The Florida primary is March 17th, 2 weeks after Super Tuesday. The whirlwind that is Bloomberg is about to hit.
AND: RCP collects all the Super Tuesday polls here. I'm not seeing the same Bloomberg action there.
By the way, reading the polls, I was saying "O'Rourke? Who's O'Rourke?" I had to be reminded. O'Rourke... Beto O'Rourke. Without the "Beto," I was utterly flummoxed by the name O'Rourke. Was P.J. O'Rourke running some sort of joke campaign?, I wondered.
पोस्ट्स
१०० टिप्पण्या:
Bloomberg as the nominee will drive the progressives absolutely bananas...and I suspect they'll go third party.
What a difference 2 weeks can make.
Bloomberg could actually pull this off. He's not a communist or a transparent goof. There's a reason Trump is ramping up his fire at Bloomberg and ignoring most of the rest.
Hurricane.
I am not inclined to check my older brother's fb page. He is a huge Bernie Bro. This Bloomberg stuff has to be eating him up. This time if he knuckles under and supports whomever the Dem candidate might be if it isn't Bernie - like he did after trashing Hillary during the primaries - I'm not going to let it go.
Most of the progressives will pull the lever for whatever D the party coughs up. Some will stay home, go third party or write in if Bloomberg is the D. But Bloomberg will pick up some sane independents that Comrade Bernie could never get. I think Bloomie is their strongest candidate in the general. Having unlimited money helps. As well as your own captive news service.
"He's not a communist or a transparent goof."
He loves him some China, though.
Most of the Super Tuesday states don't have recent polls on RCP, but generally, Bloomberg is not threatening outside of Florida. Not yet, anyway.
Bloomberg is unelectable. Take your guns, your salt, and your big gulp while cozying up to China just when we're all getting used to hating China. Stop and Frisk while up against Trump, who is making a hard play for the black vote?
No, Bloomberg will not be the next president.
Bloomberg as nominee would cement the political realignment in this country.
They might as well rename the Parties Nationalist and Globalist parties if Bloomberg is nominee.
Bloomberg made a huge pile of money in China.
Now he is trying to buy himself the presidency.
Wont work.
I feel like Bloomberg is a threat, because he has that ZFG Money Bag that allowed Trump to blow past so many controversies unscathed.
But then I watch him, and even just walking, he seems really, really old. Sanders is officially older, but Bloomberg and Biden seem older than Sanders does.
Good call on the former Hispanic-Irish candidate. I think PJ O'Rourke all the time when I see that name alone too.
It will take Trump 3 tweets about China to dumpster Bloomberg.
Black people wont vote for Bloomberg.
Have fun with that democrats.
Florida is New York/NJ-South, so unsurprising.
Even with that small lead in FL, delegates are apportioned by %vote received and not winner take all.
Bernie leads elsewhere and in some locales by a significant margin.
is Slidin' Jo Biden still thinking of picking a minority
for VP?
...ie : Senor Roberto Francisco O'Rourke??
Bloomberg's candidacy also has this very clear personal thing going on about Trump. Kind of like what Romney appears to have. It comes across as darkly, acidly bitter and is going to play reeeally poorly on live tv, especially when they get into the same room together in a debate.
I saw a photo of Bloomberg the other day. Just standing on stage, a full length well lit shot in profile. It wasn't a hit piece or anything, just a photo on the CNN website (I think). I was a bit shocked. He looks like an old old man.
Flummoxed. Good word. An apt description of Democrats this year.
Don't underestimate Bloomberg.
Let me remind you that Hillary nearly won in 2016. Bloomberg has lower personal negatives than Hillary. He is not the most corrupt person ever to stand for public office. His China ties are less gratuitous and illegal than hers. He's richer than she is. He's smarter than she is. He's sober more often than she is. He might even be taller than she is.
So out of the gates I'd say Bloomie is a better general election candidate than Hillary. He can't campaign much worse than she did. I think it'll be hard for him to get the nomination, but if he does make no mistake: he's competitive with Trump in a general election.
I saw a photo of Bloomberg the other day...I was a bit shocked. He looks like an old old man.
He's 78, so, yeah, he's an old man by pretty much anyone's definition. I have no idea if this will be a problem for him but I can't see how it could be a good thing.
DarkHelmet said...
So out of the gates I'd say Bloomie is a better general election candidate than Hillary. He can't campaign much worse than she did. I think it'll be hard for him to get the nomination, but if he does make no mistake: he's competitive with Trump in a general election.
