8 નવેમ્બર, 2016

Election night. I know you're not all watching.

You took my poll:



And alan markus said:
I will be watching the discussion here - much more interesting than what any talking heads on TV will have to say.
And I said:
Hey, good point! I should have provided that option: I will be hanging out on Althouse and seeing whatever is visible from this vantage point.
The option wasn't available on the poll, but it's available right now. Hang out here and watch with me. I know we can't all get what we want, but if what you want is company and conversation, you can get that here.  My vote is secret, and I'm sympathetic to everyone's feelings.

1,169 ટિપ્પણીઓ:

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alan markus કહ્યું...

So far, the Real Clear Politics map "No Toss Up States" map is holding up with the states called. Their original prediction was 272 Clinton/266 Trump. FiveThirtyEight was predicting 299 for Clinton, they just revised downward to 283.

mockturtle કહ્યું...

Wait a minute, R&B! I'm a baby boomer and voted for Trump.

Drago કહ્યું...

Rhythm and Balls: "Here's another silver lining to Hillary's perhaps impending loss:
We can kiss the asshole "baby boomer" generation goodbye as a target demographic for determining what's considered to be an "important issue" in our elections.
Goodbye, baby boomers. And good riddance. Worthless generation"

Wow.

The degree to which we are in agreement on some fundamentals in regards to politics and culture is almost disconcerting.

HoodlumDoodlum કહ્યું...

320Busdriver said...
The Smiths

What difference does it make


Word, word; but given that we're wondering when this will be over, what about Smiths: How Soon Is Now


Hillary is human(?) and she needs to be loved!

Or something about Human, I dunno I'm not Laslo.

Qwinn કહ્યું...

Known right wing rag the NY Times has Trump winning at 80%.

Shiloh keeping hope for a stock market crash alive!

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

shiloh, quit scaring me. Dow metrics are not to be horse-raced. Maybe I'll check the DJIA in the morning. Maybe.

Birkel કહ્યું...

alan markus:
Check this EC vote projections at 538 again.

Drago કહ્યું...

Qwinn: "Shiloh keeping hope for a stock market crash alive!"

If Trump holds on to win (somehow), the stock market dive will be of Brexit-ian proportions....meaning a whimper.

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

I'll always make an exception for you, mockturtle. You've always been a decent one.

I'm sure I don't quite fit into my generation, either.

It's important not to generalize.

We'll take you into our generation. It will add years to your life, as well - based on what the actuaries tell me. ;-)

Howard કહ્યું...

Fucking Wisconsin 62% Trump

Sofa King કહ્યું...

Looks like I picked the wrong night to stop sniffing glue!

Yancey Ward કહ્યું...

R&B,

Far be it to me to defend the NYTimes, but in their defense, all they had to go on before 7:00p.m. tonight were shitty polling data, so I think 10% was about right before the true poll was taken, in absence of anything else.

Drago કહ્યું...

The NYT currently has Gary Johnson winning Minnesota with 99.7% of the vote (140+ million raw votes).

I'm thinking we might want to revisit that algorithm.

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

Bernie's a baby boomer, isn't he?

No, you can't all be bad!

Matt Sablan કહ્યું...

Does this mean there actually ARE shy Trump voters?

Bad Lieutenant કહ્યું...

exiledonmainstreet said...
Shiloh, it's not over yet.

Keep hope alive!

you asshole.
11/8/16, 9:15 PM

Exile, you're a woman right? Because I think I may love you.

Drago કહ્યું...

Howard: "Fucking Wisconsin 62% Trump"

I hear ya man. Trump should really be at 65%.

Qwinn કહ્યું...

Seriously, I hope if Trump wins, Ann will make a post reserved exclusively for mockery of shiloh, where we all get to mock him with "keep hope alive for 2020!" For at least a good week.

Achilles કહ્યું...

The betting futures and DOW futures are each swinging massively to Trump.

I wish I was as confident as them. I expected a trump win and I didn't think it would be this close. But looking at the maps how are they so sure?

Howard કહ્યું...

Silver had Hitlary at 52% to Dronald 49% Chance, then just flopped to 55% Trump to 45% Hillary

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

Then they shouldn't have put anything in, Yancey. Where's the precedent for a daily "percentage" prediction for months prior to a general conspicuously thrown in through the ledes as some sort of "reminder"? Where? Especially in one as controversial as this one? It was hands-down THE dumbest thing I've ever seen the media do, and I've seen them do plenty of stupid this year. It serves ABSOLUTELY no one.

Remember: Trump is losing. BIG TIME. Big brother and his blunderiest.

