Althouse: At the Sunrise Café...

9 એપ્રિલ, 2026

At the Sunrise Café...

... you can talk all night.

118 ટિપ્પણીઓ:

Iman કહ્યું...: “Iran can claim at least one significant win: Iran has captured and taken control of the Democrat Party.”

—— DK @1Nicdar; 9/4/26 06:02 PM
MadisonMan કહ્યું...: I spent time today trying to decide if the birds building a nest atop the huge set of streetlights behind Goodman Pool were bald eagles. I decided ultimately that they weren't but next time I'm out that way I'll take along my field glasses.; 9/4/26 06:07 PM
wildswan કહ્યું...: Hezbollah and Israel are still bombing each other - Hezbollah striving to kill civilians; Israel striving to strike those who give Hezbollah orders and to blow up Hezbollah missile and weapon stockpiles. "Moral leaders" in the media and elsewhere entirely disregard Hezbollah's attacks on Israeli civilians while pretending they really think that the Hezbollah leaders and weapons depots which Israel is striking are civilians out for breath of fresh air and day care centers. "Moral Leaders!" There'll be comic routines in the future based on your pretensions.
Iran is not sending missiles against Israel or the Gulf states. It is trying to claim the Gulf of Hormuz for itself so that it can make money off tolls and gain power by threats to close the shipping lane. It's media strategy is the well known "Tet Offensive Media Strategy" in which a complete military defeat of Viet Nam by the US is presented as a complete military defeat of the US by Viet Nam in the media and the public believes the media. Some of us know better now than to believe the anti-American media and some of us have caught the TDS plague and read, with little glad cries and approving chuckles, stories from "Tet Offensive in the Media - Part II" in which the US lies prostrate in defeat before dancing Mullahs.; 9/4/26 06:34 PM
jim5301 કહ્યું...: Badger hockey team about to beat North Dakota and play in championship game 2-0 with 2 min left in 3rd; 9/4/26 06:37 PM
Not an oldster. કહ્યું...: Oh... the israeli propagandists are infiltrating the althouse blog to try to push pro Israel talking points. Hezbollah in Lebanon is currently robbing missiles at Israel so Israel is just defending itself, eh? After the overkill in Gaza, that's a hard sell...

Do you tips go up on days like this? Do you have to declare blog profits on your taxes? Do you feel used, like the salon you've built here is being overtaken for slimy propaganda pushing? Is it OK if they pay you well? Hm hm hm; 9/4/26 06:59 PM
Achilles કહ્યું...: Iran is not sending missiles against Israel or the Gulf states. It is trying to claim the Gulf of Hormuz for itself so that it can make money off tolls and gain power by threats to close the shipping lane.

The fun part would be if the United States let them do it.

Or better yet charged a toll ourselves.

Really Europe and China can get fucked at this point. You have been playing hardball for decades and we have been nice.

No really just get fucked. Especially Europe. They need to pay us back for the decades of protection we have provided for them. If Europe and China want to use international waters they can pay us back for decades of trade imbalances we have allowed.; 9/4/26 07:08 PM
Chest Rockwell કહ્યું...: "Really Europe and China can get fucked at this point"

Not as long as China controls things we need and can't produce at scale: rare earths, pharmaceuticals, etc.; 9/4/26 07:16 PM
J. Farmer કહ્યું...: The more things change, the more they stay the same.; 9/4/26 07:17 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: Emphasing the point

https://x.com/RealTraderJill/status/2042271594773393543; 9/4/26 07:19 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: Of european acquiescence to the regime; 9/4/26 07:22 PM
Original Mike કહ્યું...: Badger men in the NCAA hockey championship game!
In 2006, both the Wisconsin men and women won the championship. They could do it again. Good luck, Bucky.
(Wish I were back home.); 9/4/26 07:23 PM
Original Mike કહ્યું...: You almost jinxed us, jim.; 9/4/26 07:23 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: Rest of the story

https://x.com/Bubblebathgirl/status/2042302664420057237; 9/4/26 07:26 PM
Achilles કહ્યું...: Chest Rockwell said...

"Really Europe and China can get fucked at this point"

Not as long as China controls things we need and can't produce at scale: rare earths, pharmaceuticals, etc.

It would take us a lot less time to build rare earth manufacturing/mining and rebuild our pharmaceutical infrastructure than it would take for China to find oil in tibet.

I am all for working with a respectful honest China that deals with us in good faith.

