August 9, 2011

Will the Wisconsin GOP senators all survive the recalls?

Early results say yes!

UPDATE: Here's the Twitter feed #Wirecall. AND: Here are the AP results, showing the precinct totals.

UPDATE 2: "Sen. Luther Olsen has been declared the third GOP incumbent to hold his seat today by a Madison TV station."

"Sen. Luther Olsen is on his way to his election night party, his campaign manager announced."

If 4 of the 6 GOP incumbents win, then the Democrats have not taken over the Senate. It looks as though Kapanke will lose, so the question is what happens with Hopper and Darling. All 3 of those incumbents must go down, or the Democratic cause is lost. Darling is expected to win, though if you look at the numbers right now — 9:57 CT — she's down. But only 1 of 11 Waukesha precincts have reported. This is a flashback to the Prosser-Kloppenburg results reporting. You can try to make some predictions by looking at the final results from the Prosser-Kloppenburg race.

UPDATE 2, 12:22 a.m. CT — There are still 13 precincts remaining in the recall against incumbent Alberta Darling, but I did the math, assuming the remaining precincts have a proportionate number of votes and that the percentages in the remaining precincts are the same as in the rest of the county. With those assumptions, Darling wins by about 2500 votes, so I'm predicting Darling will win, leaving the Democrats picking up only 2 seats and not the needed 3. The majority in the Wisconsin senate will, if that pans out, stay with the GOP (without regard to what happens in the 2 recall elections next week).

302 comments:

1 – 200 of 302   Newer›   Newest»
A. Shmendrik said...

Harsdorf is opening up a can of whoop-azz!

sane_voter said...

If the GOP holds all six, can they possibly win the Holperin race next week and make it a flee free senate?

Yes we can!

Lucius said...

What now, Progressive soldiers? C'mon, you got something, I know!

"Mine eyes have seen the Progress of the coming of the Left/
And Wisconsin if we have to we surely shall see cleft/
For our cause is mighty righetous and the vote is just a theft/
Our truth is marching on!!! . . ."

Fred4Pres said...

I hope so for Wisconsin's sake.

pbAndjFellowRepublican said...

So, what happens if the Ds lose all six...and then two more next week?


At a minimum, maybe the Walker recall effort will be truncated.

Quayle said...

"Glory, glory we will screw ya"
"Glory, glory we will screw ya"
"We'll take the funds of gov-ern-ment and pay for all our friends."
"Our truth is marching on."

Chef Mojo said...

Well, let's not start sucking each other's dicks quite yet.

Winston Wolfe

Lucius said...

Even if the Dems pick up a seat for their sorry 'trouble', I hope the Madison progs will finally start to really let it sink in that Wisconsin does not want them in charge!

Is it getting through?! . . .

roesch-voltaire said...

Considering that these districts went strongly for Walker, am encouraged that Olson and Clark are too close to call and Shilling is beating Kapanke-- Go Dems for middle class citizens.

Christopher said...

AP results! As if!

Rialby said...

I fixed it for you:

"Go Dems for no-class citizens."

The Crack Emcee said...

It'll be a sweep:

It's over.

sane_voter said...

At Kos they have some interesting numbers.

The Dems have to outperform Kloppy's results by the following %:
Nusbaum needs +7.7; Pasch +7.5; Clark +4.6; King +3.0. Clark is only outperforming Kloppy by +0.5%. So only Kapanke looks to be at risk

nevadabob said...

Let's not forget that MSNBC said these recall elections are the "leading indicator" of the 2012 election 57-state landslide that will see Barack Obama ejected from office.

Jason said...

The early voting couldnt be better for the GOP, actually.

Olsen leads Clark by 10 with nothing yet from Sauk County. If Sauk breaks for Clark about 60/40 like it should, Olsen should squeak by with the GOP votes still out there in the northern part of that district.

Darling is cleaning up where she should be, which is a good sign that the GOP did turn out there.

Kapanke is doing well early, but no results are in yet from LaCrosse County, which will break sharply to Schilling. Unless Kapanke totally cleans up around the Prairie du Chien area and does better than expected in LaCrosse, I fear he will lose, as many predicted.

The only votes in so far in the Hopper race are from Winnebago, and to be up 8 so far in that race is a good sign. That will be the race to watch, and probably the closest race IMO.

The GOP is getting what it needs - big leads in their strongholds. It all depends on the Dem turnout and if its enough to win.

Karl said...

R_V: Go Dems for middle class citizens

"Middle class" is code for "white people".

Say what you mean, racist fsck.

Back to your roots. Huh.

MarkG said...