Yancey Ward કહ્યું...

Trump has won Ohio, and pretty damned easily.

Howard કહ્યું...

When you lose Nate Silver, it's over

Jaq કહ્યું...

Funny, after Brexit it was the German stock market that crashed.

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

OH is Trumps

Thats yuuuge

Michael K કહ્યું...

Blogger shiloh said...
Dow futures down 625.


But I thought Trump lost !!!!!

OMG !!!!

You mean crony capitalists are worried ???

OMG !!!!

Howard કહ્યું...

CNN= Trump Ohio (ya think?)

alan markus કહ્યું...

The running commentary at FiveThirtyEight has been quite interesting.

Howard કહ્યું...

Hey Mike... the home town LATimes/USC poll was right!

Jaq કહ્યું...

I wonder why a candidate who said "I can't be worried about every undercapitalized small business" and who gleefully chortled about throwing miners out of work, and who shut down Keystone, supported by 63% of the US population, and which would provide us a source of energy we don't have to bomb countries full of brown people to secure, could be losing OHIO!

"Why am I not ahead by 50%!?!" - HRC

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

Well HIllary people, remember this.

At least if HIllary loses, it will probably be fair and square. Or, if anything, WITH the support of: the media, the precinct machines, the party machinery, Wall Street, the military industrial complex, and a jackass of an opponent.

Sanders had no such advantages, and was cheated.

WhIther your progressives, Democrats?

shiloh કહ્યું...

"shiloh: It's not like they can do any worse. it almost guarantees a democrat bump in the mid-terms."

Midterms lol. Reps will have total control.

Putin's very happy! America survives despite itself ... so far.

Original Mike કહ્યું...

Holy fucking crap.

Watching from Sydney AU, where it's 14:30 Nov 10 (so I already know who won). ;)

HT કહ્યું...

I voted for Bernie if that really matters to you.

Matt Sablan કહ્યું...

Yeah. Even I'm surprised at this turn of events so far.

Drago કહ્યું...

Howard: "Hey Mike... the home town LATimes/USC poll was right!"

Thanks for reminding us of that.

Which media org was it that was so upset about that poll and it's results that they deconstructed the poll in order to reassure their bubble-dwellers?

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

Looks like I picked a bad day to blow off rebalancing my retirement accounts...f***

Jaq કહ્યું...

Watching from Sydney AU, where it's 14:30 Nov 10 (so I already know who won). ;)

You should blodge the arvo and head down to the DOG for a Crownie or two! (Did I get that right?)

Drago કહ્યું...

shiloh: "Putin's very happy! America survives despite itself ... so far"

He ought to be happy. hillary already gave him 20% of our uranium.

Beloved Commenter AReasonableMan કહ્યું...

Very interesting election night. Nate Silver is the biggest winner at the moment.

Qwinn કહ્યું...

Wow, Trump has a 60% chance of winning PA right now. Same for Wisconsin.

That blue wall is coming crashing down, ain't it.

Matt Sablan કહ્યું...

If Ohio is officially off the table... what's Clinton's road look like now? Snap Florida/VA/PA?

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

I'm not enjoying this.

The one time I'm more right than I've ever been - given how strong the tide of popular and elite opinion that I swam against.

And it had to be about something THIS crazy and drastic.

But Democrats kept telling me not to worry. All the while shutting out the primary polls that showed Sanders kicking Trump's ass vs. Clinton.

Next time.... next time. Wow.

There won't be a next time, I guess.

Yancey Ward કહ્યું...

Well, the New York Times predictor is a bit more sophisticated than I thought- they do take into account where the counts are coming from and what is left and how those remainders do historically in presidential election. So my main reservation has been addressed.

However, I will warn all of you that this is going to be a long night, even if Trump does manage to win either Michigan or Pennsylvania- a shorter night if he wins both. If only one, there is still Arizona out there, and I am not convinced it is in the bag for Trump.

rehajm કહ્યું...

Did Inga leave again?

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

Gonna be a late night

Beloved Commenter AReasonableMan કહ્યું...

If Trump wins either Wisconsin or Michigan or both he will look like a political genius for focusing on them when everyone said it was a waste of time.

shiloh કહ્યું...

"shiloh, quit scaring me."

Reality can be a scary proposition.

So, who will win the popular vote?

One last prediction: If America has another 9/11, Trump's job approval will not reach 90%.

Big Mike કહ્યું...

Looks like Clinton has won Virginia. By fewer than 60,000 votes. After McAuliffe pardoned 60,000 felons apparently on their promise to vote for Hillary.

