Althouse: Sunrise.

13 ఆగస్టు, 2026

Sunrise.

51 కామెంట్‌లు:

Ann Althouse చెప్పారు...: This is an open thread. Write about whatever you want.; 13-08-26 6:53 PM
Political Junkie చెప్పారు...: Polls are wild.
I do not know squat about Ohio, but it is hard for me see Vivek beat the lady D for gov and yet Brown crushes the R senator.; 13-08-26 6:57 PM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ చెప్పారు...: US sells 30-year bonds at highest borrowing costs since 2001~ WSJ

'Yields have jumped amid concerns over mounting public debt and persistently high inflation'

The long bond is coming for all the mistakes that have accumulated since 2001.

Empire gets paid for! Americans will be lucky to get away with austerity instead of apocalypse.

New York will earn all the fees; the Heartland will pick up the tab! So surprising that the yokels ever thought it was going to be any other way.; 13-08-26 7:05 PM
Meade చెప్పారు...: “US sells 30-year bonds at highest borrowing costs since 2001~ WSJ”
‘Yields have jumped amid concerns over mounting public debt and persistently high inflation'

Accurate.

The rest is pure theatrical fatalism dressed up as insight.; 13-08-26 7:30 PM
J L Oliver చెప్పారు...: Today is a mist-ery.; 13-08-26 8:03 PM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ చెప్పారు...: Meade: This seems perhaps like a bigger story that will have repercussions. The patience of the bond markets will ultimately wear thin..; 13-08-26 8:15 PM
Caroline చెప్పారు...: Oh! I adore this one!
Still enjoying Mom’s house in the smokies with the grandsons. They are going to be fine men. Today the bros had a pissing contest in the woods. No one told them to do it. 4 year old bro just had to go, and amazed himself with the robust stream. The 3 year old had to get into the action. Immediate competition. The male essence.; 13-08-26 8:53 PM
hanuman_prodigious_leaper చెప్పారు...: How it's done across the Pond
Farage
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c5y40d11zewt; 13-08-26 9:06 PM
lonejustice చెప్పారు...: Smoke on the Water ...; 13-08-26 9:08 PM
hanuman_prodigious_leaper చెప్పారు...: 3 Footer
https://www.bbc.com/news/live/c5y40d11zewt?post=asset%3Ae2159224-e2df-4e2f-a2ee-3a8a31e65938#post; 13-08-26 9:09 PM
wildswan చెప్పారు...: Sunrise a few days after the 2026 Dem primary In Wisconsin.

People in New Hampshire are asking me to explain. "Well, you see, election officials in five different places pressed the wrong button on five out of the seven major vote tally machines; and then the media reporting ended while the election officials went to press the right buttons; and so then, the election officials counted again without any coverage; and then the front runner lost and won't challenge anything that happened. And so, Wisconsin moves ahead of California in the Advanced Forms of Vote Counting Sweepstakes."; 13-08-26 9:20 PM
Lem Vibe Bandit చెప్పారు...: Love this picture. There can be only one, because it's perfect.; 13-08-26 9:46 PM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ చెప్పారు...: Anthropic backers eye $2T valuation for IPO this fall ~ LinkedIn

$2T x 20% return because the risk is gargantuan = $400B in annual free cash flow / 25% free cash flow margin to be incredibly generous = $1.6T in revenue required.

Assume annualized revenue of $100B by the end of 2026, so they need to grow revenue by $1.5T, on top of SpaceX, OpenAI, Google, Meta, Microsoft, all of the Chinese AI companies, Mistral, and every other smaller AI company plus all of the hardware makers like Nvidia.

For those of you running companies, how many of you are forecasting doubling your IT spend every year for the next few decades and are backing that up with supporting revenue growth or expense offsets?

By way of comparison, total current global IT spend is some $6T. This likely includes what's going into data center builds now. These AI values need another $10T+ in incremental revenue plus perpetual growth to justify the planned capex. So the world is going to more than double IT spend and grow that forever.

If you thought inflation was bad now...!; 13-08-26 10:06 PM
Quayle చెప్పారు...: “The patience of the bond markets will ultimately wear thin..”

US bonds don’t have to be stronger than the bear. They only have to be stronger than the next economy. or do you see a better low risk alternative IEE? Germany?; 13-08-26 11:13 PM
Mark చెప్పారు...: ‘Yields have jumped amid concerns over mounting public debt and persistently high inflation'

You haven't been pulling cash out in the last 5 year as things have spiked?

