I'll update this as we go along... if I've got anything to say and I don't conk out.
But, please, get the comments started. The first polls close in about half an hour.
ADDED, at 12:37 AM: Just woke up after sleeping 3 hours. I see I got what I wanted, a nice clear outcome. Hope you’re happy… or at least keeping your wits about you.
AND: Dana Bash, on CNN at 1:15: “We’re all living in the manosphere now.”
Posts
401 comments:
«Oldest ‹Older 201 – 400 of 401 Newer› Newest»"Ann Selzer poll that had Harris winning by 3% was only 15% off."
It was the Russians…
NYT's Chief political analyst, right now: "For the first time tonight, we consider Trump likely to win the presidency. He has an advantage in each of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. To win, Harris would need to sweep all three. There is still a lot of vote left, but in the voting so far, Trump is narrowly but discernibly ahead....
Senate flipped? Can anyone confirm that?
Wisconsin joins Michigan in leaning Trump at the NYTimes- Right wing rag paper!
And it looks like Trump will take every State he took in 2016
NYT needle is currently at 87% chance of Trump victory, taking every "Swing State"
Someone in the Madison area might want to do a wellness check on Inga right now.
Over 90% at 10:45 ET.
As in Cleveland.
Polymarket says 95% chance that the R's take the Senate.
Succinct betting market summary:
https://polymarket.com/elections
NYT's 'needle' shows Trump 'likely' to win.. Trump 299, Harris 239. Landside country! MAGA!
soothing
Fox is saying that the Harris campaign has basically gone dark on them. No answers to questions.
Minnesota is now judged a tossup by the NYTimes- still a slight lean to the left on the dial, but was likely D early this evening.
She's an hour away and I'm already in my pajamas.
11pm, we're now in the final hours of the Heels-Up campaign.
Pennsylvania now leaning Trump according to the NYTimes.
Fox still hasn’t called NC or GA for Trump. I guess they are waiting for the last vote to be counted.
Harris - in the final hours.
Ohio just flipped a Senate seat R.
You can't win the Presidency without winning Iowa, but there's still time for Democrats to do some 11th-hour harvesting.
If it goes the way it’s going the first finger pointed should land on Clooney. All his fault innit?
NYT now projecting 300 electoral votes for Trump and 88% chance of winning.
Wut the hayell is going on with Minnesota
She’s gotten into the port again. Poor dear.
Shenanigans in MSP?
Wyoming : Trump got 70% of the vote. And Harris thought it would be a good idea to campaign with Liz Cheney.
Bernie Moreno (R) is making his Senate victory speech over Sherrod Brown. I like the cut of his jib. "Chuck Schumer, you're fired!"
Bernie Moreno wins Senate seat in Ohio. Republicans now hold the Senate.
Also seeing it said that the Hispanic vote turnout has overrun the black vote for the first time. Hispanic poll more hardass than whites when it comes to secure borders.
Dude, why are you even online? You should be working on the bunker.
They are all busy in Madison right now making Molotov cocktails.
Pencil Neck Schiff also wins a Senate seat. 6 more years of head wobbling insufferability.
I've flipped over from Fox News to MSNBC. This should be entertaining. They are whistling past the graveyard but look pretty glum.
RCP holding back on GA and NC
Good news out of Ohio: Moreno defeats Brown.
Once again, it's approaching 11:30pm, Trump is leading in electoral votes and has a comfortable lead in the remaining key states including the 'Blue Wall' states of MI, WI, PA. Also, for some reason they've yet to call GA and NC. I'm not going to sit up all night for this. My state, Florida, got everything done and counted hours ago. I don't know what goes on in PA or MI or GA. No telling what's going on in Detroit or Atlanta at this moment. But I'm going to bed now and I'm hopeful I won't wake up to the same nightmare we had 4 years ago.
Time for a change. I hope it's here when I wake up.
