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९४ टिप्पण्या:
There's nothing scientific about making shit up.
There's a thing called the law of genre.
It says, for example, that the means by which science announces that it is science that is going on, is not itself scientific.
That unscientific hook lets a lot of crap go on.
Do not believe in the lab coats.
I believed that the weight of evidence did indeed show that human activity was contributing to warming. And that the peer review process - over time - would catch errors of this type (well, they did; sorta').
I...am....a....dope.
Anyone want some solar panels? Cheap?
I don't know what to think about this anymore.
A panel that combines a bunch of predictions can't possibly be scientific. Science is supposed to make predictions from theories and use the outcome of those predictions to see how well the theories hold up.
If you stop at making predictions you are not doing science, you are engaging in magical thinking.
Not only that, but it turns out that IPCC claims about climate change causing a loss of mountain ice were based on...an article in Climbing magazine.
Heckuva job, IPCC.
Shhhh! I'm still having fun with all the AGW Disciples.
There were plenty of reasons to be skeptical going back a number of years, but even for the nonscientist the use of the word "settled" should have ended the illusion. Throw in Al Gore and how could anyone have taken it hook, line and sinker?
So, does this mean that Al gore is wrong about the Polar Bears and everything? Wow, what else is wrong out there?
wv: angula goes well with radishes in salads!
"The source for its claim was a report from WWF"
Good thing that the World Wrestling Federation changed its name to WWE. No one wants to be falsly attributed to such fakery.
When the believers in global warming use the you believe that the earth is flat! as their main scientific argument, there's a pretty good possibility that it's bullshit.
Groups like WWF are not scientists and they are not professionally trained to manage data. They may have good intentions but it opens the way to mistakes.
The road to hell....
But wait. These fakers had "good intentions"? BS. Yet another example of Those Who Know Better Than The Rest Of Us trying to control our lives
How about this: “The Securities' Lawyers, Accountants, & Public Relations Experts Full Employment Guidance Release of 2010.”
The embattled SEC, fresh from its overlooking Bernie Madoff’s ponzi scheme has issued an
interpretive guidance on existing SEC disclosure requirements as they apply to business or legal developments relating to the issue of climate change.
http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2010/2010-15.htm
As if we needed further proof that AGW, OOPS, Climate Change is just another way to get control over people by the Obama Administration. An Administration of “smart” people who are less interested in Science 101 or Economics 101 than in their guilty consciences about capitalism & development & haves & have nots.
Their thinking of course being something to the effect that if the haves (except themselves) are made by government fiat to give up things, the have nots will get more.
Gee, I thought that the most important purpose of the SEC re all the paper shuffling was the prevention of corporate misstatements. And with a goldilocks’ approach: not too optimistic & not too pessimistic.
“What?” you say: the AGW science is uncertain & the scientific pronouncements have been proven fraudulent, fraud being the very word that the SEC is in business to stop from happening in corporate documents? Nevermind!
From the Guidance:
"Indirect Consequences of Regulation or Business Trends: Legal, technological, political and scientific developments regarding climate change may create new opportunities or risks for companies. For instance, a company may face decreased demand for goods that produce significant greenhouse gas emissions or increased demand for goods that result in lower emissions than competing products. As such, a company should consider, for disclosure purposes, the actual or potential indirect consequences it may face due to climate change related regulatory or business trends."
So MacDonald’s must now say that there is a scientific consensus (whatever that means) that all its outlets in Manhattan, except in Washington Heights might soon be, er, under water, which would cost it a lot of bucks?
And Northface must warn us that if we have that expected warm winter due to the predictions of the discredited calamitologists it might have lower sales & earnings?
Big Brother alert! Tort lawyers alert!
And, again, the SEC kinda sorta, ya know missed the Bernie Madoff thingy & a few things like that that the ordinary investor expects them to oversee. (They confused oversight & overlooking!) And so you guys may be asking whether the SEC has time for airy-fairy nonsense like this. Shame on you.
Look, The Anointed Ώne is having trouble getting Cap ‘n Trade & you’re just being obstructionist here. He’s gonna get around the messy Democratic process of Congress & have his czars or administrators do the job that all good men, OOPS, persons know has to be done since he, as a Constitutional Scholar, thinks that We find unity in our incredible diversity, drawing on the promise enshrined in our Constitution: the notion that we are all created equal….
