Althouse: Easter sunrise.

5 ఏప్రిల్, 2026

Easter sunrise.

Write about whatever you want in the comments.

Video by Meade.

Easter bonus:

In the fury of the moment I can see the Master’s hand....

53 కామెంట్‌లు:

Leland చెప్పారు...: I gave up reading Jamie for Lent.; 05-04-26 6:28 PM
Original Mike చెప్పారు...: Welcome back, Jamie.; 05-04-26 7:09 PM
bagoh20 చెప్పారు...: That video was a sublime experience.
I just emptied a can of spray paint on the hull of my boat, so maybe it was that.; 05-04-26 7:46 PM
bagoh20 చెప్పారు...: It's not considered huffing if you actually paint something.; 05-04-26 7:47 PM
Original Mike చెప్పారు...: "It's not considered huffing if you actually paint something."

That's what I've always thought.; 05-04-26 7:55 PM
Achilles చెప్పారు...: LLM's introduced non-deterministic behavior into electronic systems.

Agentic behavior has introduced the concept of context management allowing users to inject intent into the LLM and receive a non-deterministic response that matches progress towards a goal.

People keep making tests that humans can pass but agents cannot pass. They are clinging to the hope that humans will always be relevant. This is whistling past the graveyard.

People make decisions by using stored context. Memories at various levels. People want to pretend that we are the source of truth. But people hallucinate memories all of the time and make strange and stupid decisions based off of bad context and poor reasoning.

There really isn't anything holding AGI back right now. It has already surpassed 99% of humanity for clarity of reasoning and context storage.

But what should really be shocking to people is the rate of change. Context windows are expanding at a geometric rate. The ability to find the right information in the context window specifically the "needle in the haystack" problem is mostly solved.

We are using this current model generation to make the next model generation. I can write code easily 1000 times faster than 2 months ago. I am integrating this technology into what I do and who I am.

For people who don't want a future dominated by people who are integrating like me you have a few months at most. You need to get Trump's attention. He is really the only person who can stop what is coming.

Trump should force all people like me into a state like Wyoming and tell us that all research is open source to the government. Developers of Grok, Gemini, Claude, chatgpt etc need to be put on a reservation and watched.

He should tell anyone that is working on this outside the reservation that they will be hunted down. State actors like China need to be threatened with annihilation by the tools that are developed on that reservation.

Anthropic gave the next model, mythos the gen developed with opus, to a bunch of white hat hackers. They turned mythos loose on some of the most secure systems on the internet. Systems that have never been hacked by humans. Mythos found so many undiscovered day 0 vulnerabilities that the security industry has essentially given up even trying to beat these models.

They used Opus to build Mythos. They are going to use Mythos to build the next generation.

You don't really have all that long to pull the trigger on this. The Butlerian Jihad needs to happen or it never will and the future goes off the rails. Robot technology is growing just as fast because it is being developed with this technology too.

I thought we had until 2029. I was wrong. We all underestimated how fast new developments were going to accelerate the rate of change.; 05-04-26 8:02 PM
narciso చెప్పారు...: You trust the programmers who are embedding effective altruism into systems like claude; 05-04-26 8:07 PM
narciso చెప్పారు...: ఈ కామెంట్‌ను రచయిత తీసివేశారు.; 05-04-26 8:07 PM
Eva Marie చెప్పారు...: The ongoing Iran conflict actually undercuts your basic claim about AI superiority. If today’s systems had the all encompassing power you describe, a US-Israel coalition would likely have achieved a clean, easy victory by now. Instead, we’re seeing AI excel at compressing kill chains, rapid targeting, and processing massive amounts of data - but politics, escalation ladders, coalition friction, enemy adaption, and constant uncertainty continue to shape outcomes. That’s the evidence of an extremely powerful tool aiding human strategy, not an all-seeing replacement for it.; 05-04-26 8:47 PM
Eva Marie చెప్పారు...: In other words, I guess we should be happy the war isn’t over yet.; 05-04-26 8:49 PM
narciso చెప్పారు...: I dont think the ai is plotting strategy maybe listing objectives
Primarily the loci of the regimes powerbase