That Mishkin is an arsehole…
Real Clear Politics is refusing to call the election. I myself think that as soon as we all go to bed and no one is looking, votes will appear as by magic. However, I hope I'm wrong.
RCP just had Frank Luntz on as guest and he believes Kamala has lost and that she lost because she would not say what she stood for. And he believes there is no other real reason - just a basic lack in the Dem campaign - what do Dems stand for? Did identity voting or tricks lose the Dem campaign. No, he says. There was a refusal to tell people what the Dem candidate stood for and ... so she fell.
Now THAT was just mean, Lilly! 😆
I believe Luntz way underestimates Trump who was out there teling people every day what he stood for. In this way Trump overcame the kangaroo courts and the Pravda-like media. At least so far, so good.
Update: People are heading for the exits at Howard University, where Harris is holding her election night party, upon hearing news on giant TV monitors that the election will not be called tonight. ..."
Quite a story!
The people on CNN and MSLSD look so heartbroken. It’s a terrible thing, but I have no pity for them, nor remorse for feeling this way. This has been a long time coming and so richly deserved.
Where's Abby Normal this fine evening. Getting a recharge?
Trump is currently up almost 4% in the popular vote.
She would have lost by a lot more if she'd said what she (really) stood for.
Yeah, do too - and for the same reasons. Still, I haven't seen any evisceraton. It's still too close to call, even though it is looking pretty good for Trump. The NYT needle just backed off from its high of 301. Hmm.
People can see how bad it has gotten. There’s no flippin’ way the second in command of this fustercluck deserves a promotion.
WTF… Trump won Minnesota?!
BitCoin at all time highs.
Starting to look like Harris will win Virginia. [String of very bad words redacted.] However he's opening up a solid lead in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and he's neck and neck in Arizona and Michigan. I can sleep more comfortably tonight.
I'm having a bit of chuckle. With only a sliver of the vote counted in Minnesota Trump was lambasting Harris by better than 20 percentage point. Won't last, of course.
Republicans have already picked up 2 Senate seats (West Virginia, as expected, and Ohio, not so expected) and are well on our way to flipping Montana (at last!). Can we do better? Republicans are ahead in Pennsylvania (McCormick has opened up a 100,000 vote lead over Casey with 79% counted), and possess excellent chances in Wisconsin and maybe even Michigan. Flipping three seats is pretty good; flipping six takes us from 49-51 to 55-45.
And to all a good night.
Putin will see to that......
Women care more about their families than killing the unborn. America can be great again.
The NYT election algorithm (the needle) has Trump at a 91% chance of winning.
By the way, Kamala’s promise to bring back Roe just flew out the window with Republicans winning control of the Senate, regardless of who wins the Presidency.
Kamala is getting fewer votes than Tammy. Trump is getting more votes than Hovde. Interesting.
There's a lot of unrest at her Not So Happy Hostel tonight.
Rich/sockpuppetsimp is outside doing his best Kevin "Animal House" Bacon impression, screeching
"THIS IS TEH BESTEST ECONOMY EVER!"
Euro papers saying Harris is getting ready to write a concession speech. Surprised if that happens, as shes probably, llike HRC drunk.
trump loses in Virginia, but by 1% reportedly. thats huge, as Virginia has always been a solid dem firewall.
Consensus on X tonight, no ones going to sleep until its offical Trump wins. too many memories of 2020.
New Democrat Party border policy: Welcome libtard Billionaires, mentally ill women, and transsexuals! Everybody else- No Entry!
Trump wins Texas. Looks like Cruz breezes in his race. How'd the abortion enthusiasts do down ballot?
Trump attempted the impossible. If he wins, and that’s still a big if, then he achieved the impossible. Surviving the assassin’s bullet was the least of the miracles associated with his magnificent campaign.
Howard: "The NYT election algorithm (the needle) has Trump at a 91% chance of winning."
Incorrect.