What, that’s from the Declaration of Independence? Nevermind!
Next: “SEC Leans on FASB (Financial Accounting Standards Board) To Bring Accounting Rules In Compliance With Climate Chance Guidance!”
SMGalbraith: I don't know what to think about this anymore.
We could make a pretty good scientist out of you if you kept that mindset up!
Evidence may definitively show that humans contribute to global warming. Faking data to improve the chances of a hoped for conclusion being believed is not the right way to go about science though. There may be other theories, better able to make predictions, that we wont be able to come up with now because the underlying data has been destroyed or called into question.
And even if human do contribute to global warming, lots of other issues haven't really been thought out. We don't know if global warming is necessarily bad, if it's preventing an ice age, or if our resources would be better spent trying to adapt to it rather than stop it.
Might as well hang on to the solar panels for now. These revelations don't mean the theory's wrong, just that it's a bit more speculative than some people have been letting on.
The killer against global warming can deduce the fakery, just based on odds.
What are the odds that at the exact same time that an urgent warning to mankind is needed, computers become widely and cheaply available to make those very predictions?
Zero.
What are the odds that those very predictions will be made when computers become available if there is a lot of money in it?
Very high.
Take the ratio.
Cheer up, SMGalbraith. It's not like you're stuck with a bunch of Obama commemorative plates and coins.
Who will be the first brave Democrat to disavow AGW?
These fakers had "good intentions"? BS.
Yup. Its a cop out, because no one can ever know whats in another's heart. You're expected to excuse their corruption because they claim it was all for a good cause.
They should not be allowed to escape Judgement.
Faking data to improve the chances of a hoped for conclusion being believed is not the right way to go about science though. There may be other theories, better able to make predictions, that we wont be able to come up with now because the underlying data has been destroyed or called into question.
And the obvious question: how could anyone with "good intentions" deliberately taint and destroy research meant to "save" the planet?
Throw in Al Gore and how could anyone have taken it hook, line and sinker?
Because all the "solutions" were very, very appealing to people who lean left: taxes, regulations; the reigning in of Capitalism and Big Oil.
More difficult to explain why people believed in Al Gore, especially while he was selling carbon credits and flying around in a private jet.
[I realize your question was rhetorical. Couldn't help answering, though.]
These revelations don't mean the theory's wrong, just that it's a bit more speculative than some people have been letting on.
Yes, this is important to remember.
Let's just hope that when there is a serious threat, the evidence is collected scientifically and presented responsibly.
Between SARS, bird flu, Y2K, and swine flu who knows what to think--or fear--anymore.
Global Warming is a HOAX!
Oh fuuuuuck!
We're all GOING TO DIE!!!
damn YOU Algore!
TosaGuy won the thread.
Its a cop out, because no one can ever know whats in another's heart. You're expected to excuse their corruption because they claim it was all for a good cause.
And this is the pattern of the Left.
You can see it by what their programs have done to the african-american community and our public schools.
It was never about fighting racism or improving education or saving the planet. It was always about control. And power.
You really crack me up, garage.
Also, its lovely to see AGW acolytes going down to Enron defenses.
"Sure, we have problems...but the fundamentals are sound"
This will likely end up well for them.
What's telling about AGW Disciples like Garage - the simple fact that climatologists have corrupted at least 20 years of GW data and research - and Garage is cool with all that.
Keep that in mind next time his ilk claim they care about the Environment.
The Nobel Peace Prize 2007 shared by The IPCC and Al Gore "For their efforts to build up and disseminate greater knowledge about man-made climate change, and to lay the foundations for the measures that are needed to counteract such change"
I'm so dam glad Big Al and the IPCC are here to protect us all from ourselves.
While I was over at Nobelprize .org I reread Obama's prize description, "For his extraordinary efforts to strengthen international diplomacy and cooperation between peoples."
Excuse me for being off topic but please remind me what Obama did that was extraordinary, I mean besides sending more troops to Afghanistan.
garage mahal said...
Global Warming is a HOAX!
