ADDED: I'm showing you screen selections but if you go to the link, you can close in even more on your precinct and compare it to other precincts in your area. There are Madison neighborhoods that are even more bubbly than mine, with the Hillary percentage in one place at 91% and another at 90% and quite a few in the 80%. That's the east side of town. When I moved here in the 1980s, I heard it called (with pride) "the politically correct east side." The west side (where I bought my house) was regarded as conservative. Ooh! A west sider. Almost toxic!
पोस्ट्स
१११ टिप्पण्या:
The nearest Trump district is a 19 minute drive, without traffic.
Hillary wants elections via popular vote but why shouldn't we use Risk™ rules? Because next turn Republicans are going to get two big handfuls of armies and it will be over for Dems.
I live in a sea. The blue is almost as deep as the lake in my town. Zooming out, the pink districts begin to appear on the periphery of the deep blue depths of greater Boston.
Looks like numerous blue spots of moldy rot on an otherwise healthy red body politic.
Sounds like your neighborhood is out of touch we the rest of Wisconsin.
John Henry
What an interesting West Side Story.
In Vermont, the Trump districts run right along the Canadian border.
Hillary 89%, Trump 4.9% (he may have come in third?). Surrounding areas are even more lopsided. Upper Northwest DC, of course!
I'm with the people who know how to change the oil in their car.
Hey, political scientists, might there be a correlation between bubble isolation and prog rage or TDS?
Hmmm, surprising. My precinct went 51% Clinton but its the last blue tinged one as you head north in Phx.
Congressionally I’m in a deeply red district (Schweikert) but just north of the modestly left of center district that will give us our next Dem candidate for US Senate, Kirsten Sinema.
I assume this fall it will Sinema against McSally. Oddly the Republican from Tucson, typically blue and the Dem from Phx, stereotypically red.
Most of us live in a bubble.
"Almost toxic!"
Certainly unclean.
No bubble for me. I live in a sea of red.
If I was a Democrat, I would be terrified of losing the black vote.
Surprised my precinct is somewhat Trumpish. Good thing, since I am the new capo here and need to go out and talk to these people.
Missoula has the same east-west thing going on. And I wonder why urban areas are so blue. Is it a conformity thing?
There are Madison neighborhoods that are even more bubbly than mine
Nothing to brag about. Anyone who would vote for a person as corrupt as Hillary must themselves be personally corrupt.
"And I wonder why urban areas are so blue. Is it a conformity thing?"
Why couldn't Putin reach those people?
If I was a Democrat, I would be terrified of losing the black vote.
An easy fix: just 'vote' the no shows. Easier than digging up death records and it's not like a reporter will do an expose
"An easy fix: just 'vote' the no shows. "
I figure that ultimately someone just choose a party, then the system will vote the straight ticket for them every election until their death gets recorded. Just a modest extension of early voting, actually.
I expect the Democrats to lose more of the Black vote due to Trump.
They already lost the manufacturing vote.
Why - Culture.
All of the blue areas have the biggest cemeteries.
Looks like numerous blue spots of moldy rot on an otherwise healthy red body politic.
No doubt.
The deepest blue, and almost only blue, border precinct for many miles is the St Regis Mohawk reservation in New York State.
Ray: "I expect the Democrats to lose more of the Black vote due to Trump.
They already lost the manufacturing vote."
Now why would ypu want to trigger LLR Chuck this early on a glorious morning in the southwest?
Now HildaBeast 69% Trump 29% but I was in 49% Trump 44% Waukesha for the election.
FIDO said:
"An easy fix: just 'vote' the no shows. Easier than digging up death records and it's not like a reporter will do an expose."
There is a reason that heavily Democrat urban voting precincts report their vote totals late into the evening.
I figure that ultimately someone just choose a party, then the system will vote the straight ticket for them every election until their death gets recorded. Just a modest extension of early voting, actually.