My accountant father taught me about compounding and time, thankfully he also talked to me about pulling money out when at historic highs. About to pull the last of what I need for the remaining 3 years of child college so the rest can just build.

The last years in the market have been great, but late into Republican Presidential terms the market goes to shit.; 13-08-26 11:33 PM
Michael Fitzgerald చెప్పారు...: "late into Republican Presidential terms the market goes to shit."
A result of the fear that it may be replaced by a Democrat Party administration.; 14-08-26 12:14 AM
john mosby చెప్పారు...: Any of the sailors in the board want to weigh in on the sudden story about low morale and suicide attempts on the USS LINCOLN? As a soldier, at first take I don’t have a huge amount of sympathy, but I am open to other perspectives. CC, JSM; 14-08-26 12:39 AM
mccullough చెప్పారు...: Exciting comeback by the Brewers. Very rare to hit four straight singles.

These teams are pretty even. Would be nice to see a rematch in this year’s NLCS.; 14-08-26 12:42 AM
john mosby చెప్పారు...: Visiting Angels is a big Fox News advertiser. But lately they have been running help wanted ads. And the actors playing the Angels are all over 60. Is this how we are going to get out of the care problem: young elderly taking care of old elderly? On the bright side, they must be doing this because the migrant work force is drying up. CC, JSM; 14-08-26 12:44 AM
hawkeyedjb చెప్పారు...: The eclipse in northern France was a big bust. Instead of the promised 94% coverage we got the inverse. I’ve asked to speak to the manager.; 14-08-26 1:03 AM
Old and slow చెప్పారు...: 94% coverage for a solar eclipse is about 1% as impressive as 100%. It’s a mildly interesting anomaly.; 14-08-26 1:47 AM
wendybar చెప్పారు...: ఈ కామెంట్‌ను రచయిత తీసివేశారు.; 14-08-26 2:53 AM
wendybar చెప్పారు...: Whilst we are fighting over men playing in women sports, this is actually happening, and our media is silent???

Michael Lucci
@Michael7ucci
·
Follow
🚨CCP intel official Philip Qiu, who is trained as a SNIPER, bought an historic building overlooking the White House.

China is surrounding our military bases & key assets. Now, they’re a stone's throw from the President and his senior team. @LenczyckiPhilip's must read 🧵👇
Daily Caller
@DailyCaller
🚨SCOOP: A senior Chinese Communist Party (CCP) intelligence official is the new owner of a historic building overlooking the White House Complex, a Daily Caller News Foundation investigation discovered.

Located approximately 650 feet northeast of the White House grounds, the
10:08 AM · Aug 13, 2026

https://x.com/Michael7ucci/status/2087904204132147642?s=20; 14-08-26 2:54 AM
wendybar చెప్పారు...: As time goes on, isn't anybody else as sick and tired of the lies of the left and their corrupted intel agencies that performed what can only be called a coup on President Trump and his administration??? WHEN are we going to see actual justice, and not just talk???

"The declassified documents identified Republicans, including other high-ranking officials such as former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and the late Lindsey Graham, as conduits for Russian misinformation. At the same time, figures such as George Soros, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, former President Barack Obama, Joe Biden, Hunter Biden, and former Secretary of State John Kerry are “targets” for Russian disinformation.

What is bizarre is that the FBI was aware by that point that Clinton had secretly funded the Russian collusion hoax and helped launch the greatest political hit job in history with a cooperating media."

https://jonathanturley.org/2026/08/13/round-river-fbi-reportedly-listed-bill-barr-michael-pence-and-other-republicans-as-russian-conduits-of-misinformation/; 14-08-26 3:00 AM
wendybar చెప్పారు...: I actually HATE the people who are destroying America every chance they get. The left assholes won't be happy until everything in America is up in flames.

This is why we can't have nice things.

Andrew Leyden
@PenguinSix
Vandals have graffitied the World War II Memorial besides just adding bubble soap. “Clean Hands Dirty $” painted on the side.

https://x.com/PenguinSix/status/2087978165981298928?s=20; 14-08-26 3:16 AM
wendybar చెప్పారు...: Coming soon to an American Progressive town near you!!!

https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2026/08/15-year-old-muslim-boy-reportedly-takes-14-year-old-european-girl-as-a-sex-slave-with-full-consent-of-his-parents/; 14-08-26 3:19 AM
Saint Croix చెప్పారు...: Wow. Wendybar, thank you for that link at 3:19.