Do you think a single person that voted for Trump in 2016 is not going to vote for him in 2020?
So Bloomberg needs to get more votes than Hillary did at the very least.
He has to win some combination of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio.
I don't think he is better suited to that than Hillary considering he made his money offshoring manufacturing to China and personally gutting the economies in those states.
I don't think he will be the nominee. He breaks the democrat coalition irreversibly.
Happy Birthday, Mini Mike.
Enjoy the great economy.
Bloomberg is ahead of Biden? Big deal. My chihuahua is ahead of either one in any poll!
your chihuahua is sharper than both, mostly name id like with biden,, I reckon,
Question:
Do you think a single person that voted for Trump in 2016 is not going to vote for him in 2020?
A: The overwhelming majority will. A very small contingent might stay home. A very small contingent could be in play for Bloomberg. Money people, who went Trump last time, but don't really like him. They would never go for Sanders or Warren, but Bloomie they could stomach.
Q:
So Bloomberg needs to get more votes than Hillary did at the very least.
A: Or he needs to get them better distributed. He needs fewer in CA, NY, TX and more in FL, PA, MI and WI.
Q:
He has to win some combination of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio.
A: Yes. At least three of those four, plus Florida.
Q:
I don't think he is better suited to that than Hillary considering he made his money offshoring manufacturing to China and personally gutting the economies in those states.
A: I don't know what you mean. I'm not aware of any manufacturing Bloomie has ever done. He's in the financial information and media business.
Q:
I don't think he will be the nominee. He breaks the democrat coalition irreversibly.
A: I think Bloomie keeps the coalition better than Sanders. Doesn't mean he beats Trump. It just means he has a decent shot.
So does this mean that the anyone-but-Bernie set (would those be never-Berners?) has selected Bloomberg as The One? But are there never-Bloomers too? People who find billionaires so objectionable that they'd rather die from a meteor shower than vote for one?
I live in Central Florida.
The other day I was listening to the radio and was amazed to hear a Bloomberg ad! I cursed and changed the channel.
Then last night I was driving and I saw a Bloomberg yard sign. I cursed and changed direction.
Not really, that last part. But I cursed. The man has dropped cash here.
would Robert O'Rourke (WAS Robert O'Rourke) be able to be listed as Beto?
Would (DID?) anyone know to vote for Robert, even if they wanted to?)
DarkHelmet said...
A: I think Bloomie keeps the coalition better than Sanders. Doesn't mean he beats Trump. It just means he has a decent shot.
The problem with both Bloomberg and Sanders is they only unite one wing each. They have the globalist financiers and the marxist left covered so a ticket with some combination of them leaves out the intersectionalists.
The glorious part of the current democrat predicament is that they have nobody left to bring Black/Hispanic people back on board.
I think they are aiming for a michelle/buttigieg ticket.
Has anyone asked Bloomberg why he wants to be president ?
If I had to bet, I'd bet that the Dem ticket will be Bloomberg/Klobuchar. That would be a stronger ticket for the Dems than 2016, and one that I could support. But Trump will be stronger as well this time. I'd handicap that race as very close with a fractionally better than even chance for Trump to prevail.
Has anyone asked Bloomberg why he wants to be president ?
I doubt you'd get an honest answer. My guess is it's a combination of simple vanity and wanting to best a person who he absolutely despises and is envious of. I've heard stories that he's sort of a mean little guy, but maybe I'm being unfair.
Bloomberg wants to be president because he's better than you, and smarter than you, and richer than you, and you drink too much soda, fat.
And that's no malarkey.
steyn points out, how Bloomberg spent every weekend when he was mayor in Bermuda,
BTW the Las Vegas Sun, the leftie appendix of the Review-Journal, has endorsed Klobuchar and Biden equally. This compensates for the Culinary Union declining to endorse anybody.
I can't imagine Bloomberg becoming the Democratic nominee without a total meltdown of the Democratic Left, a meltdown that would destroy the party.
One could say in some sense that Trump in 2016 "bought" his way into the Republican primaries because he self-financed. But from the Republican electorates' point of view, he was there from the very get-go, meetin' & greetin' during the primaries, available for to the press, in the debates, etc. The major difference was that he self-financed.
