১০ অক্টোবর, ২০২৪

"The Harris post-debate starburst dims to a glow as Harris enters the last weeks slipping slightly in the Rust Belt."

Said Quinnipiac University polling analyst Tim Malloy, quoted in "Swing State Poll 2024: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin: Blue Wall Shows Cracks As Race Tightens, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Races: Michigan Moves To Toss-Up, Dems Lead In PA & WI" (Quinnipiac University Poll).

I didn't even know she'd had a starburst... and I look at the polls (listed at Real Clear Politics) multiple times a day.

Starburst... glow... there's puffery even while talking about dimming.

৫৫টি মন্তব্য:

planetgeo বলেছেন...

Leftists work very hard at seizing and keeping control of language. It's "wordfare" all the time.

Kate বলেছেন...

Harris is a small square of colorful candy that briefly delights before it ends up stuck in your molars for the rest of the day.

doctrev বলেছেন...

Translation: the race is outside stealing distance and the oligarchs are gaming out how to curry favor with President Trump.

Kamala Harris has interview after interview with slobberingly loyal sources, but it's not helping her. It reminds me of interviews with villainous tyrants in dystopia fiction: but they're usually smarter than Harris.

RideSpaceMountain বলেছেন...

This is the final stretch for the Harris/Walz - "The Hawk Tuah" 2024. The only polls they're interested in are the polls they can get people tuah so they can vote on that thang.

NorthOfTheOneOhOne বলেছেন...

I didn't even know she'd had a starburst..

Bigger question was it lemon flavored or cherry flavored?

Michael K বলেছেন...

Don't get cocky but maybe the limits of vote fraud are close.

Original Mike বলেছেন...

"and I look at the polls (listed at Real Clear Politics) multiple times a day."

I'm the opposite. I actively avoid the polls. They've been wrong every single election going back so far I can't even remember.

Rocco বলেছেন...

“doctrev said…
It reminds me of interviews with villainous tyrants in dystopia fiction: but they're usually smarter than Harris.

No, Mr [strike] Bond [/strike] Trump, I expect you to die!

RideSpaceMountain বলেছেন...

"Don't get cocky"

She'll have to slobber a lot more knobs if she wants to put some additional knee-padding in those margins.

Iman বলেছেন...

I have a fervent desire AND aspirations to put this woman in the rearview mirror.

The Elder বলেছেন...

A glow? I would describe it as a glimmer.

Iman বলেছেন...

Two weeks old cotton candy.

rehajm বলেছেন...

The pollsters really are in a tough position. They have the impossible task of reaching an accurate representation of modern American voters then they have to mix that turd bowl of data into something the left wants voters to eat…

rehajm বলেছেন...

Yah- they do know some of us were alive when Kamala tried to run on her own, don’t they?

Shouting Thomas বলেছেন...

If you think Harris’ debate, interview and impromptu speaking performances are being reported to DNC voters as disasters, you’re not reading or listening to their media. Every one of her performances is being trumpeted as a stunning victory. “She hit it out of the park!” Especially on X.

Original Mike বলেছেন...

Interesting. I may watch some tonight (if I can stand it).

Iman বলেছেন...
এই মন্তব্যটি লেখক দ্বারা সরানো হয়েছে।
Jersey Fled বলেছেন...

Can’t say that I agree. Even CNN seems to be panning some of her performances lately.

Michael বলেছেন...
এই মন্তব্যটি লেখক দ্বারা সরানো হয়েছে।
Shouting Thomas বলেছেন...

@Jersey Fled. Online sources, especially X, are so flooded with DNC bots that it’s hard to tell the reality of Harris’ support. Yes, CNN has moderated its partisanship slightly.

tim maguire বলেছেন...

She had a bounce of a few points for a few days, but the air has been leaking out of this trial balloon ever since. At the moment, it is looking like a Trump landslide. Of course, that's this week. Who knows what will happen next week?

Gerda Sprinchorn বলেছেন...

In other news, the House is now a tossup (roughly).

https://www.electionbettingodds.com/

Michael বলেছেন...

October is where rubber meets the road. Have been around long enough to where close races on October 1st turned into decisive victories in November: 1980, 88, 92, 08. Many others had an edge which widened in the last weeks 1984, 96, 12. The last of the undecideds make their choice and history shows they break largely for one candidate who winds up the winner.

Levi Starks বলেছেন...
এই মন্তব্যটি লেখক দ্বারা সরানো হয়েছে।
Levi Starks বলেছেন...

Dying ember

mccullough বলেছেন...

Fools Gold

mccullough বলেছেন...

Fools Gold

gilbar বলেছেন...

Remember back in 2016? when Hilary! got SO DRUNK, that she couldn't give a concession speech until the next day?
ASSUMING (for the sake of argument..) that Trump (somehow) wins past the margin of fraud..
HOW DRUNK, will Kamela get?

Eva Marie বলেছেন...
এই মন্তব্যটি লেখক দ্বারা সরানো হয়েছে।
Bushman of the Kohlrabi বলেছেন...

And to think, Democrats could have conducted a real primary and allowed their voters to select a possibly competent candidate instead of saddling them with a rejected retread. All to benefit a few selected party insiders.

tcrosse বলেছেন...

They could have done that in 2020, but that would have lumbered them with Bernie or Pete or Amy or Liz.

Sally327 বলেছেন...

I think these articles are all setting us up for a massive gut punch.

Kakistocracy বলেছেন...

Muhlenberg College just released a new poll of likely voters in Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District.