I've read that the age of Aisha is one of the major disputes in Islam, dividing Sunni and Shiite. That's what A.I. is saying now, and I've read that elsewhere. AI says that a Sunni Muslim believes that Muhammad married at 6 and consummated the marriage at 9. While a Shiite Muslim thinks she was 19. Pretty good discussion on this reddit thread.; 14-08-26 3:50 AM
Saint Croix చెప్పారు...: Here's the report from the RAIR Foundation.

A 15-year-old son of Iraqi refugees turned a free Viennese schoolgirl into his Sklavin, forcing conversion, the hijab, and repeated rape while invoking Allah’s name to threaten death, exactly reproducing the Quran’s category of ma malakat aymanukum, “what your right hands possess.”. Horrifying.; 14-08-26 4:15 AM
Saint Croix చెప్పారు...: Honestly my experience with Muslims in the USA has been nothing but positive. I knew a Muslim attorney, who would go off and pray secretly five times a day. Nice guy. I asked him once about Sufis and he got so mad. He really did not like Sufis.

In film school I knew a guy, a refugee from Afghanistan, I actually never knew what his religion was. Might have been a Christian, for all I know, or a Sufi. He was a sweetheart of a man, very humble, he would make a little prayer gesture with his hands whenever anybody showed him any kindness. I helped him with his English on his screenplay, and acted in one of his movies. I asked him once, by e-mail, if he was a Christian or a Sufi or what, and he kind of ducked the question. To me, he was a very spiritual guy, and I had a lot of respect for him.

(I like the Sufis because Rumi, the famous poet, was a Sufi).; 14-08-26 4:15 AM
Saint Croix చెప్పారు...: I think in the USA we have been very careful with what countries immigrants come from. So we haven't had seen the rape networks that have rocked the UK and other places.

I'm not saying that we have had no crimes from Islamic people here. Obviously we have. 9/11. But we've also had a lot of great people who have added to our culture. Muhammad Ali, Ahmad Rashad, Dave Chapelle.

I think our immigration policies are significantly better than what Europe did.; 14-08-26 4:21 AM
wendybar చెప్పారు...: Time to let Enes and Royce play!! WNBA is open to all.

Riley Gaines

@Riley_Gaines_
Holy moly. Check it. WNBA awarded two boys who stole FIFTEEN state titles from girls in Connecticut as their Women Crush Wednesday.

This was back in 2021. Traitors to women,
@WNBA
Quote
WNBA
@WNBA
·
Jun 2, 2021
Our first #WCW of #WNBAPride goes out to Andraya Yearwood and Terry Miller.

We see you. We support you and all of the other trans athletes just trying to compete in the sports they love. 🧡

https://x.com/Riley_Gaines_/status/2088014339751981412?s=20; 14-08-26 5:29 AM
Tina Trent చెప్పారు...: A note for the older readers here, from an eggman.

I worked with a very loquatious eggman overnights at Kroger. They're having a serious southwestern salmonella outbreak there -- killed dozens in one state. He says the FDA guidelines are useless because the affected area ships their eggs to fast food places and restaurants all over the country, to places not on the FDA list, and add them raw in pre-baked bakery items shipped around the country, including for thing like brownies and meringue that are not cooked to temperature. Or worse, Ceasar salad dressing and Carpaccio.

He spent his working, and perhaps leisure, life thinking about eggs. He subscribed to an egg farmer newsletter. He said to be very cautious of farm to table eggs, because even the well-intentioned range in knowledge. I learned all there is to know about eggs from him (I thought chickens breastfed their offspring: I did not tell him that). He delighted in showing me cracked and broken eggs and describing the trajectory of the way they broke. He taught me all the layers of eggs; their cultural significance to different people around the world, and the inherent, yet different dangers affecting both factory and free-range eggs.

There is nothing I love more than a person who embraces his work so thoroughly. There is learning all around us. Don't get me started on the produce guy. Education is where you find it.

Mandami and all the other dolts opening "socialist" grocery stores will fail brutally. Atlanta tried that food desert crap years ago. The black lefty grad students and activists (redundant) made off with mi!lions in grants, aka tax dollars and not a single "store" remains.; 14-08-26 5:32 AM
rehajm చెప్పారు...: “The last years in the market have been great, but late into Republican Presidential terms the market goes to shit.”