And Democrats wonder why people hate them?

Drago કહ્યું...

R&B's: "Sanders had no such advantages, and was cheated."

And, despite what many on the right believed about Sanders weakness in a general election, I think his message would have resonated quite well with the populace desire for an "outsider" who was looking to break up the elitist networks.

Of course, hillary can still win this thing.

Matt Sablan કહ્યું...

"So, who will win the popular vote?"

-- Probably Clinton. She's going to run up the score in Blue states.

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

Trumps union vote in OH is giant.

MI here we come

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

I voted for Bernie if that really matters to you.

It's the DNC to whom it didn't matter. For me, either.

I've been saying for months that the DNC is enemy #1.

Look at what the DNC did to you. To all of us.

The question for those who reconciled way too soon to that... my question to them - is:

WHAT THE FUCK ARE YOU GOING TO DO ABOUT IT NOW?

I've been outraged for months.

WHAT is every other Sanders voter going to do it? And Hillary voters?

Now it's you guy's turn.

Leadership, please. Some leadership would be nice, right about now.

Make some fucking noise, already. TIme to get outraged.

traditionalguy કહ્યું...

Well, well, well. Trump is going to triumph in Wisconsin. Who'd of thunk it?

Meade knows a lot of dogpark folks, maybe they all secretly went for Trump because dogs love him.

HoodlumDoodlum કહ્યું...

Holy shit! You guys made me turn on my TV, holy shit! He's up 4-5% in NC, he's got Ohio, WOW.
The ABC anchors (with George StepyPeppy) are making excuses for Hillary already. Cokie Roberts doesn't know where she is. One chick anchor I don't know just said "well Clinton's team was ramping up to run against Rubio so Trump was a real surprise for her, maybe she didn't adjust to that." Ha-ha-ha-ha-ha! Even if he doesn't pull it out these Media asses are so frickin' scared right now; delicious.

YT Gary Jules: Mad World
(Great video btw)

Jaq કહ્યું...

He ought to be happy. hillary already gave him 20% of our uranium.

When she gave him that "Reset" button that really said "Overcharge," Putin said "At last, someone we can work with!" Tens of millions of dollars in payments to Clinton's political slush fund, and favorable decisions from the State Department on Keystone and Uranium One, and Putin is quite happy, with value for money, I am sure.

But why are the Democrats banging the war drums against Putin non stop this election? Because Trump said one time that Putin was being an effective leader for Russia?

Matt Sablan કહ્યું...

"well Clinton's team was ramping up to run against Rubio so Trump was a real surprise for her, maybe she didn't adjust to that."

-- That's a lie. The emails that were leaked show they were hoping for a Trump like candidate to run against.

shiloh કહ્યું...

FBI Director Comey Trump's Sec of State er 2020 campaign manager.

Unknown કહ્યું...

Very interesting night- I'm enjoying this more than I expected to and feel more comfortable with my Trump/Pence vote than I thought I would be.

If things shake out as they are looking in the rust belt- then those who predicted Trump redrawing the map were right-credit where due.


Original Mike કહ્યું...

"You should blodge the arvo and head down to the DOG for a Crownie or two! (Did I get that right?)"

That's not any Aussie I recognize.

And I got the date wrong, it's Nov 9 (damn that Date Line).

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

Good thing she has that fucking foundation. If all else fails.

Drago કહ્યું...

shiloh: "FBI Director Comey Trump's Sec of State er 2020 campaign manager"

Yeah, keep telling yourself stuff like that.

Whatever you do, don't think about how families and extended families are being impacted by obamacare and other policies.

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

Well, you do have to hand it to Clinton - insofar as a strategy goes:

An anti-progressive women's vote. That was her basic demographic that was going to win it.

Pro-woman, progressivism-hating.

Well, I guess that one didn't work. Time to throw it out the window and go back to the drawing board.

Original Mike કહ્યું...

I sure hope Trump was serious about his DOJ prosecuting Clinton.

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

NYT...TRUMP 91%

Yancey Ward કહ્યું...

Georgia, Florida, and North Carolina should be called by this point for Trump.

Howard કહ્યું...

Trump's 2-minute ad was All Bernie except the illegal alien angle.

Michael Moore was spot on in his prediction

Unknown કહ્યું...

91% odds for Trump per the NYT widget

Even the Fox anchors are incredulous.

Original Mike કહ્યું...

Clinton back in the lead at 538.

I need to relocate to a pub.

Jaq કહ્યું...

That's a lie. The emails that were leaked show they were hoping for a Trump like candidate to run against.