Anyone who supported these recall elections is a fucking undemocratic asshole. There, I said it.

Jane said...

I will be giddy if the unions wasted all their money and time on this.

And the headline this morning that Obama was going after Romney - icing on the cake, baby.

pbAndjFellowRepublican said...

We may need the Meadhouse mathematicians to look at the Alberta contest.

How do you get about thirty thousand folks to sign a recall petition, at the same time you only get teens of thousands to vote?

Maybe the lib signers are too lazy to vote?

Maybe the union pushed the libs to sign the petitions?

Or, maybe this is typical lib petition fraud, aka as ACORNism.

Alert the Meadia!!~!!!@SS@!!!!QSEW!!!!


P.S.
This discrepancy could also be related to duct tape (or blue tape), balloons, and clothes on statues.

madawaskan said...

Cowles is safe, Harsdorf is getting close to safe.

roesch-voltaire said...

Karl I live in a middle class neighborhood of Madison and guess what- some of my neighbors are black-- imagine that, and from conservations we have had together none of us voted for Walker so go check out your own warped thoughts.

Palladian said...

TOTAL RECALL!!!1

madawaskan said...

Alpha is soooo cute...

or something.

Jason said...

Cowles is safe, Harsdorf is getting close to safe.

Im surprised those races havent been called yet. But then again, we are talking about a liberal media and the last stand for the left in this state...so they probably wont call anything until its a mathematical impossibility that the Dem candidate wins.

t-man said...

If the Republicans retain control of the Senate after these elections, how mant dispirited Democrats are going to turn out next week?

MarkG said...

some of my neighbors are black-- imagine that, and from conservations we have had together none of us voted for Walker so go check out your own warped thoughts.

IOW: "I live around around a bunch of university employees, and although we have a few African-American Studies profs in the neighborhood, our politics are monochrome. So there"

madawaskan said...

Jason

Did you see Milwaukee come in...

Fon de Lac is 0% reporting....

Kapanke and Darling.......

oy.

Jason said...

The early results from LaCrosse County show Schilling with only a 56-44 advantage with about 25% of those precincts in. I guarantee you it should be bigger. Kapanke is overperforming big-time, and if that LaCrosse County spread holds true and Kapanke gets an amazing result from the SW part of the state, that race is gonna be closer than a lot of people think.

Palladian said...

"If the Republicans retain control of the Senate after these elections, how mant dispirited Democrats are going to turn out next week?"

TOTAL RECALL!!!!1

Shout it, it makes you feel better!

Thinking Badger said...

AP has called the SD #2 race for Cowles

Seven Machos said...

You are so mean Palladian. I love it.

Palladian said...

Whatever the results of these "elections"... TOTAL RECALL!!

madawaskan said...

Well Wakeusha still has 10 precincts out....

Tim said...

Quick! Find the missing votes!

Jason said...

Jason

Did you see Milwaukee come in...

Fon de Lac is 0% reporting....

Kapanke and Darling.......

oy.


Parts of Milwaukee County are going to be strong for Pasch. Thats a given. Darling's chances lie on the turnout in Washington, Ozaukee and Waukesha counties, who are notorious for reporting late.

madawaskan said...

Thanks Jason.

I'm in Vegas...and just a political junkie.

Trying to go of memory from last time with the see saw between Milwaukee and Wakeusha for the Darling district.

No zip all about Kapanke's neck of the woods.

Karl said...

R_V: guess what- some of my neighbors are black--

Well at least you stopped yourself from writing "some of my best friends are black"

Typical liberal racism.

Palladian said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
madawaskan said...

And I'm not even spelling Waukesha right...

Jay said...

Cowles called a winner.

Jason said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Palladian said...

"Quick! Find the missing votes!"

Each of those heart-shaped balloons stuck to the interior of the Wisconsin Capitol dome contain an absentee ballot marked straight Democrat.

TOTAL RECALL, BABY!

madawaskan said...

You know he's probably down there reading the other thread and hasn't even "found" this one yet....

Jason said...

AP has called the SD #2 race for Cowles

Harsdorf shouldnt be far behind. Why its taking this long is weird...that was the most GOP district of any of them.

madawaskan said...

Alpha could be Chris Matthews....




pool boy.

sorepaw said...

from conservations [sic[ we have had together none of us voted for Walker

In 1972, Pauline Kael famously didn't know anyone who had voted for Nixon.

roesch-voltaire said...

Karl and you support typical conservative B.S who spews out crap-- just what do you know about living in a integrated neighborhood period. And yea Darling looks like she is not going to make it!