The NYT election algorithm (the needle) has America at a 91% chance of winning.
https://vrsws.sos.ky.gov/liveresults/?id=36
with 285 out of 286 precincts in
Trump 56,267 40%
Harris 80,301 58%
So worse than 2016, but better than 2020
"Trump won Starr County TX, most Hispanic county in America at 97% by 16 points.
Last time it voted republican was in 1892." - X
F**k, we are reliving 2016 when Podesta told everyone to go home because. . . .whatever. The US needs to grow up and adopt some standards for vote results same day.
Maybe she, like me, is drinking several glasses of wine - altho, admittedly, mine is in celebration.
2024...............56k............80k with some stragglers remaining out
As I write this the Times has Trump with a 95% chance of taking the Presidency.
If we wake up tomorrow to be told that late night ballot counts in Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Detroit and Fulton County threw the race to Harris -- War.
It wouldn't be the first time.
The Boogie Loo Boyz!
Ann really, really, really needs to evaluate why she got almost NO VIEWS tonight because Google was deleting people's comments and restricting the number of comments people could make.
Ann really, really, really needs to evaluate why she got almost NO VIEWS tonight because Blogger was deleting people's comments and restricting the number of comments people could make.
Ann really, really, really needs to evaluate why she got almost NO VIEWS tonight because [this unnamed site] was deleting people's comments and restricting the number of comments people could make.
RCP has Georgia going for Trump
Ann really, really, really needs to evaluate why she got almost NO VIEWS tonight because [this unnamed site] was deleting people's comments and restricting the number of comments people could make.
Trump winning Bucks Co PA.
and they still dont know why
NBC IS PROJECTING TRUMP AS WINNER.
Because Hillary started drinking at about 10 a.m. when she thought she was winning, then never quit.
Doing the math looks like Trump has won, I'm estimating 290 - 243. But afraid to go to sleep. I'd hate to see this flip in the wee hours.
NYT has Trump an over 95% likely to win.
Trump ahead in Michigan.
Looks like 317.
Evereone went to sleep?
JSM
I was wondering that myself!
Trump to talk soon....
The south is solid red.
Drudge: "WORLD IN SHOCK"
Fox just called Pennsylvania for Trump. Looks like it's over.
Pretty much.
Pa called for Trump
MSNBC seems inconsolable. I'm quite sanguine about that.
Ben Domenech
@bdomenech
·
Follow
It's true, Chapter 18 of Project 2025 is literally just "Oprah never gets to vote again."
Jesse Rodriguez
@JesseRodriguez
Oprah last night: “If we don't show up tomorrow, it is entirely possible that we will not have the opportunity to ever cast a ballot again."
9:14 AM · Nov 5, 2024
MSNBC was a laugh riot tonight. They were all trying so hard to keep hope alive, and then they went to Steve Kornacki at his little maps, and he threw cold water on everything they said.
Joy Reid marveled about all of the celebrity endorsements at one point: "Queen Latifah never endorses anyone!"
What an unbelievable comeback!
Rachel Maddow is rambling on about Russia. Give it up, already!
Take frequent screenshots of the count as it edges closer to 270. When and if the numbers shift drastically the other way it will be obvious that some shakinery is taking place.
Trump is going to eliminate the "legislature".
I went over to watch some angst, but these people are dumb as posts. Can't watch it.
fox just called PA for Trump. That's it folks
Bye Felicia
RideSpaceMountain: "DRUDGE IS MASSIVE HOMO, WORLD NOT SHOCKED"
Trying to find somebody not carrying Trump speech, just results
I heard Trump is planning to open concentration camps for the defeated.
Not being able to vote for the guy twice is a travesty I tells ya.
Thank you, America! This time we didn't get a lemon pawned off on us.
Just like 2016, they are probing PA searching for possible votes. They are in denial.
I said it wouldn't matter if they dumped Biden, because Harris was just as bad
I was right.