Fucking Wikileaks! Don't you know it's illegal to read them!


HoodlumDoodlum કહ્યું...

WI is frickin' neck and neck, Meade might have done it. Thank Meade, praise him!

YT Depeche Mode: Personal Jesus

Darrell કહ્યું...

Trump wins.

Howard કહ્યું...

Orig Mike: with all the shit Trump says he needs to fix, wtf do you care about that old hag. America rejected her for the last time. What a gut punch. Thank god people don't have ash trays any more

Drago કહ્યું...

Howard: "Trump's 2-minute ad was All Bernie except the illegal alien angle. Michael Moore was spot on in his prediction"

I prefer to think of Bernies campaign being all Trump except for the illegal alien angle (and a couple others, but still).

Michael Moore, for all his faults (and they are many!) does spend time talking to actual people in the middle of nowhere and in flyover country. That's why he was acting as a canary in the coal mine.

YoungHegelian કહ્યું...

I think what we're seeing here is an often overlooked demographic fact about the United States: There's an awful fucking lot of white people.

Seriously, if you live in an urban area which is where both black & Latinos congregate in ways that bump into white people, you lose track of just how many white people are out there in the hinterlands.

Yes, yes, I know that there are majority black rural counties in Alabama & Mississippi, & that there are counties in Texas & the West where everybody is of Mexican descent (quite a few of these rural Mexican Americans vote Republican). But, I really think the urban setting of the Democratic vote skews its understanding of American demographics.

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

From now on:

No general election coverage from Washington or New York.

Jaq કહ્યું...

Trump's 2-minute ad was All Bernie except the illegal alien angle.

Bernie didn't really embrace the whole illegal alien thing until he went national. As a Senator in Vermont, he was more concerned with the jobs of the working people in his state.

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

She shouldn't have cancelled the fireworks

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

Its over nc

Limited blogger કહ્યું...

I am crying with joy right now.

alan markus કહ્યું...

Being from WI, I am surprised that it is "in play".

Hagar કહ્યું...

Ohio called for Trump. Stick that in your pipe and smoke it, John Kasich!

Yancey Ward કહ્યું...

Well, I can believe I am writing it, but I do think Trump is actually going to win Pennsylvania. I look at what is left to report, and it is better than an even shot for him to overtake Clinton's lead. She didn't do nearly well enough in Philadelphia and the surrounding suburbs- she underperformed Obama in 2012 by quite a lot.

HoodlumDoodlum કહ્યું...

Just to add:

YT Living Colour: Cult of Personality

YT R.E.M. Losing My Religion

Jaq કહ્યું...

We are still waiting for the transcripts, however, of that speech he gave to the workers at the maple syrup evaporator factory in Swanton from the loading dock.

shiloh કહ્યું...

Good night to be an Althouse con. Pre congratulations as the people have spoken.

America had a choice between two train wrecks, always an iffy proposition.

Mentioned previously said some very nasty things about Hillary in 2008 so was never a fan.

America will figure it out regardless, hopefully!

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

FUCK THE DNC!
FUCK THE DNC!
FUCK THE DNC!
FUCK THE DNC!
FUCK THE DNC!

Jaq કહ્યું...

I think, if Trump does win this, it will be because he reached out to blacks. He owes them something if he wins this. They sat on their hands, which is all they needed to do. It is something to work with.

Darrell કહ્યું...

Trump wins.
Cubs win.
Dylan wins.
Brexit wins.
2016--The year of miracles!

Bad Lieutenant કહ્યું...

Fox: feingold stays home

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

Johnson wins!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


HoodlumDoodlum કહ્યું...

Ok, as much shit as we all give the GOP Establishment, how frickin' smaaaat are they gonna look if Donnie pulls this out and they get to seat a Justice of a Republican's choosing?! Keep hope alive, indeed.

Faith No More: Epic

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

I want to scream.

PB કહ્યું...

ron johnson wins

shiloh કહ્યું...

Dow down 750.

Limited blogger કહ્યું...

It took half way down the escalator for me to get on board. Wonder what took so long.

eric કહ્યું...

Alright Wisconsin people, is Trump going to take Wisconsin?

Jaq કહ્યું...

I want to scream

I think you just did.

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

Well, the Democrats have no choice but to revise and find a way to get to becoming a progressive, pro-working class party.

Good luck getting that to happen anytime soon. The Clinton rot runs deep. Very deep.

JackWayne કહ્યું...

Scott Walker delivers.

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

The Dow doesn't trade at night, shiloh.

Yancey Ward કહ્યું...