Thinking Badger said...

AP calls it for Harsdorf

Jason said...

SD 10 has been called for Harsdorf.

Two down, 4 to go.

madawaskan said...

Oh ya that is rich 72% of precincts reporting and she's leading 58% to 41%...

but....it's-

too close to call!

Chuck66 said...

If Republicans do win (say except for in La Crosse), I think a lot of it isn't so much due to love for Republicans, but resentment that we have to have a nasty, expensive election in the summer, 9 months after the last expensive, nasty election.

Antidotal stories (yes, I know, not exactly scientific) out of the SD10 (Hudson-Ellsworth) is that it isn't so much love for Harsdorf, but people being upset that they are being bombarded with ads for an election that shouldn't be happening. There may be voters that that will vote Democrat (against Harsdorf) in the next election, but are voting for her today because they don't like an election do-over.

madawaskan said...

Ya they called it while I was typing that..but sheesh...

Jason said...

And yea Darling looks like she is not going to make it!

Almost nothing is in yet from Waukesha, Washington and Ozaukee counties...Darling is going to win each of those counties by a landslide. Darling being down 14 with about 20% of the vote in is actually a good sign.

Seven Machos said...

Sorepaw -- Actually, the Pauline Kael quote is apocryphal. But it's also simply too good not to keep quoting.

There's no question, however, that pre- and post-election samples so consistently under-represent Republicans that there it ought to be accounted for.

madawaskan said...

Fon du Lac is still 0% reporting?

Chuck66 said...

Let's hear it one last time for Shelley Moore.

WE....BREATHE.....UUUUUNNNIOOOOONNNNNNN!!!!!!!!!!!

DO YOU KNOW WHAT THEY CALL US AT NEA NATIONAL? THE WISCONSIN MAFIA!!!!!!! (you have to say that with a smug smirk)

Thank God for video cameras. Those ads were devistating for little socialist.

Lucius said...

"Antidodal stories" are indeed required-- I hope this evening proves one for much of the madness that has raged since

what was it again, February?

Fen said...

The Dems need to pick up 3 or 4?

And where is Garage? Delivering pizzas?

Jason said...

If Republicans do win (say except for in La Crosse), I think a lot of it isn't so much due to love for Republicans, but resentment that we have to have a nasty, expensive election in the summer, 9 months after the last expensive, nasty election.

That is complete bullshit.

Unions have spent tens of millions of dollars on this election. All we heard from the unions and teachers was RECALL! RECALL! RECALL! for months. And now the day is here.

Simply put, if the GOP wins 5 of 6, its a crushing defeat to the left in this state. And it basically squashes whatever little chance the left had of recalling Walker. And it will give other states trying to do the same thing the courage to do it and see it can be successful.

madawaskan said...

RV

Do you not remember last time?

Waukesha still has 10 precincts out.

roesch-voltaire said...

Ah yes Waukesha that may make it for Darling. Interesting that Shorewood has not.

pbAndjFellowRepublican said...

Chuck,

They ran the wrong Moore. You should always go w/ a proven winner.

Duhl.

Jason said...

Unreal...70% of Sauk County is in and Olsen still has an 8 point lead on Clark.

Olsen winning by a clean 3 or 4 points would be a surprise. I figured it would go right to the wire.

chickenlittle said...

It won't be over until Feingold wins.

MarkG said...

And where is Garage? Delivering pizzas?

I thought he had the evening shift at Chuck E. Cheese's.

Karl said...

R_V: Karl and you support typical conservative B.S who spews out crap-- just what do you know about living in a integrated neighborhood period.

Got me. Wow.
I live in Racine, where there are no black folk - anywhere.

Chuck66 said...

Twin Cities blogger compares Shelly Moore to Dwight Schwrote. Then links to YouTube videos of Moore's rant, and Dwight's fascist speech at the regional sales conference. Incredibly funny.

Meade said...

pbAndjFellowRepublican said...

"How do you get about thirty thousand folks to sign a recall petition, at the same time you only get teens of thousands to vote?"

The other teens were too busy roving around in mobs, looking for Republicans to beat up. It's 9:30 now. Past curfew. They're probably watching the election results with their mothers.

Chuck66 said...

Kapanke is even close? Really, he should lost 40-60 (and I say this as a HUGE Kapanke fan). Even if he loses, but it is close, that will be a victory for Republicans (if they take the rest of the races).

chickenlittle said...

@Fen: Garage said earlier (in a different thread) that he was getting drunk and going down to the Capitol to lob Molotov cocktails.

He a good guy ouside of politics. Be nice to him.

madawaskan said...