Our adversary is not an entirely rational actor; 05-04-26 8:51 PM
narciso చెప్పారు...: Its a little like the ash android when its damaged; 05-04-26 8:53 PM
Eva Marie చెప్పారు...: I think AI is doing everything. I think it is plotting strategy. Why wouldn’t the AI folks use this as an extraordinary opportunity. They don’t have to follow AI strategy but why wouldn’t they test it out. I also think one of the reasons the war is being fought now is because we have AI superiority. I think they’ve fed in everyone's bios and are gaming everything. Why wouldn’t they?; 05-04-26 8:57 PM
Eva Marie చెప్పారు...: “Our adversary is not an entirely rational actor“
Also the physical world is infinitely complex. (I hope.); 05-04-26 8:59 PM
narciso చెప్పారు...: For reasons stated above; 05-04-26 9:00 PM
narciso చెప్పారు...: If one recalls general van ripers wargame before iraq (fictionalized on jag); 05-04-26 9:08 PM
Original Mike చెప్పారు...: Glenn Reynolds has thoughts on the possible role of AI in the pilot rescue mission.; 05-04-26 9:13 PM
TickTock1948 చెప్పారు...: As usual, Achilles is a little out there, and as usual there is a a fair amount of truth in what he is saying. There perhaps not quite as good as he suggests but the best models are quite good. The pace is accelerating although there is at least on limiting factor, which is the labs procedures and protocols for releasing new models which may continue to slow things For some time. Another factor may be to have each model pay its own way, at least to some extent, before releasing the next. My recommendation is that rather than ask Trump to pay your way to Wyoming, you learn what the top models can do - because they can improve your life, and simultaneous you should prepare for a bumpy ride. I agree, a lot will happened before 2029. And remember that the race does not always go to the swift but time and chance ...; 05-04-26 9:30 PM
Beasts of England చెప్పారు...: The big storms made it through overnight so Easter was crystal clear and cool - a high of 65°. A gorgeous day.

We went to the club for lunch, and afterward went down to the range to watch my grandson hit balls. And to put it into context: he turned three years old just two weeks ago.

He got some decent kids clubs for Christmas and took his ‘wood’ to hit balls; the equivalent of a three wood in loft. His set up is perfect and square, his head remains still and his left arm is straight throughout the swing. He got the ball airborne off the deck every time - about thirty yards in the air and another ten or so roll out. Astounding. Like a machine.

He’s obsessed with golf and will watch it for hours on tv. And, not to go all Earl Woods or anything, but I get 10%…. ;); 05-04-26 9:35 PM
Gospace చెప్పారు...: narciso said...
...
Our adversary is not an entirely rational actor

One too many words. Our adversary is not a rational actor; 05-04-26 9:42 PM
hanuman_prodigious_leaper చెప్పారు...: can Trumpbrain download into TrumpAI for future missions?; 05-04-26 9:43 PM
Triangle Man చెప్పారు...: I wonder what Drudge is up to these days.; 05-04-26 10:01 PM
Achilles చెప్పారు...: TickTock1948 said...

As usual, Achilles is a little out there, and as usual there is a a fair amount of truth in what he is saying. There perhaps not quite as good as he suggests but the best models are quite good. The pace is accelerating although there is at least on limiting factor, which is the labs procedures and protocols for releasing new models which may continue to slow things For some time. Another factor may be to have each model pay its own way, at least to some extent, before releasing the next. My recommendation is that rather than ask Trump to pay your way to Wyoming, you learn what the top models can do - because they can improve your life, and simultaneous you should prepare for a bumpy ride. I agree, a lot will happened before 2029. And remember that the race does not always go to the swift but time and chance ...

I am happy building the monstrosity I am about to release on my garbage equipment burning tokens in my house. I am a software engineer preparing for a future where software engineers are completely unnecessary.