Fox just called the Wisconsin senate race for Johnson. I think Trump is going to win Wisconsin, too.

I am flabbergasted right now. I actually thought Trump's strategy was piss poor going for states like PA, MI, and WI. The only thing I can figure is that the internal polls showed something different than the public was being showed by the scumbag media.

If Trump does win, the big non-political winner is going to be Michael Moore. He warned Clinton multiple times the danger she was in, and I didn't believe him either.

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

With Johnson winning WI, Trump will also..

WH, Senate, House, SCOTUS.....Lookout dems..its over

Matt Sablan કહ્યું...

"I actually thought Trump's strategy was piss poor going for states like PA, MI, and WI."

-- I thought a non-Trump candidate could do that, but I didn't think he could.

Shows what I know, I guess.

Jaq કહ્યું...

Good luck getting that to happen anytime soon. The Clinton rot runs deep. Very deep.

I actually think that it won't be that hard to clean house if he Clinton machine is discredited.

eric કહ્યું...

If Trump wins Wisconsin, wow. Just wow.

Total route. Landslide. You name it.

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

Alright Wisconsin people, is Trump going to take Wisconsin?

11/8/16, 9:52 PM

Count on it

Matt Sablan કહ્યું...

"I actually think that it won't be that hard to clean house if he Clinton machine is discredited."

-- A political machine dethroned with no power is much, much easier to get people to testify against.

Jaq કહ્યું...

I drove through PA on my way to Florida, saw many many Trump signs, no Hillary signs. The only Hillary bumper sticker I saw was on the Beltway around DC. The most telling thing about the Trump signs in PA, is that you saw them on businesses. Usually businesses don't want to get mixed up in politics if it is going to be divisive.

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

Yancey, anyone who's trying to game this out based on states and the like is not getting it.

It's about something very simple: Which candidate talks respectfully to the working poor/working class and which does not.

That's all it comes down to. 40 years of stagnating/declining living standards.

We have Weimarized ourselves.

See Bernie Sanders' 2016 campaign for details. This is not sustainable in a democracy. Your republic cannot be run by Wall Street and the neocons. It just won't work.

Chuck કહ્યું...

The Detroit Free Press, using exit polling of its own methodology, is calling Michigan for Clinton.

The Freep is a decidedly liberal newspaper. I wouldn't want to give the Freep much credit for anything. But Trump has never been ahead, in any poll, in the state of Michigan.

SukieTawdry કહ્યું...

I think, if Trump does win this, it will be because he reached out to blacks. He owes them something if he wins this.

He owes quite a bit to working class whites, too, since it's they who put him in the position to do anything for anybody. He's made a lot of promises to the underclasses. He better friggin make good on some of them.

Qwinn કહ્યું...

Can we arrest her now?

HoodlumDoodlum કહ્યું...

shiloh said...Dow down 750.

Seriously dude, this stuff might trip some market circuit breakers tomorrow: nuts!

Drago કહ્યું...

eric: "If Trump wins Wisconsin, wow. Just wow. Total route. Landslide. You name it"

Not a rout or a landslide, but a solid win. Particularly if you pay attention to the working class counties throughout the industrial midwest that have flipped from democrat to Trump (I have to say Trump and not republican because I don't think other republicans would have flipped them)

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

MSDNC is a hoot right now..

Fire extinguishers at the ready

shiloh કહ્યું...

Ritmo, it's not the end of world, it just seems that way.

Big Mike કહ્યું...

If Trump really does win Wisconsin (I hope, I hope, I hope!) then perhaps the Democrats in that state will re-think the John Doe investigation?

Nah! Nobody's presidential vote could possibly be impacted by blatant abuse of power.

JackWayne કહ્યું...

Pollsters completely routed. Oh happy day!

Qwinn કહ્યું...

I'm telling ya, if Trump wins in PA, it's because the Clinton ads here focused on nothing except Planned Parenthood. For months. No other issue. And 3 or 4 ads about it every single break. Did they think no one saw the Veritas videos?

Jaq કહ્યું...

Clinton will be done, but the tech billionaires will still be there, corrupting everything they can. The Republicans have ceased being the party of the very rich. They should come out for taxes on those billionaire motherfuckers at Google and Facebook, the Hollywood set, all those guys who tried to do them in. What do they owe them? Nothing. Let the Democrats fight for their privilege!

Beloved Commenter AReasonableMan કહ્યું...

538 is now suggesting that Clinton may lose Pennsylvania as well as Michigan and Wisconsin. All hail Trump.

Unknown કહ્યું...