I am also all for burying the thieving corrupt mercantilist China that currently exists.; 9/4/26 07:27 PM
Leland કહ્યું...: We don’t produce rare earth metals for the same reason we haven’t built a new nuclear reactor plant and refineries are closing in California. It’s a dirty process. So we don’t do it.

Fortunately, Australia has scaled production. But, I understand it is a progressive talking point to pretend that only China has rare earth metals.; 9/4/26 07:27 PM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ કહ્યું...: Though it poses a near-term drag on their economy, China has emerged as one of the few winners from the Iran war so far. Its large oil stockpiles have shielded it from immediate energy risks, while elevated oil prices are driving stronger demand for Chinese clean-tech exports. At the same time, U.S. cruise missile stockpiles have been heavily depleted — and replenishing them will depend on access to Chinese critical minerals.; 9/4/26 07:32 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: M.A. Rothman on X: "𝐀 𝐁𝐑𝐈𝐓𝐈𝐒𝐇 𝐍𝐄𝐖𝐒 𝐇𝐎𝐒𝐓 𝐉𝐔𝐒𝐓 𝐄𝐗𝐏𝐋𝐀𝐈𝐍𝐄𝐃 𝐓𝐑𝐔𝐌𝐏’𝐒 𝐒𝐓𝐑𝐀𝐓𝐄𝐆𝐘 𝐁𝐄𝐓𝐓𝐄𝐑 𝐓𝐇𝐀𝐍 𝐀𝐍𝐘𝐎𝐍𝐄 𝐈𝐍 𝐀𝐌𝐄𝐑𝐈𝐂𝐀𝐍 𝐌𝐄𝐃𝐈𝐀 — 𝐀𝐍𝐃 𝐇𝐄’𝐒 𝐓𝐄𝐑𝐑𝐈𝐅𝐈𝐄𝐃 𝐎𝐅 𝐖𝐇𝐀𝐓 𝐈𝐓 𝐌𝐄𝐀𝐍𝐒 𝐅𝐎𝐑 𝐄𝐔𝐑𝐎𝐏𝐄 GB News’ Alex Armstrong laid https://t.co/geQR6obYBq" / X https://share.google/JY66t1Q8VUuIVaVJ8; 9/4/26 07:36 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: Otto falls into the 'not even wrong' basket; 9/4/26 07:37 PM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ કહ્યું...: How did we know it was going to play out like this?

Iran is doing a very poor job, dishonorable some would say, of allowing Oil to go through the Strait of Hormuz. That is not the agreement we have! President DONALD J. TRUMP; 9/4/26 07:40 PM
Achilles કહ્યું...: Leland said...

We don’t produce rare earth metals for the same reason we haven’t built a new nuclear reactor plant and refineries are closing in California. It’s a dirty process. So we don’t do it.

Fortunately, Australia has scaled production. But, I understand it is a progressive talking point to pretend that only China has rare earth metals.

Exactly.

We have access to all of the rare earths we need.

We know how to build pharmaceutical plants.

Someone decided we don't do that. Fuck them. We can do it and we should do it.; 9/4/26 07:41 PM
Achilles કહ્યું...: Little Excursion™️ said...

Though it poses a near-term drag on their economy, China has emerged as one of the few winners from the Iran war so far. Its large oil stockpiles have shielded it from immediate energy risks, while elevated oil prices are driving stronger demand for Chinese clean-tech exports. At the same time, U.S. cruise missile stockpiles have been heavily depleted — and replenishing them will depend on access to Chinese critical minerals.

LOL the retard is probably stupid enough to believe this!

China is groveling right now. They just lost all access to about 60% of their oil imports.

Nobody believes anything you say. It is too obviously stupid. It is shocking that you even try.; 9/4/26 07:43 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: https://x.com/DataRepublican/status/2042367595765264446; 9/4/26 07:45 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: What they are up to, when arent looking; 9/4/26 07:46 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: One thing montecristo doesnt explain is how dantes is mot recognized his disguise is barely like that of clark kent

There has to be some that recognize him; 9/4/26 07:49 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: Its not theres is plastic surgery in the early 19th century

The tv series revenge in the 00s played with this notion of revenge against corrupt hamptonites; 9/4/26 07:52 PM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ કહ્યું...: Having mastered coronavirus epidemiology, Russian history, bridge safety, ballroom architecture, submarine design, balloon dynamics, toilet paper supply chain logistics, large language models, narco terrorism, and international alliances aa well as elementary Farsi, I would like like turn my beautiful mind to the closing of the Strait of Hormuz and how this will impact Brent crude. ~ Achilles; 9/4/26 08:03 PM
Iman કહ્યું...: Hey, narciso! The British bloke must’ve got wind of that take from 10delta posted last week…

https://x.com/_10delta_/status/2037098099823243273?s=20; 9/4/26 08:05 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: So it seems iman

