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115 కామెంట్లు:
I can imagine seeing you take that first picture.
It’s a portal to another dimension.
Congratulations to the Wisconsin Badgers women's hockey team winning their 9th national championship beating Ohio State 3-2!
Love that top picture!
Come for the pictures, leave when the idiots show up.
Yeah, it does seem inevitable.
Israel gave Trump a "Golden Pager." Ha ha ha! Same type of pager they used to assassinate all of those Hezbollah leaders, har dee har har! No message intended, I am sure.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-netanyahu-golden-pager-b2693896.html
He then reminded people at the meeting that their phones all contained parts made in Israel.
House Minority Leader Hakeem “The Dream” Jeffries on CNN: “ The last thing that the American people need are for untrained ICE agents to be deployed at airports all across the country, potentially to brutalize or in some instances, kill them.”
https://www.breitbart.com/clips/2026/03/22/jeffries-ice-will-potentially-brutalize-kill-americans-at-airports/
I’m hoping we all get a good night's sleep. Tomorrow will be crazy.
Day ending in y
DJT is coming to Memphis tomorrow, allegedly. My theory is that he'll roll out the ICE deployment, brag about the Memphis Safe Task Force, and go look at some of Musk's projects.
Some good Memphis 'Q may mellow his mood.
Video: Double sunset 3/22/26 Sorry if it’s not real.
Put on his Florsheim shoes
And he boarded the plane
Touched down in the land of the Delta Blues
In the middle of the pouring rain
W.C. Handy
Won't you look down over Don
Yeah, he got Air Force One
An he's as orange as a boy can be
Yeah Trump's walking in Memphis
He's walking with his feet ten feet off of Beale
Walking in Memphis
But do he really know the art of the deal?
CC, JSM
They don't disappoint. Right on schedule.
Video: Double sunset 3/22/26 – Sorry if it’s not real.
One is the sun, the other is Pritzker passing gas
"...House Minority Leader Hakeem “The Dream” Jeffries on CNN: “ The last thing that the American people need are for untrained ICE agents to be deployed at airports......"
If only there was some way to avoid this from happening, some way, however difficult, to end this hardship and suffering being imposed on the American people - -amirite Hakeem ?
Many memes about Chuck Norris in Heaven. But wouldn’t it be more in character for Chuck Norris to go kick Satan’s butt?
“ The last thing that the American people need are for untrained ICE agents to be deployed at airports......"
To be fair, higher on the list of things the American people don't need is an illegal alien invasion. As was was effected and applauded by the Democrats.
But aside from that...
Now it's a mighty long way down a dirty road
Hell will burn hot on those with no moral code
'n’ Hakeem is a bum 'n’ Schiff looks like a toad
All the way from Memphis
Video: Summary of Trump involvement with Epstein.
There was no there there. Iran still hardest hit.
Video: (big claim) AI “face recognition” ruined a grandmother’s life.
The cost of writing software will be 0 soon.
Wanna hear something funny? Okay...
I was listening to this Old Time Radio program The Fat Man about the adventures of this obese private investigator. So the Fat Man gets on the scale and he weighs...237 pounds... I guess that could be fat depending on how short you are, still, to hear anyone under 300 being described as fat, and not even 250... course, people were generally smaller back then, shorter, skinnier...
https://www.youtube.com/live/1O1maVP_-FI?si=W8doSQKxjdB0hot8
How you boomers liking the war entertainment?
Israel Israel Israel... jews grabbing more land in Lebanon and the West Bank. You don't drive and are Israel firsters here, right?
You wanted it, you got it...
Meade build us a snowman or make some music vids of your girl to help the war effort. We'll clean up after you silly assholes. Fuck Israel tho. Put them in your will. America for Americans now
If you wat want to get on that plane, you have to let a macho high school grad commoner like meade molest you... USA U SA USA
ICE boys gonna get some action! They hiring meade! The music video career don't bring in that much even if the mossad plants like Keith are hitting your tip jar to use the comments platform to push Israel first...
@imTay: He then reminded people at the meeting that their phones all contained parts made in Israel.