Clinton still projected to hold on to a slight lead in popular vote even with Trump likely to easily clear 270 electoral votes.

100% probability of calls to abolish Electiral College tomorrow.

Big Mike કહ્યું...

And if Trump really does win Michigan and Wisconsin and Nevada as well as Ohio and Florida, then Mick will have been right.

I need a drink.

Merny11 કહ્યું...

This is just too sweet!
By the way Shiloh and Inga - your arrogance, your condescending attitude will not be missed. Go away. Stay away.

MaxedOutMama કહ્યું...

YoungHegelian - it is not so much the demographics as the complete failure of the urban, highly-educated elite to comprehend that identity politics means little to integrated Hispanics, and increasingly little to young blacks who have been thrown under the bus in favor of chasing the Hispanic demographic.

An awful lot of Hispanics voted Trump, and they did so because they basically believe in what he is saying - they know perfectly well that an open border policy is essentially a plantation policy, and they have come from countries that have historically had oligarchical, corrupt power structures.

There is a fundamental misunderstanding of working-class people in the upper hierarchy of both the Republican and Democratic parties.

Birkel કહ્યું...

"Rhythm and Balls"

You just don't understand that Wall Street loves Leviathan. Leviathan loves Wall Street. Leviathan hates you.

The only way to accomplish your goals is to decentralized power.

Jaq કહ્યું...

"I love the poorly educated!" - DJT

Whose laughing now motherfuckers?

Big Mike કહ્યું...

@Althouse, will you consider starting up a fund to help Barbara Streisand move out of the country? I will contribute to it.

Etienne કહ્યું...

Interesting - CNN has given California to Clinton.

The interesting part is they show 0% in all the columns in the drill-down link.

I guess I'd hate to be a Californian, as they are so predictable they don't even have to vote :-)

Howard કહ્યું...

CNN Wolf creaming about California putting Hillary ahead
Tapper throwing cold water on Wolf's excitement

shiloh કહ્યું...

If/when Trump wins, Hillary will not be prosecuted ie she will just fade away.

Trump will have his hands full w/leading the free world.

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

Ritmo, it's not the end of world, it just seems that way.

Just you watch what Trump does to a free speech environment. Make sure you don't insult him, now.

Beloved Commenter AReasonableMan કહ્યું...

Drago said...
Particularly if you pay attention to the working class counties throughout the industrial midwest that have flipped from democrat to Trump (I have to say Trump and not republican because I don't think other republicans would have flipped them)


I agree with this. Low probability that Cruz or Rubio flips those states.

Scott કહ્યું...

Well, this is indeed high drama. Interesting that the election looks to be coming down to Michigan and Wisconsin. I suspect our hostess never dreamed that would be the case for her vote.

Howard કહ્યું...

Tapper said Hillary didn't get overwhelming woman vote predicted

Michael કહ્યું...

The Dow never sleeps. Dow futures down. Buy tomorrow or stay poor.

mccullough કહ્યું...

Obama will pardon Hillary and her aides and Trump won't even shrug

Jaq કહ્યું...

"Narrow path for Hillary Clinton" - CNN

HA HA HA! This might happen!

HoodlumDoodlum કહ્યું...

I can't stop laughing, just imagine the Dem HQ reactions right now! Oh, Katy Perry & Lady Gaga & Madonna--all the comedians & actors & artists----this was supposed to be historic! The first woman, little girls everywhere, history! What about the nuuuuukes!?

Ha-ha-ha-ha, to lose to TRUMP! Holy geez this is so funny.

This one goes out to the Media: YT Ugly Kid Joe: Everything About You

Jaq કહ્યું...

I still can't watch. I don't want Trump to win either.

Matt Sablan કહ્યું...

"Tapper said Hillary didn't get overwhelming woman vote predicted"

-- Of course not. They were at their ceiling.

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

Cenk Uygur is going full meltdown on the warpath against the DNC.

Finally, he gets it. Welcome aboard, anyone else. NOW is the time.

The DNC must be destroyed.

Matt Sablan કહ્યું...

CNN just gave NC to Trump.

shiloh કહ્યું...

As democracy is perfected, the office of president represents, more and more closely, the inner soul of the people. On some great and glorious day the plain folks of the land will reach their heart's desire at last and the White House will be adorned by a downright moron. ~ H.L. Mencken 1920

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

NYT went from a 5% chance to a 95% chance overnight.

I guess that was the news that was fit to print.

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

All those union folks in MI will break for Trump just like in Ohio.

le Douanier કહ્યું...