There seems to be a lot of money operating to keep that crew of pirates afloat; 9/4/26 08:08 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: As they fiction (has to have an internsl consistency) reality apparently doesnt; 9/4/26 08:10 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: Thsy pretend the ayatollah is cognizant the chain of command is intact thats why rhe asst sport minister chimed up

Funny this happened not long after the australian brouhaha with their olympic team; 9/4/26 08:14 PM
FullMoon કહ્યું...: Welcome back. Stick around; 9/4/26 08:15 PM
Peachy કહ્યું...: I agree!; 9/4/26 08:19 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: Thats enfuriating he definetely had the presence of mind to do ths deed; 9/4/26 08:29 PM
RCOCEAN II કહ્યું...: NCAA championship got 18 million. Hidden behind the "Cable Paywall" on TBS. I think its a big reason why there's zero buzz about the game. The Football Championship was same. No Buzz.

Given these teams are either from public universities or private ones that get massive public funding and tax breaks we should be able to watch the game on TV without paying ESPN or TBS for privilage.; 9/4/26 08:31 PM
RCOCEAN II કહ્યું...: Here's the crazy thing. Of the 18 million who watched, only 4.5 million (less than 30 percent) were 18-49. I wonder how many old people over 60 were watching? 50 percent.; 9/4/26 08:36 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: They clearly are going for a more selectivd audience qhu knows why

Its a thing in the movies and other media; 9/4/26 08:42 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: See supergirl and harry potter controversies; 9/4/26 08:44 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: આ ટિપ્પણી લેખક દ્વારા દૂર કરવામાં આવી છે.; 9/4/26 08:44 PM
Iman કહ્યું...: Unsee this!

https://x.com/i/status/2042364682342694963; 9/4/26 08:47 PM
imTay કહ્યું...: Found an interesting use for AI. I have been watching MLB games, and started entering the situations, for instance lefty pitching to a righty, guy on 2nd, or whatever, and talked about strategy of the pitcher, and I learned a lot about baseball in a very short time. It's kind of like scoring the game as you watch, I guess, but you definitely go a lot deeper into each at bat, and the game becomes a lot more interesting. I know there are people who know baseball inside and out, but I have always been a casual fan, and it's kind of eye opening. Suddenly the comments by the announcers are more than background noise, but you connect them to stuff you noticed yourself.; 9/4/26 08:48 PM
narciso કહ્યું...: Teh precious; 9/4/26 08:49 PM
Narr કહ્યું...: I've been watching teh Count of M.C. What a train wreck.

Since I never read the book, I'm not sure whether to blame Dumas or the adapters for the plot holes and nonsensical
elements of the story.

Not to mention, the Italian fishing village scene features an anachronistic accordion.

Sad.; 9/4/26 08:54 PM
RCOCEAN II કહ્યું...: Dont worry about not liking the Count de Monte Cristo. Most people now don't know it was a book. Or care whether it had "Plot holes". They just want things to go boom and look at hot chicks.

My funniest conversation with a zoomer about Game of Thrones.

Me: I don't like all the Rape S/M stuff. They should call it by George rape rape Martin.
Zoomer: that's the way it was back then, dude.
Me: Oh, you mean with dragons.; 9/4/26 09:05 PM
Lem Vibe Bandit કહ્યું...: Melania put out a statement about Epstein without consultation with Trump?

#TrumpTroubles; 9/4/26 09:13 PM
Peachy કહ્યું...: I'm enjoying the Count of MC.; 9/4/26 09:16 PM
Peachy કહ્યું...: not supposed to pick it apart- just go along for the ride.; 9/4/26 09:18 PM
john mosby કહ્યું...: Yes, Count is just supposed to be a rollicking adventure story. But because it has actors with British accents, pretending to be French*, the Brits can make a few extra quid selling it to Masterpiece.

