Althouse: Sunrise.

August 23, 2026

Sunrise.

68 comments:

rehajm said...: …California passed the Stop Nick Shirley Act. Now you can only say nice things about fraud in California. Where have that kind of thing going on lately…; 8/23/26, 7:48 PM
Original Mike said...: Isn't the point of the 1st Amendment that government can't stop you from saying bad things about the government?; 8/23/26, 7:54 PM
JRoberts said...: I hope someone takes this to court and, if necessary, to SCOTUS; 8/23/26, 8:03 PM
Grant said...: In thinking about “Vanya on 42nd Street” I was reminded that the transition between the actors arriving at the theater and the play actually starting is so subtle that I completely missed it the first time. In a way it seems strange to say it, but it’s more riveting as a movie than most action pics. I’ve watched it many times. Now I have to add “Blue Moon” to the watch list as well.; 8/23/26, 8:03 PM
rehajm said...: It’s a whole bunch of bs about protecting fraudsters from being outed, right to privacy and all and free from intimidation that could discourage more fraud.; 8/23/26, 8:07 PM
Iman said...: There are so many Calunicornia politicians that need to be shown the door - some shown a jail cell - and Gavin Newscum and AG Rob Bonta are at the top of the list of crooks.; 8/23/26, 8:10 PM
Mason G said...: "Isn't the point of the 1st Amendment that government can't stop you from saying bad things about the government?"

You can still say bad things about Republicans, so you've got that going for you. Which is nice.; 8/23/26, 8:14 PM
Eva Marie said...: There’s something very intimate about a movie staged in a small, enclosed space. With fewer visual distractions and less distance, we can examine the characters much more closely, and every pause, glance, and interpretive choice by the actors becomes more significant. Even a good theater seat doesn’t give us the same intimacy as Louis Malle’s film.; 8/23/26, 8:40 PM
Gospace said...: I just read through last night's open thread, and read that time zones were a creation of science. Totally, totally wrong.

Time zones were a creation of hard nosed businessmen and engineers. Mostly the first, those running railroads. Listening to the engineers...

Local time was observed and reset at noon every day before reliable timekeeping and time zones were established. And remnants of this survive into today's world. On the most most modern of naval vessels, at least in the Western world, including the US, the Captain's permission is requested and required to sound 8 bells at noon to indicate the end of the forenoon watch and beginning of the afternoon watch. A vessel's travels could change local noon daily by quite a bit, hence a daily reset. So the forenoon watch daily would be a little longer or shorter then 4 hours. It's now governed by the clock.

And 24 time zones aren't needed to keep accurate time. China and India are the two largest countries with one time zone covering the country. You have to deal with the fact solar noon and clock noon are two different things. On submarines, soon after the words "Dive! Dive!" are uttered, the sub shifts to Zulu time, aka Greenwich Mean Time, until it surfaces. There's no reason we all couldn't operate on Zulu time. Just adjust local operating hours to match local sun.; 8/23/26, 8:55 PM
tcrosse said...: A chamber work like Vanya on 42nd St works very well on television, viewed in intimate surroundings.; 8/23/26, 8:59 PM
Original Mike said...: Council on Foreign Relations President Says Trump Gave Mark Carney an Ultimatum, USA or China? Carney Chose China

China wants to sell into the US through the back door. Trump wants to block that. Carney sided with China.

Good luck with that.; 8/23/26, 9:27 PM
Smilin' Jack said...: “…California passed the Stop Nick Shirley Act. Now you can only say nice things about fraud in California.”

Speech is violence. So is silence. (Sounds like a good start for a poem. I’m tempted to have AI write one.); 8/23/26, 9:44 PM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: The Dumbest Trade War Revisited
Trump’s decision to escalate a tariff brawl with Canada makes no economic or political sense. ~ WSJ

"President Trump took exception last year when we called his tariffs against Canada and Mexico the dumbest trade war in history. It got dumber this weekend as Mr. Trump escalated with another round of border taxes on Canadian imports, a mere 10 weeks before midterm elections."

"At the eleventh hour, the US also introduced measures to restrict Canada’s ability to seal trade deals with other nations"

Canada is never going to provide sovereignty to the US. Trump is an economic illiterate. And his acolytes no better. There is a broad and durable political coalition in Canada to stand up to Trump. The political coalition for hammering Canada with tariffs in the US is basically confined to a few Twitter posters.; 8/23/26, 9:45 PM
Big Mike said...: I damned near lost my life on vacation in Canada in 2022 thanks to their healthcare system. I hope Trump bankrupts tbem.; 8/23/26, 9:54 PM
Original Mike said...: "There is a broad and durable political coalition in Canada to stand up to Trump."

