Thanks to Chris Buckley for venturing in and humanizing the situation in Wuhan. I appreciate the courage and the optimism.
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A photo essay of people living through the quarantine in Wuhan.
This is the NYT at its best.
Thanks to Chris Buckley for venturing in and humanizing the situation in Wuhan. I appreciate the courage and the optimism.
Photo segment shown only to copy the text and to encourage you to click through.
Thanks to Chris Buckley for venturing in and humanizing the situation in Wuhan. I appreciate the courage and the optimism.
Photo segment shown only to copy the text and to encourage you to click through.
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As of Yesterday evening, Guangzhou has joined the mandatory quarantine. At this moment there are between 350 and 420 million people in mainland China under lockdown. This is approaching 4-5% of the world's population.
They have locked down almost half the country and will likely incur a 4% GDP hit or worse as this continues for +/- 30,000 confirmed cases and +/- 630 deaths...
...Something is not right here.
Would have been better to just ask them to send selfies.
The numbers PRC has been reporting since the weekend look more and more 'managed'. If you look at the case increase rate plot it adheres to a 2.0 Ro with a consistent high 90s R-squared. In the real world you don't see data that fits that closely, every single plot after every plot. The Chinese have picked a number that suggests it can be controlled. Working the Ro from 2.0 to the needed 1.0 looks a lot easier and a doubling rate of 6-7 days is less alarming than something in the 3.0, or higher.
And then to top it all off you have the accidental 'spilled' numbers from TenCent earlier this week showing a much more realistic logarithmic number. They do not have this under control.
Global equity markets are better signals than direct reporting on the overall threat of coronavirus.
There will be a Pulitzer awarded for the Times coverage, certainly.
And then we'll find out about the actual number of deaths and the communist's real behavior.
And the Pulitzer will sit gathering dust next to Duranty's. Yay, Times!
Not seeing many N95's in the photos. Oh well, whatever keeps them from panicking.
It appears that the spread of the virus is starting to slow. Total number of cases is increasing of course, but the rate of infection as reflected in the growth factor is decreasing.
Interesting. Two items caught my eye on a quick run-through of Buckley's photo report.
1) The man who thought that keeping fit would help ward off the disease. He's probably right that staying fit helps the body's immune system stay strong. However, rolling into that putrid looking river/lake alongside a huge city like Wuhan is probably not a good move to stay healthy.
2) One slide stated: "Wuhan is surviving and staying relatively orderly thanks in large part to it's working class: people sent out to collect trash, clean streets, work in supermarkets- when every instinct tells residents that they should hole up at home."
He lauds the 'working class' who probably have no choice in being 'sent out to collect trash...", but are forced to do so by a govt official. Or...watch their working class families get punished? If they were allowed to follow their instinct, would they be the honorable working class still?
The future is work-from-home.
Sour bunch here.
Accounts in the Telegraph from Brits stuck in two weeks quarantine on cruise ships in Japan. They are confined to their cabins except for daily exercise periods outside, masks obligatory, no contact with other shipmates. Photos show people hanging out on their balconies, masks on, so it can't be too shabby.
readering sucks from the cock of Socialism.
[swoons]
it's not an enticing place, to live, something like gledi prime, what does that say about the products made there
That filter they use to make digital photography look like film is amazing.
The numbers seem to fit a natural curve, but as in Pinchon’s Gravity’s Rainbow, sometimes the numbers are manipulated to look natural. I will believe that the infection has slowed if things are still stable in a week or two.
"In the real world you don't see data that fits that closely, every single plot after every plot. “
Yeah, hadn’t read your comment yet. I also read that during WWII they had cracked the Nazi’s code, but they couldn’t save every convoy they knew would be attacked, they had to pick and choose so the distribution of forces coming to the rescue still looked random. They were manipulating the numbers they knew the Nazis were seeing.
yes the lead character in cryptonomicon made that point, same in the imitation game, targets had to been acquired by means other than ultra, but you have a gigo problem, who are they allowing to be incorporated into the data sets
The Chinese GDP numbers have also been manipulated to be smooth.
That is exactly what Madoff did.
It's not the sort of randomness that happens in real life.
"Sour bunch here."
Yep, these deadly viral epidemics just aren't as entertaining as we hoped.
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