Jealous much? Don't you dare look into how many things you rely on were invented and are made in Japan, Korea, and China. You'll crumble.
Another Commie Dem checks in.
Senator Richard “Da Nang Dick” Blumenthal: “ICE agents at airports will only aggravate delays & lines—disrupting checks, interrogating travelers, dragging parents from children, detaining citizens, brutalizing families, shooting & even killing,”
…yet another problem for them when the airports run smoother with the new people…
WTI down 9% in ten minutes. Dow went from down 250 to up 1,100. Iran negotiating the terms of their SURRENDER.
Surrender ceremony to be conducted on the USS Gerald R. Ford. Special Guests: RC Ocean and Tucker Carlson.
Not fudking funny Begley
Too many innocents dead.
Go Jack to Israel in private
The pimp will have daily photos of his wife up here soon enough...
MS NOW: Trump is surrendering.
Trump is putting America First after Bibi double crossed us...
Fuck ISRAEL hard and put her away wett.
She's gotta learn, and soon...
Balanced reporting: “On Tuesday, TMZ published a story with a dramatic all-caps headline, "PETE HEGSETH BLEW BILLION$ ON FRUIT BASKETS, LOBSTER”
TMZ omitted this from their reporting: “In 2009, when Robert Gates was the Secretary of Defense during the Obama administration, a reporter embedded with soldiers in Afghanistan detailed the experience: "The lobsters and crab legs are shipped from the United States and driven down on a refrigerated truck from Bagram. On seafood night, the crew serves up 400 of the tasty tails, 130 pounds of Alaskan King crab legs, and 135 pounds each of shrimp and scallops."
“RealClearPolitics investigations in 2024, when Gen. Lloyd Austin was the Secretary of Defense under then-President Joe Biden:
"The military spent $103.7 million on meat, fish and poultry, including $16.6 million on ribeye steak and 147 orders of lobster tail for $6.1 million. Orders of blueberries, ice cream and doughnuts also exceeded $100,000."
https://hotair.com/salena-zito/2026/03/21/our-civilian-military-bond-is-cracked-n3813083
I wonder if Iran is aware of these talks Trump alleges.
TACO Trump is bailing out of his disastrous war and juicing the markets on Monday morning.
Another TACO with extra cilantro? Very reminiscent of when the Chinese called him on Sunday in Trump's first term. He was just afraid of the market tanking further. No one had called him.
@Dave Begley on the stock market.
The Iran conflict has been a stock tempest in a teapot so far, for the deepest drop only reduced prices to fall 2025 values. Some sectors were insanely boom boom booming upwards before Iran. Still, Iran may have been the pin that popped tech/AI valuations (or bubble). Time will tell.
At this point the so-called TACO trade ("Trump Always Chickens Out") has been more right than wrong. Many people are finally understanding that Trump bluffs and changes his opinions with the weather. Take him seriously but not literally. This follows ten years of TDS.
It was reported ICE agents boarded a Southwest Airlines flight about to depart from O’Hare airport and dragged off the co-pilot, 3 flight attendants and 14 passengers, according to the NY Times this morning.
"At this point the so-called TACO trade ("Trump Always Chickens Out") has been more right than wrong."
Trump’s smartest play right now would be to declare victory, stop escalating the fight, and pivot to supporting negotiations aimed at reopening the strait. I have zero confidence he’ll actually do it—but to me, all the realistic alternatives look significantly worse.
Good for Trump 👍 finally coming to his senses...
Never go to war with allies you cannot trust.
Dont let old men with money convince you forver war is the will of the American people....
We didn't vote for this. We voted for no new wars...
and AIPAC Israel First out of our politics, universities and media... let it be done..
Wake up ann.
Dont hide
The top foto is a Homeric "wine-dark sea"
"Eventually, all things merge into one, and a river runs through it. The river was cut by the world’s great flood and runs over rocks from the basement of time. On some of the rocks are timeless raindrops. Under the rocks are the words, and some of the words are theirs.
I am haunted by waters."
---- Trump’s smartest play right now would be
Nonsense from a nudnik. Then he could bring in the UN and the WHO and Doctors Without Borders. What a wonderful world it would be.