And the GOP has a big enough Senate majority the Mukowski just won't matter
I watched for a few minutes and some lady was talking about folks dealing with emotional reactions and yes, it was entertaining. Rather vomit-inducing, but entertaining.
Look in the car trunks.
They're always in somebody's trunk.
I expect over the next few weeks several states will rescind their support for the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact.
Trump is at 267 according to Fox News
Fox News just called Wisconsin for Trump, giving him 277 electoral votes. We are now going to be unburdened by what has been!
Late breaking. We're hearing something...this just in...
HOES MAD
HOES MAD
HOES MAD
Yep. It's confirmed. HOES. MAD.
Donald Trump is the comeback KING!!! Congratulations to his administration, and to all the wonderful supporters that stood by him after the Progressive party tried everything they could to stop the man from MAKING AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!!!!
🔥🔥🔥
Lawfare to ensue. Elias' ass on the line.
Wow. It feels just as good as it did in 2016. God bless America!
CNN won't call PA for Trump, but they are admitting that Harris has very slim prospects.
Can Trump take over tomorrow? We got a big clean-up to get started on.
56 Republican Senators if Brown holds in Nevada.
House is looking good too. First priority is Election Integrity and Reform.
Trump should come out for his speech and spike a football, and do an end zone dance.
The Bulwark quit early, dedicated themselves to trashing Trump for 4 more years. election coverage
ABC just called PA for Trump and gives him 5 likely more to get to 270.
Amen, Eva Marie.
Instapundit has a post pointing out that most of the states that Kamala won have joined the electoral votes for the winner of the national popular vote compact. If Trump wins the popular vote will California and New York have to send Trump electors to Washington ? I love consequences for stupid people. Very Darwinian.
Eight years ago I sat up late and heard the great news that Trump had won and drank a quiet toast to an astonishing man. And now I'm doing it again. Great day in the morning.
tim in vermont
I haven't watched more than 45 seconds of Fox News, total, since election night 2020. What is the point? It's the Bud Light of news networks.
****************
so...who did you watch that was better, Timofei?
America never loses its ability to surprise.
Allan Lichtman needs a new set of keys.
Weaver is fucking some kid especially hard.
All due respect, WTF cares about the Bruins in this context?
I've been saving this since July 26 after Biden's senility become too obvious to everyone that even Scarborough couldn't concoct a lie big enough to obscure that tragic (and hilarious) truth. It's from a typically arrogant Democrat troll called Zackery Sire: "Haven’t been here in a long time but thought I’d check just for fun. Crazy (but I guess not surprising) to see how Althouse has turned into a complete MAGA lunatic. I have a couple (formerly) intelligent people in a family who’ve done the same. The cult is real. Sad and scary. Thankfully, it’ll finally all be over in a few months when he loses again. I hope the MAGAts don’t all have complete mental breakdowns come November 6th (haha, jk, I can’t wait to see them completely lose it, just like they did last time.)"
Grovelling apologies accepted, Zack. Take a number and sit down. We have back issues of "Highlights for Children" for your amusement and edification while you limber up those stiffened genuflecting muscles of yours.
Trump speaking now. This is wondrous, a truly magnificent victory.
Trump mentions senate majority and says.... "Wow". Like a man with a brand new high powered sports car.
He's thanking Melania, and all his children. You can hear the love in his voice. He loves us too.
JD gets a chance to say a few words. He will show us what a VP can do.
Trump can't wait to restart building the wall, get the oil drilling started, and end some wars.
Well that didn’t age well. 😀
“We’re all living in the manosphere now.”
In the last 16 years, democrats have put forward the two most god awful female candidates they possibly could have because they are apparently incapable of growing a pair in the face of psychotic smiley-glad-handing harpies that didn't earn one ounce of the privilege they continue to bestow upon them.
Democrats are the party of women, and Hillary and Kamala are the best they can come up with. These witches are the 'cream that rises to the top', and most of American women still lap it up with more vigor than any domineering guy they can conjur up from dystopia fiction. Let that sink in.