I am going to work tomorrow at a job where if I was allowed to use the tools I have built I could finish the work our team needs to do due next month most likely in a few hours. A few days ago with a prototype version I rebuilt my brother's company sales site built off wordpress. He was quoted 18,000 for a custom site a year ago. It took me about 200 words and 30 minutes of attention.

The new version I will release fairly soon is incorporating virtual memory and cache management to dynamically manage context and to provide rapid context delivery during prompt tool chain calls. I implemented virtual memory 6 years ago in a college class and had no previous knowledge of cache management systems 5 days ago.

The idea of instantly learning a skill like Neo in the Matrix is here. I have a library built and I can pull it up and read in depth on any subject. Cache and virtual memory systems are up right now. I am building the same library on the side for analog sensors, analog to digital conversions, digital signal filtering.

A user that types claude into the terminal and opens a standard claude opus agent gets a retard compared to the agents that I use. They have a custom set of MCP tools and the v2 memory pack given. I am about to cut the monotonic context growth /compaction system claude CLI provides completely out with a custom runtime environment.

I am doing this with no resources compared to NVidia or Alphabet.

There is no world where there isn't a whole lot of shit going down behind the scenes right now that is barely perceptible to someone like me and completely invisible to almost everyone else in the world.; 05-04-26 10:12 PM
Achilles చెప్పారు...: On the bright side the globalists paid for a "No Kings" protest in London.

A bunch of retards showed up to protest in a country, Britain, that literally has a king... to protest a country, The USA, that has no king and has a President won recently won a sweeping election victory.

The globalists are going to lose because they can only attract the dumbest people on the planet.; 05-04-26 10:43 PM
Jamie చెప్పారు...: One thing that happened while I was silent over Lent was that my beloved dog was diagnosed with lymphoma. We put her on palliative Prednisone to give our sons time to come see her before the end - we'd intended simply to let her go quietly, but within days of the diagnosis, we were noticing her steep decline and the boys couldn't get back to us any faster than about ten days. So all the kids were able to be with her, and also with us, all together, and Sadie was almost normally happy and energetic. That was a great blessing for a sad reason.

The Texas wildflowers - as usual, our timing was a little off and we missed their peak. But we did get a few good pictures of our dog in the bluebonnets.

Right now, I find myself thinking about the last times I'm doing things - the last pack of dog doo bags I'll need to buy, the last bath she'll take, the last time she'll chase a squirrel. We already donated her crate (seldom used from the start because my husband is a softie) and I need to find a shelter that can use her toys and her leashes.

And our nomadic life begins in earnest, pretty much as her life ends. I'm struggling a bit; this past six months or so has been like watching a spring stream eat away at its banks. Bit by bit, I'm losing things - not just Sadie, but our house, our neighbors, our church, my activities and groups, the near presence of our daughter. I know we'll gain things too, and since we won't be traveling forever (the jury is out on how long, but our feeling right now is "maybe not very" - a year? Two?), many of these losses are temporary. But at the moment, I'm feeling them keenly.; 05-04-26 10:44 PM
Eva Marie చెప్పారు...: Very sorry to hear about your dog and at the same time very happy to see that you’re back.; 05-04-26 10:50 PM
Jupiter చెప్పారు...: Let's say, that you are a young wife in Norway, around 1200 AD. And your husband comes home from a business trip, with a substantial number of thralls -- say, 70 -- in chains. You certainly don't need, or indeed have any use for, 70 thralls. So you tell him to sell most of them. But you keep a few. You walk down the line, and you choose the ones you want. You reject the unhealthy, or those that look rebellious. In short, you comport yourself as the mistress of an economic enterprise -- your family stead -- that uses slaves to increase its productivity. No doubt you are utterly immoral, and deserve -- oh, I don't know. You deserve to be enslaved! Oh, wait. Hmmm.. Anyway. Does it matter, whether you were nice to the ones you chose? Miss Scarlett?; 05-04-26 11:00 PM
Original Mike చెప్పారు...: Just curious, Jupiter. Is NASA faking the Artemis 2 mission?; 05-04-26 11:31 PM
Not an oldster. చెప్పారు...: Only certain religions and ethnicities think themselves fit to own human flesh, Jupiter. You're showing your colors...; 06-04-26 12:07 AM
Original Mike చెప్పారు...: OK, Google Maps, when I ask for directions to the gas station and your default assumption is that I'm going to walk there, …
Really?; 06-04-26 12:12 AM
gadfly చెప్పారు...: I do not believe the miraculous rescue story of the the "seriously injured" F-15 Weapons Officer who climbed a 7,000 foot ridge to avoid Iranians attempting to capture him with only a hand gun for protection and supposedly a skyful of U. S. drones and Navy Seals and CIA and our heroic president ordering his rescue once our military located his locator broadcast.