It’s naive to assume that Israeli strategic planners did not anticipate that Strait of Hormuz would effectively be closed by Iran -- either by direct military attacks or simply threats to shipping. It has happened before.
The truth is Israel is not dependent on the Strait of Hormuz, so this would always be of secondary importance to them.
The thing is Netanyahu and Trump do not care about the consequences -- including suffering of hundreds of millions of people in the ME region. And then even more economic suffering across the world, where many countries are already economically fragile.
Old alliances keep going until a huge force breaks them -- everything has a limit and ultimately, like Lord Palmerson said:
"We have no eternal allies, and we have no perpetual enemies. Our interests are eternal and perpetual"
We shall see...
"Iranian state media reported that there were no contacts with the Trump administration, direct or indirect, over the past two days and that Trump had simply backed down out of fear of Iranian retaliation on power plants across the region."
@Howard --
What is your source?
Axios
Gemini AI's take:
As of March 23, 2026, Iran has responded with defiance to President Trump’s claims of productive negotiations, with state media and officials asserting that the U.S. "backed down" due to Iranian warnings rather than negotiations.
NBC News
NBC News
Here is the breakdown of the Iranian response based on reported events as of March 23, 2026:
Denial of Talks: Tehran has not confirmed any direct talks with the U.S. and previously vowed not to negotiate, according to Iranian state media. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi dismissed Trump's claims of a planned meeting, telling state television that there were "no arrangements for any fresh round of indirect talks".
"Backed Down" Narrative: Iranian state television and the semi-official Fars news agency claimed that Trump "feared Iran's response" to his ultimatum and "retreated" from the 48-hour deadline to attack power plants.
Threats of "Zero Restraint": Iran previously vowed to employ "zero restraint" and hit energy infrastructure across the Persian Gulf, as well as banks that do business with the US, if President Trump carried out his threat to "obliterate" Tehran's power plants.
Defiance on Hormuz: While Trump cited progress in negotiations to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian sources indicated that the Strait would remain closed to "enemies" and that its closure was a direct result of US-Israeli attacks.
Wikipedia
Wikipedia
+4
While Iranian state media and officials have maintained a public tone of defiance, the reports indicate a complex situation with backchannel efforts attempting to manage the severe energy crisis resulting from the ongoing conflict.
Like I said, we shall see.
Howard --
AllSides.com currently rates Axios as "lean left." Peers include CNN, NPR, and Politico. Trust but verify.
https://www.allsides.com/news-source/axios-media-bias
https://www.allsides.com/media-bias/media-bias-chart
Who is negotiating for Iran? I thought the leadership had been wiped out.
To me it sounds like both sides are trying to appeal to their base
Here's the Israeli state media response, Enigma.
Based on CBS News reporting as of March 23, 2026, Iran has not acknowledged the negotiations claimed by President Trump and has instead continued to threaten a "complete and total" closure of the Strait of Hormuz if the U.S. acts on threats to its energy infrastructure.
CBS News
CBS News
+1
Trump's Claim: Trump announced a five-day pause on planned strikes against Iranian power plants, claiming "very good and productive conversations" with Tehran regarding a resolution to the conflict.
Iran's Response (via CBS News/State Media): Iranian sources and state media have contradicted this, with a source telling reporters there is "no direct or indirect contact with Trump".
"Backing Down" Narrative: Iranian state media reported that Trump "backed down" from his 48-hour ultimatum to open the Strait of Hormuz, claiming this retreat was prompted by Iranian threats to target U.S. and Israeli energy facilities in the region.
Increased Tensions: The situation remains extremely volatile, with CBS reporting that Iran has promised "zero restraint" if their energy infrastructure is struck.
BBC
BBC
+5
Trump's latest market-moving U-turn (TACO?) this morning will no doubt have provided further opportunities for insider trading by his family and associates.
Trump had to back down today to avoid TACO Tuesday references.
I asked Google AI where any official message would come from, given the destruction of so many leaders:
While the conflict has caused significant disruption, the Iranian government has not been completely dissolved. The "official" messages you are seeing come from several surviving layers of the state's power structure:
The Supreme Leader's Office: Ali Khamenei and his inner circle remain the ultimate authority. Even in times of extreme crisis, the Assembly of Experts ensures the state maintains a "unified" and "coherent" voice to rally its core supporters.