The Republican electorate is much more kindly disposed towards wealth & the wealthy than is the Democratic electorate. The Left-wing of the Democratic Party will not tolerate a successful "buying" of the primary process by a last minute outsider of dubious ideological heritage (e.g. a former Republican). They don't have to burn down Milwaukee come the convention to destroy the Party. They just have to take their marbles & go home.
Florida is the probably the most favorable state for Bloomberg outside of New York.
that's a schizophrenic choice, like the red squaw and klobuchar dual endorsement, did nate clay, work on that?
Has anyone asked Bloomberg why he wants to be president ?
He wants to ban:
Guns
Trans-fats
Soda;
Salt;
Nanny people how to death;
And send more of our jobs to China;
Cut taxes on the rich.
Wants not to love?
"Was P.J. O'Rourke running some sort of joke campaign?"
No, but Beto O'Rourke certainly did.
the Culinary Union declining to endorse anybody.
What's up with that? That must have been a gut shot for Biden.
I don't see a reason they wouldn't endorse Biden. He has promised to protect their healthcare plan.
I'll be real interested in hearing what happened behind closed doors to each that decision.
Tampa / St Pete is Hillsborough County. And the 2016 election night experts said over and over that as Hillsborough goes, so goes Florida. Hmm?
the Culinary Union declining to endorse anybody.
Yeah, I couldn't imagine them or any of the more significant Unions ever endorsing Sanders since he'd want to trash their super sweet Cadillac Health Plans in favor of some crumby Medicare-for-All single payor situation.
Tampa is military Industrial Complex heavy to an extreme. They must want Bloomie more than the CIA's guy, Pete. Or they can get Bloomie to add Pete as VP. then serve part of one term until he gets sick.
There are a lot of gun owners who take seriously the right and duty to defend themselves and their families. They will vote for the Republican (Trump) in historically high numbers. I'm betting over 90%. That is a lot of new voters for the Republicans, becuase lots of Democrats and Independents own guns too, and they care about the existential threats in life more than anything else, as we all should. The Presidential Democrat candidates have never been so openly anti-gun before, and Bloomberg is an open fascist with most things he believes in. No matter what he says to get votes from here on in, you cannot trust that man with power. He does not respect your rights.
If Bloomberg is a real challenger, then after SuperTuesday, it will be heads up Sanders vs Bloomberg going forward. I don't know how to handicap such an event because both are not what I would have predicted a month ago.
For the record, a poll was just published in SC that was taken 2/12-2/13- after New Hampshire, but not a week after. It showed Biden widening his lead over Sanders, not shrinking. That is the contest that probably matters more than any other right now, though Sanders will be strengthened if he wins the Nevada caucus next weekend (he leads the latest poll). If Biden can win South Carolina, then he will be positioned to stay in the race through March picking up 20% of the vote in the big diverse states. Now, this could actually be really bad for the moderate wing because it could be Biden, Bloomberg, Buttuvwxyz, Klobuchar, and Steyer dividing 75% of the voters while Sanders marches on with his 25% base in state after state.
I don't think there is a danger of Sanders getting a majority of the delegates to win the nomination prior to the convention, but that isn't the danger right now- it is Sanders finishing 1st in total votes and delegates going into a brokered convention. The Democrats have spent the last three years denigrating a process that elected Trump after he finished second to a plurality winner of the popular vote. The hypocrisy of denying Sanders in a similar situation is going to be a delicate matter to finesse.
The arc of life for creepy porn lawyer Avenatti has just been incredibly satisfying for us Trumpers and Trumpettes.
Over 100 appearances on CNN and MSNBC extolling the imaginary crimes of Trump and being treated like a king, even suggested as a good man to be President by many there.
Just found guilty of extorting Nike on all counts with a potential sentence of 42 years. Another trial in New York for fraud in April and another in L.A. in May. Such a wonderful story.
The word on the street is that the Culinary Union rank and file are strongly for Bernie, in spite of the healthcare thing. Biden's numbers have dropped like an Acme anvil.
And the other thing that isn't easy to gauge here is this- how enthusiastic are telephone poll supporters for the various candidates? Does 27% of Florida telephone supporters of Bloomberg translate into 27% in the primary vote? Same question for all the candidates.
We won't get any information on how Bloomberg translates poll support into votes until the night of SuperTuesday. We sort of have an idea for Biden and Warren- they poll better so far than they perform- opposite for Buttuvwxyz and Klobuchar. Sanders, ironically, seems to underperform his polls in the first two races, but the difference isn't big and he won the voting both times and is the front runner.
