“In the end, everything that he’s saying might not happen if he is elected — but I’m willing to give it a shot,” said Randy Reynolds, 49, who used to vote for Democrats but switched to Republicans a decade ago. “I will give him 100 percent. . . . It would be amazing if the majority of things that he said would actually happen. That would be amazing.”But will he caucus?
“We’re going to see,” Reynolds said. “With kids and grandkids and all this, it’s kind of hectic. . . . We’ll look into it. If our time is available, then yeah, maybe we’ll do it. Maybe. We’ll have to see.”This story may seem to offset to recent reports that Trump has more support than the polls indicate (because people aren't willing to say they're for Trump).
People's level of education may have something to do with whether they're willing to openly back Trump in live interviews, the Morning Consult study suggests.... In the case of the "Trump effect," blue-collar voters aren't embarrassed about their support — their support is consistent in both live-interview and online surveys. But there's a clear difference among college-educated Republicans. "Among adults with a bachelors degree or postgraduate degree, Trump performs about 10 percentage points better online than via live telephone," the study said.But maybe there's a double Trump effect in Iowa. The less educated people who are willing to say they're for Trump are not the kind of people who get out and caucus. And the better-educated people who are the kind who'd caucus have this problem of not wanting to be seen supporting Trump, which would disable them from showing up to caucus.