The IRGC (Revolutionary Guard): Despite heavy losses, the IRGC continues to issue aggressive statements through state television, often acting as the primary voice of military defiance.
Surviving Diplomats: Figures like Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi are still active on social media and international platforms, providing the formal diplomatic denials of U.S. claims.
State Media Control: The regime maintains strict control over state broadcasting, which allows them to project an image of a functioning, "calm" government to the public, even when the reality on the ground is chaotic.
Why does it seem "coherent"?
The coherence is largely a survival strategy. The regime uses its remaining communication channels to present a "defensive mode," framing any pause in U.S. strikes as a victory for Iranian "resolve" rather than the result of negotiations. This messaging is designed to prevent internal collapse and project strength to both domestic and international audiences.
Roll the dice. You may be hearing from someone who knows a lot or who knows nothing.
@Howard --
For nominal messages from Iran, I trust Al Jazeera about 100x more than any western source.
Exactly, Enigma. Iranian regime is appealing to their base
TDS fever has broken.
People are going on with their lives.
Trump has a lot of leeway in his dealings with Iran.
Republicans will do well in the midterms if the war in Iran isn’t over.
If it is over and there’s true regime change, elections will be a blowout. Goodbye Democrat Party.
I wish Lindsey Graham would shut up. Although in the greater scheme of things he’s irrelevant anyway.
It was funny watching two minutes of Morning Joe where blowhard Joe Scarabough was interrupting blowhard Chuck Schumer.
Mostly along the line of passing gas in our general direction whilst having only a flesh wound: "The IRGC (Revolutionary Guard): Despite heavy losses, the IRGC continues to issue aggressive statements."
Shorter Begley: Here I am now... entertain me.
You boomers haven't been this excited since cheney. bush war years...
Go make a snow or sand angel and work that energy out already. The president is finally leading. If you don't pay the price of war, in your pocketbook or with blood, kindly stfu with your fucking Israel First cheerleading...
This comments section does not represent the American people just a lot of extremist jews who are tipping the platform with their shekels...
Aint nothing wrong with eating tacos not steak from whole foods for breakfast lunch and dinner, or gnawing on the bones of foreign women and children
Shame on ann for selling her country out
Howard is upset that Trump has won the war and that Iran has surrendered.
Next up for Trump? World Peace.
Nobel Peace Prize to be renamed the Trump Peace Prize.
Concur with all, but especially this:
I wish Lindsey Graham would shut up. Although in the greater scheme of things he’s irrelevant anyway.
This is absolute lies and clear manipulation of the markets. Trump's actually been talking to FOX News about these comments and no one else which tells you everything you need to know. He hasn't spoken with anyone from Iran who have come out very quickly and denied such talks. And if talks were happening over the last 72 hours, then why are Israel continuing to bomb Iran this morning and the US moving their maritime division further into place. Even the most bullish of commentators on Bloomberg and CNBC are openly distrusting Trump's claims.
“He hasn't spoken with anyone from Iran”
War is speach.
Stfu begley
You have no skin in the game and only care about stock prices...
Speech.
As the late Scott Adams would note, it really makes no difference if the surrender talks are true. Just claiming that Iran wants to surrender will make Iran want to surrender. And give impetus for the people to revolt and take over,. The Crown Prince will soon be in Tehran.
Kak/Little Excursions/[Insert next nom-de-blog here]...dude, you are so much funnier than Baghdad Bob. You're entering Monty Python Black Knight stature here.
Market manipulation. The timing of Trump threats (usually Friday nights) then backing down (usually early Monday mornings) on war and tariffs tell you all you need to know.
In the top picture I see a saddle and an anteater.
That's a good omen.
So we went from def co 2 to def con 3
Iran has denied that any negotiations have taken place.
Trump's new 5 day deadline takes us until after market close on Friday.
Hmm. Not much of a poker player.
