२७ जानेवारी, २०२०

It was another type #1 sunrise.

A41AD9E6-8555-425A-82FB-D8CECC7F6BA3_1_201_a

Talk about anything you want in the comments.

११० टिप्पण्या:

tim in vermont म्हणाले...

If Trump wins, I will crawl over broken glass to get to his inauguration.

Tommy Duncan म्हणाले...

When you reach a certain age every sunrise is a type #1.

Seeing Red म्हणाले...

Via Tax Prof Blog:

ProPublica, The IRS Decided to Get Tough Against Microsoft. Microsoft Got Tougher.:

It’s an interesting read.

tim in vermont म्हणाले...

Oh look, another study that shows that the models have been greatly exaggerating warming! Somebody tell Greta that she’s been lied to.

I calculated the climate sensitivity in a temporary standstill period (or slightly decreasing) as it was detected in the observations of the EEI during 1999 to 2018. The ECS value of 1.72K as the best estimate is in excellent agreement with the value found in LC18, 1.66K using the then current C&W GMST dataset (see Tab.3 of this paper).

The published ECS-values of the CMIP6 models have a mean above 4 K (see this recent paper) that is higher by a factor of 2.4 than observed here. This growing discrepancy between observed values of ECS reduces the credibility of the high model estimates.


https://judithcurry.com/2020/01/10/climate-sensitivity-in-light-of-the-latest-energy-imbalance-evidence

David Begley म्हणाले...

I certainly hope Ann is watching Alan Dershowitz.

Heartless Aztec म्हणाले...

For those of you who have never seen or heard Josh Rouse.
https://youtu.be/22ypyjaeffk

Narr म्हणाले...

Go outside. See the crescent moon and Venus. (Neptune is very close to Venus, but it's not a naked-eye planet, and Mercury is probably too low unless you have an excellent vantage point.

Narr
Peach Mint can wait

David Begley म्हणाले...

Alan Dershowitz finally brings it up.

noscitur a sociis. : a doctrine or rule of construction: the meaning of an unclear or ambiguous word (as in a statute or contract) should be determined by considering the words with which it is associated in the context.

From one of my favorite law books: Sutherland on Statutory Construction.

rhhardin म्हणाले...

Dershowitz used my old argument first. If you can impeach for just anything, you get a parliamentary system. Therefore, structurally, you can't.

rhhardin म्हणाले...

Lucky to try tuning in just as Dershowitz started. Avoided drones.

stephen cooper म्हणाले...

Did Dershowitz mention the fact that his old pal "Prince Andrew" has been called out for being afraid to talk to the FBI about Epstein?

I am sure it would have been off topic.

Every single one of those soulless bastards who constituted O.J. Simpson's dream team have had terrible lives after they got him off in that vicious little courtroom where justice was denied to the murder victims. Except the autistic DNA guy, I forget his name, but I remember the awful autistic vibe he gave off. His life seems not to have changed for the worse since that travesty of justice. I have nothing against autistic people who are autistic because God made them that way but I skeeve those guys who pretend to have Aspergers in order to look smart,

As much as I admire Trump, hiring Dershowitz was a mistake.

Pro-choice, not as smart as he thinks he is, and with a very very low moral compass.
And just a little bit smarter than his new enemy Laurence Tribe, who is pretty dumb.

JML म्हणाले...

I have not been happy with Adguard for Safari. Any suggestions? MacOS 10.15.2 MacBook Air Early 2015, 1.6 GHZ D-C i5, 4 GB 100 MHz DDR3 Memory.

Bill, Republic of Texas म्हणाले...

It was another type #1 sunrise.

I hate to be a pendant, but that is clearly type 1.25 sunrise.

Narayanan म्हणाले...

Has any "scholars" opined for Senate remand back to House on day of delivery with note unacceptable package?

Sebastian म्हणाले...

The most striking thing about the Dem case against Trump is the assumption that the quid pro quo Trump supposedly sought, namely a Ukrainian investigation of Biden wrongdoing, was meant to and would have hurt Trump's likely opponent.