Oh fuuuuuck!
We're all GOING TO DIE!!!
damn YOU Algore!
Who are you characterizing here, gm? Are you saying that such a hoax is really trivial after all and that we should just ignore it? That is how I interpret what you are saying--now that the AGW panic promulgated by those of an exclusively liberal bent has been shown to be a plot foisted on the world by liars and fools, that all of us who have been pointing out the falsity of their arguments for years should be branded as weak minded hysterics. Boy, talk about blinkered pig-ignorance.
AllenS 12:40
That & when they had to compare skeptics to Holocaust Deniers.
Maguro:
Climb every mountain, follow every rainbow 'til you find your theory.
(OK, gotta work on the accent & the rhythm)
Tosaguy: I'm gonna steal your comment for my Climategate Deniers.
rhhardin "Do not believe in the lab coats."
Hell, these guys had no clothes on.
@garage, you finally got it. Good work, man.
Fen @1:06
I did say
"fakers"
(These fakers had "good intentions"? BS.)
Probably meant "f**kers".
The Chair of the IPCC has written a sex novel (Story).
But it's been peer reviewed.
Which means the males have penises 100 feet big and the females are all 86DDD.
And everybody dies in the end.
Science by Committee: Bad.
I've never understood this need to produce reports. The farther you get from the original paper, the less sense you have. It's like scientists playing Whisper Down the Alley with a bunch of non-scientists thrown in the line.
TosaGuy quoting:
"The source for its claim was a report from WWF"
Um, maybe that should've been "WTF"
God I am really going to enjoy lording this AGW fraud over the heads of my lib friends for the next 30 years!
I've never understood this need to produce reports.
Then you don't understand what the IPCC is all about. The IPCC's agenda is political, not scientific. The politicians and bureaucrats need a big, thick report with lots of big words in it to explain why they need to take more of your money and more of your freedom so they they can save the planet. They really couldn't care less about the validity of data in the report, it is just a means to an end.
Who are you characterizing here, gm? Are you saying that such a hoax is really trivial after all and that we should just ignore it?
Just a riff on irony. Both sides, in essence, are saying we're going to die.
And what I want to know, is if we can't figure the atmosphere on this planet, [it's unknowable!] how the hell are we going to figure out another planet's atmosphere and live in it?
86DD -Vicky was her name- a gogo dancer. They were bigger than my head. We had a lot of fun though and no one died.
Ha! This is so fucking funny. All you Rightists were just fine - just fine! - mixing belief and science when it was about Texas schoolbooks. And now you bitch and moan about the Leftists bringing their Climatism religion to the political arena??! If Creationism must be in public school textbooks, why can't rainforest bullshit be in global climate reports? What did you think - that the Leftists wouldn't try to get their God in the door too?
garage mahal said...
Just a riff on irony. Both sides, in essence, are saying we're going to die.
I don't think a single AGW skeptic ever said it was going to kill us, just spend all of our wealth on a phantom. The shrill hysterics have been exclusively AGW believers.
JRH, which person here said that creationism belongs in textbooks?
Nice of you to admit that AGW is no more scientifically valid than creationism, though.
So much cultish thinking, so little time. Tell me: do you guys ever think about why these fools are so determined to make this happen? Besides the grants.
I'm just sayin'.
@damikesc- AGW is worse than Creationism. I am totally aghast at the unscientific religiousness that is behind it, and that's behind things like the COP15 conference. Maybe there is a part of it that is real but it is being blown up far out of proportion due to the tendency of the Left to worship Green as their new God.
Since the creationists don't insist on destroying our economy to please their angry god, they're prefereable to the warmalists in my view.
@Crack- I've been reading your blog. I'm hooked. I can't stop. I'm never going to trust Republicans or think they are anything but fucking scumbags, but man, I love what you write.
@Julius, hilarious, man. Just hilarious.
John Tierney of the NY Times has pointed out (repeatedly) that, so the belief goes, scientists are corrupted by grants or funding by corporations but not corrupted by money from government.
If the concern is that funding can corrupt science, it doesn't matter where that source of money comes from.
Human beings - corrupt ones, at least - aren't particular about where the money originates.