Around 78% of all Canadian exports rely on US consumer markets. These goods and resources only make up around 13% of all US imports. Meanwhile, around 15% of US exports go to Canada. In the US, exports make up 11% of total GDP. In Canada, exports make up 33% of GDP.; 8/23/26, 9:58 PM
Original Mike said...: "At the eleventh hour, the US also introduced measures to restrict Canada’s ability to seal trade deals with other nations"

Trump administration is pressing Canada, as well as other countries, to adopt a common approach vis a vis China, whether it's a common external tariff or export controls, or ensuring that Chinese products inputs don't get inserted into products in Canada, that will then be imported into the United States."

"And Prime Minister Carney has noted that that goes against their sovereign right to establish relationships with other countries."

Canada has that right. And the US has the sovereign right to reject Chinese steel, no matter how it's packaged.; 8/23/26, 10:05 PM
Big Mike said...: Yesterday’s Instapundit reproduced an exchange between a female Lindsay Clancy supporter and her boyfriend (possibly even her fiancé). She is offended that he would break up with her over a “f*****g opinion.” He responds that her opinion (regarding Lindsay Clancy’s murder of her children) shows tgst her values are not the same as his values, that however much compassion he could feel towards a person’s mental struggles, he cannot excuse the children’s murders, and tgst he is looking for a marriage partner and potential mother of his children, and that what she has said created a serious doubt in his mind that shecwouldcbeca suitable mother for his children.

The guy is using his head.; 8/23/26, 10:12 PM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: Calling Trump’s trade policy “incoherent” is charitable. Canada is a vital U.S. economic partner: two-way goods and services trade totaled about $917 billion in 2024, U.S. exports to Canada nearly $441 billion, and Canada is the largest export market for 32 states.
https://www.trade.gov/knowledge-product/canada-market-overview

Imposing tariffs on a neighbor with deeply integrated supply chains risks higher costs, retaliation against U.S. exporters and weaker demand for American goods. Repeatedly threatening, imposing, pausing and escalating tariffs creates uncertainty without a clear economic objective. If the goal is stronger American manufacturing and trade, alienating one of our largest customers is remarkably counterproductive.; 8/23/26, 10:19 PM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: OG Mike writes: 𝘈𝘳𝘰𝘶𝘯𝘥 78% 𝘰𝘧 𝘢𝘭𝘭 𝘊𝘢𝘯𝘢𝘥𝘪𝘢𝘯 𝘦𝘹𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘴 𝘳𝘦𝘭𝘺 𝘰𝘯 𝘜𝘚 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘶𝘮𝘦𝘳 𝘮𝘢𝘳𝘬𝘦𝘵𝘴.….

Those numbers actually make the case against tariffs, not for them. Yes, Canada is more export-dependent and 75.9% of its merchandise exports went to the U.S. in 2024. But the U.S. is hardly immune: Canada supplied critical inputs to highly integrated American industries, and U.S. exporters sold roughly $440 billion in goods and services to Canada.

Canada’s dependence means tariffs can hurt Canada disproportionately, but that doesn’t make them cost-free for Americans. Tariffs are taxes on imports, and in integrated supply chains those costs can land on American manufacturers and consumers. “We can hurt them more” isn’t an economic strategy; it’s just an expensive way to demonstrate that both economies are connected.; 8/23/26, 10:24 PM
Original Mike said...: Does Canada have tariffs on imports from the US?; 8/23/26, 10:31 PM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: "Another prominent justification for U.S. tariffs has been their claim that, since the United States runs, quote, a 'trade deficit' with Canada, we were 'ripping them off.' Also a quote. But the U.S.’s narrow merchandise trade deficit only exists because the U.S. buys so much of its energy from Canada. Canada fuels American growth: supplying 99 per cent of their natural gas imports, 85 per cent of their electricity imports, 60 per cent of their crude oil imports. I don’t think they want us to stop sending any of that energy.

And if you look more broadly at the comprehensive U.S.-Canada trade balance, which includes the many services, from finance to entertainment, that we buy from the United States, that shows a persistent American trade surplus.