* The show takes a really strict approach to the translation problem. Not only do the actors use their normal accents, but they pronounce all French words that come up in the conversation, like placenames or personal names, the English way. Might be a bit too doctrinaire. But better than having the whole cast use cheesy Pepe Le Pew accents the whole time, I guess. CC, JSM; 9/4/26 09:23 PM
Peachy કહ્યું...: I speak English and am not a fan of subtitles. So it works for me. Revenge!; 9/4/26 09:25 PM
Peachy કહ્યું...: Plus - Lino Guanciale; 9/4/26 09:26 PM
Peachy કહ્યું...: The a-hole left are trying to spear Melania with their new found obsession with Epstein. An obsession that was not there for 4 years of Crook fake not the actually winner - Joe Biden.; 9/4/26 09:30 PM
Peachy કહ્યું...: There are plot holes - I wonder how he was able to transfer all of that heavy treasure? They skip by that. oh well.
Revenge!; 9/4/26 09:32 PM
Lem Vibe Bandit કહ્યું...: Trump dropped his 'Truth Social' hammer on Tucker, Owens, Megyn Kelly and Alex Jones.; 9/4/26 09:46 PM
Original Mike કહ્યું...: "Nobody believes anything you say. It is too obviously stupid. It is shocking that you even try."

He's being paid.; 9/4/26 09:50 PM
Eva Marie કહ્યું...: via CTH
https://youtu.be/DbiN0RCQPIs?si=EKDRC0jB4udIS8-a; 9/4/26 09:53 PM
Original Mike કહ્યું...: "Given these teams are either from public universities or private ones that get massive public funding and tax breaks we should be able to watch the game on TV without paying ESPN or TBS for privilage."

How would that work?; 9/4/26 09:54 PM
William કહ્યું...: My sympathies are with Lebanese Christians. Talk about being caught between a rock and a hard place.; 9/4/26 10:02 PM
RCOCEAN II કહ્યું...: Conversation about Star wars at work:

Youngster: I just couldn't handle all plot holes and absurdity.
Me: You mean going faster then the speed of light, space aliens, and the force?
Youngster: No, the heroine. She was such a mary sue!; 9/4/26 10:05 PM
William કહ્યું...: I've been reading about some of the religious wars in the 15th and 16th centuries. These were wars fought between Godly men. They were men of principle and they were willing to die for those principles. Sir Thomas More was executed for his beliefs. He was also willing to have others executed for their beliefs when he was Chancellor. Thomas Cranmer cheered More's execution. He himself was later burned at the stake. These were men of courage, intelligence, and conviction. The world would have been a better place if they were a tad more venal and corrupt.; 9/4/26 10:08 PM
Lem Vibe Bandit કહ્યું...: Video : The Lindy West Twist; 9/4/26 10:09 PM
William કહ્યું...: Here's an interesting little known fact about Thomas Cranmer. The King James scholars who translated the Bible didn't so much translate the Bible as crib from Cranmer's and Tyndale's previous translations, After Shakespeare, the King James Bible has had the most influence on the English language. Ashes to ashes, dust to dust: That's his expression, and many other others. He's dustier than Sir Thomas More. Most people have never heard of him. Sir Thomas More, on the other hand, got canonized and more importantly landed the starring role in A Man for All Seasons........They both died foolish deaths, but Sir Thomas More got the sepulcher with a view. Horseman pass by.; 9/4/26 10:22 PM
Aggie કહ્યું...: Looks like Venezuelan oil exports exceeded 1 million bpd in March, for the first time in a while. 40 million bbls so far this year, and about $2 billion in revenue going back to Venezuela under US supervision. The next 6 months should be showing the interesting course being charted.; 9/4/26 10:31 PM
Ignorance is Bliss કહ્યું...: Between the big and small, and the name of the blog, this seemed like it was written for the professor.

Gathering Moss; 9/4/26 10:45 PM
Saint Croix કહ્યું...: Narr, the 2002 movie version is a lot of fun. Jim Caviezel and Guy Pearce. Directed by Kevin Reynolds, who broke into the biz making Kevin Costner movies (Fandango and Robin Hood, career blew up with Waterworld). I haven't read the book, but that's a great movie.

Luis Guzman has a bit part. He tried to do a European accent, and finally Reynolds said, fuck it, the character is Puerto Rican.

Awesome, I love Guzman.

Movie also has Richard Harris and Henry Cavill. Strong script, great action scenes, and the actors are fantastic.; 9/4/26 10:54 PM
Original Mike કહ્યું...: Denver beats Michigan in the other NCAA semifinal. It'll be a WCHA throwback final.; 9/4/26 11:57 PM
Hey Skipper કહ્યું...: J. Farmer said...
The more things change, the more they stay the same.