Just that it does come.
The report came out of the United Nations. That alone should have raised questions as to its integrity. The United Nations is as corrupt as the Criminal Chicago Democrat Party.
Real scientists, who actually study climate, were trying to expose GW for what it was. They were not believed.
I wonder if the government will now stop wasting time and money on a hoax.
wv:zwpiddie=Polis for zippidy
I'm never going to trust Republicans or think they are anything but fucking scumbags, but man
And hey, when your hatred of Republicans grows stale, you can always turn to hating Jews, blacks and women.
George Will: "No one ever died from reading Der Stürmer, but the Culture it served caused six million Jews to drop dead"
I bet you would have been a gullable audience.
@Fen- Oh, that's very good! You play the "hate" card just like a Leftist does!
If a person doesn't believe in the GOP groupthink, or trust those who promulgate it, then they must hate blacks, Jews, and women, right?
You seem to be strong in the dark side of the force, Fen.
The "to be sure" paragraph is extraordinarily weak:
Scientists fear the controversies will be used by climate change sceptics to sway public opinion to ignore global warming — even though the fundamental science, that greenhouse gases can heat the world, remains strong.
"Can" does not mean "will". But then the consensus experts and their media lackeys are learning not to overpromise. The hard way.
John Tierney of the NY Times has pointed out (repeatedly) that, so the belief goes, scientists are corrupted by grants or funding by corporations but not corrupted by money from government.
John Tierney is missing the big picture if he thinks Corruption is just about money.
"....is merely one of a hundred Rings... only one form of the longing to be inside.
People who believe themselves to be free, and indeed are free, from snobbery, and who read satires on snobbery with tranquil superiority, may be devoured by the desire in another form.
It may be the very intensity of their desire to enter some quite different Ring which renders them immune from all the allurements of high life. An invitation from a duchess would be very cold comfort to a man smarting under the sense of exclusion from some artistic or communistic côterie. Poor man- it is not large, lighted rooms, or champagne, or even scandals about peers and Cabinet Ministers that he wants: it is the sacred little attic or studio, the heads bent together, the fog of tobacco smoke, and the delicious knowledge that we- we four or five all huddled beside this stove- are the people who know." - C. S. Lewis, The Inner Ring
The Question that follows the revelation of the total scam job claiming that Global Warming is caused by CO2 from the developed world hypothesis is the following: How dumb can one man be that he never once doubted it and is still doing political theater performances saying that he SINCERELY believes in it to the extent that he must destroy American industry, along with that great friend of America named Osama Bin Laden.
Julius Ray Hoffman: If a person doesn't believe in the GOP groupthink, or trust those who promulgate it, then they must hate blacks, Jews, and women, right?
No. A person who uses bigoted stereotypes to justify his hatred of ALL Republicans as "fucking scumbags" is well on his way to hating other groups for similarly ignorant reasons.
My point was that our MSM has taught you to hate Republicans. And you swallowed it up like a Good Little Eichmann.
Yes, so it wasn't a very scientific driven science panel. Word on the mid-town Manhattan streets, is that no U.N. panel threw better cocktail parties, short of the U.N. Peacekeepers, than the IPCC.
Isn't that what the U.N. is all about anyway?
maguro 3:03
Right on about the results, intended or not.
And don't get me started about textbooks. The textbook publishers refused to add the word "theory" to their paean to AGW.
And they control the game & make the rules, not the deceased rubes from Texas.
See, e.g.,
"Among other things, those [text]books were criticized ...for saying there was scientific consensus that global warming was changing the earth's climate...[&]for saying there was scientific consensus that global warming was changing the earth's climate...
"The [yahoos] also succeeded in having this sentence deleted: "Most experts on global warming feel that immediate action should be taken to curb global warming."
http://www.nytimes.com/2002/06/29/arts/29TEXT.html?scp=1&sq=textbooks%20&%20Global%20Warming%20+texas&st=cse
Wow that's like, ya know, establishing a religion, shredding my First Amendment, & book burning; let me read Fahrenheit 451 again!
@Fen- Or maybe I was being FUCKING SARCASTIC you moron!