Most fundamentally, trade is about building mutual strength – creating a relationship that benefits both countries. For example, Canada is the largest customer for U.S. cars—in fact, we buy more American-built cars and trucks than the United Kingdom, Japan, and China combined.

It’s the same for American steel products. Canada is also the largest customer for 26 U.S. states, and a top three customer for 45 U.S. states. Last year, Americans sold almost $600 billion in goods and services to Canadians -- that's more than $1.6 billion every single day. Canadian exports to the U.S. lower the costs for American families. In contrast, tariffs are taxes, taxes which are ultimately paid by US consumers." ~ PM Mark Carney

I have a trade deficit with my beer store. I give them money, they give me beer.

GOP STRATEGISTS: We’re going to attack the hell out of this El Sayed guy, Michigan Senate is winnable for us.

TRUMP: What if I crush Michigan businesses, especially the auto industry, just before the election?; 8/23/26, 10:35 PM
hanuman_prodigious_leaper said...: So....
As of 2026, Canada's non-U.S. export share reached a four-decade high of 32.8%. The federal government has formally committed to a long-term goal of doubling its total non-U.S. exports over the next decade!!; 8/23/26, 10:59 PM
hanuman_prodigious_leaper said...: Canada should woo AI Data Center to locate in their vast tundras; 8/23/26, 11:01 PM
hanuman_prodigious_leaper said...: Challenges in the Far North
Remote Locations: Building huge facilities far from major cities makes it hard to move heavy equipment and supplies.
Weak Networks: Moving vast amounts of data requires extremely fast internet lines, which are limited in remote areas.
High Costs: Setting up power grids and roads in frozen ground is very expensive.
Environmental Care: Construction can disrupt fragile northern lands and wildlife habitats.; 8/23/26, 11:03 PM
Iman said...: If he were employed by the ChiComs to post what he posts numerous times on a daily basis, what would IEE™ do differently?; 8/23/26, 11:04 PM
Mason G said...: "what would IEE™ do differently?"

Post Chinese AI responses instead of ones he gets on his own?; 8/23/26, 11:12 PM
Quayle said...: He must be behind on his weekly quota.; 8/23/26, 11:21 PM
Not an oldster. said...: Is ann the friend of nina camic who presently received.thee cancer diagnosis?

Things seem different here.; 8/24/26, 1:01 AM
Humperdink said...: Future WNBA star *cough*, Enos Kanter Freedom, 6’10” 250#’s, was booted out of a WNBA game yesterday for supporting ladies in sports.

The shortsighted leadership of the WNBA thinks this problem will go away if they just ignore it. They are wrong.; 8/24/26, 5:01 AM
Lawnerd said...: Was listening to the Dead Kennedys yesterday. Haven’t played their music in years. Funny how prophetic their songs California Uber Alles and Holiday in Cambodia are. Change Jerry Brown to Gavin Newsom and the first is spot on, whereas Holiday describes the new democratic socialists to a tee.; 8/24/26, 5:37 AM
Breezy said...: The mission of the WNBA has evolved considerably since its inception in the mid 90’s. Starting as a women’s NBA, it expanded its mission statement in 2020 to explicitly advocate for underrepresented groups and women. It actually calls out activism as part of its core mission.

I submit one group that’s underrepresented in the WNBA is women who are focused on demonstrating the athleticism of women while playing fairly.; 8/24/26, 5:59 AM
Achilles said...: LOL the idiot is melting down because Ford and many other companies decided to build things in the United States.

Globalist tools can get f****d and so can their paymasters.

It makes them so mad that productivity and capital are flooding back into the United States.

But the thing that makes them angriest is seeing wages for American citizens go up. These traitors hate the United States and the people who made this the best country in the history of the world.; 8/24/26, 6:52 AM
Caroline said...: “What would IEE do differently?” Now see, I just scroll right past whatever bile he is spewing today.; 8/24/26, 6:55 AM
Achilles said...: Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...

The Dumbest Trade War Revisited
Trump’s decision to escalate a tariff brawl with Canada makes no economic or political sense. ~ WSJ

LOL!

Just because you are too stupid to understand it doesn't make it dumb.

Trump isn't going to let Carney sell Chinese steel and cars to the US.

You aren't even Chinese. You just serve them for silver. At least the Chinese serving the government of China are respectable and chose a side.