American women are a disaster. They can't even engineer a proper leader of the femosphere they'd like to create. What an absolute joke.
And there’s this from a newcomer to these digital shores, the hapless shit-for-brains styling itself DINKY DAU 45, date-marked last Sunday:
“There is no way that the women of America will vote for Donald trump [sic]… For the agnostics and non believers in God,” [those are two categories?] “have trust in America, trump [sic]will be defeated and it will not be even close. God has a sense of humor be HE knows this ain’t no laughing matter. Write it down…”
So I did. I must remember to ask DINKY how it feels to be the butt of one of God’s funniest jokes since He planned the route of the vegus nerve.
I'm just here for the "mostly peaceful" demonstrations.
Great speech by Trump.
Decisive wins, plus a win with the popular vote. That's the USA voting NO on these outrageous criminal prosecutions.
And a win for pro-lifers in Florida.
God bless America!
Old CW: National Popular Vote Interstate Compact
New CW: The popular vote is racist and misogynistic
CNN is making it ALL about race. It was because America is racist y'all. “They’re not going to stop,” . “This is a movement, I’m telling you. They’re not going to stop and everyone beware, because they’re not going to stop. They’re not going to stop before Election Day in November and they’re not going to stop after Election Day. Everyone should take note of that on both levels. They’re not going to let up and they should not and we should not.” (using Kamala's own words)
NBC still hasn't called it for Trump (266).
Dane Co. 75% for Harris after 99%, but Trump did a point better than 2020.
When he pulls out of fetal position, expect ALL CAPS!!!
When he pulls out of fetal position, expect ALL CAPS!!!
The ChiComs just lost all their interest in one Stolen Valor loser from Minnesota. So many years of cultivation right down the drain.....
Right on cue, I heard one of the lib commentators on tv saying that now is the time to work together! Every time they lose!
She didn't concede. Instead, she got drunk, and went to bed, ala Hillary.
Kamala Harris Press Release (Parody)
@joebldenpress
·
Follow
I’ve been working on a concession speech. This is what I have so far:
I grew up in a middle class family.
The End.
12:34 AM · Nov 6, 2024
The “manosphere”? Dana phones it in.
The Year of the Man
It's a good morning, reminiscent of 2016. Woke up and found glum faces on CNN amd MSNBC.
I went into work in 2016 and advised a lot of people in the area of which I was in charge not to gloat, to stay classy. Today, were I there, I'd advise them to go hog wild and tell the Leftists to suck on this big Loser Popsicle.
That goes for here as well.
It's not as funny as 2016 was, but Twitter has had some gems tonight.
Heh... Sometimes I just fucking love you, brother!
George Clooney's greatest accomplishment since the seventh season of "The Facts of Life".
Tim Young
@TimRunsHisMouth
·
38m
Zelensky has congratulated Donald Trump on his victory....
Meanwhile, CNN and MSNBC are being election deniers.
Sean Davis
@seanmdav
·
1h
CNN’s panel, with one exception, has decided that Kamala Harris lost because America is sexist and racist. And to the extent racism and sexism weren’t a factor, it was Joe Biden’s fault. None of it was Harris’s fault for being a the most incompetent candidate this century.
David Sacks
@DavidSacks
·
4h
This is a bankruptcy moment for the legacy media. They shrieked Nazi, fascist, traitor, insurrectionist at the top of their lungs for years. The country didn’t believe it. Their spell is broken. Their credibility is destroyed. It’s a new dawn.
Let's wait and see what the other side is going to do first.....but it would be nice!!!
Defiant L’s
@DefiantLs
·
1h
Trump: “It’s time to put the divisions of the past four years behind us… It’s time to unite.”
I suppose I should ask Althouse herself — will women ever shake the notion that a female President has to be a Democrat? If the Republicans put up Marsha. Blackburn will feminists vote for her?