Jason

So Olsen held on to Marquette by 51% to 49%-

what is the political persuasion of marquette?

I thought it might be kind of liberal....

Jason said...

If the reports on Twitter are accurate, both GOP and Dem sources are saying the GOP will indeed hold 5 of 6 seats tonight based on the data they have. Only one GOP is conceding is Kapanke.

If that holds, thats tens of millions of dollars pissed away by unions in this state...for nothing.

Jay said...

If that holds, thats tens of millions of dollars pissed away by unions in this state...for nothing.

Those union dues come from the tax payers.

pbAndjFellowRepublican said...

Chicken,

Nice paraphrase.

It seems that my memory is failing me.

Chuck66 said...

Jason.....soooo true. Big Labor spent, what? $17,000,000 on this? Plus what they spent last spring.

WEAC spent $1,700,000 on 4 state senate races last fall and one 1 of the four. Who knows how much they spent this summer. So teachers, is that a good use of your money? I wonder how many breakfast that would buy for at-risk youths.

David said...

I don't see how you can project results yet, with so much uncounted in several races.

Cowles had an easy win though. The local buzz (not all from nutcase liberals) was that he might have trouble.

He's a decent guy. Glad he won.

Thinking Badger said...

Luther Olsen declared winner. Wow!

sane_voter said...

King is underperforming by 5% what she needs in order to beat Hopper.

madawaskan said...

Fon du Lac is still at 0% reporting for both Hopper and Olsen....

Jason said...

If the reports on Twitter are accurate, both GOP and Dem sources are saying the GOP will indeed hold 5 of 6 seats tonight based on the data they have. Only one GOP is conceding is Kapanke.

If that holds, thats tens of millions of dollars pissed away by unions in this state...for nothing.


Just to add...those "sources" I talk about are political people I follow on Twitter and their sources. Im not a reporter...just a concerned citizen :)

Jay said...

Olsen has a 54-46 lead with 118 of 126 Precincts Reporting - 94%

MarkG said...

..just what do you know about living in a integrated neighborhood period.

I live in the DC suburban neighborhood which is both racially and politically diverse. I'm one up on you there. We don't stand in the street and wonder how in hell any Republicans won when none of us voted for them.

hoop said...

Are the early Milwaukee numbers coming from D-heavy districts? I'm an outsider, but if the first few precincts there are indicative of Milwaukee as a whole, I have a hard time seeing Darling holding on.

Yet people seem pretty comfortable with the trend right now. It's really odd from my perspective.

madawaskan said...

Jeez ya AP and the JSonline haven't called it for Olsen and 94% of the precincts are in....!?

Jason said...

Fon du Lac is still at 0% reporting for both Hopper and Olsen....

I believe that county is traditionally late.

They are saying on Twitter that Hopper is doing very well in the Oshkosh area (Ron Johnson). There were also reports that the turnout was low up there earlier today. So that would work in Hopper's favor.

Palladian said...

"He a good guy ouside of politics. Be nice to him."

The problem is, as time passes, there is less and less outside of politics.

madawaskan said...

Ya let's call it here for Olsen.

Jason said...

Luther Olsen declared winner. Wow!

Who declared that? Just curious.

Thinking Badger said...

I don't think tonight's results will help the unions increase their collection of voluntary dues.

Jay said...

Fon du Lac is still at 0% reporting for both Hopper and Olsen....

Not on the AP Web site, Olsen won 60-40.

Chuck66 said...

I used to go to grad school with a guy who would brag on and on about why he moved into a certain city because he loved diversity and wanted to live in a diverse neighborhood.

After I got to know him better....he was one of the most narrow minded, intolerant liberals I have ever meet (rare for an MBA program). His neighborhood consisted of 100% left wing Democrats who had different skin hues. Hows that for celebrating diversity.

Fen said...

k, I googled it. Dems need to win 3 of 6 seats to control Senate.

madawaskan said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
madawaskan said...

Jason

Ya there's no way the AP and JS Online should not be calling it for Olsen with 95% reported.

Jay said...

From Malkin's twitter:

Wispolitics just declared Luther Olsen the winner.

Jason said...

Kapanke just took the LEAD with 52% reporting....



Come on baby...bring it on home!


Huh? I got him down 8 points with 52% reporting.

James said...

Strange that Alpha Liberal hasn't shown up after all his boasting earlier in the day.

madawaskan said...

Shizzle jumped the gun on the Kapanke race.....

AJ Lynch said...

Place Garbage & Alpha on suicide watch.

Fen said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Thinking Badger said...

Luther Olsen declared winner. Wow!