Begley, yes. Joe was trying to give Schumer a grounder and get him to agree that reducing the mullah regime’s capacity for violence is a good thing. Schumer just refused to catch the grounder, even when it was rolled slowly to him. Beautiful. CC, JSM
Or...a new Jeffrey Epstein is holding back channel talks while maintaining plausible deniability. Look at how long Epstein was in the shadows. Look at the remaining redactions today.
I see Rich has donned a new nom de guerre, fooling exactly no one.
And his use of the TACO acronym, after 1 year of absolute domination by Trump, is hilarious. Thanks for the keen analysis.
Humperdink said...
“It was reported ICE agents boarded a Southwest Airlines flight about to depart from O’Hare airport and dragged off the co-pilot, 3 flight attendants and 14 passengers, according to the NY Times this morning.”
Hey, might have saved their lives from being directed into a firetruck by exhausted DEI air traffic controllers. CC, JSM
Trump's buying a week of market confidence to prepare for additional military maneuvering. The Iranian regime understands this but for some reason western markets don’t.
The "never-ending war" looks like it'll be over in less than 30 days. Bummer for the Democrat allies. We should lose more wars like this. I suggest Minnesota, California, and New York next.
It is interesting how desperate markets are to believe him.
The Dems are desperately trying to repeat their 1970s perfeormance of snatching an NVA victory from the jaws of defeat. CC, JSM
"It was reported ICE agents boarded a Southwest Airlines flight about to depart from O’Hare airport and dragged off the co-pilot, 3 flight attendants and 14 passengers"
Link please...
There is no evidence or credible report that ICE agents boarded a Southwest Airlines flight at O’Hare airport to remove a co-pilot, three flight attendants, and 14 passengers.
Homan said the ICE guys will just work the simple posts, such as standing in the exit path making sure people don’t come in that way. This frees up TSA people to work the X-rays and metal detectors, even if a certain percentage of them are out sick or just resigned.
Also having more armed LEOs in the airport will help protect against the massive Iranian revenge terror attacks that are supposed to descend on us.
Finally, illegals just won’t fly if they know ICE are all over the airport. Reduces the crowding and keeps the invasion from spreading . Multiple wins! CC, JSM
Maybe ICE guys could be put on the tarmac as traffic cops - last line of defense to look and make sure the path is really clear. Many of them already have access cards, radios and training to operate on the airside. CC, JSM
@Little E confirms ignorance of how the stock market functions. Between 25% and 50% of market value is linked to speculation and momentum. When the gambler money leaves the market crashes, and when it returns the market bubbles.
Anyone playing momentum trades wants to exaggerate movement to milk a bit more quick profit. Either up or short works for them. They thrive on uncertainty, not "desperation." The market may bounce up and down for no true reason when near a bottom. When political certainty returns, a simple bull market with ever expanding leverage will return.
Like the ones that shorted tesla stock
But you dont need to finish the sentence
Little E asked for link to my Southwest Airline comment of ICE boarding the plane.
You sure are stoopid. It was a joke mocking what the lefty news media will accept as fact.
Stock futures continue to pull back from their 12-minute-long high this morning. And if Trump's claims are a repeat of his admitted lie about the Chinese calling in his first term, the market will punish him severely. What will happen in Middle East who knows, but it seems very very weak to me on DJT's part. I think it's a replay of what he did before. Hope I am wrong.
Good brief what a weak nelly you all ar4
Wait until Humperdinl finds out half of CBP is already stationed at U.S. airports actively interdicting illegal immigration every single day. It's going to blow his mind.
Hope I am wrong.
Huzzah!
DJIA currently up 750
S&P +100
Oil down $8 and below $90/bbl
Congratulations, you seem completely divorced from reality, since nothing you claimed happened when you claimed it did.
Everything opened high and is going higher. International was hurt the most per oil concerns, and is now jumping up the most. Still, plan for substantial volatility for a while. There are always false dawns.
Howard at 7:13am… what’s left of Iranian leadership lies about EVERYTHING. Wake the fuck up.
parks
@parkersity_9
·
Mar 21
If bartenders can go to jail for over-serving alcohol to someone who then kills another person, judges should go to jail for releasing criminals who do the same.
https://x.com/parkersity_9/status/2035444723855352025?s=20
Little E continues down the rabbit hole of ignorance.