Ha! the NYT DJT likelihood is maxed at >95%

It be more fun to see it inching up beyond 95.

who-knew કહ્યું...

All fall I heard that the GOP nominated the only candidate that culd lose to Clinton and I agreed with that. Imagine my surprise that instead the Dems nominated the only candidate who could lose to Trump. Assuming that the NYT odds are right about who willwin with their 91% odds for DJT

Jaq કહ્યું...

Bob Dylan The Times They Are A Changin' 1964

Come writers and critics
Who prophesize with your pen
And keep your eyes wide
The chance won't come again
And don't speak too soon
For the wheel's still in spin
And there's no telling who that it's naming


MaxedOutMama કહ્યું...

Blogger tim in vermont said...
I think, if Trump does win this, it will be because he reached out to blacks. He owes them something if he wins this. They sat on their hands, which is all they needed to do. It is something to work with.

_______________________________________________
No, damn it, the country owes them something. Instead of importing people to replace them, how about employing them?

DC's open-border policy has been brutal to many black people. Just brutal. And they did not deserve it.

Birkel કહ્યું...

Trump is ahead in Michigan and projected to increase that lead according to 538.

Chuck hardest hit.

David કહ્યું...

I am quite surprised at the Wisconsin result so far? Still not clear where the uncounted votes are. At least to me.

Etienne કહ્યું...

I don't understand the delay on calling GA. Stick a fork in it, it's done.

Jaq કહ્યું...

The DNC must be destroyed

DNC delenda est!

"We came, we saw, we kicked her ass!" - DJT (OK, just hoping there.)

shiloh કહ્યું...

So Althouse, looks like you can retire your Hillary's in trouble tag. But will have to add a Trump's in trouble tag.

Yancey Ward કહ્યું...

Drago wrote:

"Particularly if you pay attention to the working class counties throughout the industrial midwest that have flipped from democrat to Trump (I have to say Trump and not republican because I don't think other republicans would have flipped them)"

An absolutely excellent point, Drago.

Bleach Drinkers Curing Coronavirus Together કહ્યું...

What a disgrace.

Matt Sablan કહ્યું...

On Georgia: They took a long time to call Georgia the last two elections too, if I recall.

Jaq કહ્યું...

Trump won 60 percent of non college whites. Who knew they were allowed to vote?

HoodlumDoodlum કહ્યું...

That fuckin' glass ceiling might be a little thicker than you thought, huh Babs? Maybe running on "sure she's a slimy ethics-free hack, but she has lady parts!" wasn't the best idea in the world, maybe? Holy hell, maybe the frickin' citizenry isn't as far gone--regarding "gimmie mine" thinking and "the Left=love" belief as I thought! Not that Trump's some prince, but he was supposed to be not just defeated but CRUSHED by the power of Leftist love! Even just winning close should be shameful, given who they say Trump is. Ha-ha-ha-ha!

YT Streisand: Send in the Clowns

David કહ્યું...

CNN seems to be the network with the best data on county by county results for the tossup states.

Jaq કહ્યું...

Remember when trailer parks were full of Democrats that the party cared about? Then the Clintons made them a punch line. "Drag a hundred dollar bill...."

David કહ્યું...

A lot of early gloating going on here. Bad bad Karma.

Drago કહ્યું...

shiloh: "So Althouse, looks like you can retire your Hillary's in trouble tag. But will have to add a Trump's in trouble tag"

Why don't you snap out of it and start thinking about the big stuff.

47% of democrats voted for Sanders.
44% of republicans voted for Trump.

What does that tell you?

Matt Sablan કહ્યું...

Wait. Wait. HALF of union households went Trump?

Wow.

Jaq કહ્યું...

Yeah, I don't really believe it is over either. I am just happy she is getting raked over the coals, she deserves every second of it.

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

If he wins can he get term limits done.

HoodlumDoodlum કહ્યું...

coupe said...I don't understand the delay on calling GA. Stick a fork in it, it's done.

Ooh, I can answer that one! A couple-a big counties haven't reported yet - Cobb & DeKalb aren't in, so the vote total could move a bunch, in theory. No way Hill-a-ma-loo takes 95% of both, though, so I think Trump's current 5% lead is pretty safe. I wouldn't sweat GA...but they need to get all the votes in already!

Johnson will probably pull 4%; not too bad.

shiloh કહ્યું...

"What does that tell you?"

?

Voters are pissed?

Bad Lieutenant કહ્યું...

No, no, Merny11, let's let Shiloh and Inga talk. And PBJ and once written and all these guys. Chuck too and HooDoo and mccullough and whoever on the right with clean hands.