Who declared that? Just curious.

Wispolitics and MacIver

madawaskan said...

Dang it Jason....

I flipped it around...I was hoping to delete that before someone caught it...

Ugh...

Mel said...

I don't understand how fox6 was reporting Darling ahead 57% to 43% for Pasch 30 minutes ago with 18% of precincts in, and then 10 minutes ago those numbers switched names with the same amount (18%)reporting with Pasch having the 57%. Smells fishy for sure.

pbAndjFellowRepublican said...

Madawaskan,

A little bit off the mark?

Nice recovery/deletion.

Chuck66 said...

Democrats mistake? Treating this like a November election. They could have had 90+% of unionists come out and vote for the Democrats. The disinterested middle-right may have stayed home.

But by nationalizing the election, and spending 10s of millions, it brought out others who don't tow the union line.

Anyone check out the Wisc State Journal to see how the left is doing?

Jason said...

I don't understand how fox6 was reporting Darling ahead 57% to 43% for Pasch 30 minutes ago with 18% of precincts in, and then 10 minutes ago those numbers switched names with the same amount (18%)reporting with Pasch having the 57%. Smells fishy for sure.

Thats because a big batch of Milwaukee County votes came in.

Darling's votes will come later from Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington Counties. They are almost always last in every election. And Darling will win those counties at least 2-1. She is still fine, based on what has come in so far.

James said...

Are the early Milwaukee numbers coming from D-heavy districts? I'm an outsider, but if the first few precincts there are indicative of Milwaukee as a whole, I have a hard time seeing Darling holding on.

Yet people seem pretty comfortable with the trend right now. It's really odd from my perspective.


Her district encompasses parts of northern Milwaukee county; not the city of Milwaukee. Those northern suburbs are very liberal but are offset by the conservative voters in Ozaukee, Waukesha, and Washington counties.

madawaskan said...

Crap I think we have to call it for Schilling over Kapanke all of Vernon just reported.

Titus said...

Those districts don't have many peeps do they?

Alberta Darling has to win. I love her name.

madawaskan said...

pbandjRepublican

Dude..I was on long distance and I muffed it big time....

I thought you were out walking the rare spaniels..?

Jason said...

Something I just thought of:

Assuming the 5 of 6 races going to the GOP tonight holds, that means one of the two Dems in recalls next week have to win just so the Dems dont LOSE seats in the Senate.

Amazing.

madawaskan said...

I think we can call it for Hopper.

Jason said...

Those districts don't have many peeps do they?

Alberta Darling has to win. I love her name.


Incorrect. Mequon, Menomonee Falls, Brookfield, etc...thousands of votes in each. And Darling will win at least 60-65% of them.

She is still sitting just fine.

James said...

If the Dems can't beat Hopper, the most flawed of the Republicans, they can't beat Darling.

madawaskan said...

So Cowles, Harsdorf, Hopper and Olsen.

That's enough to keep them at bay.

Palladian said...

TOTAL RECALL, BABY!!!

David said...

Looks to me like Kapanke has lost and Hopper could. Not so great for GOP after all.

Darling? Who knows?

Chuck66 said...

Harsdorf 58%
Moore 42%

hoop said...

Thanks, James.

This recall may be horrid to live through, but it's made for a fascinating little summer. I've been able to hold off on movies until they're in the cheap seats because I could munch popcorn and watch you crazy Badgers do your thing.

madawaskan said...

Crap...I think I might have called Hopper too early...

*Ugh* I have someone distracting the hell out of me on the phone.

Fen said...

Last updated at 10:00 p.m.

2nd Senate District - 82% reporting
58% - Sen. Robert Cowles, R-Allouez (Incumbent) - x
42% - Nancy Nusbaum, D-De Pere

8th Senate District - 40% reporting
44% - Sen. Alberta Darling, R-River Hills (Inc.)
56% - Rep. Sandy Pasch, D-Whitefish Bay

10th Senate District - 75% reporting
58% - Sen. Sheila Harsdorf, R-River Falls (Inc.) - x
42% - Shelly Moore, D-River Falls

14th Senate District - 94% reporting
54% - Sen. Luther Olsen, R-Ripon (Inc.)- x
46% - Rep. Fred Clark, D-Baraboo

18th Senate District - 79% reporting
51% - Sen. Randy Hopper, R-Fond du Lac (Inc.)
49% - Jessica King, D-Oshkosh

32nd Senate District - 82% reporting
46% - Sen. Dan Kapanke, R-La Crosse (Inc.)
54% - Rep. Jennifer Shilling, D-La Crosse

pbAndjFellowRepublican said...