No Dem has suggested that, of course, such an investigation would in fact have helped Biden by clearing him and exposing Trump as a misguided adversary.

rhhardin म्हणाले...

Dershowitz thinks criteria is singular in number.

stonethrower म्हणाले...

I think I heard Dershowitz use the word :criterion."

Beasts of England म्हणाले...

’Neptune is very close to Venus’

Obscured at the moment...

Beloved Commenter AReasonableMan म्हणाले...

Dershowitz is knocking down straw men at a furious rate.

This is interesting:
As President Trump’s impeachment trial moves into the defense phases, attorney Alan Dershowitz on Sunday said that he has changed his mind on whether a crime is needed to remove a president from office -- a reversal of his stance during the impeachment of President Bill Clinton in 1999.

Dershowitz, who recently joined Trump’s impeachment defense team, argued that a crime needs to be committed to impeach a president – a 180-degree shift from his previous thinking



Michael K म्हणाले...

They should have wrapped it up after 3 hours.

Nobody cares. The Bolton "bombshell" was just the suicide of one more NeverTrumper. He has tried to join with people who hate him.

Harry Truman said it best, "His downfall began when he took his friends for granted and tried to bribe his enemies." So true,

stonethrower म्हणाले...

Never mind my previous comment. While it was accurate, now I hear Dershowitz using "criteria" as a singular noun.

Michael K म्हणाले...

From one of my favorite law books: Sutherland on Statutory Construction.

I watched a few minutes. I love books and he made me want to read "Blackstone's Commentaries."

rhhardin म्हणाले...

Criteria as a singular noun sounds like part of female genitalia.

rhhardin म्हणाले...

The C spot

Howard म्हणाले...

Was just watching the Office episode where Dwight asks Toby where the C-Spot is.

Howard म्हणाले...

Does rh live on a beet farm?

Iman म्हणाले...
ही टिप्पणी लेखकाना हलविली आहे.
Iman म्हणाले...

"Was just watching the Office episode where Dwight asks Toby where the C-Spot is."

Hope that answered your question and cleared up your confusion, Howie.

Seeing Red म्हणाले...
ही टिप्पणी लेखकाना हलविली आहे.
Lawrence Person म्हणाले...

Enjoy the latest Democratic Presidential Clown Car Update.

Iman म्हणाले...
ही टिप्पणी लेखकाना हलविली आहे.
stevew म्हणाले...

Downhill skiing is a demanding but relaxing and satisfying activity. Gravity does the lion's share of the work. Legs do the work of keeping one upright and out of the trees. Apres ski is only great if you actually skied. I did and it was.

Watched some of the defense tonight. It was awesome in its particular boringness. Bring on Bolton, I will greatly enjoy seeing that nothingburger reveal itself.

Dear corrupt left, go F yourselves म्हणाले...

ARM - and the crime is? Asking the new no-longer corrupt president of Ukraine, (we hope) to look into corruption?
AGain- it's a crime to look into democrat corruption. They get to money grub and we get to shut up.

narciso म्हणाले...

In a den of thieves you need to bring your own pirate, meanwhile the country that hillary broke is struggling to recover under general hafter

narciso म्हणाले...


Do they hand out licenses in cracker jack boxes over there


https://metro.co.uk/2020/01/27/plane-carrying-144-people-skids-off-runway-street-iran-12130664/?ico=pushly-notifcation-small&utm_source=pushly

Ann Althouse म्हणाले...

I did watch Dershowitz. Will write about it in the morning.

Ann Althouse म्हणाले...

“ I hate to be a pendant, but that is clearly type 1.25 sunrise.”

You’re probably mistaking the buildings on the opposite shore for interesting clouds. It was 100% cloud cover with no texture at all.

J. Farmer म्हणाले...

Granted, I've been paying scant attention to any of the impeachment proceedings, but is it not an open secret that this is all basically kabuki? I mean, regardless of whatever arguments are put forward, aren't we all expecting a vote basically on party-lines, which will not reach the majority needed to remove?