Bloomberg and Sanders both have a Trump-like superpower:
Trump is completely immune to criticism from the mainstream media and the Democrats, because his fans do not trust them.
Sanders is completely immune from criticism from anyone, really, because his fans give zero f_ks.
Bloomberg is at least mostly immune from criticism from at least the media and the Republicans, because he can slather so much money on any problem he can overwhelm it. It remains to be seen how well he can defend against attacks from Democrats though. Bloomberg might have the opposite issue - a core segment of his own party who won't vote for him no matter what, and attacks from the Dems could expand that core. The media, after all, is "free" and free beats expensive and paid for.
I read yesterday that Romney is angling for the Democrat VP nomination as way of getting"reasonable" Republicans to vote for the Democrat ticket.
I can see it now;
Bloomberg/Romney!
Think of all the Republican votes it could get!
Not sure who Democrats would vote for. Democrats seem to be headed for a brokered convention. And a brokered candidate ensures only one faction of their coalition will be satisfied.
Kevin wrote:
"It remains to be seen how well he can defend against attacks from Democrats though."
I agree. I think I wrote a comment yesterday in one of the threads that was similar to this- I pointed out that it isn't necessarily good for Bloomberg to accept the offer of a debate position at the next shindig- he would be a big ripe target for the other candidates on the stage, especially given that he ran as a Republican to win the mayoralty of NYC and is a plutocrat literally buying his way to the nomination of a party that gives lip service to being for the little guy.
Fivethirtyeight now has 'No One' ahead of Sanders in their forecast tool. Biden is still up by 8 on the latest SC poll of Feb 12-14. So the delegates could be divided between Bernie, Butti, Bloomie, Amy, Lizzie...and 'Bidey'? Steyer could still garner delegates in SC. So that's seven...
Hillary's looking better with time...
Trying to thread the needle for the Dems in 2020 and they need solid wins in three voting blocs: BernieBros (B), minorities (M), and independents (I). And they need all three; they can’t win if they tank in one sector. So, how do they capture those disparate elements?
First, who does best amongst those groups?
Sanders: B
Biden: M, I
Warren: B
Buttigieg: B, I
Klobuchar: M, I
Bloomberg: I
Second, who repels those groups?
Sanders: M, I
Biden: B
Warren: ?
Buttigieg: M
Klobuchar: ?
Bloomberg: B, M
I don’t see a winning combination. Hillary has already lost once when Trump had no political or economic record to tout. Michelle could try, but she’s entirely untested and has zero executive experience.
People are writing Biden off too quickly, in my opinion. South Carolina is an entirely different kind of voting base from Iowa and and New Hampshire. The first two states are lily white, and closed and semi-open events (Republicans couldn't participate in either without changing their registration). South Carolina is an open primary, so Republican voters will have a say in who wins the Democratic Primary. My personal recommendation to such Republicans would be to vote for Dying Joe Biden, but I think the consensus is to vote for Bernie Sanders.
The twists and turns of the Democrat primary is something to behold. What will next month bring us?
A Klobuchar/Bloomberg ticket would thread the needle the best as a combination, but I actually predict the VP candidate will be outside the present field and will be black.
Bloomberg is seen as the least objectionable among the Democrat assholes and bastards running for President. That's because they don't know him.
’...the consensus is to vote for Bernie Sanders.’
My goal is a contested convention, so they’ll riot in Milwaukee* after screwing Bernie. If it looks like Biden is still in the hunt on Super Tuesday, I’ll vote for him in the primary. Otherwise, I’ll be feeling the Bern.
*sorry Laverne & Shirley!!
The Dem Party might be OK with a non-Democrat Socialist (Sanders) becoming nominee. I don't see them going along with a non-Democrat once-Republican (Bloomberg) becoming nominee.
Interesting, though, that two of the front-runners in the Democrat race are not Democrats.
nate clay, is too silly to consider anymore, biden went nowhere in the first two primaries, he's going to go voom in south Carolina, who still thinks that?
I was in Dallas this week. I saw a car that had a Beto for Senate bumper sticker. Except it was moved up to be high up on the rear windshield. I had forgotten about that lame POS Beto. Can you believe they almost pulled off sending him to the Senate to replace Ted Cruz? Cruz could have a lobotomy and still be a sharper mind then Beto. I cannot believe this guy kept that sticker on his car. Might be easier to just get a neon sign that says, "Hey. I'm a moron."