…Marty Zweig did a bunch of work on high correlation events like Presidential cycles and as a student I did a deep dive on the couple dozen high correlation events a number if high profile economists have written about. I don’t recall any such relationship- it sounds purely political. I know you won’t listen but I’ll give you the most robust relationship- the third year of a Presidential cycle is up and up usually up big. Combine that with avoid markets when the Fed is tightening and you’ll do very well in equities…; 14-08-26 5:34 AM
rehajm చెప్పారు...: I’m an eggman, I’m an egg eggman, oh I’m an eggman.…; 14-08-26 5:36 AM
wendybar చెప్పారు...: It never happens, does it????/s

Lara Logan
@laralogan
·
6h
We have never been here before - this is outrageous. No wonder Minnesotta is in so much trouble. Vouching for 8 people? No ID required? What the hell. Well done to James O’Keefe & Cam Higby - hard to believe they pulled this off with that terrible accent! But such an important story. If you did not see it with your own eyes, you would struggle to believe this could be true. What happened to the constitutional standard for elections? Since elections are critical infrastructure this affects the entire government & should be treated as a national emergency.
Quote
O’Keefe Media Group
@OKeefeMedia
·
17h
CAUGHT INSIDE MINNEAPOLIS POLLING BOOTHS: Minnesota Poll Workers Tell O’Keefe, Dressed in Muslim Garb, & @camhigby, in a Burka, That They Can Vouch for Eight Unregistered Voters Without ID, Allowing Them to Vote in Minnesota Primary Election

https://x.com/laralogan/status/2088114439190938077?s=20; 14-08-26 6:04 AM
The judge చెప్పారు...: Does anyone on this Wisconsin adjacent blog believe that Hong’s election was NOT stolen by Tony Evers and his cronies?; 14-08-26 6:12 AM
Humperdink చెప్పారు...: The NBA’s LA Lakers were recently sold for $12.5 billion. Interested in buying a pro sports franchise, but don’t have that kind of stash? It’s been reported a WNBA franchise can had for $500 Costco gift card and a late model Tesla.; 14-08-26 6:35 AM
Achilles చెప్పారు...: Quayle said...

“The patience of the bond markets will ultimately wear thin..”

US bonds don’t have to be stronger than the bear. They only have to be stronger than the next economy. or do you see a better low risk alternative IEE? Germany?

These people only spew what they are told by their masters.

They are too stupid to actually ask a question like that.

They don't even realize that Biden was driving the debt and the bond markets to ruin 10x faster than Trump and that the bond markets are still digesting Biden's actual runaway inflation.

Also note that our investment in Iran is less than 10% of what we invested in Ukraine. We sent piles of actual cash and much of our weapons stockpiles to Ukraine.

Biden's war in Ukraine was orders of magnitude more costly and Inflation during the Biden years was always more than double what it has been under Trump.

But these morons bleat and blab. They are just stupid people saying the things they are told to say.; 14-08-26 6:54 AM
Curious George చెప్పారు...: "The judge said...
Does anyone on this Wisconsin adjacent blog believe that Hong’s election was NOT stolen by Tony Evers and his cronies?"

It was bought, not stolen. I'm sure Hong did alright, which is why she's not bitching about it. I doubt Evers had anything to do with it.; 14-08-26 7:06 AM
Leland చెప్పారు...: “ You haven't been pulling cash out in the last 5 year as things have spiked?

My accountant father taught me about compounding and time, thankfully he also talked to me about pulling money out when at historic highs.”

The DJIA grew 53% in the last 5 years, S&P 77%, NASDAQ 99%. Good thing you took your money out, fool.; 14-08-26 7:09 AM
Josephbleau చెప్పారు...: “I am the eggman, they are the eggmen, I am the walrus, goo goo g’joob”; 14-08-26 8:03 AM
Peachy+2 చెప్పారు...: We all should study all 3 books of Islam - not just the Koran.
In it we will find that big MO was a slave owning pedophile.; 14-08-26 8:25 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ చెప్పారు...: It seems like ancient history now, but there was actually a period at the turn of the century, from 1997 to 2000, when the US government ran a large annual fiscal surplus and there was mounting consternation bordering on panic on Wall Street and in the wider global financial markets, that the US government was on track for repaying all its outstanding debt, with projections from both the Clinton administration and the CBO showing that the entire outstanding public debt of the US would be eliminated around 2010, and hence issuance of US Treasuries was going to be severely curtailed, if not outright ended.

What a interesting turnaround it has been though, with first the Dotcom bust and 9/11 and then the GFC setting into motion the trend for huge and rising fiscal deficits and a commensurate surfeit of US Treasuries issuance and federal government borrowing, that gained even further momentum during the Covid "recession-let" and is now firmly headed towards the moon.