It has been awhile. Glad to see you back.; 10/4/26 12:09 AM
Hey Skipper કહ્યું...: Little Excursion™️ said...
How did we know it was going to play out like this?

Iran is doing a very poor job, dishonorable some would say, of allowing Oil to go through the Strait of Hormuz. That is not the agreement we have! President DONALD J. TRUMP

A few days ago I happened to see a couple C-17s on downwind to land at Gowen Field in Boise.

Thinking to myself: Self, the Boise ANG A-10 squadron is deploying. Sure enough. As is a Michigan A-10 squadron.

Given the degree of air superiority that the Islamic Republic in its victorious ways has given us, why would we be sending two squadrons (probably either 32 or 48 airplanes) to the Gulf?

Well, that requires considering what those victorious ways has left the IR with: fast missile boats mimicking submarines, and Shahed drones. For which the A-10s are perfect: long loiter time, good airspeed match, and 2000 rounds of 30mm.

Also, the DOW deployed two MEUs, which include multiple mobile anti-air units, which can be helicoptered onto ship decks for the transit.

My guess is that the plan is to let the various Asian countries and feckless Euros twist in the wind a bit more before the US forces the Strait.

In other words, it's the dog that hasn't barked.; 10/4/26 12:26 AM
Original Mike કહ્યું...: "My guess is that the plan is to let the various Asian countries and feckless Euros twist in the wind a bit more before the US forces the Strait."

Works for me.; 10/4/26 12:34 AM
Jimmy કહ્યું...: Anyone following the rebellion in Ireland? multiple cities are shut down, or shutting down, and the government talks of bringing in the Army to deal with it.
People are waking up to the replacement of whites. I hope the Irish cops and army side with the people.; 10/4/26 12:54 AM
gadfly કહ્યું...: "Trump has escaped from the trap of his own making. But only the feverish mind of the American himself can consider this a triumphant victory," one of the newspapers reported. The Russian Editor for the BBC also explained how Russian media believe there is "a mass of political bonuses for Iran". Referring to the 10-point ceasefire, Moscow-based daily newspaper Moskovsky Komsomolets wrote: "The only thing missing from the list is the demand that the arrogant American leader himself personally come to Tehran, crawl 10km, periodically kissing the bombed asphalt, and then publicly repent."

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/2192230/russia-brutally-mocks-arrogant-trump; 10/4/26 01:39 AM
Original Mike કહ્યું...: Oh, gadfly, why do peddle this crap? Do you peddle it elsewhere as well or are we uniquely blessed?

10-point ceasefire; 10/4/26 02:13 AM
Original Mike કહ્યું...: U.K. leader Starmer lashes out about impacts Iran conflict is having on his country

LOL, what a putz.
Look in the mirror, buddy.; 10/4/26 02:19 AM
Original Mike કહ્યું...: I know, Kier, why don't you build a boatload more of "renewables". That strategy has done so well for you so far.; 10/4/26 02:22 AM
Original Mike કહ્યું...: The UK is sitting on the North Sea oilfield, for crying out loud.; 10/4/26 02:42 AM
Original Mike કહ્યું...: Wisconsin - North Dakota highlights; 10/4/26 03:06 AM
Bruce Hayden કહ્યું...: “ Though it poses a near-term drag on their economy, China has emerged as one of the few winners from the Iran war so far. Its large oil stockpiles have shielded it from immediate energy risks, while elevated oil prices are driving stronger demand for Chinese clean-tech exports. At the same time, U.S. cruise missile stockpiles have been heavily depleted — and replenishing them will depend on access to Chinese critical minerals.”

Much of this is silly. Large oil stockpiles? This is the country where you can see gas lines from orbit. We aren’t talking German, or even British queueing. They are Chinese. Curb to curb, for miles.

The Chinese may be the biggest net oil importers in the world. Not just for gasoline, but also their very large petrochemical industry. They import maybe 80% of their oil and gas. It was primarily coming from two client countries at below market prices: Venezuela and Iran. Below market because they were shipping arms to those countries. A lot of arms to Iran, in particular. Unfortunately, Iranian oil is still embargoed. The Chinese, being Chinese, bypassed the embargo, at least for the oil coming out of the Gulf/Strait, by transshipping it from one ghost fleet tanker, to another, somewhere down by Malaysia. Everyone now knows that we know, what they are doing and where they are doing it. And, yes, showed what happens to ghost tankers bypassing the embargo - we sink them. Those were sunk by one of our fast attack subs. Big stink because we didn’t save the crews.