You are just a soulless sellout piece of shit like Carney.; 8/24/26, 6:57 AM
Leland said...: Wow, Gary Indiana still has major power outages. I’m sure the local politicians will find a way to blame this on people far away from Gary Indiana.; 8/24/26, 7:41 AM
gilbar said...: Gospace said..
",,There's no reason we all couldn't operate on Zulu time. Just adjust local operating hours to match local sun.."

here here!
once the switch was made, people would soon get used to it.
there aren't many jobs that depend on the sun anymore anyway.

i'm speaking as a person that spent half his life working the swing shift. we live in a 24 hour world; 8/24/26, 7:46 AM
MadTownGuy said...: Leland said...
"Wow, Gary Indiana still has major power outages. I’m sure the local politicians will find a way to blame this on people far away from Gary Indiana."

From X(pardon the odd lack of capital letters):

"gary indiana not having power is an amazing story of diversity

>entire city council is black
>every electric company executive is black
>black residents can’t stop shooting at vehicles working to restore power

and they all blame racism for going without power for so long"

https://x.com/retardmode/status/2091646704038633873; 8/24/26, 8:00 AM
MadTownGuy said...: In case you doubt the above, here's the hard news:

https://www.chicagotribune.com/2026/08/15/security-beefed-up-after-nipsco-linemen-shot-at-in-gary/; 8/24/26, 8:07 AM
Peachy+2 said...: ban the ia bot. please.; 8/24/26, 8:36 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: Though Canada’s income statement looks vulnerable to a trade war, its balance sheet is in much better shape than the US’s. I suspect Carney timed his refusal very well with Bessent having, only days prior, highlighted how fragile US government financing is. Add to that the impacts of the war with Iran and the pending mid-term elections in November and I believe there is a better than even odds outcome Trump will blink and compromise with Canada.; 8/24/26, 8:41 AM
Tina Trent said...: Humperdink: am I missing your irony, but how is Enos Freedom "supporting women in sports" by claiming to be transgender, but only when he's playing basketball, in order to invade women's sports? I thought at first that his scam was intended to highlight the absurdity of the WNBA's opening up to male players, but now I think he's just a Dadaist attention hog. Tellingly, he had two Chicago cops, maybe off duty, maybe on, flanking him to threaten players with arrest.

I really hate Dadaism. There's a reason why sexual sadists claim it as their art movement.

I agree that the management of the WNBA brought this on themselves -- and thus imposed it on their players.

I'd like to see Mike Tyson join and the stand in the middle of the court, doing nothing. He seems like the kind of guy who would do that. That would be the good, rare Dadaism.

I guess that's Dadaism too. But Dadaism for good.; 8/24/26, 8:52 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: Disappointing to wake up and find our economy and foreign policy is still in shambles despite the Washington DC Freedom 250 Grand Prix.; 8/24/26, 9:02 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: The number of ways this is idiotic is… a lot. You know the Iran war must be going badly if Trump sees tariffs, trade wars, and the resulting inflation as a way to boost his popularity.

"Canada has been ripping off the United States of America for years. Their ridiculously high tariffs on our Farmers and farm products has made life impossible for these great American Patriots, and has long created a 60 Billion Dollar Deficit between our two Countries. Not sustainable, and NOT ANYMORE! On January First, 2027, Tariffs on all Cars, Trucks, both large and small, Automotive Parts, and Steel, will be increased to 50%. Build in the U.S. and there are ZERO TARIFFS. Canada will be treated like a State no longer! On Trade, and in other ways, also, they are among the worst Nations in the World to deal with. They feel entitled, and yet, WE DON’T NEED CANADA, THEY NEED US! They do 95% of their business with the U.S., with us, the exact opposite! Thank you for your attention to this matter!" President DONALD J. TRUMP https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/117150758113256193; 8/24/26, 9:08 AM
Rustygrommet said...: Re; rich.
How to say you work for the CCP without saying you work for the CCP.; 8/24/26, 9:31 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: Iran got too difficult for him. Trump embarks on yet another lose-lose venture.; 8/24/26, 9:37 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: Achilles, tell us more about Ukraine’s “imminent defeat” at the hands of Russia.; 8/24/26, 9:46 AM
Dr Weevil said...: Flopping Aces on Twitter (link) has words for lying (and probably paid) propagandists like IEE:

"The American press spent weeks declaring the Strait of Hormuz lost. They treated every Iranian threat as proof of failure, every quiet night as confirmation that Trump had been outplayed. They ran the Iranian line because it fit the preferred story: the campaign was loud, inconclusive, and already overtaken by deal rumors.