I'm honestly surprised that the Get Out the Vote crowd hasn't started pushing Proxy voting.
When you buy a share of stock, you get a vote in the control of that stock; but you don't Have to go through the hassle of going to the share holders meeting. You can appoint a Proxy to do the voting for you!
I visualize booths on a College Campus, with attractive volunteers eager to sign you up for the Democratic Party! (Or, the Democratic Socialist Party!). Once you sign up, your Proxy casts your vote in each election. Ta da!
Voting levels increase! It's Quick! It's Easy! It's Permanent!
No bubbles here... Hillary won mine 51-40 but we are surrounded by Trump 51-40. I live 100 yards from that border.
Interestingly, we went Hillary this time in 2016 but I recall we went Romney 70-30 over Obama in 2012.
I am a true independent in a swing district outside Chicago. We ejected our out-of-touch GOP congressman a few years ago then broomed his Dem replacement the next election back to GOP... then we got gerrymandered for being too uppity.
I am already voting against our new out-of-touch incumbent... He's going down soon until we get someone with a clue
I like the way voter fraud is highlighted with blue.
You know you're in a bubble when the Jill Stein vote exceeds the Donald Trump vote.
In my area a Hillary got around 40% in the "Hillary" precincts, Evan McMullin made up the difference. So I was definitely in a bubble, I had no idea that Evan McMullin got more votes than the usual third party candidate.
There is a local blog in Tucson that showed the vote by precinct. My home is in a Trump district. Across the big street south, it is Hillary.
Sal said...
"I'm with the people who know how to change the oil in their car."
If I zoom in enough on the map, I can see my feet sticking out from under my truck.
The nearest Trump district is a 19 minute drive, without traffic.
Mine's 24, it's a big bubble.
I think little 'c' chuck should win something.
Old Chicago neighborhood - 77% Hillary
New country Tennessee neighborhood - 66% Trump
There are parts of Nashville that are 97% Hillary. Yikes.
This sort of data must be exactly what encourages Hillary to run again. She is quite rational to predict that an avowed socialist could never garner that level of support in cities and towns. Without accurate data of Trump support since the election, she is quite justified in running again.
A cartogram that represented population rather than geographical space as the visual unit would make the bubbles look quite a bit different.
Examples here.
And more discussion here
No need to look at the NYT link. But I did anyway and burned one of my free clicks.
The area around where I live is DARK red for hundreds and hundreds of square miles. 70% to 92% Trump in the general area.
Nearest Clinton district is a 2 1/2 hour drive (without traffic lol)
Trump won the island of Niihau? Good lord.
New England is kind of interesting at the macro level. Instead of bubbles you have stripes. A coastal strip of blue Runs from Maine to Providence. Then a wide stripe of pink runs from Northern Maine, through New Hampshire and down the middle of Massachusetts and Connecticut. This is followed by a stripe of blue consisting of Vermont and the Berkshires that eventually empties out into the blue blob of New York City.
”If you're willing to let the NYT see exactly where you are, you can find out the percentage in your little world.”
I don’t have to; you did it for me.
DANE COUNTY: 1,238 Square Miles surrounded by reality.
Who has the more sophisticated echo chamber?
It is amazing to look at that map and realize that Wisconsin was essentially a tie.
San Diego County went blue except for the three major military bases surrounding it which were solidly red. I guess the blue state voters may want to rethink this civil war against the red states they keep pushing..
The map is a great illustration of why we must have and keep the Electoral College.
Reminders
This is why the left will march to end the electoral college. It gives smaller towns, cities, & states a voice. without it, NY city, Los Angeles an Chicago would select our president.
Via Insty:
American workers are seeing rising wages in western and central Wisconsin, just one of the rust belt states that President Trump won in the 2016 presidential election on his platform of economic nationalism.
In the latest survey of 150 employers in the western and central region of Wisconsin, the Eau Claire Area Chamber of Commerce found that wages in 35 “benchmark jobs” have increased a total of 3.7 percent for workers. Compare this wage increase to last year’s, which stood at 2.99 percent for the region.