As for Bloomberg moving ahead of Biden. Two things: Biden is dead. By the end of February, he'll be out. And there are a LOT of Democrat ex and current New Yorkers living in the Miami/Ft. Lauderdale/Boca area of Florida. The southeast portion of the state is heavily Dem and heavily New York. (before he became a Republican running for President, Trump was a popular face down there.)
Since Canada and the US lead/lag each other on various political issues by 10-15 years, I see Bloomberg as Ignatieff. A highly regarded person dropped into the race by liberals looking for someone to beat Harper. Instantly branded by conservatives as out of touch, from elsewhere and who thought this guy represented the interests of anyone except himself?
He got whipped and hasn't been heard of since.
The Democrats well fall for him, desperate to beat Trump but not desperate enough to respond to the electorate, who they consider wrong and unimportant.
I'm looking forward to Democrats dusting off their long unused racial epithets when Trump wins by getting 40+% of the black vote.
If you haven't seen it yet, watch the clip of Biden on The View. (There's a Daily Beast article that contains the video. Maybe it's on YouTube.) He slurs and stumbles over his words, and misses opportunities to attack his opponents. He sounds weak and tired. I think it's over for him.
I just watched a Bloomberg video. It is the first time I have watched him speak. This is not going to go well for him. He seems effete, supercilious, and vain. I think when he gets on the debate stage, Buttafuoco will cut him up, Bernie will blow him up, and Amy will try to pick up the pieces for herself.
Maybe I am wrong.
he's going to go voom in south Carolina, who still thinks that?
Me...though not sure about the voom part...we'll see...
(nice to be able to read your posts...)
it's from the dead parrot sketch, Bloomberg is doing a lot of Spanish language ads, it's central florida, and he's following all prog notions, like extolling the Obamacare mandate,
Hillary's looking better with time...
not literally...I mean the fix...
Is Bloomy still going to pretend he wanted to go to Vietnam?
it's from the dead parrot sketch
Four million volts...
Hillary's looking better with time...
There's not that much time in Eternity.
Sloe Jo Fizzle cuz he was never fo' shizzle
Bernie generates the most excitement, but the Dems will never
allow him to get the nomination
He will have a 'heart attack' from all the campaign 'stress'
This will keep the Bernie bros from totally burning the place
down, knowing it was old age, and not the DNC that took him out.
So that leaves the Hollyweird/Tech crowd, and (cue the ominous music)
the lethal Clinton Machine left.
Bete PuttPuttgieg will be pushed, but la HildeBête Noir, aka
Cruella dePantsuit, is coiled and ready to strike.
Isnt the DNC run by basically the 2016 Podesta et al crowd?
Was the ' VP' slot floated?
So-- Buttigeig/Clinton, after some high-stakes backroom dealing
no one actually likes Mike, do they??
Consider the theory that Trump won Michigan and Wisconsin, not because he won over Obama voters, but because enough Obama voters shifted to third parties - Libertarian, Green. I'm not sure that's true, and I really doubt McMullin voters were lost by Democrats, rather than Republicans, but if there's a kernel of truth in the theory, what happens when Democrats nominate somebody richer than Trump? What happens when Bernie voters see that the Democrats have nominated the ur-capitalist Bloomberg? Will they be so devoted to throwing Trump out of office that they hold their nose and vote for the Little Giant, or will they go third party again?
no one actually likes Mike, do they??
He's likable enough, to coin a phrase. Barely.
no one actually likes Mike, do they??
The MIL is running down the options then gets to Rosen...Rosen...Rose...so, no.
sorry--"noire"
That would give the Dems a shot at an historic 2-fer
First Gay
First Female
@Lazarus - the Little Giant! I love it.
Ta cy Ward
The VP pick for any candidate will be the loathsome Staci Abrams.
HRC would provide the "experience" and ballast
and her off-putting self would be compensated by
PuttPuttgieg, providing the "cuddly charm" so effective
with women of all genders
It's pretty cool when the top Democrats aren't even Democrats. That is some powerful branding right there. Crazy - what can't it do?
Bloomy, himself, is unimpressive. However, his $1Billion to spend to beat Trump is impressive. You can move mountains with that kinda dough. And, he might drop $2 Billion without breaking a sweat.
Biden is running ads which feature his sons as cute little boys. Let that sink in.
I just heard a Bloomberg commercial on the radio, and it mentioned that he lost his job early in his career and had to start over. Now, that’s a relatable scenario and it connects. However, I did a little research - because I like a rags-to-riches story - and have compassion when a humble factory worker is displaced by evil capitalists who put profits before people. And that’s exactly what happened!!