Iman म्हणाले...

Bolton's the Walrus

I am peeved as you are peeved as they are skeeve
And we are all together
See how they write like rats in the night
See how they lie
I'm crying

Sitting on their fat ass
Waiting for the end to come
Corporation news shill, stupid bloody MoDo
Man you've been a naughty boy
You let your 'stache grow long
Eyes big as eggs, man
Schifty’s the egg man
Bolton's the walrus
Goo goo g'joob

Mr. Schitty, Waddler squatting
Petty little house reps in a row
See how they mince like crazy Uncle Vince
See how they schmeg
I'm sighing
I'm sighing, I'm sighing, I'm flying

Cross and Blackwell Shrimp Sauce
Dripping from the Waddler's gob
RedaLobstah special, all the shrimp you can eat
Boy, you've been a naughty Nad
You closed the damn place down
Eyes big as eggs, man
Schifty’s the egg man
Bolton's the walrus
Goo goo g'joob

R C Belaire म्हणाले...

Can the president of Ukraine be called as a witness? Would the Dems allow it?

pacwest म्हणाले...

Visited the void vr experience today. Slightly disappointed. HMD screen quality was no better than Rift's. There'd obviously been some drift in the trackers so some slight nausea. It's not going to be replacing Disney E rides anytime soon.

narciso म्हणाले...


A possible explanation,


https://www.google.com/amp/s/thehill.com/homenews/administration/391967-bolton-paid-over-100k-to-participate-in-panel-talks-tied-to-ukrainian%3famp

walter म्हणाले...

Bill, Republic of Texas said...I hate to be a pendant
--
Better than a sweat band.

StephenFearby म्हणाले...

"The CDC says it is testing 110 patients across 26 states for the deadly coronavirus that originated in China"

"...All hospital have to send samples to the CDC, because that is the only agency that has a test for the virus

The test takes just 4 to 6 hours, but CDC says transporting samples to its lab may cause delays"


"...So far, there have been 32 patients confirmed negative, but the testing process could be bottlenecked until the CDC and FDA can work around the bureaucracy that prevents the test from being distributed throughout the country.

To that end, last week, the CDC requested emergency authorization from the US Food and Drug Administration for the tests to be sent to the states."

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-7934483/Possible-SIXTH-case-coronavirus-
suspected-Pennsylvania.html

An example of how bureaucrats wait for their asses to be kicked before they actually do anything.

narciso म्हणाले...


Manchin was impressed by dershowitz


https://mobile.twitter.com/mkraju/status/1221981277097725952

narciso म्हणाले...


No that wasnt us that was another rogue militia


https://social.quodverum.com/@HeshmatAlavi

J. Farmer म्हणाले...

https://social.quodverum.com/@HeshmatAlavi

That isn't a real person. It's a persona managed by the MEK.

narciso म्हणाले...

Actually that was debunked, but since you echo every niac talking point, you might think that.

traditionalguy म्हणाले...

Dershowitz performance today was the best ever seen in Congress. It was stunningly good. The President has has some mighty men on his team. It is time to stop whining about the Enemy Media and maybe feel sorry for our enemies.

Narayanan म्हणाले...

The Post ... reported that Bolton made $747,000 in speaking fees and $2.2 million in total income last year.
_____&&&&&+++++
While his erstwhile Boss subsist on Big Mac and Diet Coke and no salary.

Trump should at least get food stamps assistance for some Orange Wisconsin cheese for his face.

Michael K म्हणाले...

I still think they should have wound up at 3 hours today.

Michael K म्हणाले...

It's a persona managed by the MEK.

Methyl Ethyl Ketone? Yes, it smells good but it is not good for you.

Big Mike म्हणाले...

It is time to stop whining about the Enemy Media and maybe feel sorry for our enemies.

Not hardly.

narciso म्हणाले...

The left cohort of iranian revolutionaries, who broke with the mullahs, niac was organized by the regime like cispes with the salvadoran guerillas.