Meanwhile you are still playing the hate card like a Leftist. Not only that-- you are playing the "hate like a Nazi" card. Well, that trumps everything, doesn't it??!
Julia: Or maybe I was being FUCKING SARCASTIC you moron!
Right. You were just joking. That makes it okay.
We are morons tried and true, we will do our yell for you! yeheheyeyeyeyeyeh
Sponsored by Amalgamated Union Local 6 & 7/8ths!
"Anyone want some solar panels? Cheap?"
Keep the solar panels. All the industrial pollution and energy cost of their manufacture is already spent, so you might as well use them.
And the same things that were true before are true now. Actively working to reduce pollution (accepting that CO2 is not a pollutant) and to preserve the environment and take care of our environment is still a necessary thing. It's much nicer having clean air to breathe and neighborhoods that are green and shaded and clean. It's nicer to have road ditches full of flowers instead of ones sprayed with broad leaf herbicides. It's nicer to see that the bald eagles and osprey have returned.
Taking care of nature is one reason that we should insist on exploiting our domestic sources of oil and gas as much as we can because we can monitor and control the environmental impact in our own territories where we simply can't do that for foreign sources.
And we should aggressively pursue new nuclear technology and development for the same reasons.
Most of all, we should stop letting those with an anti technology and anti West political agenda use scare tactics to hijack the issue.
All you Rightists were just fine - just fine! - mixing belief and science when it was about Texas schoolbooks. And now you bitch and moan about the Leftists bringing their Climatism religion to the political arena??!
The big difference is that Texas elected its school board members, agree with them or not, to decide issues like what to put in Texas textbooks. Comparing them to an unelected U.N. climate panel whose reports have already affected most of the civilized world is ludicrous. If you don't like what Texas does, live in one of the other 49 states, but the IPCC is a horse of a different color, it affects us all.
It was never about fighting racism or improving education or saving the planet. It was always about control. And power.
Precisely. That's one more argument in favor of term limits, for legislators and bureaucrats alike.
AGW is worse than Creationism. I am totally aghast at the unscientific religiousness that is behind it, and that's behind things like the COP15 conference. Maybe there is a part of it that is real but it is being blown up far out of proportion due to the tendency of the Left to worship Green as their new God.
There's a great op-ed on this very subject in my local paper today (it leads with the author recounting the story of his being chastised by his six-year-old son for leaving the water on while brushing his teeth; yay public schools!). Here's a key paragraph:
"[E]nvironmentalism, like every other ism, has the potential for dogmatic zeal and obsession. Do we really need one more humorless religion? Let us save the planet, by all means. But let's also admit to ourselves that we have a natural propensity toward guilt and indignation, and let that fact temper our fervor to more reasonable levels."
"Ha! This is so fucking funny. All you Rightists were just fine - just fine! - mixing belief and science when it was about Texas schoolbooks. And now you bitch and moan about the Leftists bringing their Climatism religion to the political arena??! If Creationism must be in public school textbooks, why can't rainforest bullshit be in global climate reports? What did you think - that the Leftists wouldn't try to get their God in the door too?"
I have never merged science and religion, so you are wrong about "all."
In addition, the lefties were purporting to have all the science on their side. It wasn't an issue of wanting religion and science looked at at the same time or a preference of religion to science. With the AGW folks they allowed a religious attitude about science to corrupt and displace science. That is plainly different. If they had embraced ecology as a religion and not portrayed it as science, they would not have acquired the political and economic power they got.
So, Professor Althouse, you characterize yourself as a Rightist now?
All you Rightists were just fine - just fine! - mixing belief and science when it was about Texas schoolbooks.
The science of the JFK assassination has not been settled yet professor ;)
Thank you, Professor. Very well put.
And, of course, most "Rightists" are not, and never were, okay with "mixing belief and science when it was about Texas schoolbooks."
And, for the record, Ignorance, Professor Althouse is only conservative by the standards of Madison. Most other places she'd be regarded as left of center.
Oh I see, Althouse was quoting somebody else.. sorry about that.
My snark stands however.
I always considered the Professor left of center. I was just curious if she now sees herself aligned with the right. ( The pro-choice, pro gay marriage right )
I assumed the prof had gone Libertarian. She seems to have moved beyond rote Progressivism over the last few years.