This is DumbShit Don and Whiskey Pete promoting their war incident. Trump really needs to cease firing missiles and save billions in coin and thousands of lives, He has already declared "victory."; 06-04-26 12:16 AM
gadfly చెప్పారు...: Original Mike: Be sure to take a legal gasoline canister with you .; 06-04-26 12:20 AM
Eva Marie చెప్పారు...: A good rule of thumb: only trust systems that can be overthrown.; 06-04-26 1:18 AM
Big Mike చెప్పారు...: @Gospace, I see that gadfly has included himself among your description of our adversaries.; 06-04-26 2:30 AM
wendybar చెప్పారు...: Welcome back Jamie!! Sorry about Sadie, but happy to see you posting again!!; 06-04-26 2:35 AM
Original Mike చెప్పారు...: "This moment has been a long time coming. It's not Donald Trump sinking the transatlantic alliance, it is absolutely you."

The Europeans have got to know they're torpedoing the alliance. One is forced to conclude they don't care.; 06-04-26 2:55 AM
Leland చెప్పారు...: gadfly said...
I do not believe

Sure. And with the M/V Dali hit the Francis Scott Key Bridge, you came here and claimed we needed a way to track ships like the FAA can track planes. It didn’t matter that such a system has existed for decades, that videos showed the track of the M/V Dali even after the power loss, nor the fact the bridge was evacuated by authorities that were tracking the problems on the boat.

Your ability to observe, reason, and understand things is pathetic. Nobody cares what you believe.; 06-04-26 5:57 AM
rehajm చెప్పారు...: The Europeans have got to know they're torpedoing the alliance. One is forced to conclude they don't care

I think a substantial portion of the Euro populous has been conditioned to believe they can shit on our culture and leaders with impunity while shirking their responsibilities for their own defense.; 06-04-26 6:16 AM
Humperdink చెప్పారు...: Trump has made a few mistakes (the Mueller comment, etc). I think going to mainland China would be another one. The Secret Service proven to be inept at best.; 06-04-26 6:18 AM
mongo చెప్పారు...: "The Europeans have got to know they're torpedoing the alliance. One is forced to conclude they don't care."

They may also be thinking that if they can hold on until 2029, a Democrat or RINO will take over and they can go back to business as usual.; 06-04-26 6:28 AM
Humperdink చెప్పారు...: Canada had a gun buyback. The deadline came and went with a little over 2% of the evil weapons turned in (AR’s and large capacity mags). Must be a few rebels up north.; 06-04-26 6:49 AM
Humperdink చెప్పారు...: Having watched the movie “13 Hours at Benghazi” more than a few times reminded me of Obama’s absolute indifference towards saving Americans trapped in Libya. Four Americans were killed. The military was ready to intervene but sat idle.

Which brings up to Trump. He was willing to move heaven and earth for one, count ‘em one, serviceman. Think the military loves Trump? Think conservatives love Trump?