J. Farmer म्हणाले...

Actually that was debunked, but since you echo every niac talking point, you might think that.

Please point me to the debunking.

J. Farmer म्हणाले...

@Michael K:

Methyl Ethyl Ketone? Yes, it smells good but it is not good for you.

Mmm...butterscotch. But no, I was referring to the Mojahedin-e Khalq, an Islamist-Marxist cult that operates out of Albania and France and is widely loathed within Iran. Their biggest success has been in convincing credulous Western commenters that they represent some kind of opposition in Iran.

narciso म्हणाले...

The point was that militia is pretending they werent responsible for the rocketing of the embassy.

Narayanan म्हणाले...

noscitur a sociis.
____&&&&++++
Bribery is tricky issue -
How do you decide which was intended to be impeachable --- offering or accepting?

Or is it that only Congress can legally commit bribery (both ways) as normal politics!?
Pork and foreign aid.

Chuck म्हणाले...

Interesting theory heard on NPR’s All Things Considered tonight...

That instead of just four Republicans voting with Democrats for witnesses, it could be 10 or 12. Perhaps a super-majority, which would defuse any pro-Trumpist pressure on a Cory Gardner or a Thom Tillis or a Susan Collins. “Safety in numbers” is how it was described. No one Republican Senator has to take any particular heat as the 51st vote.

It reminded me of that great Jeff Flake story from last year; speaking at the 2019 Texas Tribune Festival Thursday, Flake was responding to comments made by Republican political consultant Mike Murphy on MSNBC who said that if there was a secret, non-public vote, at least 30 GOP Senators would back impeachment.

“That's not true. There would be at least 35," Flake said.

wildswan म्हणाले...

You can look at this map and see how coronavirus is spreading in China and to some extent elsewhere. Not as many deaths as you'd think considering the way people are carrying on. One other hand, six days ago there were about 320 cases in Mainland China but now there are 4400. I just don't know whether flu normally spreads that fast in flu season.

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

narciso म्हणाले...

You would think with a two week incubation period. The chicago case left china 14 days ago.

Mr. Majestyk म्हणाले...

Derschowitz acknowledged that in the Clinton impeachment he took the position that a crime was not needed to impeach, and he explained his change of position. He said that (1) the issue wasn't material to the Clinton impeachment, since Clinton had been charged with actual crimes, (2) because it didn't matter, he went along with the scholarly consensus at the time, and (3) the issue does matter here because Trump has not been charged with a crime, and (4) he has since become aware of better arguments against his prior position (which he explained at length)..

narciso म्हणाले...

Well except for those details, how did you like the play.

stephen cooper म्हणाले...

chuck i do not know how much the Trump campaign is paying you but you are earning every cent.

walter म्हणाले...

Flake?
Who?

narciso म्हणाले...

The namibian raised castro apologist with reasons why he might want to enable the iranian nuclear program.

narciso म्हणाले...

Texas tribune festival is like sxws without the excuse of music.

tim in vermont म्हणाले...

MSNBC, NPR, CNN, Washington Post, The Bulwark.

tim in vermont म्हणाले...

Trump’s net favorability is 10 points higher now than it was on election day 2016.

https://twitter.com/helloitsthao/status/1221967398900649984

Churchy LaFemme: म्हणाले...

It's another type 1 sunrise
This old world still looks the same
Another frame

J. Farmer म्हणाले...

Pompeo’s clash with NPR grows after journalist is barred from plane

Mike Pompeo's childish temper tantrum continues.

narciso म्हणाले...


I tend to differ:


https://babalublog.com/2020/01/26/to-cap-impeachment-circus-democrats-denounce-trump-as-a-dictator-forget-the-absurdity-of-the-charge-have-they-suddenly-experienced-a-change-of-heart-regarding-dictators/

Churchy LaFemme: म्हणाले...

Downhill skiing is a demanding but relaxing and satisfying activity.

Mostly..

William म्हणाले...

