them end up with some dimension of sublimity that transcends their ordinary beginnings. It's the lifetime of a creative eye honing that sense of "seeing" the world at an angle that continuously captures something special. It gives hope to the rest of us that if we keep at what we want to keep at we will get something out of our subjects as well (of course I see how this is just like her blogging too).; 10/2/20, 10:07 PM
David Begley said...: Creighton alum and Hall of Fame pitcher Bob Gibson died tonight from pancreatic cancer. He was 84.

A friend lives next door to him although they never met. You could see some of his trophies from the street through his front window.; 10/2/20, 10:11 PM
Guildofcannonballs said...: We can all know only one thing: from now on the Supreme Court will think of Catholics first, second, last, and other.

This is America in 2020.; 10/2/20, 10:23 PM
walter said...: Steve Deace
@SteveDeaceShow
·
4h
Assuming they're mask-wearers, we were recently assured by @CDCDirector
the mask would protect them more than an actual vaccine.
Quote Tweet
Christian Datoc
@TocRadio
· 4h
NEW: WHCA confirms that 3 journalists have tested positive for coronavirus after working at the WH over the past 7 days; 10/2/20, 10:30 PM
q12345q6789 said...: @Owen "really developed a lovely touch."
I would tend to agree but she's been doing it for so many years now that it's beyond developed. SO many of her photographs are like... ordinary PLUS. and I mean that as the highest compliment! She takes pictures of "ordinary" subjects and yet so many of them end up with some dimension of sublimity that transcends their ordinary beginnings. It's the lifetime of a creative eye honing that sense of "seeing" the world at an angle that continuously captures something special. It gives hope to the rest of us that if we keep at what we want to keep at we will get something out of our subjects as well (of course I see how this is just like her blogging too).; 10/2/20, 10:46 PM
MountainMan said...: Bob Gibson has died at the age of 84 from pancreatic cancer. One of my all-time favorite ball players. I saw him pitch against the Braves at the old Atlanta Stadium on a very hot Sunday afternoon about 50 years ago. In typical Gibson fashion it was an intimidating, emotionless, complete game performance with a bunch of strikeouts and he even hit a home run to help the Cards win the game. Not only was he a great athlete but he was a very intelligent and admirable human being, looked up to by all the other players, and he played the game with class and dignity.

RIP, Bob.; 10/2/20, 10:56 PM
William said...: I used to think that Trump was extremely lucky. Extremely unusual and fortunate things happened to him. Well, extremely unusual but not all of them fortunate. Got elected President in his first try at elected office. Outside of military heroes, that's never been done. Now he has corona virus. There's a two or three percent chance of mortality for someone his age from what I hear. Maybe his good luck is reverting to the mean. I wish him well, but the news is unsettling. Too many unexpected things keep happening.; 10/2/20, 10:58 PM
walter said...: Pinned Tweet
Alex Berenson
@AlexBerenson
·
3h
Umm what? The @who
now estimates that 750,000,000 people have gotten the ro? Which, at 1 million death, would put the death rate at 1 in 750 (even with overcounting, etc) - or 0.13%. That’s the lowest estimate I’ve ever seen. Say it with me: IT’S THE FLU.; 10/2/20, 11:00 PM
Nichevo said...: Titus said...
I am into Mishima and don’t fuck with cats?

And Phillip glass

What are you into?

Dafuq? I literally just name-checked Mishima and Philip Glass to Buwaya on the political violence thread. Where the hell did you come from with that??; 10/2/20, 11:12 PM
Nichevo said...: You're bringing news JJ, why don't you tell us what you know about Scott Adams and Dilbert?; 10/2/20, 11:13 PM
Drago said...: jacksonjay: "Wow. Not a word about Dilbert. I thought I could return to Althouse for the straight skinny on the bizarre Scott Adams meltdown. Guess there’s a lid on Dilbert."
10/2/20, 8:55 PM

jacksonjay: "Wow. Not a word about Dilbert. I thought I could return to Althouse for the straight skinny on the bizarre Scott Adams meltdown. Guess there’s a lid on Dilbert."
10/2/20, 8:55 PM

jacksonjay: "Wow. Not a word about Dilbert. I thought I could return to Althouse for the straight skinny on the bizarre Scott Adams meltdown. Guess there’s a lid on Dilbert."
10/2/20, 8:55 PM

jacksonjay: "Wow. Not a word about Dilbert today. Thought sure I could come to Althouse and get the straight skinny on the bizarre Scott Adams meltdown. Guess they put a lid on it."
10/2/20, 9:01 PM

We saw a meltdown alright, but it wasn't from Scott Adams........; 10/2/20, 11:20 PM
eddie willers said...: What Adams meltdown?