Ha! This is so fucking funny. All you Rightists were just fine - just fine! - mixing belief and science when it was about Texas schoolbooks. And now you bitch and moan about the Leftists bringing their Climatism religion to the political arena??! If Creationism must be in public school textbooks, why can't rainforest bullshit be in global climate reports? What did you think - that the Leftists wouldn't try to get their God in the door too?
I think that's a great talking point for the climate alarmists. You should send this to Al Gore. I strongly urge him to use it. It'll shut his critics right up.
AGW = Creationism. About the truest thing I've read today.
The Nobel people knew Man Made Global Warming AKA Man Made Climate change was a hoax, a fraud, and a scam. That is why they gave Al Gore Inc. the Peace Prize instead of one of the coveted science prizes. The Peace Prize is political. The science prizes require proof.
Just when you thought the IPCC's report couldn't possibly demonstrate any more scientific ineptitude than it already has, along comes this.
@Althouse-
In addition, the lefties were purporting to have all the science on their side. It wasn't an issue of wanting religion and science looked at at the same time or a preference of religion to science. With the AGW folks they allowed a religious attitude about science to corrupt and displace science. That is plainly different. If they had embraced ecology as a religion and not portrayed it as science, they would not have acquired the political and economic power they got.
You could look at it that way. But you could also say that the Left is just playing the same game that the Religious Right is. After all, given the chance, wouldn't the Religious Right take an opportunity to use their religion to gain political and economic power? Perhaps the Left is just better at the power-politics game than the Right is. If so, that's all the more reason for the Right to take an active, vocal stance in keeping religion completely out of politics.
Instead of spending tax dollars reducing non-existent substances- greenhouse gases, we, the people, should demand a total reduction on political gasbaggery.
Gasbaggery has harmed more real humans than any other substance known to man. It is an environmental disaster. It pollutes the mind and the soul. Gasbaggery is holding the Earth in inbalance and postulates inconvenient truths.
Shorter Julius: "The Right should keep religion out of politics because climate scientists were frauds."
Are you the same guy who wrote: "Mass elected Scott Brown because they are angry at Bush".
What should be the penalty for espousing a total ignorance that says "I just believe settled science"? Do these nice people get to be our leaders for the next round of Jeopardy threats with which they want to see us attacked? NO, we need to scratch them off the list of acceptable candidates forever. Treat them as assassins of the USA, which is what they really are.
@Fen-
No, I'm the guy who wrote "Vote for Scott Brown because it's a moral imperative that the scoundrel Coakley be defeated."
After all, given the chance, wouldn't the Religious Right take an opportunity to use their religion to gain political and economic power?
Apparently you didn't understand Ann's post.
NEWS FLASH:
Al Gore announced today that his venture capital firms will be financing expeditions to prove once and for all that Global warming is real and a severe crisis.
He has gathered together famous mercenary adventurers Indiana Jones, Clutch Cargo, and Jungle Jim to put together the expeditions. The expeditions will travel through the worlds jungles and deserts in search of the elusive Carbon Footprint.
Mr. Gore firmly believes if the Carbon Footprint is found it will prove that man made global warming exists. He is dedicating 5 billion dollars towards this effort. Mr. Gore hopes this effort will finally put to rest rumors that Global Warming and Man Made Climate Change is a hoax.
wv:thincia=the waterboard diet
JRH says
After all, given the chance, wouldn't the Religious Right take an opportunity to use their religion to gain political and economic power?
You reply correctly
Apparently you didn't understand Ann's post.
He doesn't understand the difference between religion & science either. He's analogy impaired.
For goodness' sake, religion is "their" (i.e., the believers)religion, but science is not "their" (i.e., the rogue scientists)science.
OOPS, my last post was obviously addressed to Lawgiver.
On second thought, I think Fen's "shorter JRH” (@6:43)is about right
For those who still believe in global warming, a couple of points:
1) The total amont of warming, from the coldest low to the warmest high over the past 130 years is about 0.7 degrees (IPCC, NOAA, NASA other sources)
2) What is the accuracy of the measurements? I have never been able to find out but suspect that it is greater than +/- 1 degree
3) In the US, according to NASA, speaking about their own temperature stations, only about 15% are accurate to within a degree. A large number, 20-30% are classified as CLass 5 which means that they may be reading as much as 5 degrees hotter than it really is.