Dershowitz is a gifted teacher. I only tuned in during a commercial break on another station, but his conversational style drew me in. His arguments were lucid and easy to follow and presented with occasional glints of humor. Although my bias is in favor of the President, I zoned out the other speakers. The arguments, pro and con, are tedious, but those presented by Dershowitz seemed logical, interesting and persuasive. I stuck with him for a full half hour before switching back over to the Cartoon Network. I can see where Dershowitz earns the high fees he charges. It was an impressive performance.

Meade म्हणाले...

“It is time to stop whining about the Enemy Media and maybe feel sorry for our enemies.”

I agree. I’m all for kindness and gentleness.

After we crush and drop them in the bog.

tim in vermont म्हणाले...
ही टिप्पणी लेखकाना हलविली आहे.
narciso म्हणाले...

You cant ignore the enemy media, they disolve the people as currently constituted, they pray on guilt about americas position in the world and encourage resentment

narciso म्हणाले...

Now marxist isnt always leninism we focus on the venezuelan model which was accomplisged through the vote rather than direct action

J. Farmer म्हणाले...

You cant ignore the enemy media, they disolve the people as currently constituted, they pray on guilt about americas position in the world and encourage resentment

That is definitely true. They American media is so obsessed with pummeling Trump, they don't even recognize that they are winning. Similarly, the Trump right is so obsessed with pummeling the media, they don't even recognize that they are losing.

Ken B म्हणाले...

Scott Adams has gone daffy over the virus. It never even occurs to him that established procedures could work, or that anyone could even think they might work.

J. Farmer म्हणाले...

Gone daffy? Hasn't he been daffy?

BUMBLE BEE म्हणाले...

Great thread!

Ken B म्हणाले...

Farmer
He wonders in and out of daffy. I listen to him once in a while because he is one of the few who says things I had not thought of. Sometimes he convinces me, more often not. But this is just head bangingly daft.

J. Farmer म्हणाले...

@Ken B:

My mentor was a devotee of Milton Erickson, a godfather of hypnotherapy, who helped foist neurolinguistic programming on the psychotherapeutic community. The minute I start hearing someone go on about hypnosis, my bullshit meter starts tingling.

Chuck म्हणाले...


Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
·
20m
I don’t know John Bolton. Excuse me, but I’ve never met him. I don’t know anything about him. I take pictures with many people. Was it at a fundraiser? Or a rally? My conversations with him, if we had any conversations, were all perfect. Totally perfect.

Ken B म्हणाले...

Farmer
Indeed. Or any of the “priming” and “influence” stuff. Totally bogus.

Drago म्हणाले...

ARM Today: "Dershowitz is knocking down straw men at a furious rate."

ARM Yesterday: Trump ordered the assassination of a US Ambassador.

Discuss.

Drago म्हणाले...

BTW, if you missed Bruce Hayden taking LLR-lefty Chuck to the Legal Woodshed in the Bolton thread you should go and read it.

It's even more embarrassing for Chuck than usual!!

J. Farmer म्हणाले...

@Ken B:

Indeed. Or any of the “priming” and “influence” stuff. Totally bogus.

It's the New Age version of televangelism, which is a lot like Taco Bell, "It looks OK on the surface, but for the love of God, don’t think too hard about what’s inside."

Sprezzatura म्हणाले...

““It is time to stop whining about the Enemy Media and maybe feel sorry for our enemies.”

I agree. I’m all for kindness and gentleness.

After we crush and drop them in the bog.”

It’s cute that some of yur brains don’t work re logic.

Whooped em’ good ya sur don did. Now sux ta be MSM big dog, esp compared to you.


This blog is the best.

tim in vermont म्हणाले...

Who knew Chuck was really Adam Schiff ?

Drago म्हणाले...

In real world non-hoaxed up-impeachment news, LLR-lefty Chuck's heroes of the EU are just now waking up to obvious and inevitable US-UK Trade Deal that Boris will use as a bludgeon to stop the EU authoritarians from punishing Britain economically in their own upcoming trade talks.