You see, poor little Mike was working at a widget manufacturer named Salomon Brothers. And, as an equity partner, he didn’t even receive a severance package. Evil capitalists suck!! Yeah. He was shown the door with a measly $10M in 1981 (barely $28M in 2020 dollars). You bastards! But, even with such a pitiful net worth, he was able to pick himself up and realize the American dream. You go, Mini Mike!
you don't say, beasts, wonder which way Michael lewis will cover Bloomberg, seeing as he started there, sarc.
Do you know what happens when you run the same ad six times per hour, 16 hours per day?
People hate you with the heat of a thousand suns.
It tugged at my heartstrings, narciso. ;)
Nevada will provide the first test of how the field do among Hispanics and union people. There's not much virtue signalling in Sin City. There's a lot of hard feelings that Bernie got screwed here in 2012. Well, it looked like he had a shot, so Harry Reid made a few phone calls to make sure to deliver for Hillary. Stay tuned.
whirl·wind (wûrl′wĭnd′, hwûrl′-)
n.
1. A rapidly rotating, generally vertical column of air, such as a tornado, dust devil, or waterspout.
2.
a. A tumultuous, confused rush.
b. A destructive force or thing.
adj.
Tumultuous or rapid: a whirlwind political campaign.
https://www.thefreedictionary.com/whirlwind
"... gives lip service to being for the little guy."
Mini Mike being "for the little guy" is suspect for a couple of reasons, no?
Generally vertical is humorous regarding Bloomberg, with Althouse I don't know if that is intentional or lucky.
Mini Mike being "for the little guy" is suspect for a couple of reasons, no?
Trump will make short work of him
Babylon Bee notes that many Trump resisters want Bloomie as a President of stature that they can look up to
Whose potUS campaign to the relative point has been more disciplined, Trump's or Little Mike's?
Trump is the answer, obviously.
He has sold the close presumably for many decades.
Many, many decades. He's been selling the close, and is now a billionaire, yet Little Mike thinks having more money than Trump is his key to showing how weak Trump is. The greatest tool the progs have given politically can be the SALT on their wounds, played right.
Trump has done it with skills few possess. Skills including appearing and staring on fake wrestling i.e. scripted not the athletes being other-than-scary physically, like American Gladiators. What I am saying is all these people are on steroids and Trump walks around like he's Mr. Waltzing Big Balls.
There are a lot of different things (for lack of caring about figuring out a better word) going on, moving parts changing everything.
Little Mike may well have many ulterior motives, like Jeff Epstein did.
Or Weinstein.
Who knows. Guy was a GOP after Rudy kicked the scum out.
Now he's a big prog.
The Blacks didn't cause the financial crisis. The vast majority of deadbeats getting jumbo loans were Whites. Here in Illinois, about a dozen or so judges were processing 40 or 50,000 foreclosures per year (!!!!) during the crisis. Tons of Latinos and Asians would show up. Many, many Whites. But not too many Blacks.
Yancey Ward said...
People are writing Biden off too quickly, in my opinion.
I didn't write Biden off because he lost Iowa and New Hampshire.
I wrote him off because he is stupid, he has never won a single state in several primaries over 30 years or so, and his corruption is now public knowledge.
I wrote him off because he is stupid, he has never won a single state in several primaries over 30 years or so, and his corruption is now public knowledge.
And that's just when he was fairly young and healthy. Now he's also old and decrepit and neither physically nor mentally up to the rigors of campaigning or governing.
Based on how delegate distributions have gone so far, a brokered convention is likely, and I suspect was the plan all along to prevent an insurgent candidate like Bernie or Trump from taking over the party. Right now, out of the 65 pledged delegates from the first 2 states, at least 43 delegates are pledged to an eventual loser while no more than 22 are pledged to the eventual winner.
We should probably know after Super Tuesday if the convention will be brokered, as a bit more than a third of all pledged delegates will be awarded that day. If no candidate wins more than 500 that day, it will be extremely difficult for anybody to reach the magic delegate number due to the proportional awarding of delegates.
So, how does this work? Bloomberg hasn’t a presence at any of the previous caucuses, yet somehow can take a/the lead now? Doesn’t that mean that anything gone before is meaningless?
Is it really that there will be an ‘appointed one’? Sounds like all of this is just polling to see what the proletariat think.
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