Global warming is a hoax and a scam. There is as much evidence of global cooling from the temperature data as there is of global warming.
In other words, the temperature data is worthless. It is just as likely to off on the low as on the high side.
John Henry
That's why you should look at different types of data -- unrelated to thermometers. Lake Ice season length, for example. How has that changed in the past 100-150 years? Or first/last frost dates.
Things that are related to agriculture, or fishing -- things that directly impact humans -- are much more accurately monitored than single temperature readings.
I know that the notion that the religious sorts are out to gain political power... that impending theocracy... is something of a romantic notion, but it really isn't a given, a truism...
Even Islam is fragmented, and that is still the best example we have in the world today. Catholicism is organized and global, but well settled into a separate hierarchy than secular governments. The rest? No one would want to give someone else power over them.
The separation of church and state in the US wasn't about keeping government secular, after all, but about keeping some Christians from having power over other Christians.
As romantic as the notion is (in the sense that people are drawn to the fantasy because it is dramatic and shiver-inducing) it is really wrong to assume that religions are automatically seeking political or economic primacy.
The sort of politics and economic belief systems that have made climate change their vanguard (and invited Chavez and Mugabe to speak at Copenhagen) really are about the politics and economics first and foremost.
MM:
Good point. There is a lottery that has been held in Alaska for 90-100 years where people bet on when a river would thaw.
They set up a contraption on the river and when it caved-in whoever bet that date would win the town lottery.
They have a website that has the ice melt dates for each year and it goes back to around 1911.
I think it is called something like the Nenana Ice melt. You may find it interesting.
If we took all money wasted on research, reporting, crying, movie making, book writing, ink, trees and Oscars, we could fill all the potholes in all the roads in this country...with caviar...and that would make more sense.
Wait, those same bastards ate all the caviar too. Damn it!
[UN IPCC] Shhhh!!! Be vawy vawy quiet. Deh is science going on ova he-ah...
[The public] Really? Well, what it is it? Are we doomed? Will the caps melt? Will polar bear sink and die? Will water vapor finally be called a pollutant? Will the glaciers melt? Please tell us, you are our only hope.
[IPCC] We will tell you as soon as we find out. Oh, wait.
MadisonMan said...
That's why you should look at different types of data -- unrelated to thermometers. Lake Ice season length, for example. How has that changed in the past 100-150 years? Or first/last frost dates.
Here's info from an area lake on when the lake is ice free. Sorry, about the sequence, I did a copy/paste from a PDF.
1955 4/10
1976 4/6
1997 4/21
1956 4/22
1977 4/10
1998 4/5
1957 4/21
1978 4/18
1999 4/3
1958 4/13
1979 4/24
2000 3/22
1959 4/8
1980 4/18
2001 4/20
1960 4/15
1981 4/26
2002 4/16
1961 4/8
1982 4/20
2003 4/12
1962 4/21
1983 4/14
2004 4/5
1963 4/6
1984 4/13
2005 4/8
1964 4/11
1985 4/12
2006 4/7
1965 4/29
1986 4/7
2007 4/3
1966 4/5
1987 3/24
2008 4/23
1967 4/9
1988 3/14
1968 3/30
1989 4/17
1969 4/17
1990 4/3
1970 4/21
1991 4/8
1971 4/17
1992 4/10
1972 4/26
1993 4/19
1973 4/2
1994 4/13
1974 4/19
1995 4/14
1975 4/28
1996 4/25
So you take the year, and the date -- make it a Julian Date -- from AllenS's list or from the Nenana River Sweepstakes, regress year against date, and what do you see?
That might tell you something.
what do you see?
I see that some years spring comes early, and other years spring comes late. That's what it tells me, and that's what I've always thought.
I used to farm. Some years there's hardly any rain in June, July and the hay crop suffers. There have been other years that I couldn't put up any hay without it getting rained on, thereby diminishing its quality.
Weather sounds a lot like whether.
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