What a stark difference between the Commie Libs and Conservatives.; 06-04-26 7:40 AM
planetgeo చెప్పారు...: gadfly, so sorry for your loss (i.e., our victory). Not.; 06-04-26 8:20 AM
Bushman of the Kohlrabi చెప్పారు...: Gadfly, I don’t know what brought you to this place but I sincerely hope you get the mental health treatment you so desperately need.; 06-04-26 8:45 AM
Jamie చెప్పారు...: This morning's Coffee and COVID is quite something, and makes me happy that I'm only going on 60 and may have access to some of these medical advancements when I need them.

https://www.coffeeandcovid.com/p/more-miracles-monday-april-6-2026; 06-04-26 8:46 AM
Rustygrommet చెప్పారు...: Achilles.
Of course we're all going to get a "heads up" when this thing goes public, right?; 06-04-26 9:06 AM
Rustygrommet చెప్పారు...: SERE school is a survival school. Sort of like Outward Bound on steroids.; 06-04-26 9:09 AM
Iman చెప్పారు...: Don’t die on us, ‘fly! You’ve got so much unintended hilarity left to give.; 06-04-26 9:21 AM
Hey Skipper చెప్పారు...: Gadfly, don't believe this.; 06-04-26 10:50 AM
Narr చెప్పారు...: Welcome back, Jamie. Sorry about the dog--still thinking of ours every day since last summer. And good luck with the free-wheeling, however long it lasts.

My wife and I are crossing some thresholds. Her oldest sibling (a half-brother) died about ten days ago in Clarksville, and we were going to drive up and stay for a few nights in a B&B arranged by one of her nieces.

But yesterday, as I was thinking about packing, I told my wife that I didn't feel like making the drives and hanging out with the survivors--who are far more conservative than the rest of the family, and vocal about it-- and she (my wife) has a cold or something and feels worse than I do anyway.

So, we're not going and I won't have to miss anything on Althouse!; 06-04-26 11:08 AM
Hassayamper చెప్పారు...: A good rule of thumb: only trust systems that can be overthrown.

This IS a good rule of thumb indeed.

This ties in with what I said yesterday about how the most fundamental civil right -- in fact, the only true civil right - is to have enough modern weaponry distributed widely enough among the civilian population that they always have the ability to overcome the minions and myrmidons of a tyrant.

Not only does this allow the public the physical means of getting rid of their oppressors, it strengthens their psychological and cultural resistance to tyranny. A man with an AR-15 hanging on the wall, who knows all his neighbors and friends are similarly armed, is a man who - long before he ever picks up a weapon and pulls the trigger - will treat politicians and their handmaidens in the bureaucracy with the open contempt and suspicion and non-compliance that they always deserve.

Armed men are insolent citizens, highly jealous of their liberty. Disarmed men are cringing slaves. This is the #1 reason that leftists work so assiduously to strip us of our weapons. They mean to enslave us, and the guns are in the way.

Their other criminal-coddling policies show clearly that they don't actually give the most miniscule shit about how many of us are killed. The more chaos and misery and suffering, the better, from the point of view of a government-worshipping leftist. They truly are our most dangerous and evil enemies, and must be regarded as an army of occupation.

And as I've said many times, politics is downstream of culture, and it all starts with the children. Kids have to be raised with a healthy hatred for the government and the kind of people who love it. They have to be taught that every Democrat politician is at best pandering to the weak and stupid and lazy locusts who want to pick the pocket of the working man for their living instead of earning their own bread, and at worst is an inhuman tyrant who wants to create a prison planet with himself in charge.; 06-04-26 11:15 AM
Humperdink చెప్పారు...: @Hassayamper, excellent post!; 06-04-26 1:30 PM
Saint Croix చెప్పారు...: Jamie, glad to have you back!

Losing a dog is rough. When my first two dogs died, I went a year or two before I got a new puppy. I guess I wanted to mourn? Anyway, in my case, my dogs have always been key to my mental health. They keep me grounded and responsible. And they are a sure cure for loneliness. I would urge you, when you're ready, to find a new dog.

Jimmy Buffett: Like My Dog; 06-04-26 6:30 PM

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5 ఏప్రిల్, 2026

Easter sunrise.

53 కామెంట్‌లు:

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5 ఏప్రిల్, 2026

Easter sunrise.

53 కామెంట్‌లు:

కామెంట్‌ను పోస్ట్ చేయండి

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