I want mea culpas and some fade aways. There’s a need for seppuku but expect some retooling and double dog double downs on propaganda…
They need to be beaten over the head with their own words at every defiance…
They need to be beaten over the head with their own words at every defiance…
Polls counting stopped after 266?
"We’re all living in the manosphere now."
There's one thing can be said for Ms. Dana Bash, if the aim is to push the boundaries of asininity, Bash is the one who'll do it.
Don't know exactly when they did it but I'm just now seeing AP called Wisconsin for Trump which puts him over the top at 277 with 37 EVs outstanding. They were still at 266 and no call an hour ago.
Getting rid of Biden, man was that a wrong decision. He had this in the bag.
It’s always possible the Democrats are all secret Trump supporters.
Wisconsin decided the election for Trump.
According to "The Independent" (an odd choice of masthead considering its precise goosestepping in time the eco-fascist drumbeat) Walz has "pledged to shake the hands of the winner if his campaign loses."
So far neither Walz or his boss lady have offered anything but sullen silence and a cascade of empty 50-ml mini-bottles heaped to the ceiling at Number One Observatory Circle.
Clear winner including the meaningless popular vote, which may help to retire the stupid movement to end the brilliant Constitutional electoral college.
The important thing is not only does Florida get it done with counting ballots; they get it done on other matters of the government. No one goes to bed in Florida wondering if the state will be there if a disaster does occur, because they know it will be. They also don't go to bed worrying they'll be a waken by a police raid in the morning looking for their pet squirrel. The people in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Michigan don't sleep as well.
Question: to whom will those blue states like CO that signed the interstate compact to vote for the electoral college winner award their delegates?
My thoughts this morning is how different this would be today if Harris had picked Mark Kelly or Josh Shapiro. Trump's "Thank You" on her announcement of Tim Walz was sincere.
Yes the bullshit poll that oversampled Democrats by 25% was wrong, as anyone who looked behind the numbers could easily see.
Wow that is 209 EC votes if they do what they promised to. What a huge self- own.
My wife, is NOT HAPPY.
Pennsylvania? Don't fuck with the Amish, fool!
..to crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentations of their women...!"
I think that hearing the 'lamentations of the women' is overrated.
Big Mike asked…
“I suppose I should ask Althouse herself — will women ever shake the notion that a female President has to be a Democrat? If the Republicans put up Marsha. Blackburn will feminists vote for her?”
The first ADOS president will be a Republican. And he will be elected because of his policies and not his ancestry.
Agreed. There will not be any coming together. There will be continuous vilification over the next few years. The (D)democrats will not stop.
Last one, I promise.
I'm following this on RCP. Went to bed with Georgia 92% reporting and going for Trump. Imagine when I woke up and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin also belong to Trump. 277 electoral votes and the popular vote. Maybe we can this country back on track to avoid any more war mongering.
Anybody want to make bets on what the market will do today? I'm betting over a thousand.
It's gonna be a good day.
I went to sleep at 8 last night, as I was tired. My reaction that WI flipped back: I guess that means we'll be a BATTLEGROUND STATE in 2028. Great.
Well, aren't you the little socialist.
She's
in Waukesha still, no?
Rumor has it that Elon just bought Fox News for 25 billion. Hmmm.
It would be better (and much cheaper) if he bought the NYT.
That's the masculinoverse in gender politics where men and women are motivated by penis envy. Fortunately, the male and female sexes, men and women, respectively, exist in a world with complementary attributes and unifying motives.
Somebody want to check on gadfly? He might be having a stroke.
Dow over1238.
But I have one question. Where were those 14 million Biden voters this time around? Anybody want to field this one?
I suspect Walz was the only guy who was willing to take the position.
Liz Cheney will get to wear orange every day as a reminder.
"There will be weeping and gnashing of teeth".
Inga........
"Inga
He’s wrong. It will be interesting to see what all of these Trump mouthpieces will have to say when he’s lost.
10/28/24, 3:30 PM"
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