Henry,
Thank you for the links. As an old former statistical geographer, I love all things chartographic.
Remember the evil Russians tries to hack this kind of data because they were just too cheap to pay election boards for it. Voter registrations with addresses, party affiliations and the last election you voted in are available to the public for a price to government, it's public info. How do think campaigns know which doors to knock on?
98% Clinton for me.
I'd like to see the same map only showing voter turnout by precinct. I'm curious as to where the 100%+ precincts are, and how well they map onto the Hillary ones.
I am in a 70% Trump/25% Clinton district.
I take comfort in knowing that the nearest Clinton district is a 29 minute drive, without traffic. That is plenty of distance for me.
"The map is a great illustration of why we must have and keep the Electoral College."
Absolutely!
I'm new to northern Pima county (Oro Valley, AZ). It's 53% Clinton, but on the edge of blue districts.
No wonder I find the people here a lot nicer than those in Chicago (110% Obama).
If I recall correctly, Chuckles was a reported Republican election judge in Detroit where it went up to 120% Obama. He never saw any vote fraud. LOL!
“In Michigan, which Trump won by nearly 11,000 votes, 36 percent of registered voters approve of the president’s job, while 54 percent disapprove.
In Wisconsin, which he won by about 23,000 votes, another 36 percent give Trump a thumbs up, with 52 percent giving him a thumbs down.
And in Minnesota, which Trump narrowly lost by 1.5 percentage points, his rating stands at 38 percent approve, 51 percent disapprove.”
Trump approval ratings sag in trio of Midwest states.
I'm in a mid-blue Milwaukee area and it's eleven minutes to Trump territory. I'd be interested in map showing where manufacturing is located these days. I have a feeling that it is outside city limits everywhere but I wonder how far outside and how that interleaves with population and voting. For instance, Foxconn is in Trump territory (51%) but very close (12 minutes) to Clinton territory. And Kimberley Clark, Neenah papermaking place, is also in Trump territory (54%) and also extremely close to Clinton precincts (right next door).
Republicans in Wisconsin in general support efforts to get Foxconn and keep Kimberly Clark and Democrats oppose. Maybe we now see why. In my opinion the left will fail continuously and (to them) mysteriously, until they connect the concept of "the worker" with the concept "has a job", which leads to the conclusion "workers need a business friendly environment"; and yet Democrats are hostile to business and thus to workers.
I'm not in a bubble. The precinct went 52 to 43 for Trump, but a neighboring district went 79 to 18 for Hillary. Then again, another neighboring district went 83 to 15 for Trump.
Now here's the interesting thing. My precinct cast 2326 votes. The Hillary precinct cast only 556 votes. The Trump precinct cast 2089 votes. There are a lot of blue precincts with less than 1000 votes.
Philadelphia has some of the most dedicated and industrious voters in the country. It is not unusual to see precinct after precinct with 100 voter turnout election after election.
Some voters are so industrious that they actually crawl out of the grave to vote.
That was supposed to be "100 percent" voter turnout.
I hate it when I blow a good joke.
Jersey Fled, you could have deleted the comment and fixed it for repost.
Inga, I bet those are all the same polling organizations that predicted Trump couldn't win WI, MI or PA.
Approval ratings are like polls...
The polls around Hillary and her big win, were a little off.
I thought you were outa here, Inga?
I am reminded of a conversation I had with a friend back in my New England hometown. He mentioned that a classmate of ours living in the mountain states had gone Tea Party. I said that is a fair description of my political stance. "That's because you live in Texas." Trump ran about 15 points better in my New England hometown than in my Texas precinct. Hillary ran over 10 points behind Obama in my New England hometown.
I'm in Portland, OR, immortalized by the comedy show PORTLANDIA. Unsurprisingly, I am engulfed in the solid blue Portland Metro Area. Surprisingly, there was one precinct southwest of me that went for Trump by 74 to 26 percent.