You need to be specific if you expect an answer.; 10/2/20, 11:45 PM
Gospace said...: So there’s been a lot less discussion from media and major Democrat politicians about POTUS getting the dreaded covid than I expected. And I think I know why. Their focus groups are telling them there’s nothing they can say that helps them. If they wish POTUS and FLOTUS good health, as Tulsi Gabbard did, they piss off the deranged left, currently their base. If they go the “He deserves it!” route, they piss off the middle, and they need their votes. Pretty much their best strategy is to say nothing and hope no one asks. Why did I say that? Good grief, the media is allied with the Democrats- they’re not going to ask.

The crazies are out on Twitter and Facebook identifying themselves as targets should the boogaloo start. There’s some real hatred on display. No civility BS, just plain out incivility from the deranged left. And the number of people saying Trump is faking having the dreaded covid is truly astounding.; 10/3/20, 1:01 AM
rehajm said...: Since ACB was close to the President and may risk exposing the Senate, out of an abundance of caution Sen McConnell should bypass the rape smears and move directly to a vote on her confirmation.; 10/3/20, 4:12 AM
Tina Trent said...: Contra JacksonJay, Scott Adams was quite cogent yesterday:

"Republicans believe in forgiveness for your actual sins and Democrats believe in hating you for imagined sins. That difference has emerged as the major theme in this country."; 10/3/20, 6:13 AM
Ignorance is Bliss said...: Hospitals suck. (Except for that part of keeping you alive when you otherwise would have died. That's kinda nice)
Been inpatient (and impatient) for a week. Hope to head home tomorrow.; 10/3/20, 6:20 AM
Ignorance is Bliss said...: And thanks for all the well-wishes. They were much appreciated.; 10/3/20, 6:21 AM
stevew said...: You know rehajm, when you're right you're right. On to the vote!; 10/3/20, 6:43 AM
Mid-Life Lawyer said...: When the Cubs won the World Series in 2016, they had the youngest team in the National League. It was reasonable to assume that there would be more Series wins to come. They did make the playoffs three of the next four years. What has become painfully clear this year is that the exceptional seasons that their core group had in 2016 were outliers. Everyone had close to their best years ever the same year. Since 2016, the Bryant Rizzo Baez trio have gone about 30 for 145 in playoff games. That won't get it done. They were 1 of 24 in the two games this year. Hopefully, the Cubs will be able to get rid of some of the deadwood and retool. That will be complicated by the fact that each major league team is losing around $100 million this year and so the market is down. The Cubs purportedly offered Bryant about $200 million to re-sign a year or so ago. He wanted to hold out for free agency. He will be a free agent next year and with the market and his injury plagued performance decline, and he wasn't good when he wasn't injured, he is likely to get maybe 75% of that offer if that much. Baez wasn't offered but his performance decline and the economics will be unfavorable to him as well. It's the same story all over baseball. I'm kind of glad baseball season is over for me for the year. I only watch Cubs games and I don't even remember off the top of my head who played in the World Series last year. Now I can focus on football and track and field, my real loves.; 10/3/20, 6:54 AM
Howard said...: Looks like a classic LA sunset; 10/3/20, 6:55 AM
Ignorance is Bliss said...: walter said...
Pinned Tweet
Alex Berenson
@AlexBerenson
...
would put the death rate at 1 in 750 (even with overcounting, etc) - or 0.13%. That’s the lowest estimate I’ve ever seen. Say it with me: IT’S THE FLU.

Say it with me: INITIAL VIRAL LOAD MATTERS
What is the case fatality rate for the flu when people wear masks and practice social distancing? I don't know, but it is surely much less than the case fatality rate normally associated with the flu. Why? Because covid restrictions don't just reduce the number of cases, they reduce the initial viral load of the people who do get the disease
Comparing case fatality rate of one disease, measured without precautions, to the case fatality rate of another disease, measured with precautions, is like comparing walnuts and hex nuts.; 10/3/20, 7:08 AM
Humperdink said...: July 15, 1967, the day Roberto Clemente broke Bob Gibson's leg. Good story.

https://retrosimba.com/2017/07/14/bob-gibson-vs-roberto-clemente-ultimate-hardball/; 10/3/20, 7:12 AM
buwaya said...: I read one of Mishimas books, way back when I was a teen in high school. He was au courant at the time. I can't say it made much impression on me then, as I don't even recall which one it was.

I did read one ABOUT Mishima, at around that time, it may have been this -

Mishima: A Biography by John Nathan

But I no longer recall.

Looking back on it all Mishima seems to me to have been a frustrated version of Masanobu Tsuji - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Masanobu_Tsuji

Mishima wanted a war to fight, but none was on offer. He seems like an unfulfilled monster, unlike Tsuji, who had scope to commit all the evil his heart desired.