Iran forced everyone to buy their oil and gas in Chinese Yuan. They did that by threatening to close the Strait of Hormuz. Which is why China superficially looks good here.; 10/4/26 04:48 AM
Eva Marie કહ્યું...: “Russia brutally mocks arrogant Trump.”
Is this the same Russia that can’t win the stupid war it started with Ukraine?; 10/4/26 04:59 AM
Bruce Hayden કહ્યું...: But can this last? Iran has control over the Strait, and nothing more. They no longer have an Air Force, a navy, including any of their small armed speedboats, or very many missiles and missile launchers. What they have mostly are prepositioned mines. But no way to lay any more of them. No one knew where those mines were. And so no one could safely sail large ships (e.g. oil tankers) safely through the Strait. Their side of the ceasefire is to provide safe passage through the Strait for a limited number of ships every day. And, it turns out, the only way to do that is to let those ships being let through, know where the mines are not. We are, of course, watching closely where those ships go, in order to safely transit the Strait. But then, it turns out, that the Iranians gave maps to at least some of these ships. So, a lot of the FUD keeping the Strait closed is now in the hands of the Great Satan - the US.

So, where is China’s preferential position here, when Iran can no longer effectively close the Strait?; 10/4/26 05:07 AM
Breezy કહ્યું...: You’d think Russia would be psyched that NATO is in a cat fight with itself.; 10/4/26 05:09 AM
Bruce Hayden કહ્યું...: Comment was made earlier that one or two wings of A-10 Warthogs were being transferred into the area. They are already there. They were in action, doing what they do best last weekend - close air support in uncontested airspace. Two were lost last weekend rescuing the F15E WSO.

Their primary purpose is to provide loitering capacity to the suppression of Iran’s remains military, along with Apache gunships and B-52 BUFFs. These aircraft just circle over Iran and the Strait, periodically getting refueled in the air by our tanker fleet. And then quickly respond and destroy whatever pops up in the electronic sensors of our circling spy planes, or our satellites further out.

But I saw an article the other day, suggesting a new use of the venerable A-20s - calling them “Sea Hogs”. They turn out to be perfect against small boats and ships. Saw a picture of several heavily armed Iranian speedboats. And thought that a perfect setup for an A-10 attack run, using its 30 mm rotating cannon, obliterating the Iranian flotilla in one quick pass.; 10/4/26 05:30 AM
Mike (MJB Wolf) કહ્યું...: Yesterday’s counter argument was “but China only gets 30% of their net energy from oil” which sounds clever if you don’t do the math. That 30% represents many millions of BPD used in a country with roughly three times our population, a country that manufactures more stuff than any other country. Stuff made of oil and petroleum byproducts.; 10/4/26 05:35 AM
Mike (MJB Wolf) કહ્યું...: A-10 or A-20?; 10/4/26 05:36 AM
Leland કહ્યું...: What they have mostly are prepositioned mines.

That's an assumption, but no commercial traffic is willing to call the bluff, and understandably so. Still, it is an assumption.; 10/4/26 06:12 AM
tim maguire કહ્યું...: Bruce Hayden said...Much of this is silly. Large oil stockpiles? This is the country where you can see gas lines from orbit.

Know what else you can see from orbit? The moldering remains of their plans to invade Taiwan.

Only a liar or an absolute ignoramus would claim this is anything other than a disaster for China.; 10/4/26 06:12 AM
Leland કહ્યું...: Why am I not surprised that Gadfly is spreading Russian propaganda via UK sources? It is like 2016 all over again.; 10/4/26 06:14 AM
Humperdink કહ્યું...: I saw a clip of a comic interviewing a chick on a college campus. He told her Trump was focused on the “Straights” of Hormuz and all but ignoring the Gays of Hormuz. She was hugely disappointed.; 10/4/26 06:38 AM
Enigma કહ્યું...: @Humperdink -- on the bright side the 'straight' kinks around Oman, and she surely appreciates kink.; 10/4/26 06:50 AM
narciso કહ્યું...: Its still a rollicking story i didnt see the caviezel one; 10/4/26 07:05 AM
Humperdink કહ્યું...: Touted by the Commie left as a future presidential candidate, disgraced lawyer Michael Avenatti was released from prison into a halfway house. He was convicted of embezzling money from Stormie Daniel’s and attempting to extort millions from Nike. The Lefties sure can pick them.