Outside of Portland (and Eugene), the state is red, but these large urban population centers swing the state election totals to the blue side, alas.
large urban population centers swing the state election totals to the blue side
Democracy favors the sardines, or, in other circumstances, the crabs.
My precinct went for Trump 77-20. It seems like it was mainly city dwellers who bought into Clinton.
Democracy favors the sardines
Democracy literally favors the voters.
My precinct is so blue that if phone booths still existed you could fit all of the precinct's Republicans in it.
I'm right next to a bubble, but not in it. My district went Trump, 57%-35%, but the district right next door went Clinton.
By the way, you can just scroll around the map, and zoom in and out. You don't need to "let the NYT see exactly where you are", any more so than just going to the NYT website lets them see your location.
In my opinion the left will fail continuously and (to them) mysteriously, until they connect the concept of "the worker" with the concept "has a job", which leads to the conclusion "workers need a business friendly environment"; and yet Democrats are hostile to business and thus to workers.
A fair number of workers adopt this attitude as well, seeming to believe their employer is their enemy. I've seen this a fair number of times and find it quirky until one complains about not getting a promotion.
At that point it becomes bewildering that people can be so stupid.
'bubbles' sounds too bubbly.
i suggest 'Plantation'
Living in a bubble reminds me of the Moops.
Henry, thank you for the awesome link. That article is a worthy successor to Tufte’s Visual Display of Quantitative Information, one of my favorite non-fiction books.
Fascinating map. The suburban precinct in NJ where I lived just before being eligible to vote (but didn't vote until went away to college)? Trump won by one vote. The precinct in Manhattan where I first lived after getting out of law school? Stein outpolled Trump. The Asian-dominated precinct where I live now east of LA? Comfortable Clinton country.
The People’s Republic of Oak Park is more lefty than Madison! 94% Clinton. The nearest Trump precinct is 15 minutes away.
Kinda difficult to weigh a poll when the alternative pol isn't known. Even then...
A few months ago, a little red spot in Bel Air shocked the pearl-clutchers of Beverly Hills. Thanks, map.
Snort. The precinct next to mine gave a higher percentage to Jill Stein than Trump.
I am surrounded by idiots.
Old Chicago neighborhood - 93% Hillary
New NW Indiana neighborhood - 62% Trump
I didn't need an app to tell me I live in a political bubble, but it was interesting to see that Prospect Park is completely neutral, but Green-Wood Cemetery votes solidly with the Dems:
https://scontent-lga3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/37887295_10155722159196589_3025181333291794432_o.jpg?_nc_cat=0&oh=28e16a987a260342e91084cab505e8ac&oe=5C0EE7B9
Living in a bubble reminds me of the Moops.
Moors!!!
"Old Chicago neighborhood - 93% Hillary
New NW Indiana neighborhood - 62% Trump."
Correction: Old Chicago living voters - 53% Hillary
74% Hillary, 21% Trump. Which makes us a pretty conservative neighborhood in this city, but about 10 minutes north in the farmland and military base, it gets red very fast.
I live in a sea of red in Pennsyltucky, with a little blue bubble right across the river: the nicer, west side of town.
Jersey Fled said...Some voters are so industrious that they actually crawl out of the grave to vote.
--
Truly deadicated..
Where I live now 74% Trump, where I grew up 67% Hillary
" the nicer, west side of town."
America is already great!
Just ask anyone affluent.
"Democracy favors the sardines"
Democracy literally favors the voters.
Yes, yes, the people. And, in partitioned spaces, in high density population centers, the sardines, or crabs, with respect to the degree of life and harmony. That is why, incidentally, urban dwellers favor left-wing ideology that redistributes, if even marginally, the proceeds of productivity with disparate proportions, and why they offer, rational, yet unprincipled, opposition to self-defense through personal arms. It is also why Planned Parenthood is a critical piece of infrastructure to reduce and recycle unworthy sardines or crabs that contribute to overpopulation and social progress.