" I have someone distracting the hell out of me on the phone."

I can take a hint.

I'll call back later.

Thinking Badger said...

The "Ed Show" crowd in Madison is looking very sad....

ALH said...

The lefties at daily kos aren't screaming about voter suppression and fraud yet. That makes me nervous that things are going their way.

E.M. Davis said...

I have a hunch that RV's neighborhood looks middle class to him, but would actually be wealthy (or dare I say upper) if you ran the income numbers.

Probably similar to mine.

madawaskan said...

*Ugh* I really have to eat crow on that Hopper call and here is why:

Winnebago 28/51

9,177...53% King

8,052....47% Hopper

And those are the only precincts still out.

Titus said...

Bring It Home Alberta Darling.

madawaskan said...

pbanjRepublican...



Would you be Italian sorta?

Jason said...

The lefties at daily kos aren't screaming about voter suppression and fraud yet. That makes me nervous that things are going their way.

Trust me. Its not going their way.

The fact that a Dem is having trouble even taking the lead over Hopper with 3/4 of the vote should tell you all you need to know.

The silence is that theyve spent millions and millions of dollars and they are going to lose. They are going to go insane when the votes from Waukesha, Washington and Ozaukee Counties all show up for Darling to put her over the top.

Titus said...

That Luther candidate has no neck. His beard does not cover it up.

Come on Alberta.

ALH said...

Jason -
you see the Dems picking up just the kapanke and hopper seats?

Titus said...

I love the Fitzgerald brothers.

Chuck66 said...

But I am confused? The unionists used such normally successful tactics like shouting down the Governor at the State Fair opening. How can they not retake the senate after doing that? I mean, people all over the state should be saying "wow, those are the people I want running my state".

Jason said...

Hopper/King now 50-50 with about 14 precincts left. Wow.

Needless to say, I think this election will have a recount.

ALH said...

I suspect that deep down inside- like really really deep down inside, the Fitzgerald brothers love you too, Titus.

pbAndjFellowRepublican said...

"How can they not retake the senate after doing that?"

I blame O'Keefe.

madawaskan said...

Only 137 votes between King and Hopper....

Aaaaaarrggh.

Jason said...

Schilling declared the winner over Kapanke, as expected.

If thats all they get...wow.

Meade said...

Palladian said...
TOTAL RECALL, BABY!!!

You are cracking the meadhouse up, man. (And I just accidently called you "Palin" instead of Palladian. Oops.)

David said...

King leads Hopper by 137 with just 14 precincts still out.

Looks like King is gonna win.

Jason said...

Jason -
you see the Dems picking up just the kapanke and hopper seats?


The way it looks thats the best they will do.

Darling has already chopped off 2 points from Pasch's lead as those votes I talked about earlier are starting to come in.

Chuck66 said...

So to summerize:

Kapanke lost (no suprise)
Hopper (who should lose) is tied.
Darling should win.
Other three Republicans did win.

So, absent a surprise with Darling, Republicans hold the senate.

Next week could be a pickup of one seat for the Republicans.

Jason said...

King leads Hopper by 137 with just 14 precincts still out.

Looks like King is gonna win.


I dont know where you get that...she has actually lost ground from the last vote update.

David said...

So now it's up to Alberta Darling.

This is gonna be close.

Palladian said...

"You are cracking the meadhouse up, man."

That's your winger reaction to the devastation that is TOTAL RECALL!


"(And I just accidently called you "Palin" instead of Palladian. Oops.)"

We do wear the same lipstick.

James said...

Fred Wirch must be really nervous now; his turn comes up next week Tuesday.

pbAndjFellowRepublican said...

Coming from behind, randy hopper is on the rise.

David said...

"I dont know where you get that...she has actually lost ground from the last vote update."

Because there are only 14 precincts still left to report. Hopper would need nearly 70% in those precincts to pass King.

Thinking Badger said...

Major damage control happening on MSNBC! John Nichols lying through his teeth that The Dems have'nt been able to win Kapanke's district for decades!

Alex said...

Armageddon for GOP today. Walker-nomics rejected!

Meade said...

"We do wear the same lipstick."

Dude, you are such the hot hockey mom.

Palladian said...

"Dude, you are such the hot hockey mom."

That's what happens when you put lipstick on a bulldog.

Or something!

pbAndjFellowRepublican said...

"Dude, you are such the hot hockey mom."

That's so 08.

Bears are 11, i.e. Grizzly Bears.

Jason said...

Major damage control happening on MSNBC! John Nichols lying through his teeth that The Dems have'nt been able to win Kapanke's district for decades!