Total US Federal government debt was just a little over $ 5.7T at end-2000, and it is now reaching and breaching the $ 40T mark.

What would be really quaint is when the power-duo of Bessent and Warsh are forced to eat their words and swallow their price and jettison their much-advertised deep aversion to QE and a large Fed balance sheet and bring back QE and its cousins to try and hold down the long end of the UST curve and cap government debt servicing costs.

Crazy to think that the US empire peaked in the late 90s and is squandering a winning hand in just a quarter of a century.; 14-08-26 8:42 AM
DINKY DAU 45 చెప్పారు...: Served in the United States Navy 1965-1972, spent 3.8 years on the USS CASAGRANDE LSD13. Lived in New York while stationed out of Little Creek Virginia. We deployed 6-8 months to the Mediterranean and back to port for a month and then to San Juan for military shakedowns and operations. I had 2 children born at that time and the short period in port I was able to hitchhike from Virginia to New York and I would get home and my 2 children had no clue who I was and were afraid of me. Signing up for PBR dutY in the South Vietnam waterways as a 2nd class Boatswain mate and boat coxswain and between deployments with the 5th Fleet ,being away was part of the commitment I made to serve the country and during the bogus VIETNAM war(another based on lies conflict) I buried friends and saw much time away from my loved ones. I knew people that didn't make it through their enlistments due to mental health ,physical health and criminal activities but following orders and serving where sent was part of the SERVICE. There is only about .o4% of the population that actually serve(add in reserve,national guard etc.06%) GET THE NUKES, GULF OF TONKIN,WEAPONS MASS DESTRUCTION ETC, all bogus entries into WAR mostly without Congressional approval and by people with alternative motives BUT my opinion is if you signed up to serve than that's what you did,followed orders and did your bid. I salute those who served,the ones that didnt make it back and the ones still placed in harms way. John Mosby thank you for your service, its a different time and a different breed of armed forces now but may God bless those who decide to defend the country against its enemies Foreign AND domestic!; 14-08-26 9:20 AM
boatbuilder చెప్పారు...: "Does anyone on this Wisconsin adjacent blog believe that Hong’s election was NOT stolen by Tony Evers and his cronies?"

What are you, some sort of Election Denier?; 14-08-26 9:29 AM
boatbuilder చెప్పారు...: a) deficit and debt are very different things; the shell game of pretending that Bill Clinton magically zeroed out the "debt" is pure BS.

b) the dotcom boom and congressional spending limits (led by Newt Gingrich) produced one year of US government spending below revenues. The debt nonetheless continued to grow, albeit at a slower pace. The debt under Trump is pretty much consistent with the long-term historical trend. Not necessarily a good thing, but hardly an outlier.
https://www.investopedia.com/us-national-debt-by-year-7499291; 14-08-26 9:49 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ చెప్పారు...: The deficit/debt distinction is correct, but it’s being asked to do an awful lot of rhetorical heavy lifting here. Nobody claims Bill Clinton “magically eliminated the debt.” He produced actual budget surpluses, and those surpluses reduced debt held by the public. The fiscal turnaround was hardly just the dot-com boom; it reflected stronger growth, rising revenues and fiscal restraint as well.

And calling the pre-COVID Trump deficits merely “the long-term historical trend” is a little generous. The deficit rose from 3.5% of GDP in 2017 to 4.6% in 2019, even before the pandemic, and CBO noted that the 2019 deficit was well above the 50-year average.

So yes, deficit and debt are different things. But that distinction doesn’t make the numbers disappear, it just changes which numbers we’re arguing about.; 14-08-26 10:01 AM
Narr చెప్పారు...: I hope to live long enough to see all the mosques in the country razed and replaced with pig farms and dog kennels.; 14-08-26 10:21 AM
Rustygrommet చెప్పారు...: But these morons bleat and blab. They are just stupid people saying the things they are told to say.

You there, Mark?; 14-08-26 11:31 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ చెప్పారు...: Fresh 19-year high on the long bond yield.

5.267%; 14-08-26 11:34 AM
Lazarus చెప్పారు...: I guess the photo is from Althouse's Monet period.; 14-08-26 1:34 PM

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Althouse

13 ఆగస్టు, 2026

Sunrise.

51 కామెంట్‌లు:

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Althouse

13 ఆగస్టు, 2026

Sunrise.

51 కామెంట్‌లు:

కామెంట్‌ను పోస్ట్ చేయండి

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