Without accurate data of Trump support since the election, she is quite justified in running again.
I frequent here and a few other places and have yet to see ONE person post a "I voted for Trump, but never again!" type missive. Many say, "I held my nose and voted for Trump, but I have been pleasantly surprised!"
So far, I see no reason why Trump won't be reelected should he choose to run.
PS. I see so many here who live in a blue bubble. Surprising. Y'all must find Althouse a sanctuary.
“I frequent here and a few other places and have yet to see ONE person post a "I voted for Trump, but never again!" type missive. Many say, "I held my nose and voted for Trump, but I have been pleasantly surprised!"”
But likewise, we don’t read anybody posting here who says “I voted for Hillary but would not do so again.” The data just isn’t there. So we must conclude that the vast majority of urban folks would still vote for her tomorrow. There are polls out there saying a majority of Dems would like to see some one else run, but that person is not on the scene yet. Dems are in limbo.
“Dems are in limbo”.
The question is do they want a white knight or a black night?
Francisco D, my little corner of Tucson is just outside city limits and therefore Trump 53%.
The rest of Tucson is deep blue.
Four tries with Blogger so far.
Five tries.
Six.
Regarding that map:
Interesting that Chicago's southwest suburbs, where the South Side Irish fled to after their neighborhoods went to hell in the 70s-90s, all went for Trump. That's a big change. The Chicago Irish, back in the day, were Democrats by a huge majority. Also, the southwest side Irish neighborhood of Mt. Greenwood -- cops, city workers, and such -- went for Trump. On the other hand, various other Irish neighborhoods in Chicago went for Hillary.
Wow. Just checked my location. 73% Trump, 22% Hildebeast. This is right outside blue Harrisburg, PA, with a lot of state employee and retiree residents. That comes as quite the surprise, I would have put it at around 55% Trump, but 73%, again - Wow.
95-5 here in Cambridge. Love my elite bubble.
.Also, the southwest side Irish neighborhood of Mt. Greenwood -- cops, city workers, and such -- went for Trump.
My sister lives in Beverly and was telling me about a confrontation in Mt Greenwood recently where some left wing group was raising hell and got strong pushback from locals.
The areas that went for Hillary are probably diluted Irish plus younger generation, like my niece who probably is a Hillary voter.
She is about the same age as my leftist daughter and had a rainbow thing on her facebook page.
95-5 here in Cambridge. Love my elite bubble.
Cuntie Rodham McCuntface will always be the Cunt-Queen of Cunt City, Cuntsylvania.
'dems are in Limbo' -- begs the old question:
How LOW Can you GO ?!?!
It’s really too bad that the the idiot urbanites (I’m looking at you, Titus) can’t come up with an alternative to Hillary.
Blogger is really hard to post on tonight. It’s hardly worth the effort.
"This is why the left will march to end the electoral college."
Yes, yes they will. And in nearly complete ignorance of what it would take to actually change the electoral college.
Except for the five months I lived in Madison as an infant, all the places I've lived in my lifetime went for Trump. Coincidentally, I've never lived in a congressional district represented by a Democrat. It strikes me as odd that this is so in a swing state like Ohio, but my work has always taken me to Republican enclaves.
And in nearly complete ignorance of what it would take to actually change the electoral college.
You mean enough "justices" on the court to declare it unconstitutional?
They could have abolished congressional districts when they used their power instead to destroy their party by ramming through Obamacare.
The west side of Madison has been converted over the years to be inhabited by limousine libtards, like many upper middle class places. It will stay that way unless problems start infiltrating the bubble.
" the nicer, west side of town."
America is already great!
Just ask anyone affluent.
Not richer, just nicer: hippies, bars, artsy-types, cool old buildings. I live with the plumbers, who went overwhelmingly for their idea of Cleopatra (in our gender-bent age.)
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