Call me when ICE guns down a passenger as Hakeem and Da Nang Dick said they would.
-----Congratulations, you seem completely divorced from reality, since nothing you claimed happened when you claimed it did. [Leland]
1) You must not have charts in front of you. Futures were more than 1% higher back at 7:14 a.m. than currently.
And 2) The first term dodge to keep the markets from tanking on a Monday morning did indeed happen. Trump admitted it later.
Is this a replay? I suspect too many ME countries now fear infrastructure destruction by Iran. Neither we nor Israel have been able to prevent it all. Perhaps they got Trump's ear. Perhaps Trump just recalculated his strategy. Or perhaps Iran surrendered. But I personally doubt it. Something about that message sounds a bit phony to me. I think Trump repeated his play from the first term. We shall see.
Kevin Sorbo
@ksorbs
·
1h
Migrants are cooking guinea pigs on the streets of NYC
https://x.com/ksorbs/status/2036065429219946654?s=20
But the biggest fact of all is this, the market's overall action is not just the war. The averages peaked weeks before the bombing began and the breakdowns were also occurring just before the bombing. There are other issues that are at play in this market now, from IA problems to credit, real estate, and of course long-term valuation issues.
Apparently Little E forgot Alinsky’s rule number 5: Ridicule is man's most potent weapon."
I have a subscription to near real time data. Futures are futures and not the actual market. BTW, the numbers I mentioned earlier have improved:
DJIA now up 200 more points than my last comment
S&P up another 30 basis points
Oil is holding steady
I’m wondering how much you really hoped you were wrong.
We are on the cusp of M.A.D. shutting down 50% of the world's oil production for month or years, leading to economic chaos and many deaths. We are ALSO on the cusp of a once-unthinkable alliance between Israel and several Arab nations.
Fundamentalist Iran wore out its welcome a long time ago. Its only friends are manipulative troublemakers (Russia), and those who directly benefit from cheap oil (China). But, they are weak friends and don't like Iran either.
See the USSR's internal mactions against Afghani terrorism and elsewhere, and China's intense (over)reaction against "ethnic minority" internal terrorism and violence.
I forgot to mention above that the coach of the Badgers women's hockey team is Mark Johnson from the 1980 US Olympic gold medal team. Pretty cool.
The same Mark Johnson had a short career with the Pittsburgh Penguins.
---- I’m wondering how much you really hoped you were wrong. [Leland]
I want to see Iran's capabilities destroyed. I don't want to see a negotiation with others still in the existing power base. I want to see a permanent change in that country. I definitely don't want to see a TACO. Or any kind of failed bluff. The subsequent details, now coming out, do seem to indicate the team has been talking with someone. Who? And will that amount to anything?
As for the markets, they are unwinding from years of overstimulative policies from both the Fed and the various administrations. A couple decades, really. And the government has all the debt to prove it! Right, Leland? Am I divorced from reality here? In particular, market averages have made several highs over the last six years since the pandemic madness; and those, and the intervening lows, have all been bound up together in one ball of wax. Meaning, I believe, it has been one big top.
I don't think there is any way back for the stock markets from here. Long-term valuations show the extraordinary background. I think we are seeing a peak of historic significance. I think it explains many of the bizarre phenomena in our society. I think the turn in the cycle is about much more than this war, but the war will probably play a role in that. This good-news jump just took the QQQ back near a major resistance point, for example. That is typical action at some point in a downtrend -- at a relatively early point in a downtrend.
I think investors should be extremely careful with their capital here. The risk/reward ratio seems as one-sided as it could ever get. And years of the Greenspan put, the Bernanke put, and the overall Fed put have just lulled investors into much too much complacency.
"That's all there is, there isn't any more." Very hard to imagine, isn't it? But..... that's the picture as I see it.
Am I divorced from reality here?
Indications are yes. It took the start of hostilities with Iran for your predictions in January (maybe it was December) of stock market collapse to materialize; and actually, the market has only pulled back to where it was when you made those predictions.