It was reported he plans to return to California and learn the Hospice business.; 10/4/26 07:06 AM
narciso કહ્યું...: I came to it fresh; 10/4/26 07:07 AM
narciso કહ્યું...: So maybe some of iranian bribe money through lloyds and santander is making it through the express; 10/4/26 07:09 AM
Mr. T. કહ્યું...: Groomer gadfly is now quoting Russian propaganda...

Thanks for confirming what we all suspected, hack.; 10/4/26 07:17 AM
n.n કહ્યું...: On the contrary, all the attention is on the trans of the Strait of Hormuz. Global affirmation therapy is a highly lucrative redistributive change facility to mitigate aborted shipping and navigational dysphoria.; 10/4/26 07:19 AM
Enigma કહ્યું...: A true Trump strategy would be to mine the Iranian "tollbooth" -- call their bluff and force the tankers back to the regular shipping lanes if they want to move at all.

But, the fearful Europeans and oil-dependent Asians want appeasement ASAP. There are also plenty of Iranian sympathizers in the adjacent countries, and the risks of internal violence are high.; 10/4/26 07:20 AM
wendybar કહ્યું...: Spitfire
@RealSpitfire
Epstein survivors decline any public Congress hearings after Melania’s speech yesterday.

Interesting.

https://x.com/RealSpitfire/status/2042576125675671718?s=20

Gina Milan
@ginamilan_
·
11h
The Epstein “survivors” said they aren’t testifying under oath.

They’ve resumed attacking Pam Bondi, their designated villain.

Melania called their bluff and was proven right.

If they’re not cashing checks or doing Super Bowl commercials, they’re not interested.

Next. 🥱

https://x.com/ginamilan_/status/2042411196381348236?s=20; 10/4/26 07:24 AM
Humperdink કહ્યું...: My bad, I forgot about the Trans of Hormuz.; 10/4/26 07:28 AM
narciso કહ્યું...: The system is broken
https://x.com/HedgieMarkets/status/2042430442448548273; 10/4/26 07:38 AM
narciso કહ્યું...: આ ટિપ્પણી લેખક દ્વારા દૂર કરવામાં આવી છે.; 10/4/26 07:38 AM
Achilles કહ્યું...: Breezy said...

You’d think Russia would be psyched that NATO is in a cat fight with itself.

Russia largely wont care. Russia is resource independent and demographically doomed.

The restructuring of the world order that Trump is implementing is aimed at Europe and China. Russia will be happy if NATO stops trying to destroy them.

This is really about removing the structural imbalance allowing china/SE asia to dominate manufacturing and not letting Europe/Canada colonize the world using the US military.; 10/4/26 07:44 AM
Hey Skipper કહ્યું...: Bruce Hayden: Comment was made earlier that one or two wings of A-10 Warthogs were being transferred into the area. They are already there.

These two units are in addition to those in place, SFAIK.; 10/4/26 07:48 AM
narciso કહ્યું...: Art of the Deal met Sun Tzu in Iran - Don Surber https://share.google/bCx0BXGntmH2fujcs; 10/4/26 07:53 AM
Jersey Fled કહ્યું...: You have to understand this to explain most of our Lefty posters here.

The simple act of believing something makes it true.; 10/4/26 08:00 AM
Bob Boyd કહ્યું...: The simple act of believing something makes it true.

It's consensus and feeling like they are part of a consensus that convinces many to believe something is true.; 10/4/26 08:18 AM
Lazarus કહ્યું...: I tried to watch the recent French version of CofMC. I couldn't finish. It was like the millionth version of the story I've seen, starting maybe with Mr. Magoo. Efforts to make the story real and painful made it drag, and it's basically a revenge story, and one isn't always in the mood for them.

I saw the "Merkel" documentary. It's not about the early 1900s bonehead ball player, but about the former German leader. Very hagiographic. It starts and ends contrasting not so subtly contrasting Merkel and Trump.

I can admit that she was a competent Establishment leader for most of her time in power, but certainly not a transformational one. Her rise to power as an Ossi and a woman and the way she pushed aside men with much more experience of politics in pre-unification West Germany was surprising and impressive, until you realize that Helmut Kohl wanted a woman and East German in his cabinet and as his successor.