The parallels are interesting. Both were hugely charismatic figures who could easily gain a sort of psychological control of others, even their high superiors. Both were very open and active homosexuals, oddly tolerated where others would have been socially excluded into that netherworld. There was something uncanny about both.; 10/3/20, 7:29 AM
jaydub said...: "You could see some of his trophies from the street through his front window."

Pretty creepy, Bagley.; 10/3/20, 7:33 AM
Lucien said...: When the President takes a helicopter you probably can’t fly your own private aircraft in the vicinity. When he travels by motorcade, tens of thousands of motorists have their traffic screwed up for hours. Of course, calculating the cost of such disruption involves third grade level multiplication, so it is too hard for “journalists”.; 10/3/20, 7:36 AM
stevew said...: Just 10 years old in 1967 I was a bit too young to have my heart broken by Bob Gibson's excellence in that year's World Series. As I recall, all the games were played in the daytime. The Sisters at my Catholic school were all big baseball fans. We were let out of school early every day there was a game. Gibson was brilliant in the series (MVP) winning all three starts (complete games), giving up just 3 runs total.

Bob Gibson, RIP.; 10/3/20, 7:51 AM
Curious George said...: "Owen said...
Never mind. I zoomed in and saw ducks. Which are very nice but NOT beavers."

Those look like loons to me. Maybe the loons we heard on her video yesterday.; 10/3/20, 8:08 AM
Fritz said...: Lucien said...
When the President takes a helicopter you probably can’t fly your own private aircraft in the vicinity. When he travels by motorcade, tens of thousands of motorists have their traffic screwed up for hours. Of course, calculating the cost of such disruption involves third grade level multiplication, so it is too hard for “journalists”.

There is a long standing (Iraq war) set of flight restrictions around Washington DC, so while it may not be impossible to fly near DC in a private plane (after seeking permission), it's certainly not a welcome practice:

Washington, DC Metropolitan Area Special Flight Rules Area

"Despite efforts by the Federal Aviation Administration to inform pilots of the ADIZ, there are still many unauthorized incursions by unsuspecting pilots. A pilot who violates the boundaries may be intercepted by military aircraft and escorted to the nearest airport."; 10/3/20, 8:08 AM
Jersey Fled said...: ACB had Covid this past Summer and recovered. Not much chance she could pass it on in Senate hearings.; 10/3/20, 8:12 AM
I Have Misplaced My Pants said...: Wow. Not a word about Dilbert. I thought I could return to Althouse for the straight skinny on the bizarre Scott Adams meltdown. Guess there’s a lid on Dilbert.

I am a daily listener of the podcast version of his Periscopes. He explains it in the Oct 2 episode. I'm assuming you are referring to his very public announcement that Trump had lost his vote. He explained that it was a bit of an experiment, to get attention, and it was illuminating. Even after explaining on Twitter that he was no longer voting for Trump, which should have made lefties happy, he still received a firehose of molten shit from them, coming to the conclusion that leftie Twitter is simply comprised of irredeemably defective people, the end. He asked, how would a defector from Biden be treated by the right?; 10/3/20, 8:15 AM
Jersey Fled said...: The President routinely takes a helicopter to Andrews.; 10/3/20, 8:17 AM
320Busdriver said...: WI Senator RoJo tested + for chyna virus; 10/3/20, 8:18 AM
BudBrown said...: The Rays had an unfair advantage this season. They are use to playing before empty stands.; 10/3/20, 8:20 AM
Professional lady said...: I remember the end of the 1967 season. The Cardinals were playing the Tigers in either the playoffs or World's Series (can't remember). I think I was in 8th grade. In the metro Detroit area, the games started at about 1 pm. We actually had TVs in the classrooms so we could watch the game. I remember that Gibson impressed me with his athleticism and grace. Our nuns were big Tigers fans and the game was not to be missed.; 10/3/20, 11:06 AM
walter said...: Jersey Fled said...ACB had Covid this past Summer and recovered. Not much chance she could pass it on in Senate hearings.
--
Though she could have produced a positive test up to 3 mo. later.; 10/3/20, 11:37 AM
Jersey Fled said...: Though she could have produced a positive test up to 3 mo. later.

There is considerable speculation that these tests are so juiced up (up to 40 reductions) that they are picking up fragments of long dead (and harmless) virus DNA from prior infections, and even from other Corona viruses like those that cause the common cold.

Also, I believe that the number of reductions run is at the discretion of the testing lab, not the manufacturer of the test. The labs have an incentive to show lots of positives to keep the money spigot flowing. One lab reported 90% positives to the state of Florida when the national average was around 5% to 10%.

Thats one reason I am skeptical of the "cases" number, which has been grossly out of whack with the number of hospitalizations and deaths, both hard numbers, and has been thar way for almost two months now.; 10/3/20, 1:47 PM