"Meanwhile the convoys moved.

"Southern lane, Omani coast, transponders dark. Ships that open-source trackers could not see and Iranian radars could no longer find. The sensor network that once turned the strait into a tollbooth had been systematically blinded ... radars first, then the passive cameras and infrared posts on the islands. Insurance guarantees were issued. Captains were called one by one. Oil throughput climbed back toward double-digit millions of barrels a day while the same outlets kept writing as if the choke point remained firmly in Tehran’s hands.

"That is not a reporting error. It is ideological malpractice.

"When the data contradicted the narrative, the narrative won. When the ships ran dark and therefore invisible to civilian trackers, the absence of public confirmation was treated as proof of Iranian dominance rather than evidence of successful operational security. The press protected the myth of Iranian control because admitting the quiet reopening would have required acknowledging that the “failure” frame was false.

"A chokepoint is not owned by the side that still has missiles. It is owned by the side that can still see the traffic. The United States degraded the eyes. The media refused to report the result. That refusal was not neutrality. It was active service to a story they preferred over the one unfolding on the water."; 8/24/26, 10:20 AM
Peachy+2 said...: IEE is a nag-a-bot.; 8/24/26, 10:26 AM
bagoh20 said...: "what would IEE™ do differently?"

I don't know who Eric Swalwell is banging now, but I bet they get the Dutch oven treatment.; 8/24/26, 10:33 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: Yes, that is a significant operational achievement. But calling it a decisive victory, claiming Iran has been “blinded,” or declaring that its grip on Hormuz has been broken goes well beyond what the observable shipping data support.

Kpler’s data don’t show that Hormuz is “broken” or that Iran has lost its grip. Traffic has recovered from its low point, but remains roughly 90% below pre-conflict levels. That suggests a partial operational recovery, not a decisive victory—especially given the wide gap between Washington’s claimed oil flows and Kpler’s estimates.
https://www.kpler.com/blog/what-the-strait-of-hormuzs-fragile-recovery-signal-means-for-oil-flows-and-prices; 8/24/26, 10:33 AM
bagoh20 said...: Hormuz will never return to it's former levels, nor it's associated danger to oil supplies and that's a good thing. It was the IRGC's reliable hostage that eventually would be used to protect their nuclear weapons development, allowing them to start a nuclear war in the middle east. Trump ended that trajectory. The alternatives to Hormuz are permanent.; 8/24/26, 10:57 AM
Original Mike said...: Iran will never have a nuclear weapon.
(Never is a long time; let's just say in my lifetime. I can live with that.); 8/24/26, 11:08 AM
Humperdink said...: @Tina Trent. Enes Kanter Freedom is responding with absurdity. The WNBA refuses to define what a woman is. Mr. Freedom responds with: “Oh yeah, then I’m a woman”. He’s forcing the issue.; 8/24/26, 11:19 AM
Dr Weevil said...: "Yes, . . . But . . ." Typical IEEian dishonesty. The story he links to is dated July 31st, so it has nothing whatsoever to say about current flows through the strait 24 days later. Please go away, IEEE: your lies are tiresomely transparent and stupid.; 8/24/26, 11:19 AM
Mason G said...: "The WNBA refuses to define what a woman is. Mr. Freedom responds with: “Oh yeah, then I’m a woman”. He’s forcing the issue."

Cathy Engelbert is the WNBA Commissioner. She could end this nonsense overnight if she wanted to.; 8/24/26, 11:41 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: Good point— The July 31 article is dated.

But.. Current Kpler data show only 4 commodity vessels crossed Hormuz Sunday and 13 Saturday; for the week ending August 21, traffic remained roughly 90% below the pre-conflict baseline. August oil flows are estimated at about 2.3 million barrels/day, versus 4.9 million in July—hardly evidence that “Hormuz is fixed.” https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/fewer-than-20-ships-transit-key-strait-hormuz-over-weekend-data-shows-2026-08-24/; 8/24/26, 11:53 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: Canada and Iran simultaneously at war with the US was not on my bingo card for 2026.....; 8/24/26, 11:59 AM
Dr Weevil said...: How reliable is "Kpler data", compared to US Navy data? Is Kpler one of the groups criticized by Flopping Aces, quoted in my 10:20am comment? IEE doesn't know, and doesn't care, because his job (probably paid) is to trash the Trump administration however he can. Saying "Good point" when you've been caught lying is inadequate: the only decent response is to say "Yes, that was a totally fraudulent comment. I'm incapable of basic honesty, so I'm going to go away and work on improving my character, and come back in six months if I somehow succeed."; 8/24/26, 12:01 PM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: Dismissing Kpler because it isn’t the Navy is hardly a substitute for evidence. Kpler’s current data show roughly 90% fewer crossings than pre-conflict levels, while the U.S. claims oil flows near 15 million barrels/day and Kpler estimates about 5 million. Even Reuters says the discrepancy remains unresolved.; 8/24/26, 12:07 PM
Mason G said...: "Saying "Good point" when you've been caught lying is inadequate"