According to the documentary, she took in a million refugees because of her big heart. Not an excuse for such a major blunder. They celebrated her for hating the Berlin Wall -- she wanted walls torn down, in contrast to you know who -- but they didn't ask what (if anything) she did to bring the wall down or to fight the power in the DDR. The usual suspects showed up to laud Merkel: HRC, Tony Blair, that Persian woman from CNN and PBS, etc.; 10/4/26 08:30 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ કહ્યું...: 'Victorious warriors win first and then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war first and then seek to win' ~ Sun Tzu; 10/4/26 08:59 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ કહ્યું...: “If you don’t know what you’re doing, neither does your enemy.” ~ Don Tzu; 10/4/26 09:01 AM
Narr કહ્યું...: Merkel is a criminal Stasist, and acted IMO with full intent to destroy German and European culture. And she and her acolytes have damn near succeeded.

IIRC my first interaction (of very few) here with Inga was when I criticized Merkel and she replied, "But Trump!"; 10/4/26 09:01 AM
Iman કહ્યું...: Let it be, TinyE®. Teh $5 whoah of the innerwebz.; 10/4/26 09:08 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ કહ્યું...: Iran ceasefire undercuts Benjamin Netanyahu’s election pitch ` FT
https://giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/actions/redeem/7d793979-3ff3-4815-8a70-d4c0f17dae8b; 10/4/26 09:11 AM
Peachy કહ્યું...: The pussy EU could have ended Russia's war with Ukraine if they has a proper collective military. They don't. They spend all of their tax payer's money on Islamic immigrants who vote for them in turn.; 10/4/26 09:11 AM
Narr કહ્યું...: What cinched it for me in CMC was how Dantes managed to close up and camouflage both ends of the tunnel between his and the Abbe's cells before sewing himself into the latter's burial bag.

It was an especially nice touch when Dantes breezed into the police archive and announced that he was writing an article about political prisoners in 1820 for a paper in Paris, and could he see a certain file?

And the (French!) archivist just opens up at the mention of a name, and fails to check the file contents when it is returned.

Suspension of disbelief only stretches so far.; 10/4/26 09:13 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ કહ્યું...: Inflation Soared to 3.3% in March, Driven by Higher Gasoline Costs ~ WSJ
'The reading, the first major inflation report since the Iran war began, came in at its hottest level in two years'

But that's Iran's fault right? Or Biden's?

Imagine how low pump prices would be and strong the economy and stock market would be but for Trump trying to fix things.; 10/4/26 09:26 AM
Indefinitely Extended Excursion™️ કહ્યું...: All of Trump's policies have been--to one degree or another--inflationary.

War: inflationary
Deficit: inflationary
Tariffs: inflationary
Politicizing the Fed/loose money advocacy: inflationary
Immigration: inflationary
Cuts to renewables: inflationary
Corruption: inflationary; 10/4/26 09:28 AM
Leland કહ્યું...: આ ટિપ્પણી લેખક દ્વારા દૂર કરવામાં આવી છે.; 10/4/26 10:03 AM
Leland કહ્યું...: Oh no, CPI grew to 1/3rd what it was under Biden.; 10/4/26 10:04 AM
Iman કહ્યું...: nic carter
@nic_carter
Instead of B2s Trump should threaten to send a bunch of California Democrats to Iran. Infrastructure wouldn’t stand a chance.; 10/4/26 10:22 AM
Hey Skipper કહ્યું...: Little Excursion™️ said...
All of Trump's policies have been--to one degree or another--inflationary.
...

Cuts to renewables: inflationary
...

Leaving aside all the other bollocks, cuts to renewables inflationary?

In California, with probably the highest proportion of renewables in the US, electricity is 3 times as expensive as in Idaho, which has pretty much given the single digit salute to renewables. German electricity is five times as expensive as the US average.

California, hell bent on net zero, is paying near as dammit to $6/gallon for gasoline; Idaho, above the US average due to geographic isolation, pays $1.60/gallon.

All of which is perfectly obvious to even the most casual observer of reality.; 10/4/26 10:42 AM
gadfly કહ્યું...: Melania's hoo-ha about her supposed relationship with Jeffrey and Ghislaine is certainly a diversion but not one that anyone has recognized.

The fact that Melania and Donald's relationship began in 1998, means that she has known a great deal about Trump's lawbreaking and his sexual misadventures for more than 25 years but she is somehow expecting us to believe her to be an honest person.

Honesty would have her bailing from the marriage based upon her prenuptual agreement with the Asshole but that has not happened. Could it be that she needs the Trump Iran War to be gone when Barron becomes eligible for the draft in December (as a result of Trump's Big Ugly Bill)?; 10/4/26 02:12 PM
Jim at કહ્યું...: Snort. Gadfly lecturing us about honesty.; 10/4/26 05:01 PM

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