LOL

That whole area is nothing but Dems. Every state assembly person in that area is Dem. Ron Kind is a Dem.

But, its predictable. On a night they are going down in flames, they will focus on the one win they get and claim victory.

ALH said...

I am following daily kos.
They are starting to get nervous about Darling / Pasch. References to nails in coffin are being made.

Music...sweet music.

Jason said...

Darling just went from 18 points down to 2 points down. In one fell swoop. Thanks Ozaukee and Washington County.

Waukesha County still left.

Titus said...

The excellent news is if all these republicans win it is all about social issues on the docket!


Now lets do it.

Thinking Badger said...

It's all over! John Nichols just dropped the "found votes in Waukesha" reference from the SC election in discussing the SD 8 race

DADvocate said...

The question is can Wisconsin survive the recall. The Dems care little about Wisconsin, only bedding their union nests and soaking the taxpayers. Too many may see it too late.

Gedaliya said...

Anyone have a link to the AP precinct returns?

James said...

Way to go Washington County.

Jason said...

Saying on Twitter that the few precincts left in the King/Hopper race are likely Dem-leaning. So King may escape, but barely..which is a joke. Hopper should have been defeated easily.

In the end, the scorecard is likely gonna look 4-2 GOP. With 2 Dem recalls next week.

nevadabob said...

Dear Alpha,

If we thought there was any chance we'd lose here, do you think I would abandon Alhouse to blog elsewhere?

All your base are belong to us.

Titus said...

What's with all the democratic fish running?

ALH said...

Wow, just had to turn on MSNBC to check it out. I'm surprised to now know that I am living in a ultra-conservative, right-wing district here in the WI-32nd. I can't believe a Democrat could pull off this amazing upset over Kapanke.

They are lowering the bar..."if the Dems can win just 2 of these seats, it would be a political sunami."

pbAndjFellowRepublican said...

"Dear Alpha,

If we thought there was any chance we'd lose here, do you think I would abandon Alhouse to blog elsewhere?

All your base are belong to us."

Are we sure that having the public throw out recently elected Rs is an unmitigated victory for Rs?

Just sayin'

Chuck66 said...

With Hopper out, I wonder if the Republicans can find someone with a little less personal baggage to run in 2012. Geesh, that is only next year.

Lava said...

I'm vote Dem. and I want Darling to win.

Jason said...

Wow, just had to turn on MSNBC to check it out. I'm surprised to now know that I am living in a ultra-conservative, right-wing district here in the WI-32nd. I can't believe a Democrat could pull off this amazing upset over Kapanke.

MSNBC must think Ron Kind is a Republican.

Titus said...

Come on Alberta. Shake those tits and bring it home.

madawaskan said...

So I wonder how much this cost the Democrats and then how much did it cost Wisconsin?

Jason said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Jason said...

If Darling takes Waukesha County by a similar number she won it by in 2008, she is going to have about a 4,000 vote lead here shortly.

EDIT: and remember that 2008 was the immaculation of Barack Obama. She could win it by more.

Titus said...

Are these positions full time and if so how much do they make.

Shake em Darling.

James said...

Kathy Nickolaus will come through again :)

pbAndjFellowRepublican said...

This thread had a librul lamestream headline that unfairly raised expectations.

Could we all move to a new post where the title is "Will the WI GOP senators survive the recall by not losing three seats, thereby proving that Rs are good and Ds are bad"?

Titus said...

Alberta Darling by a cunt hair.

Work it Darling.

Swing that pussy and move those tits!

chickenlittle said...

madawaskan said...
So I wonder how much this cost the Democrats and then how much did it cost Wisconsin?

Who needs belt tightening?

VASTA LA WAISTA, BABY!

Jason said...

King wins by about 1200 votes.

The Dems should be ashamed about that. But Im sure it will be celebrated as a political tsunami against Scott Walker.

Curious George said...

garage mahal said...
The state senate is going to flip to the Dem-14 in just a few weeks. Chew on that champ. Duh!

7/25/11 7:53 PM

Heh.

Patrick said...

Did Obama campaign for theDems? Wonder why not...

David said...

Jason said...
"King wins by about 1200 votes.

The Dems should be ashamed about that."

Jason--get in touch, man. What matters is who wins--not whether they should have won by more.

And by the way, Darling is going to lost. The parts of Waukesha County that go best for Republicans (Brookfield) are not in her district. She is behind by nearly 2000 votes and is going to have a lot of trouble making that up.

I do not take pleasure in this. But the Democrats are close to achieving their goal in the recalls.