The EU is so fearful of this US-UK economic alliance that they even took the "interesting" step of publicly warning Boris that this ploy wont work against them.

Spoiler: Yes, it will.

Yancey Ward म्हणाले...

Mercury will be easier to see in about a week, but you probably should have binoculars with you to help locate it first- do that, then look with the naked eye. You just have to wait until the Sun has set for about 20 minutes to start with the binoculars. It will appear yellowish.

Crazy World म्हणाले...

Narr 6:59 was beautiful
Auntie Trump first post me too

Yancey Ward म्हणाले...

Yes, Dershowitz was brilliant. The guy must be an amazing teacher.

Ken B म्हणाले...

Watching Dershowitz. Superb.

Iman म्हणाले...

“ They American media is so obsessed with pummeling Trump, they don't even recognize that they are winning. Similarly, the Trump right is so obsessed with pummeling the media, they don't even recognize that they are losing.”

That is one way of looking at it. Another is that a very large segment of Americans have had their fill of seeing the 3.5 year effort by the MSM, entrenched government bureaucracy and the contemporary Left destroy institutions and run roughshod over the nation, all in an effort to unseat the duly elected POTUS. It is on them.

Ken B म्हणाले...

Watched all of Dershowitz. Interested to see AA's take.

Howard म्हणाले...

Was Dersh the the Jon Lovitz, Ron Silver or Evan Handler version last night?

I'm so glad to hear that he made you people feel so good and confident about der Leaderhosen.

Beloved Commenter AReasonableMan म्हणाले...

Ken B said...
Scott Adams has gone daffy over the virus. It never even occurs to him that established procedures could work, or that anyone could even think they might work.


It doesn't seem to have occurred to many here, or our hostess, that Scott Adams is not that bright. He is a good pop artist, but taking political or scientific cues from him is no smarter than taking them from the Kardashians, who are also good pop artists.

Beloved Commenter AReasonableMan म्हणाले...

Meade said...
I’m all for kindness and gentleness.
After we crush and drop them in the bog.


Violent ideation. Pretty sure we are against this here.

Kevin म्हणाले...

The press leaks about Bolton remind me of Comey's.

He was trying to force a special prosecutor.

Again, there was nothing to those allegations.

But the country paid a terrible price for Mueller and his team.

Beloved Commenter AReasonableMan म्हणाले...

Kevin said...
the country paid a terrible price for Mueller and his team.


Some members of Trump's gang paid a price. Not clear that this was bad for the country. It is important to establish that the rule of law applies to the presidency.

rhhardin म्हणाले...

Ken Starr uses "we the people" in the objective case. It should be "us the people," being an apposition. All components get the same case.

Rusty म्हणाले...

"Some members of Trump's gang paid a price. Not clear that this was bad for the country. It is important to establish that the rule of law applies to the presidency."
I find this highly ironic since you cheer led all of Obamas policies.

Michael K म्हणाले...

It is important to establish that the rule of law DOES NOT apply to the presidency.

FIFY

tim in vermont म्हणाले...

Show ARM the Republican, and he will invent you the crime. He isn’t in the same world grounded in facts and logic and rule of law that we live in. He lives in a world where you give a prosecutor a target, and he will come up with a theory of how something is actually a crime.

Beloved Commenter AReasonableMan म्हणाले...

Are sock puppets living in the real world, you know the world where the rule of law applies?

Michael K म्हणाले...

ARM thinks the rule of law equals what he wants. That's not the way it works.

Char Char Binks, Esq. म्हणाले...

"Ken Starr uses "we the people" in the objective case."

He's not alone. I hear that a lot, from supposedly educated people, and it grates. Thom Hartmann, the purported big-brain lefty radio host, uses it in a signature catchphrase on his show. Mark Levin says it, too. They apparently think Jefferson coined a new name for us (or for we?), to be used in all cases, when he was simply being grammatically correct. Jefferson knew when to say "us", and he did it many times.