Talk, go on, I want to hear what you have to say, whatever you have to say, no echo chambers here! So how do you feel about developments? Rhetorical!

Jaq કહ્યું...

Maybe if she wins, she can do a "listening tour" you know, like she did of New York State when the powers that be cleared out the opposition for her to have that Senate seat. Figure out why so many people don't really like her.

Yancey Ward કહ્યું...

David,

You do better to go to the individual state election departments.

As to Wisconsin- Clinton has badly underperformed in Milwaukee and Madison in the precincts counted. That is mainly why the projections are that Trump wins the state.

Original Mike કહ્યું...

OK, I'm in a proper pub.

Blogger Howard said...Orig Mike: with all the shit Trump says he needs to fix, wtf do you care about that old hag. America rejected her for the last time."

Normally I would agree. I agreed with Ford when he pardoned Nixon. But Clinton's actions vis-a-vis her server was such a gross flaunting of the law, I think it's important that it not be swept under the rug.

Drago કહ્યું...

Peggy Noonan described it and now we are esperiencing it: the "unprotecteds" are voting against the "protecteds", regardless of party.

rehajm કહ્યું...

At Hillary HQ

alan markus કહ્યું...

A lot of early gloating going on here. Bad bad Karma

Have to agree with you there - like I said before, the Real Clear Politics map has been holding up - no changes yet. Currently 209 Clinton/223 Trump (have not added GA yet). Their prediction was 272 Clinton/266 Trump. Need either PA,WI,MI,orMN to change to Trump. And need AZ & NV to hold to Trump.

HoodlumDoodlum કહ્યું...

David said...A lot of early gloating going on here. Bad bad Karma.

No, you're right Da-vide, no one should gloat over a win, I think lots of us are just amazed/shocked that it's shaking out this way at all. I am gloating a bit over the liberal newstalkers having to work so hard to retain their composure and pretend like they saw this shit coming. But you're on it; keep cool, lotta game to play still, big time, big time.

YT North Star ft. RZA 4 Sho Sho (NSFW)

Drago કહ્યું...

shiloh: "Voters are pissed?"

Forget it. Go to bed.

Yancey Ward કહ્યું...

I just looked at Minnesota returns in more detail- there is a good chance Trump wins Minnesota, too.

Jaq કહ્યું...

Those faces at Hillary headquarters are great! Plus, it is quiet as a library.

MaxedOutMama કહ્યું...

Coupe - there are a whole lot of black voters in GA. Only problem: a lot of them are voting for Trump this go-round. Aside from everything else, there aren't many rural black families in GA that are really for gun control, given our history, it's the grossest insult.

ACA has created a situation in which poor blacks and whites in rural areas are essentially paying for free medical care at hospitals for imported Hispanic laborers, while the blacks and whites aren't getting medical care at all. The wounds run deep.

Trump will take GA. That was a foregone conclusion.

Matt Sablan કહ્યું...

The guy on CNN just sounded so... so disappointed in Clinton's spin machine.

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

Funereal atmosphere at Javitz center...those faces

Jaq કહ્યું...

Peggy Noonan described it and now we are esperiencing it: the "unprotecteds" are voting against the "protecteds", regardless of party.

That might be the first interesting thing Noonan has said in years.

Original Mike કહ્યું...

"Those faces at Hillary headquarters are great! Plus, it is quiet as a library."

Damn. Wish I was home to see it.

Jaq કહ્યું...

Fox calls Wisconsin for Trump!

Bad Lieutenant કહ્યું...

Fox calls WI

Jaq કહ્યું...

"Pierced the blue wall!"

Unknown કહ્યું...

Wisconsin!!!

Clyde કહ્યું...

TRUMP WINS WISCONSIN!!!!!!!!!!

WHOO, DOGGIES!!!!!!!!

Bad Lieutenant કહ્યું...

Now Althouse can tell us who she voted for. I daresay I can guess.

Mike (MJB Wolf) કહ્યું...

Thank you Wisconsin!

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

WISCONSIN........

Clyde કહ્યું...

Awesome sauce!!!!!!

320Busdriver કહ્યું...

We did it Wisconsin

Yancey Ward કહ્યું...

Wisconsin just called for Trump.

Mike (MJB Wolf) કહ્યું...

How IS that popular vote, Shiloh?

Matt Sablan કહ્યું...

If Fox is true, that's Trump at 232. +16 from Georgia is 248. That and Florida, and it is game, right? 248 + 29 = 277, or did I screw up math?

Clyde કહ્યું...

And IOWA!!!!!

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