Presidential Race:
🔵 Harris 50%
🔴 Trump 47%

U.S. Senate Race:
🔵 Casey 51%
🔴 McCormick 45%

7th Congressional Race:
🔵 Wild 51%
🔴 Mackenzie 45%

You can find more info here:
7th Congressional District Survey - October 2024
https://www.muhlenberg.edu/aboutus/polling/politicselectionssurveys/7thcongressionaldistrictsurvey-october2024/

PM বলেছেন...

I'll be relieved but not looking fwd to Waaamala.
She's a clueless victim of Barack Jefferson Pelosi.

AMDG বলেছেন...

That is in,one with prior results.

Kevin বলেছেন...
এই মন্তব্যটি লেখক দ্বারা সরানো হয়েছে।
Yancey Ward বলেছেন...

You can follow the trajectory of Kamalamadingbat's electoral fortunes by the increasing inanity and insanity of Bich's comments.

gspencer বলেছেন...

Oh there is no more JOY in Kamala-ville,
Mighty HarrTim is striking out

Humperdink বলেছেন...

Mrs. Dink was just polled by Quinnipiac. We are PA residents. Her answers were all Trump, all the time. The final question was “Do you identify as a he, she, they or some such drivel?” My lovely bride ripped her a new fanny for asking the question.

Yancey Ward বলেছেন...

Her response was, at best, shit-canned by the pollster or, at worst, reported at a Harris supporter just for spite.

Rusty বলেছেন...

"Starburst" like in fireworks? More like a sparkler. Maybe more like a damp sparkler.

gilbar বলেছেন...

which is WHY, the Democrat Party is SOOO committed to "early voting"
The more you hear from a dem.. the less people like them.. This has ALWAYS been true.
So! get out the vote! get it out EARLY*!! before people have a chance to think!

get it out Early* then, once the polls close; compile a list of all the registered voters that haven't voted.. and fill out an mail-in ballot for EACH ONE.
Look at the states republicans win.. They are states that require requests for mail-in ballots

Ann Althouse বলেছেন...

"Harris is a small square of colorful candy that briefly delights before it ends up stuck in your molars for the rest of the day."

Yeah, I thought of those awful candies.

Also thought of those damned wall decorations... those clocks... like this: https://amzn.to/3zJBRc7 (commission earned if you buy one of those crazy things that used to be all over the place in the 1960s).

gilbar বলেছেন...

for FUN! imagine a country where Tulsi Gabbard ran in 2016..
Seriously, we'd have ALL gotten lei'd !

gilbar বলেছেন...

squib is the word you're looking for

Aggie বলেছেন...

Thanks for that !

Hassayamper বলেছেন...

This information is practically useless to anyone who is not "inside baseball" unless it it is illustrated with some background information such as the party registration numbers and prior voting history of this district.

If it's 60-40 Dem and has been voting for Dems since it was created, this looks pretty poor for Kamala. If it's 50-50, or even worse, majority Republican, then Trump is in trouble.

About the only noteworthy thing I can ascertain is that Trump is running marginally ahead of the other R's, for what it's worth.

Sydney বলেছেন...

I was at a restaurant a few days ago where the man at the next table was talking loudly about his experience as a phone canvasser for the Democrats. He was telling his companion that almost everyone he connected with on the phone told him in colorful terms that they would never vote for Harris. After every story he would exclaim, "And these are Democrats!" The mainstream media is really working hard to make her look good.

Keith বলেছেন...

“Bad Genes”
Muhlenberg College just released a new poll of likely voters in Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District.

Presidential Race:
🔵 Harris 50%
🔴 Trump 47%

U.S. Senate Race:
🔵 Casey 51%
🔴 McCormick 45%

7th Congressional Race:
🔵 Wild 51%
🔴 Mackenzie 45%

You can find more info here:
7th Congressional District Survey - October 2024
https://www.muhlenberg.edu/aboutus/polling/politicselectionssurveys/7thcongressionaldistrictsurvey-october2024/
...

The 7th is a democrat district. It had a lifer Republican representative that resigned and was replaced with a Democrat since including some of Philadelphia in its district. It reliably and meaningfully votes Democrat though not overwhelmingly.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania%27s_7th_congressional_district

tommyesq বলেছেন...

It looks to have been about 51-52% dem since 2020, at least with respect to the congressional vote.

john mosby বলেছেন...

Prof, you’re harshing my childhood! Every time I see a starburst clock in some retro bar or restaurant, it makes me think of my parents’ departed generation. Don’t you even feel nostalgia for them, regardless of their aesthetic value?

JSM

Nice বলেছেন...

DeSantis: “If I honestly thought there was something to be gained, I would pick up the phone and call her. The fact of the matter is she has no role in this process. She’s not part of the chain of command. I am working with President Biden, FEMA, state and local partners, and we're getting the job done. She has never been interested in any of the storms we've had in the state of Florida her entire time as Vice President. Now she's out there attacking me because I'm not cading to her whims? All she's trying to do is inject herself to be a part of her political campaign. I don't have time for political games. I've got a job to do, we've got people's lives on the line, and that is our sole focus.”

Leland বলেছেন...

It might be something if he didn't deliver on doing that job, but DeSantis does, so her cheap trick becomes obvious. Does the press talk about how many times she has contacted the governor of North Carolina?

Leland বলেছেন...

I guess we are done for this cycle hearing about how great market-based polling is: https://polymarket.com/elections

Mason G বলেছেন...

Dims to a glow? So does a dumpster fire, as long as you're far enough away to avoid the stench.