Yes, at the noon hour, there is profit taking occurring in today’s market with gains cutting back by about 50%. However, that’s typical trading behavior. What you are claiming is a systemic problem with the markets which has yet to materialize. Maybe you are the new Michael Burry, but I’m skeptical.
“Migrants are cooking guinea pigs on the streets of NYC”
Hamster kebabs?
A casual check of stock market prices misses that it involves two very different groups:
1. Long term "buy and die" investors who may not touch their accounts for 20, 30, or 40 years. They don't pay much attention and form the solid base of valuations.
2. Short term traders and, especially, those who trade options and on margin. When the news turns bad they MUST sell or reposition, or their brokerage executes a margin call to makes decisions for them. This happens during every sudden crisis. See 9/11, the 2008-2009 subprime meltdown, the COVID crash, and the Trump tariff trantrum. This explains most "V" shaped market periods.
The true believers may cause more meaningful damage, as their trust dies and withdrawals happen over long periods. See the slow motion dotcom crash following the year 2000, after AOL purchased Time Warner. See how "Emerging Markets are the future" thinking of the Beijing Olympics of 2008 turned when people saw China's bullying, Russia's invasions circa the 2014 Olympics, and the debacle of Brazil's 2016 Rio Olympics.
Iran 2026 has the earmarks of a "V" shaped period. Too many other countries produce and need oil for the downturn to last.
A couple of people mentioned watching Lilias Folan doing yoga on PBS in the yoga mat thread. I just saw an obit for her in the NYT. She was 90.
From a Handicapping prospective (doping trumps war so far and its end)
What a real U.S.–Iran peace deal would look like in reality
Iran most likely would want relief from sanctions, guarantees on no stikes on Iranian territoriesability to keep some enrichment capacity,no regime change and a seize fire for their regional partners. This to me would be minimal wants.
trump would want Iran to stop attacks, limits on nuclear enrichment if even none at all(DOA),pull back of militias a verification method, cooling off period ,and some more little ditties.
Because we know you have two of the most verified liars in existence this would have to be seen to know who is lying and who isnt about ("a call")for a deal .Wasnt the initial stance ,no quarter ,unconditional surrender(that was a no go right from the beginning)these people have been fighting since beginning of their existence)I would believe in order to be real.We would need to see Qatar,Oman, or maybe Switzerland coming in to mediate, both sides with agreeing commitments ,not what trump says or what Iran says they both are confirmed liars.Markets stabilizing after details not before(as I pessimistically believe trumps statement was to stop market and oil shares and gas from bleeding Americans dry)I think there would need to be a troop reposition, why would Iran trust US, we already dont trust Iran. We are not seeing any of these things so far its all just rhetoric from both sides.And what is a surrender to Iran? Halting all enrichment and accepting US terms without negotiation publicy admitting defeat and surrender(aint gonna happen,they have been around long before US since the 7th Century US is a baby democracy.
That’s not happening.Its political posture, not surrender.
Iran would never do that unless they were facing total collapse, and they’re nowhere near that.
So when someone frames it like “they called us for peace”, it’s political posture, not surrender.
Why the “they called us” line feels like a market move,a con
because it fits the pattern when markets tank,tensions spike,investors panic, and the leaders say "we are close to a deal and everyone buys it.
A real peace deal has structure, a surrender is humiliation and a political statement especially from our leaders is about timing not structure.
My odds line on this whole "deal" after statements of NO QUARTER and only uncondition surrender and in 48 hours all signals me to low odds of this happening.trump is all over the place with this and even his own crew cant get the stories straight. And do you think Israel is gonna stop and Bibi IS THE GUY IN CONTROL and he has played trump all along. I would suggest to my posse to hold your wagers until real signs start showing up,this is the guy who said UKRAINE IN 1 DAY and that never happened, 15 months NO DEAL... cmon man, see how with just a word the $$$ eased ,its a freakin game with the same amount of proud vets killed with trump as sleepy Joes withdrawal from ME. Its a tie with the incompetence. NO NEW WARS,,AMERICA FIRST ,how gullible do you have to be ,cmon man..YOU REALLY BELIEVE TRUMP GOT A CALL? FROM WHO?
great
we are
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