Seven Machos said...

This is so fun. And I don't even live in Wisconsin.

We should do this every Tuesday. There have to be more members of the state congress eligible for recall, right? How many Senate and House seats are there in Wisconsin?

Fen said...

WaPo at 11:36pm: According to local reports, Waukesha County Clerk Kathy Nickolaus will not report for over an hour

So grab some coffee, make some popcorn. Not to get cocky, but wouldn't it be lovely if Waukesha pulled the same stunt they did before? Libtard heads exploding everywhere.

A. Shmendrik said...

Tighter 'n a Texas tick in District 8! It's not over until it's over! Soon we back up the truck and unload the Waukesha votes. God - I hope they had a shirtload of turnout there.

Jason said...

Jason--get in touch, man. What matters is who wins--not whether they should have won by more.

LOL Thats a good one coming from a Dem, since all we hear from Dems when they win is how much they win by.


And by the way, Darling is going to lost. The parts of Waukesha County that go best for Republicans (Brookfield) are not in her district. She is behind by nearly 2000 votes and is going to have a lot of trouble making that up.

I think its you that needs to "get in touch". Darling, in 2008, won Waukesha County over her Dem opponent by about 5000 votes. She is not going to have any trouble at all. She is going to win with about a 52-48 margin.

Curious George said...

"Seven Machos said...
This is so fun. And I don't even live in Wisconsin.

We should do this every Tuesday. There have to be more members of the state congress eligible for recall, right? How many Senate and House seats are there in Wisconsin?"

Yes. Two Dems up next week.

Fen said...

The state senate is going to flip to the Dem-14 in just a few weeks

Wouldn't it be priceless if the GOP fled the Illinois, just like the Flea-baggers did?

Good. Goose. Gander.

But they won't. They'll respect the results, even if they lose. Suckers.

Daniel Chapman said...

Does anyone know how many recall petition signatures they got against Sheila Harsdorf? I think it was over 20k. I think they barely got that many people out to vote.

Fr Martin Fox said...

On MSNBC, John Nichols is already spinning the narrative: they stole it again!

Robert said...

hotair.com, just now:


Update: Via McCormack, too good to check: “GOP source: with 98 percent in, it’s Darling 30,868 to 28,170″.

Seven Machos said...

Geroge -- But then it's over after next week? Two episodes and that's it? These stupid executives are going to cancel this thing before it even has a chance to develop a loyal audience.

Sloanasaurus said...

I am seein a final win for Darling by more than 2000 votes. Based on the turn out in Washington county she willamass more than enough votes from Waukesha to overcome anything left in Milwaukee County. Plus, as we saw in the Prosser election Milwaukee under performed the surbaban counties in turnout. If that happens here, Darling could win by 3000-4000

Fen said...

10:53pm

56 of 82 Precincts Reporting - 68%

Name Party Votes Vote %
Pasch , Sandra Dem 23,804 51%
Darling , Alberta (i) GOP 22,693 49%

Chuck66 said...

Daniel....antidotal stories coming out of SD10 is that the petition people were going door to door saying something like "will you sign a pledge to......something something". They didn't say "to recall Senator Harsdorf".

Plus things were different before we saW "WE......BREATHE......UUUUNNIIOOOONNNNNNNNNN!!!!!!!"

Arssanguinus said...

Does Milwaukee have as I seem to remember, a number of "hollow districts' - in other words, districts that exist but have no voters?

madawaskan said...

Guys, guys guys!!!!

David you've even lost your grammar and it's near perfect.

You're typing like Al Pacino in Scarface..

She's going to lost!

Chu hear me chaquitas.....

******

Anyways let's bash MSNBC much more fun.

Par example.....

Did they actually try to sell these local state elections as some national foretelling of the coming 2012 elections?

Let me tell you how flipping' ironic that is.

MSNBC has become the 24/7 Chris Matthews Show...

At least last time I checked.

Chris Matthews' calling card to fame was that he was an aide to-

Tip O'Neill.

Tip O'Neill is most famous for this axiom-

All politics is local.

Yes, this is a sign that tse fever or whatever the hell Chris Matthews came down with has completely rotted his brain.

(Malaria-whatever...)

Seven Machos said...

It's the final stretch.

No tires. Just gas!

(Anyone with a young son at home should get this one.)

Fen said...

Damn, thats what I get for not checking Hot Air. Really good coverage and I missed it all.

Fen said...

http://hotair.com/archives/2011/08/09/open-thread-total-recall/

«Oldest ‹Older   1 – 200 of 302   Newer› Newest»