That's what AI says when you point out something it got wrong.; 8/24/26, 12:08 PM
Dr Weevil said...: Dismissing the Navy for Kpler is hardly a substitute for evidence. Again, IEE knows NOTHING about "Kpler's current data" except that he can use it to try to make Trump look bad. Of course, the Navy, being on the scene, has way better information than anyone else. I note that IEE doesn't bother to deny that he's a paid propagandist and a liar, he just repeats his usual bullshit, as if from a script.; 8/24/26, 12:10 PM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: If the data are wrong, demonstrate that with better data.; 8/24/26, 12:37 PM
Rustygrommet said...: You have yet to give us any.; 8/24/26, 12:46 PM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ said...: Iran Tightens Enforcement of Strait of Hormuz Transit Rules ~ Marine Times
https://www.marinelink.com/news/iran-tightens-enforcement-strait-hormuz-542351

Wait, I thought the Althouse commentariat said the US had complete control over the strait of Hormuz. Surely they wouldn't lie about that?

I was under the impression the US controlled all of the Strait of Hormuz. I dont remember exactly who said it. I’ll have to refer to my notes.; 8/24/26, 12:50 PM
Dr Weevil said...: Too lazy to give a hot link, and apparently too lazy to read past the title, IEE doesn't notice that the actual story doesn't match the title. Iran is claiming control over the strait, that's all. When the US Navy makes a statement, he assumes it's a lie, but when the genocidal mullahs and their hired thugs make a statement, he believes it! Or pretends he does, because he is being paid to spread pro-Iran propaganda.; 8/24/26, 2:18 PM
Dr Weevil said...: Does IEE think the Marine Times is an official US government newspaper, part of the Military Times Media Group, along with the Army Times, Navy Times, and Air Force Times? Or does he know it's not and hope the rest of us will be gullible enough to think it is? The US government newspaper is the Marine Corps Times, and the Marine Times is a private-sector newspaper owned by some Irishman. Not being a member, I can't read his LinkedIn profile, but I am curious as to whether he's one of the large percentage of contemporary Irishmen who are Jew-hating bigots and support the most sadistic terrorists in the Middle East, because of their shared hatred of Jews. Even if he's not, he's just some guy who reports news about ships and shipping around the world.; 8/24/26, 2:28 PM
Leland said...: "bagoh20 said...
Hormuz will never return to its former levels, nor it's associated danger to oil supplies and that's a good thing."

Indeed. Much of the oil now routes around Hormuz via pipelines. Some of those lines (mostly natural gas) were even in place prior to 2026. Also, when news casually reports ship traffic, they carelessly include Iranian traffic in previous traffic flows. Iran was a significant portion of the maritime traffic through Hormuz, and now they are not.

Kpler is a good source for maritime tracking. However, Kpler data relies on AIS data, and analysis of its data also requires more intelligence than shown in the Reuters article. Here's a key quote:

"Four vessels crossed the ‌strait on Sunday, initial data from shiptracker Kpler showed by 0228 GMT, with 13 on Saturday. The figures could change as some ships had switched off transponders on their way through."

IOW, Reuters only counted vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz that had their AIS operating during "their way through". There's a meme that references Schrodinger's cats, which is the status of cats when observed. Checking vessel status is also about observation. However, rather than watching what moves through the Strait, look for the vessels that seemed to have moved from one side of the Strait to the other, without ever being tracked through the Strait. That analysis could be done with Kpler information, but it takes more effort, and Reuters couldn't be bothered.; 8/24/26, 4:30 PM
Mason G said...: "but it takes more effort, and Reuters couldn't be bothered."

If someone thought the outcome of that exercise might advance a favored narrative, that effort could have been made. Probably.; 8/24/26, 5:13 PM